CAD/JPY BULLS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|LONG
Hello,Friends!
We are now examining the CAD/JPY pair and we can see that the pair is going down locally while also being in a downtrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB lower band being nearby indicating that the pair is oversold so we can go long from the support line below and a target at 108.482 level.
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CADJPY
CADJPY - One of Three Yen Trend TradesCADJPY is one of three Japanese yen pairs that I held through the weekend. the other two pairs are EURJPY and SGDJPY as they share very similar price action patterns.
The selloff in December 2023 seemed short-lived to me so I found an opportunity to enter long earlier this month. My best guess for the selloff is the collective premature anticipation of interest rate cuts in 2024.
From a price action standpoint, I quickly developed another sentiment. High level summary below:
After a retracement, price failed to push to a new lower low.
The relative low forms a new range boundary.
Price breaks above the upper range boundary and holds, which signals further upside momentum.
I'm not the biggest fan of how this pair, along with EURJPY and SGDJPY, closed last week. Seeing two down days certainly poses a risk that this uptrend may not continue for the week ahead.
7 Dimension Analysis for CADJPY 🕛 TOPDOWN Overview
A robust rejection at the daily timeframe, coupled with an H1 Change of Structure (COS), suggests the end of the short-term bullish move.
😇 7 Dimension Analysis
Time Frame: H4
1️⃣ Swing Structure: Initially bullish but rejected at a potent daily Point of Interest (POI)
🟢 Structure Behavior: Change of Structure (Choch)
🟢 Swing Move: Impulsive
🟢 Inducement: Completed
🟢 Internal Structure: Completely bearish
🟢 Ext OB: Unmitigated
🟢 Supply Zone Rejection: Observed
🟢 Traps: Fakeout at the top and supply area
🟢 Time Frame Confluence: Daily and H4
2️⃣ Pattern
🟢 CHART PATTERNS: Reversal pattern with a double top and liquidity sweep, indicating a potential reversal
🟢 CANDLE PATTERNS: Fakeout reversal after a Record Session count, Momentum with strict engulfing at the top, Tweezer pattern with liquidity sweep, Tower Top pattern observed with Climax players presence and follow-up, increasing chances of reversal
🟢 Gaps and Other Patterns: To be observed at the opening
3️⃣ Volume
🟢 High volume on the fakeout candle and substantial volume at the swing's start and high points
4️⃣ Momentum RSI
🟢 Zone: Sideways
🟢 Range Shift: Almost shifted from bullish to sideways
🟢 Divergence: Significant divergence found at the top level and rejection areas
5️⃣ Volatility Bollinger Bands
🟢 Middle band acting as resistance
🟢 Squeeze breakout and walking on the band awaiting
🟢 M pattern observed at the top
6️⃣ Strength According to ROC
🟢 Values: CAD 1.12 vs. JPY 2.88
7️⃣ Sentiment
☑️ Trend line breakout awaiting, but on the trigger time frame, it's already done
💡 Decision: Open a sell position right at the open
🚀 Entry: 108.489
✋ Stop Loss: 109.333
🎯 Take Profit: 102.1
2nd Exit if Internal Structure changes, also Exit 3rd Trendline Breakout, FOMO
😊 Risk to Reward Ratio: 6
🕛 Expected Duration: 30 days
SUMMARY:
The analysis indicates a reversal opportunity. The sell position is recommended with an entry at 108.489, stop loss at 109.333, take profit at 102.1, and a risk-to-reward ratio of 6, expecting completion in approximately 30 days.
Trade Recap + Two Missed Positions (+10% Potential)In this recap I cover a short position I took on EURNZD with key details regarding the lower timeframes, followed by two missed positions. CADJPY has given me some direction on potentially a new entry I can include in my trading plan, whilst USDJPY I chose to stay out of due to high impact news. Double digit returns again in just one week, stay switched on guys!!
CADJPY SELL | Day Trading AnalysisHello Traders, here is the full analysis.
Watch strong action at the current levels for SELL . GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity CADJPY
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CADJPY H4 | Running into resistanceCAD/JPY is trading close to a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 109.025 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection level.
Stop loss is at 109.800 which is a level that sits above the 78.6% Fibonacci projection level and a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 107.443 which is a pullback support that aligns above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
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CADJPY H4 | Potential bullish breakoutCAD/JPY is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially break off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 108.052 which is a potential breakout level.
Stop loss is at 107.150 which is a level that sits under a pullback support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 109.025 which is a swing-high resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 72% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
CADJPY Massive Long! BUY!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the CADJPY next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 108.12
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 108.47
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
CADJPYCADJPY is in strong bullish trend.
As the market is consistently printing new HHs and HLs.
currently the market is retracing a bit after last HH, which is very 50% fib retracement level and local support as well. if the market successfully sustain this bullish confluence the next leg high could go for new HH.
What you guys think of this idea?
CADJPY - 4hrs ( Sell Trade Target Range 150 : 300 PIP ) 💵Pair Name : CAD/JPY
Time Frame : 4hrs Chart / Close
Scale Type : Large Scale
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🌐 spreading knowledge among us and to clarify the most important points of entry, exit and entry with more than 5 reasons
We seek to spread understanding rather than make money
🔗 Key Technical / Direction ( Short )
Type : Mid Term Swing
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☑️Bearish Break
107.850
Reasons
- Major Turn level
- Visible Range Poc
- Liquidity Zone
- Fibo Golden
- CHoch Area
☑️Bullish Reversal
104.750
Reasons
- Major Turn level
- Visible Range Lvn
- Pattern Target
- Fibo Golden Zone
- Trend Line Area
CADJPY following the Friend in a upcoming downward trend As i have posted few jpy pairs analysis few days back for short similarly got the setup in CADJPY for short , seems jpy is about to give a solid upward momentum, which will drag all JPY cross pairs towards downside movements. so i am following to short the cadjpy pair at or above 108.30 level with the target of 104.20 level with a solid stoploss at 111.15
the risk reward for this trade setup is 1:1.5 as this is a HTF short setup it will defiantly going to take time to pan out. keep patience and have fun .
Happy New Year
Regards
Rizwan Ali
Accel Equity: Mark of Core Research
Early Entry around Range Resistance Overview
CADJPY is showing signs of upside momentum weakening. Price may attempt a bearish move to the weekly range support around 95.00.
The Details
Fundamental Analysis
The Bank of Canada (BOC) may be one of the first central banks (apart from the ECB) to cut interest rates. On the other hand, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) will likely start hiking rates in 2024. This means CAD weakness and JPY strength.
Canadian inflation is nearing 2%, and signs of recession increase the chances of the BOC cutting rates.
Technical Analysis
The most recent swing high was slightly higher than the previous one, suggesting upside momentum is weakening.
There is a bearish divergence on the weekly RSI.
Things to consider
Canadian inflation is currently (as of early January 2024) at 3.10% and declining. If inflation becomes stubborn or increases, the chances of BOC rate cuts become less likely.
The swap rate for shoring this pair is not favourable. Multiple short-term positions may be more profitable than a long-term position.
Price action may form a fake-out move above 110.00 before becoming bearish.
CADJPY OUTLOOK Although the CADJPY is currently consolidation between a support & resistance zone. Am still bearish on sentiment looking a for a break below the key support after price rally to retest resistance zone. CAD INDEX on the other hand looks weak and JPYx been bullish signaling more strength on the JPY.
CADJPYhello everyone, so far the jpy is performing well against all pairs..
price has reach monthly resistance, the month of Dec 2023 ended with a bearish monthly bar.. however, the candle in weekly is still indecision, we can't confirm at the moment the price is bearish or bullish this week.. so we still need to wait for more confirmation....
if bar closes below 106.2 on weekly tf it's a good indication the price will continue bearish...
good luck.. take caution!!!
CADJPY 4H Expectation Buy Sell levelScenario 1
Looking for BUY entries the moment price forms a bullish reversal pattern and rejects this 4H Support
Scenario 2
Looking for SELL entries the moment price breaks through this 4H Support, retests it and forms a bearish confirmation pattern to indicate continuous selling pressure
CADJPY SELLCADJPY is currently descending from the lower high area of the channel on the 4-hour timeframe chart. Additionally, there's a breakout on a minor bullish channel observed in the 1-hour timeframe.
📉 Expectations:
Anticipate the pair to re-test key support levels, as highlighted in the attached chart.
📊 Trading Strategy:
This trade is a long-term position, combining technical analysis and candlestick patterns. Ensure sufficient margin to manage market fluctuations and implement proper risk management aligned with your account size.
🚦 Trading Rules:
1️⃣ Rule 1:
When the market hits Target 1, consider closing some positions or move your STOP LOSS to ENTRY price for safe trading.
2️⃣ Rule 2:
After reaching Target 1, avoid placing new trades based on the same signal/alert.
3️⃣ Rule 3:
If the market consolidates for more than 2 days, close the trade and patiently wait for the next favorable trading opportunity.
📣 Like and Share for More Insights! 🔄✨
CADJPYThe market has breached below the support overlap, signaling a potential reversal towards the take-profit level.
To take advantage of the increasing selling pressure, it is advisable to initiate a sell position at 106.996, aligning with the resistance overlap.
Recognize the support level at 105.413 as a point for a potential pullback.
Caution is advised when trading Forex with margin, as it involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Exercise prudence.
CAD/JPY H4 | Rising to resistance levelCAD/JPY is on an uptrend and could continue rising to the multi-swing-high resistance level
Entry: 106.449
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level
Stop Loss: 106.201
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that aligns closely with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level
Take Profit: 108.134
Why we like it:
There is a multi-swing-high resistance level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.