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CADJPY | Perspective for the new week | Follow-UpWith over 800pips run since my last publication (see link below for reference purposes); It appears we are at a juncture in the market where a trading opportunity is building up as structures insinuates a reversal. The CADJPY pair appears to be losing its bullish strength since hitting her peak @ Y 90.600 which was followed by Lower lows that culminated in a successful Breakdown of Key level I @ Y90.350 during last week trading session. However, this bearish potential seems limited at the time being as we still need to keep our fingers crossed for further confirmations that will trigger selling opportunity ( a possible correction phase in anticipation of a rally continuation). Tendency: Downtrend ( Bearish) Structure: Breakdown | Supply & Demand | Trendline Observation: i. The Bullish Trendline indicated on the chart has been a significant factor in deciding the prevailing direction of price action since last month. ii. Pivot point Ito IV emphasizes a visual representation of price action respecting a support line. iii. It is observed that the thrust from Pivot IV appear to have lost momentum which has been consistent with the pattern in the past as the price rejects Y90.500 during last week trading session. iv. The rejection of Y90.500 give rise to the appearance of the Double Top pattern - an extremely bearish technical reversal pattern that forms after the price reaches a peak two consecutive times with a moderate decline between the two highs. v. This been said, I shall be looking forward to a Breakdown/Retest of Trendline which shall also coincide with Breakdown of Neckline (Key level II) @ Y90.000 (a psychological level) for confirmation in the coming week(s). vi. CAUTION: A Breakout/Retest of Y90.350 shall render this set-up invalid with the possibility of rally positive. Please note that we are looking for an opportunity for Bearish momentum below Trendline... Trade consciously! :) Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 150 pips. Risk/Reward : 1:5 Potential Duration: 2 to 6 days NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Short
by darcsherry