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CALL

100x idea - bitcoin call optionThe Trade: Buy call option on BTC or MSTR with the end of year expiration. *Potential gains: 100-150x *Odds: for you to decide, but IMO it's at least 10-20% which makes the expected return of 16 to 28x Why: I believe the BTC price to follow a predictable price cycle, driven by the halving events (every 4 years) which the halving of block reward cause a supply shortage of BTC and drive the BTC price to a new high. In the first (Nov 2012) and second(July 2016) halving, the price peaked around 1 year and 3-4 months afterwards. We had the 3rd BTC halving event in May 2020, which means we may see a peak as early as the end of Sep 2021, but I’m willing to give it time until the end of the year which makes it 1 year and 7 months after the most recent halving. How high can BTC go? I like the stock to flow cross-asset model (S2FX) by PlanB, but many people think the model is already invalidated. The S2FX model attempts to predict the price of BTC based on the stock to flow ratio of bitcoin. Stock is the existing supply of the bitcoins; flow is the current rate of new bitcoin mined in a year. Hence the stock to flow ratio is how many years will the existing stock size double. Here is the link to the model, PlanB explains this way better: google "PlanB S2FX" According to the S2FX model, we will hit a medium price of 288K dollars per coin during the current halving epoch. As of today, the BTC price is around 32k dollar per coin, which present a possible 9x gain if it will reach 288k. We can take on some risks to increase the gains and it's a bet with a beautiful outsized return, mad gains if you will. How: Call Options As call options have limited risk (lose all your option premium), but unlimited upside, this is the perfect tool to bet on BTC's potential explosive price increase from 32k to 288k by end of this year. *E.g. BTC call option with a strike price of 64k dollars and an expiration of 31 2021 is trading around 1.5k dollars per contract (1 BTC per contact). Potential profit if S2FX is right: 288k-64k = 224k (149x) Alternatively, this can be done with MSTR stock, as the company is currently holding 105k of BTC and I believe it to be trustworthy in holding on to the BTC. We can use MSTR stock price as a BTC proxy. According to my model, if MSTR maintains the current BTC holding by end of the year with 288k dollars per BTC, MSTR stock price could easily go over 3400 dollars per share, from 550 dollars as of writing. *E.g. MSTR call option with a strike price of 1400 dollars and an expiration of 21 Jan 2022 is trading around 1.6k per contract (100 shares per contract). Potential profit if S2FX is right: (3400-1400)*100=200k (125x) Position sizing/risk management How much of your portfolio should be allocated to this trade is highly individual but think about the following: Because of the huge potential gains of this trade, a 1% allocation can more than double your entire portfolio, even at 0.5% allocation can your portfolio by over 50%. I’m committing 5% of my portfolio to this trade. Stay invested & Best of Luck *no financial advice*
BNC:BLX
by TressureCave
1
AMC Resistance Battle!!Hello Community! When looking at the 2hr TF, AMC has made a very strong bullish move since today's open. It is currently at a major resistance which can be seen in the chart. We need to end the day above this line to continue the bullish momentum. Typically once S/R is broken decisively the market will usually retest the S/R zone before continuing in the direction of the breakout. Let's see if this plays out to be a massive fake-out or if this is the prime area to short. Don't trade with what you're not willing to lose. Love it or hate it, hit that thumbs up and comment. It'll be greatly appreciated! This is not financial advice. Safe Trading Calculate Your Risk/Reward & Collect! Simplicity Wins
NYSE:AMC
by rnaofs
2
YTEN OPTIONS 3.7M FLOAT / INSIDERS BUYING/ 1/2 OF ENTERPRISE VALAll, I highly suggest buying call options here. Just get ones further out and pay the premium. If you are unsure just buy a equal amount of PUTS with it then drop the opposing side once dropping. This has huge potential here. If you took enterprise valuation at face value this stock has 60% upside. Conservatively speaking lets even say 30%. With call options clearly that 30% is about 200% if hit correctly. See below for more details. Personally going with a combination of 1&3 due to market being horrible etc. Enterprise Valuation: 0.397 (1.0 being at value, over 1.0 overvalued, under 1.0 being undervalued) (so WAY undervalued right now) Float: 3.77M Short Float: 0.5% (literally none) Short Growth: -58% (shorts leaving the stock probably noticing the chart etc and undervalued) CASH TO DEBT RATIO: 6.2 (THATS really good) Option Method 1 1) Double Call to Put Ratio 2) Release Puts or Calls once direction is established Option Method 2 1) Long call option heavy buy 2) Set stop loss or scale in if it drops (next drop isnt too far) Option Method 3 1) Long call option light buy 2) Scale in once trend breaks
YLong
by DigitalData
TD Bank Buy/Call Options opportunityThere is currently low volume on the sell side. There was news as to a drop in revenue during the last year, so the stock went a little down. A few hours later, TD announced they were about to being dividends up and they were expecting the stock to jump by 14% by the next quarter. Which you know, is good. Expecting a bounce on the next resistance level and we go back up. This is not financial advice, this is an idea. Please trade at your own risk by your own will.
TSX:TDLong
by BoilBoil
3