CADCHF - SHORT - Statistically-backed FX shortlistCADCHF - SHORT
Daily Outlook - Statistically-backed FX shortlist
@darksheeptrades
Cadchfshort
CADCHF SellOne strong reason for this trade is that the price clearly broke down from an inverted Cup and Handle pattern and confirmed the move with a small bearish flag, making this a high-probability trend continuation short setup. These patterns together signal strong bearish momentum and give a solid reason for entering a short position.
CAD/CHF Technical Analysis – Bullish Reversal from Key Support CAD/CHF Technical Analysis – Bullish Reversal from Key Support Zone 🟢📈
📅 Date: June 1, 2025
📊 Pair: CAD/CHF
🕰️ Timeframe: Daily (D1)
📌 Key Observations:
🟩 Strong Support Zone (0.5900 - 0.5950):
Price has consistently respected this demand zone since early May.
Multiple bullish rejections (green arrows) indicate strong buying interest.
📉 Previous Downtrend:
The market was in a clear bearish trend from February through April, forming lower highs and lower lows (red arrows mark swing highs).
🔁 Consolidation Phase:
Price has been ranging sideways for several weeks around the 0.5950 area, forming a base of accumulation.
📈 Bullish Scenario & Target Zones:
💥 A bullish breakout appears likely from the consolidation zone.
🚀 Upside Targets:
0.60546 – First minor resistance & potential take-profit level 🟠
0.61160 – Intermediate resistance and previous structural level 🟠
0.62112 – Major resistance and final bullish target for this swing 🟠
📈 Projection Path: The chart outlines a stair-step bullish structure with higher highs and higher lows, showing a probable path to 0.62112.
🧠 Conclusion:
CAD/CHF is showing signs of bullish reversal from a well-defined support zone. As long as price holds above 0.5950, we expect progressive upward movement toward the 0.6210 zone. Traders should monitor for bullish breakouts and potential confirmations with volume or candlestick patterns. 🔍📊
📌 Risk Management Tip:
Always use stop-loss below the support zone (~0.5900) and adjust positions as targets are reached.
CAD/CHF Short
🔻 CAD/CHF Swing Short Setup
Sell Limit Entry: 0.6040
Stop Loss: 0.6115 (above recent daily highs)
Take Profit 1: 0.5800
Take Profit 2: 0.5700
Risk-to-Reward: ~2.6:1 to TP1, ~4.5:1 to TP2
Fundamentals:
CAD is weakening from falling oil, soft economic data, and global trade risk.
CHF is gaining on risk-off sentiment and its safe-haven status.
Technical Confluence:
Monthly chart just broke below long-term support at 0.6000 for the first time ever.
Weekly chart shows price retesting 0.6000–0.6050, a perfect break-and-retest setup.
Daily shows price stalling beneath resistance without strength — no bullish breakout attempt yet.
Target Logic:
TP1 at 0.5800 is just above the panic wick zone — realistic and conservative.
TP2 at 0.5700 aligns with the extreme 2015 SNB spike low — stretch target only if momentum continues.
Pre-Market Analysis – CAD/CHF1️⃣ The price has broken below the previous support zone, which had held multiple times in the past. This area is now likely to act as a new resistance.
2️⃣ The bottom boundary of the descending channel has been touched, signaling a potential reaction or short-term bounce from this level.
3️⃣ It’s quite probable that the price retraces back to the midline of the channel before continuing its downward move. This would be a classic pullback within a bearish channel structure.
📉 If price fails to reclaim the broken support and reacts bearishly near the resistance-turned zone or the channel’s midline, it could provide a solid continuation setup to the downside.
CADCHF SHORT LIVE TRADE AND BREAKDOWN EXPLANATION 9K PROFITThe CHF/CAD pair tells the trader how many Canadian Dollar (the quote currency) are needed to purchase one Franc Swiss (the base currency). These two economies are quite intensely linked because Canada is an important producer of gold while Switzerland is a great importer of that same commodity - a quart part of the overall commodities imported by Switzerland is gold and there is a solid tradition of gold refineries/gold mining companies in the country. Switzerland can be considered as a stable and safe country. The same accounts for its currency, the Swiss Franc (CHF). The currency is often referred to as the “safe-haven” currency, as it is a backup for investors during times of geopolitical tensions or uncertainty: it is expected to increase its value against other currencies in times of volatility.
CADCHF SELL/SHORTBy utilizing Fibonacci retracement levels, historical patterns, , we can formulate a hypothesis that the market might follow a similar trajectory if bearish sentiment prevails.
+20% During The Holidays - Who Said December Was Slow? In this video I break down multiple positions on FX:CADCHF through just the first week of December 2024. I hope this acts as a reminder to never switch off, you cannot afford to. Entering the holiday season early and dropping your guard can cost you a lot of money and potential scale-ups on capital.
CADCHF – BOS and bearish continuation .. the week of 24 Feb Weekly – bearish.
Daily – bearish after a break of structure (BOS). Price below 200sma.
H4 – bearish (visible sequence of lower highs and lower lows).
Price has broken below a significant support/resistance area that has been tested multiple times. This break below also occurred with momentum as you can see from the large red candle. I expect a pullback to the zone (marked in green) and if that happens, I will be looking for signs of a bearish continuation.
If a short trade does set up, my stop would be placed above the recent swing high and an initial target at 0.62580 with the potential to go down to 0.6200.
This is not a trade recommendation, merely my own analysis. Trading carries a high level of risk, so only trade with money you can afford to lose and carefully manage your capital and risk. If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more. Please comment and share your thoughts too!!
It’s not whether you are right or wrong, but how much money you make when you are right and how much you lose when you are wrong – George Soros
CADCHF - Trade analysis !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on CADCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we are in accumulation phase for the last couple of months. My expectation is price to manipulate buy side liquidity and maybe filling the imbalance. After that to reject from bearish OB to distribute lower.
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CADCHF SHORT: CAD CPI ON TAPCanada December CPI 1.8% y/y versus 1.9% expected.
Due to the above result, we are looking to sell the CADCHF due to the potential weaker Canadian dollar.
CADCHF Bearish Breakout!HI,Traders !
CAD-CHF was trading in an
Uptrend along the rising
Support It has been broken. but now After retesting
the horizontal level at 0.63518
We will witness bearish
and we will be
Expecting a further move down !
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CADCHF - Short Setup at Key ResistanceThe CADCHF pair just entered a notable resistance zone that has times before acted as a supply zone, leading to bearish movements. A confirmation of selling pressure, such as a bearish engulfing pattern or multiple rejection wicks at the resistance level, would increase the likelihood of a downward move.
If sellers take control at this level, the pair could move downward, with a target around the 0.63230 level.
CAD/CHF Bearish Reversal Setup in Play The chart suggests a potential short setup based on the price's reaction to a resistance zone and the presence of a bearish order block. The trade appears to follow a risk-to-reward ratio strategy with a clear stop-loss and multiple take-profit levels defined below the current price.
Key Observations
1. Entry Zone: The short trade is initiated near 0.63230, around a resistance area.
2. Stop-Loss: Positioned at 0.64002, just above the recent highs, to minimize risk.
3. Take-Profit Levels:
First target: 0.62836 (close support).
Second target: 0.62458.
Final target: 0.62080, aligned with a strong demand zone.
4. Order Block: The highlighted zone indicates a bearish order block, signaling a potential reversal from the resistance level.
5. Momentum: The price is consolidating near the resistance, indicating a potential move downward, provided sellers gain control.
Strategic Implications:
Bearish Confirmation: Wait for a decisive bearish candle or rejection pattern before adding positions.
Risk Management: Maintain the stop-loss at 0.64002 to avoid overexposure to risk.
Profit Targets: Use scaling-out strategies at each take-profit level to lock in gains progressively.
This setup appears well-structured, with a high probability of success if the bearish bias plays out. However, traders should remain vigilant of false breakouts or sudden reversals.
CADCHF - Short active !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on CADCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. I expect bearish price action after price filled the imbalance and rejected from bearish OB.
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CADCHF - Short from bearish OB !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on CADCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. After break of structure I expect price to make a retracement to fill the imbalance higher and then to reject from bearish OB.
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CADCHF - Short from trendline !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on CADCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. My point of interest is price to fill that huge imbalance and to reject from trendline.
Fundamental news: Upcoming week on Wednesday (GMT+2) we will see results of Interest Rate on CAD and on Thursday Interest Rate on CHF. News with high impact on currencies.
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Wed 27th Nov 2024 CAD/CHF Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a CAD/CHF Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
CADCHF - Long after filling the imbalance !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on CADCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a long. I want price to continue the retracement to fill the that huge imbalance and then to reject from bullish OB.
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CADCHF - Look for a sell !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on CADCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. My point of interest is imbalance filled + rejection from OB.
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CADJPY GOING DOWN !!!The CAD/JPY pair has been showing clear signs of a downtrend, with key indicators pointing towards further depreciation in the coming days. Several factors are contributing to this bearish momentum:
🔻 Weakening Canadian Dollar: Recent data suggests a slowdown in Canada's economy, putting pressure on the CAD. Lower oil prices, a crucial export for Canada, are also contributing to this weakness.
🔻 Strengthening Yen: As global uncertainties rise, the Japanese Yen is gaining strength due to its safe-haven status, putting further downward pressure on CAD/JPY.
🔻 Technical Analysis Confirms the Trend: The pair has broken key support levels, with moving averages and momentum indicators confirming that the price is heading lower. Selling pressure has been increasing as we move towards oversold territory.
Now could be a strategic time to enter a SELL position on CAD/JPY before it drops further. Stay ahead of the market and take advantage of the falling price action! 📉
CADCHF - Look for a sell !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on CADCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. My point of interest is imbalance filled + rejection from OB.
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CADCHF - Expect AMD Pattern !! Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on CADCHF.
Technical analysis: Now price is in accumulation phase between 2 important levels 0.63000 and 0.62000, I expect we can see a manipulation of buy side liquidity and then distribution lower.
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