CADJPY Trade IdeaThe CADJPY has exhibited sustained bullish momentum in recent times. However, price appears overextended currently, suggesting a potential retracement could be on the horizon.
Should price dip back into the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement zone, a buy opportunity may emerge. Prior daily swing highs could act as potential target areas (as depicted on the chart).
Important Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Please conduct your own due diligence and risk management before making any trading decisions.
Cadjpyanalysis
7 Dimension Analysis for CADJPY 🕛 TOPDOWN Overview
A robust rejection at the daily timeframe, coupled with an H1 Change of Structure (COS), suggests the end of the short-term bullish move.
😇 7 Dimension Analysis
Time Frame: H4
1️⃣ Swing Structure: Initially bullish but rejected at a potent daily Point of Interest (POI)
🟢 Structure Behavior: Change of Structure (Choch)
🟢 Swing Move: Impulsive
🟢 Inducement: Completed
🟢 Internal Structure: Completely bearish
🟢 Ext OB: Unmitigated
🟢 Supply Zone Rejection: Observed
🟢 Traps: Fakeout at the top and supply area
🟢 Time Frame Confluence: Daily and H4
2️⃣ Pattern
🟢 CHART PATTERNS: Reversal pattern with a double top and liquidity sweep, indicating a potential reversal
🟢 CANDLE PATTERNS: Fakeout reversal after a Record Session count, Momentum with strict engulfing at the top, Tweezer pattern with liquidity sweep, Tower Top pattern observed with Climax players presence and follow-up, increasing chances of reversal
🟢 Gaps and Other Patterns: To be observed at the opening
3️⃣ Volume
🟢 High volume on the fakeout candle and substantial volume at the swing's start and high points
4️⃣ Momentum RSI
🟢 Zone: Sideways
🟢 Range Shift: Almost shifted from bullish to sideways
🟢 Divergence: Significant divergence found at the top level and rejection areas
5️⃣ Volatility Bollinger Bands
🟢 Middle band acting as resistance
🟢 Squeeze breakout and walking on the band awaiting
🟢 M pattern observed at the top
6️⃣ Strength According to ROC
🟢 Values: CAD 1.12 vs. JPY 2.88
7️⃣ Sentiment
☑️ Trend line breakout awaiting, but on the trigger time frame, it's already done
💡 Decision: Open a sell position right at the open
🚀 Entry: 108.489
✋ Stop Loss: 109.333
🎯 Take Profit: 102.1
2nd Exit if Internal Structure changes, also Exit 3rd Trendline Breakout, FOMO
😊 Risk to Reward Ratio: 6
🕛 Expected Duration: 30 days
SUMMARY:
The analysis indicates a reversal opportunity. The sell position is recommended with an entry at 108.489, stop loss at 109.333, take profit at 102.1, and a risk-to-reward ratio of 6, expecting completion in approximately 30 days.
CADJPY SELL | Day Trading AnalysisHello Traders, here is the full analysis.
Watch strong action at the current levels for SELL . GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity CADJPY
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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DeGRAM | CADJPY false break of the resistanceCADJPY made a false breakout of the resistance level where price made equal highs.
Price reacted to the resistance level at 108.500 by falling several times.
The market shows massive divergence at the resistance level on the hourly chart, showing that bulls run out of steam.
We expect a bearish move since the daily chart shows us consolidation.
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CADJPY following the Friend in a upcoming downward trend As i have posted few jpy pairs analysis few days back for short similarly got the setup in CADJPY for short , seems jpy is about to give a solid upward momentum, which will drag all JPY cross pairs towards downside movements. so i am following to short the cadjpy pair at or above 108.30 level with the target of 104.20 level with a solid stoploss at 111.15
the risk reward for this trade setup is 1:1.5 as this is a HTF short setup it will defiantly going to take time to pan out. keep patience and have fun .
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Early Entry around Range Resistance Overview
CADJPY is showing signs of upside momentum weakening. Price may attempt a bearish move to the weekly range support around 95.00.
The Details
Fundamental Analysis
The Bank of Canada (BOC) may be one of the first central banks (apart from the ECB) to cut interest rates. On the other hand, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) will likely start hiking rates in 2024. This means CAD weakness and JPY strength.
Canadian inflation is nearing 2%, and signs of recession increase the chances of the BOC cutting rates.
Technical Analysis
The most recent swing high was slightly higher than the previous one, suggesting upside momentum is weakening.
There is a bearish divergence on the weekly RSI.
Things to consider
Canadian inflation is currently (as of early January 2024) at 3.10% and declining. If inflation becomes stubborn or increases, the chances of BOC rate cuts become less likely.
The swap rate for shoring this pair is not favourable. Multiple short-term positions may be more profitable than a long-term position.
Price action may form a fake-out move above 110.00 before becoming bearish.
CADJPY 4H Expectation Buy Sell levelScenario 1
Looking for BUY entries the moment price forms a bullish reversal pattern and rejects this 4H Support
Scenario 2
Looking for SELL entries the moment price breaks through this 4H Support, retests it and forms a bearish confirmation pattern to indicate continuous selling pressure
CADJPYThe market has breached below the support overlap, signaling a potential reversal towards the take-profit level.
To take advantage of the increasing selling pressure, it is advisable to initiate a sell position at 106.996, aligning with the resistance overlap.
Recognize the support level at 105.413 as a point for a potential pullback.
Caution is advised when trading Forex with margin, as it involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Exercise prudence.
CADJPY Analysis. Swing trade signal.Hello everyone. i want share my idea about CADJPY.
We have some interesting forex pair at the chart. JPY was pretty bearish long time but what we see now we have some bullish moves at JPY index after big bearish move. for that i decide to try short most pairs versus JPY.
At the pair with technique analysis we have some trend change moves, price action broke some support which is now resistance, after big fall price only had huge reaction at daily support but it didn't tested twice and with one touch which strong low came up, but price has reaction at Fibonacci 61.80 LVL, at this point it made some liquidity and if we look at lower timeframe we got some strong sellers. If we look at JPY index its look pretty bullish this index broke some resistances and with slow movement testing it where its getting rejection from buyers.
For my trade i have some scenes where i am right and wrong.
Scene 1 - in this scene price getting strong seller, its coming strong downside which brake daily support and test second time daily support at 104.5.
Scene 2 - we don t have enough seller, for that market maker make fake brake out where it will take lot of stop orders and new sellers will drop price stronger.
Scene 3 - price still going upside brake 4h resistance testing it and touch to my stop loss in this scene i am wrong.
Always make your own research and manage your risk!!!
DeGRAM | CADJPY in descending channelCADJPY is trading in the descending channel .
The market is in a consolidation zone. It keeps bouncing off the same resistance level.
Price action is creating the pinbar at the channel border.
Price is likely to reject the psychological level of 108.000 and go down.
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cadjpy sell signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
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P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
CADJPY H1 / POSSIBLE SHORT OPPORTUNITY UNTIL THE PRICE 106.500✅ Hello Traders!
This is my perspective for CADJPY H1. Taking into consideration that JPY Basket is now very strong, I expect a bearish move until the price of 106.500. Below we have a strong resistance level at the price of 106.200 with aproximations.
Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective.
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CADJPY - Potential short ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on CADJPY.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I am looking only for shorts. I want price to continue the retracement to fill the imbalance higher and then to reject from bearish order block + institutional big figure 107.000.
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CADJPY 45M, LONG OPPORTUNITY ✅ Hello Traders!
This is my perspective for CADJPY on 45M. I see a good opportunity to enter long for a short term. In the long term, I see a retracement from the OB at the price of 107.200.
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CADJPY I Potential bearish trend continuation Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** CADJPY Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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DeGRAM | CADJPY bearish opportunityCADJPY broke and closed below the psychological level of 109.000 and a fibo level.
We can see the sell-off at these levels on the left.
Price already started going down, and it's most likely to go down since the market is moving sideways.
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