cadjpyCADJPY - SHORT
Why are we entering?
- Price broke the ascending trendline = bearish
- Expecting further CAD weakness & JPY strength = CADJPY SHORT
What are we waiting for to happen?
- Waiting for the next pullback so we can draw WFB
What is our confirmation?
- rejection of structure and EMA
- Waiting to draw WFB
Entry
Safe Entry: Rejection of structure and EMA and then WFB once correction appears
Risk Entry 1: Rejection of structure and EMA
Once entered, where will our Stoploss be?
- above the rejected price (ideally above EMA )
Where do we take profits?
- First TP: 88
- Second TP: 86
Cadjpyshort
cadjpy deeper retracement after a break of the trendlinetriple top triangle pattern with bearish engulfing in H4 timeframe and a break of the ascending trendline indicate a strong bearish momentum for this pair after it fail the previous analysis.Still bias on being bearish on this pair for a retracement in a long term bullish .
CADJPY; Long Term uptrend has StartedIn the past week, CADJPY has broken above and retested a major Weekly/Monthly resistance for the first time in years, which indicates the trend is still healthy, and up. The next target is 98.650, althought i am planning to take some profits at the (A) pictured level, before i anticipate a potential Weekly retracement to the 91.400 support/resistance level before we continue up.
CADJPYThe Canadian dollar went back and forth over last week as we continue to hang about the ¥92 level. The market will follow oil, as it typically does over the longer term. For what it is worth, the oil market looks as if it is ready to go higher, so it will be interesting to see how this plays out. The Bank of Canada has also suggested during last week that an interest rate hike is coming much sooner than anticipated, and that could continue to favor the Loonie over the Japanese yen.
CADJPY short1. CAD is being weak in the market as oil
2.in the last week JPY has been far away from it’s real value , so we expect JPY to become one of the strongest currencies this week
3. Technically CADJPY is moving in a descending channel and where I opened was good with LOW risk
I wish you guys the bests
What’s your opinion ??
CADJPY Low Risk High Reward ideaCADJPY looks like in bearish trend in the hourly time frame as its making LHs and LLs. An attempt to short it from the current position can be made with a very tight stop loss as risk reward ratio is quite high here.
Entry: Current Price
Stop Loss 1 : 92.152
Stop Loss 2 : 92.482
Take Profit : 91.691
I'm being patient here
It has been risk ON lately.
So JPY has been very weak because there was no need for people to put money into this safe currency, but it looks like it is now nearing the end of it's trend. I expect big institutions to start removing their risk as more uncertainty enters into play.
No FOMO
Everyone is trying to short right now, so I expect a second liquidity rejection of the tops because that is where people's stop losses will be sitting.
The bigger picture
Why do I say there is going to be a second liquidity grab? Because we can see that price has reached a previous top and it is very likely that it will go just above it to grab long term stop-losses.
This new found liquidity will propel prices down :
A closer look
Here is the 2 turkuaz lines in a closser look (1h chart) :
CADJPY Analysis and Trade IdeaCADJPY has entered my POI. I am now waiting for it give indications of a reversal, so I may find a valid short.
If price stay strong, making the HH even higher, I wait. Patiently. It will pull back at some point, to make the HL. This is dictated by HTF market structure.
I wait, patiently, for confirmations. No confirmations, no trade.
NOTE: I didn't mention it in the video, but CAD gas CPI news on Wednesday. Banks may look to take profits and send the market to move unpredictably. Be very careful trading this pair with the news looming.