CADCHF LONG/ BUY🔰 Pair Name : CAD/CHF
🔰 Time Frame : 4H/ DAILY
🔰 Scale Type : MID Scale
🔰 Direction : Long/ Buy
📈 Comprehensive Fundamental and Technical Analysis Update 📊📉
Over an extended time frame, the prevailing price action underscores a consistent consolidation pattern, confined within the well-defined range of 0.6480 to 0.6610. Our perspective remains firmly inclined toward a bullish trajectory, in alignment with the unwavering determination of the Federal Reserve to execute a series of deliberate interest rate hikes. This strategic approach seeks to effectively counteract impending inflationary pressures, with heightened emphasis on the latter half of 2023. Anticipating a notably robust performance from the Canadian Dollar (CAD), contrasted by the comparatively subdued Swiss Franc (CHF), it is imperative to maintain vigilant awareness of potential interventions that the Swiss National Bank (SNB) might introduce, potentially influencing the dynamic behavior of CHF.
🛢️ Noteworthy is the imminent conclusion of the oil price retest phase, positioning it for a forthcoming upward trajectory. This element introduces an additional layer of complexity to our analysis. However, it remains pivotal to acknowledge the lingering potential for SNB intervention, which retains its significance in shaping the CHF landscape.
🔍 Elaborating on our recent correspondence pertaining to the CAD/CHF pair, a discernible disparity has emerged, prominently depicted on the daily chart. This incongruity serves as a fundamental facet within the operational framework of a robust market, as historical precedent underscores the tendency for such divergences to eventually reconcile, consequently fostering the accumulation of liquidity within the market environment.
Prudent and judicious decision-making should be exercised in your trading pursuits! 📈📉👍
CAD
AUDCAD Lower High rebound expected within the Channel UpThe AUDCAD pair followed our prediction on the last analysis we made a month ago (see chart below) and hit two targets on the way to the bottom of the long-term Channel Down:
The price is now on the 2nd straight green 1D candle after a flat Friday, which was most likely the bottom reversal of the Channel Down. As the 1D RSI hit the bottom of its Rectangle pattern as well, we treat this as a strong buy opportunity on the medium-term, targeting not just the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) but also the Internal Lower Highs trend-line. Our target is 0.89000, but will book the profit earlier if the 1D RSI approaches the top of its Rectangle before that price target.
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NZDCAD Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDCAD for a buying opportunity around 0.80300 zone, NZDCAD was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. currently we are waiting for a correction to see a potential retrace of the trend towards more highs.
Trade safe, Joe.
CAD/CHF is Correcting 2!Hello Traders
Our technical view has been shown in the chart.
If you like it then Support us by Like, Following, and Sharing.
Thanks For Reading
Team Fortuna
-RC
(Disclaimer: Published ideas and other Contents on this page are for educational purposes and do not include a financial recommendation. Trading is Risky, so before any action do your research.)
Trade report of 21-8The news from the beginning of this week:
The dollar is still considered the pillar of the post-war world monetary order. The Brics, who meet in South Africa next week, believe the currency gives the US disproportionate power.
The European economy has not entered a recession. In the second quarter, the combined gross domestic product (GDP) of the twenty countries whose currency is the euro grew by 0.3% compared to the first quarter. This is evident from the latest figures from the European statistical office Eurostat.
Onze acties:
EURGBP : the pair moves in a channel. At the moment the rating system is still called these scores: total score -3, Cot Data 0, Retail sentiment 0, Seasonality 1, Trend reading -2, GDP Growth 1, Inflation -1, Unemployment -1, Interest Rates -1.
We have placed a buy with 0.85925 with a target of 0.86570.
USDCAD : Our rating system gives a nice score and on a weekly basis there is also more in this. Score +6 when adding the following data Cot Data 0, Retail sentiment 1, Seasonality 1, Trend reading 2, GDP Growth 1, Inflation -1, Unemployment 1, Interest Rates 1. We put a buy at 1.35695 with sl at 1.35225.
EURCAD Secondary bullish wave ahead.The EURCAD pair is consolidating on the 1D time-frame above both the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). This analysis is basically an update on July's pull-back buy idea (see chart below):
The price is now entering the secondary bullish wave of this sequence, continuing to mirror the February - April fractal. However, we do have to lower our final target to 1.50190, which is the 1.236 Fibonacci extension, as the current sequence appears to be shorter than the one of February - April.
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USDCAD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDCAD for a selling opportunity around 1.36000 zone, USDCAD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.36000 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
🔥 NEW: GBPCAD 🔥 DT SWING 🔥Requested by: @YOUNGMILLIONS21
SLO @ 1.7310 📉
SSO @ 1.7250 ⏳
TP1 @ 1.6725
TP2 @ 1.6235
TP3 @ 1.5875
TP4 @ 1.5325
BLO @ 1.4860 ⏳
While major moving averages are reflective of strong buying pressure, overall, the major oscillators are nearing indicating sell signals.
This could be point to Price Action being in Supply.
The RSI indicator and the MACD indicator are neutral, but the Stochastic oscillator is overbought.
STRATEGY: PIP MOVEMENT
Scalping: 10 pips
Intraday trading: 10-50 pips
Swing trading: 50-100 pips
Position trading: 100-200 pips
CADCHF: Pullback From Key Level Explained 🇨🇦🇨🇭
CADCHF is testing a key daily structure support.
The price formed a double bottom on that on 1H time frame.
The neckline of the pattern is now broken.
It signifies a local change of character from bearish to bullish
and a highly probable pullback.
Goals: 0.6502 / 0.6707
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
CADCHF BuyTrade Rationale:
The CAD/CHF pair is currently showing signs of short-term bullish momentum, presenting a potential trading opportunity. The Canadian Dollar (CAD) has displayed strength against the Swiss Franc (CHF), indicating a possible upward movement in the exchange rate.
Technical Analysis:
Support Levels: The pair has found support at a key level, indicating potential buying interest.
Moving Averages: Short-term moving averages are crossing above longer-term ones, suggesting a shift towards bullish sentiment.
MACD Indicator: The MACD histogram is showing positive divergence, indicating possible upward momentum.
RSI Indicator: The RSI is moving towards the overbought zone, suggesting increased buying pressure.
Trade Execution:
Entry: I recommend entering a long position at or near the current market price
Stop-Loss: Set a stop-loss order at previous low to limit potential losses in case the market moves against the trade.
Take Profit: Consider taking profits at X.6-7xxx or below, where resistance is likely to be encountered.
Risk Management:
Position Size: Determine an appropriate position size that aligns with your risk tolerance and trading strategy.
Risk-Reward Ratio: Ensure that the potential reward justifies the risk, aiming for a favorable risk-reward ratio.
Monitoring and Adjustment:
Stay vigilant and monitor the trade as it progresses. If the market behaves contrary to the bullish perspective, be prepared to adjust your position or exit the trade based on your risk management strategy.
Disclaimer: Trading in the foreign exchange market involves a significant level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. This trade summary is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Always conduct thorough research and consider seeking advice from a qualified financial professional before making trading decisions.
NZDCAD - Strong Support Ahead 💪Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
NZDCAD has been overall bearish trading inside the falling channel in red, and it is currently approaching the lower trendline.
Moreover, the 0.79 - 0.8 is a strong support zone.
🏹 So the highlighted purple circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the green support and lower red trendline.
As per my trading style:
As NZDCAD is sitting around the purple circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
CAD/CHF is correctingHello Traders
Our technical view has been shown in the chart.
If you like it then Support us by Like, Following, and Sharing.
Thanks For Reading
Team Fortuna
-RC
(Disclaimer: Published ideas and other Contents on this page are for educational purposes and do not include a financial recommendation. Trading is Risky, so before any action do your research.)
POSSIBLE SHORT ON GBPCADWeekly and monthly price action for GBPCAD appears to point towards a bearish sentiment and thus we expect shorts this week as we run into weekly lows, keep our fingers crossed and wait for the markets to come to us. Structural candles and confirmation on 15m bos entry.
Goodluck
Potential Long GBPCADGBPCAD posted a green weekly Heiken Ashi candle. This suggests to me that it may go up next week. However, a green daily Heiken Ashi candle has not yet posted on the daily time frame. Therefore, I must wait until it does. If a green candle does not post by close of day Monday, then I will no longer consider this trade anymore.
USD/CADcame here after 2 long weeks.
I usually don't trade when I'm busy or some big stuff happening in my life .. so here we are again.
for a start, we have a medium-risk position..I'm going long on a pullback. I think price has to touch the top resistance in weekly time frames so I'm looking for long positions on daily or 4h time frames.
GBPCAD: Running out of steam, start of the reversal?In my opinion GBP is building up for a big fall this year, and it has to start with a lower high.
Oil prices are rising, and as much as the FED don't want this, it's happening, and this should be good for CAD.
I can see a rising wedge pattern, we can see spinning tops forming and it looks like we're running out of steam, I believe we'll initially fall back to the 1.7 support / round number.
I'm waiting for my entry, I expected GBP to fall before now, but the BoC unemployment news wasn't supportive last week.
GBPCAD - Ready For A 500pip Tumble!GBPCAD is currently in a correction. We could very likely be in a 335 flat correction, which would make wave C 5 waves as opposed to the 3 waves shown in the chart. Either way, we'll be looking for a short from these levels.
Trade Idea:
- No safe entry for this trade
- Risk Entry now with tight stops above the recent highs
- Invalidation for this scenario will be once we move past the highs of 1.7333
- Main target is: 1.661 (500pips)
Please bare in mind this is a risk entry.
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
EURCAD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURCAD for a selling opportunity around 1.47700 zone, EURCAD was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 1.47700 resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURCAD Sell Short Term In this trading analysis, we will provide insights into the prevailing short-term bearish bias for the EUR/CAD currency pair. We will focus on the fundamental factors that contribute to the Canadian Dollar (CAD) strength and the support from rising oil prices. Additionally, considering that an open sell position on this pair is already established, we will assess the potential for further downside movement.
Technical Analysis Update:
a) Continuation of Downtrend:
The EUR/CAD pair has been in a downtrend, forming lower highs and lower lows on the price chart. As the sell position has already been initiated, the technical analysis indicates that the downtrend is likely to continue, given the established bearish momentum.
b) Moving Averages:
The 50-day and 100-day moving averages are sloping downward, reinforcing the bearish bias. Additionally, the current price remains below these moving averages, which suggests a continuation of the downtrend.
c) Resistance Turned Support:
Previously established resistance levels may now act as support zones for the EUR/CAD pair. Traders should closely monitor these levels as potential areas for price reversals or profit-taking points.
Fundamental Analysis Update:
a) Canadian Dollar (CAD) Strength:
Strong Economic Indicators:
The Canadian economy has shown resilience, with positive economic data such as robust GDP growth, strong employment figures, and a rebound in manufacturing and export sectors. These indicators have boosted confidence in the CAD and attracted investors seeking higher returns.
Hawkish Monetary Policy:
The Bank of Canada (BoC) has taken a more hawkish stance, signaling potential interest rate hikes to combat surging inflation. Such a policy outlook tends to bolster the CAD's attractiveness to investors.
b) Rising Oil Prices:
Positive Impact on Canadian Economy:
Canada is a major oil exporter, and rising crude oil prices have a significant positive impact on the country's economy. The surge in oil prices can lead to increased export revenue, strengthen the Canadian trade balance, and support the CAD's value.
Correlation with CAD Strength:
Historically, there has been a positive correlation between oil prices and the Canadian Dollar. As oil prices rise, the CAD tends to appreciate due to Canada's strong economic ties to the energy sector.
Conclusion:
In conclusion, the trading analysis supports the continuation of the short-term bearish bias for the EUR/CAD currency pair. The technical indicators signal a continuation of the established downtrend, and the fundamental factors, including CAD strength driven by strong economic indicators and hawkish monetary policy, as well as the support from rising oil prices, reinforce the negative outlook for the EUR/CAD.
Given the open sell position on the pair, traders should continue to monitor the technical and fundamental developments closely. Adjustments to stop-loss levels and profit-taking points can be considered to manage risk effectively. As always, prudent risk management strategies are crucial in forex trading to mitigate potential losses and maximize gains.
Levels discussed during the webinar 8th August8th August 2023
DXY: break above 102.40 to trade higher toward 102.80 resistance
NZDUSD: Sell 0.6050 SL 20 TP 60
AUDUSD: Sell 0.6510 SL 25 TP 45
USDJPY: Buy 143.20 SL 30 TP 60
GBPUSD: Sell 1.27 SL 25 TP 90
EURUSD: Sell 1.0960 SL 20 TP 40
USDCHF: Wait, look for reaction along 0.88
USDCAD: Sell 1.3360 SL 30 TP 60
Gold: break 1930, below 1929, could see 1924