YTEN OPTIONS 3.7M FLOAT / INSIDERS BUYING/ 1/2 OF ENTERPRISE VALAll,
I highly suggest buying call options here. Just get ones further out and pay the premium. If you are unsure just buy a equal amount of PUTS with it then drop the opposing side once dropping. This has huge potential here. If you took enterprise valuation at face value this stock has 60% upside. Conservatively speaking lets even say 30%. With call options clearly that 30% is about 200% if hit correctly. See below for more details. Personally going with a combination of 1&3 due to market being horrible etc.
Enterprise Valuation: 0.397 (1.0 being at value, over 1.0 overvalued, under 1.0 being undervalued) (so WAY undervalued right now)
Float: 3.77M
Short Float: 0.5% (literally none)
Short Growth: -58% (shorts leaving the stock probably noticing the chart etc and undervalued)
CASH TO DEBT RATIO: 6.2 (THATS really good)
Option Method 1
1) Double Call to Put Ratio
2) Release Puts or Calls once direction is established
Option Method 2
1) Long call option heavy buy
2) Set stop loss or scale in if it drops (next drop isnt too far)
Option Method 3
1) Long call option light buy
2) Scale in once trend breaks
CALL
TD Bank Buy/Call Options opportunityThere is currently low volume on the sell side.
There was news as to a drop in revenue during the last year, so the stock went a little down.
A few hours later, TD announced they were about to being dividends up and they were expecting the stock to jump by 14% by the next quarter. Which you know, is good.
Expecting a bounce on the next resistance level and we go back up.
This is not financial advice, this is an idea.
Please trade at your own risk by your own will.
Sell naked call Natural GasHistorically NG goes sideways or down in this period of the year, NG is usually cyclic.
The price of $3 is a psychological barrier.
10 contracts of naked calls worth $3200 of premium.
I have follow-up action of case price or volatility will rise.
81% probability with the current market conditions.
Chobotaru Indicator
ES Futures Shows a Possible TrapMay open higher and gap above some key levels catching a lot of retail traders that moved short off guard. We'll see! AMEX:SPY
Very risky area either way.
long call GBPCAD 60Pips Long call for GBPCAD- 60 pip move
Stop loss, Entry price, and take profit price SET
ive been trading this pair this week, based off of trend lines, imbalances, past support/resistance levels also FIB tool.
i just updated my call this morning i do apologize for not coming on calling the short call it did of 100pips, but we should be getting this reversal buy up for good now.
3M MMM Long CallFilled @ $1.46 - Buy Jul-16-21 $220 Strike Call
Added to existing long call.
NYSE:MMM
Call Option Strike $34I see a lot of people talking about the $34 strike price of SLV
So I decided to show how it looks like.
This option has 85 days until expiration, the last big move did 60% in 90 days.
$34 is "only" 40% from the current price.
The lines are profit and loss lines, the yellow line is the break-even, the dark green 1 point, the light green 2 points, and the blue 3 points.
$60,000 Explosion Big Short movie setupIn the movie, the big short Charlie Geller and Jamie Shipley took trades with options out of the money with low probability.
This is an example of such trade, 100 options contract worth $6000 if SOS will run up again, this trade could make $60,000.
If the price will move to $21, this trade could make $120,000
This also shows that options are leveraged, if you would like to buy the shares you would need to pay $39,000 for 10,000 shares.
In this trade, the max loss is $6000, when buying the stocks the max loss is $39,000
How will it end? What do you say?
The Put/Call Ratio in a NutshellWhat is the put/call ratio?
The put/call ratio (PCE) is a popular barometer of market sentiment, which shows the ratio of trading volumes of Put vs Call options. However, with distortions in the current price of nearly every instrument off the back of "free money," and persistent market intervention by policy makers, we're not quite seeing the price discovery we're used to, which has made it more difficult to make sense of the Put-Call, and other technical indicators as well.
What is a derivative?
To understand the value of the put/call ratio, we must first understand the derivatives market. A derivative is a (leveraged) instrument, which gives the holder a right to either buy (call) or sell (put) a specific amount of a stock (or other instrument), at a specified price, and timeframe. If your'e holding a put, you're likely expecting the price of the stock to fall, while holders of calls are expecting the price to rise. Puts are usually used as a solid hedging tool, while calls are more often related to speculative behaviour.
How to use the put-call ratio?
When the put/call rises above 1, it indicates that market sentient is shifting more bearish. At the moment, we're looking at a put/call of around 0.46, which indicates that market sentiment is very bullish, and actually, it's been bullish for quite some time as you can see in the chart. When we see a massive shift in the put/call back above 1, naturally it would be showing that investors and traders are becoming more defensive.
Doge hits 0.618 Fibonacci Level0.618 is a major retracement level, dipped to hit those buy stops. Looking to make an equal high if not a new high.
Wallstreetbets $35 OTM Call OptionsIn the chart, you see the out of the money call option on SLV, if you bought on Friday.
Me (Zohar) and my brother (Hanan) had a huge debate about this trade . If we should enter or not. Each one has its personal view about this topic and Wallstreetbets analysis. Long story short if you are not familiar with the analysis: Wallstreetbets says that there is a possible short squeeze that can happen on SLV just as happened in AMC and GME stocks.
My side (Zohar) against the trade:
- Wallstreetbets analysis is that since J.P.Morgan has many shorts on the futures of silver. They will get squeezed because there is a ratio of 250 to 1 of paper traded silver (virtual) to physically traded silver. If he can SOMEHOW force a much higher percentage of delivery of the silver, they will have to go buy it on the physical market and hence drive the prices up.
- Problem #1 : to force a much higher percentage of delivery of the silver, the people who hold with the diamond hands the futures, will need to accept the physical silver, and why in the world anyone will want to do that?
- Problem #2 : the percentage of the people who want to realize the future contract (get the physical silver) is not expected to change.
A solution to #1 and #2 (by Hanan):
The people who want the physical silver (industrial manufactures) will see the hype that happens on silver, and they will buy extra silver so they will not need to buy the silver when it will be priced much higher. All of this will increase the demand and there will be positive feedback on the price of silver which will cause more industrial manufactures to buy more silver…
- Problem #3 : All the paper traded silver is traded to hedge against the price of silver or speculate or fulfill some other financial function. Hence, J.P.Morgan is expected to take that into account in their risk management when taking the other side just as any insurance company takes the risk “the other side” that something will not happen. Also, J.P.morgan is well aware that the percentage of physical silver requested need not change, and all the paper silver trades are “cash for cash”, and not expected to be fulfilled in actual physical silver. This is important! Because they know that they can “pay their way out” WITHOUT needing to go buy back the silver on the silver market to “deliver” it. If they are not going to the silver market and bidding the price up , their risk management will remain the same and no “short squeeze” will happen. They have zero interest to go and “buy back” the silver. They will just give anyone the cash amount he deserves (calculated loss on their side).
A solution to #3 (by Hanan):
The same thing that happened in GME and AMC, that the hedge fund could not pay for their losses, will also happen to J.P.Morgan and they will panic and will try to buy back all the futures they sold. Thus making the rise of the futures pop.
- Problem #4: the size and amount of money that is needed to move the silver market is much more than what is needed to drive a stock with less liquidity up. Just for comparison, GME has 46M float stocks, while according to my calculations there are 592M “float stocks” in silver . What does it mean? That means that if people will have “diamond hands” there will be people who will sell, so the price will not go up that easily, also, there is a very high chance that someone took a long term play, and bought SLV when it was at $15, and he will be very much happy to sell all the way to $40. Thus, helping any “short squeezers to be” to get out! Which will put the brakes on the short squeeze. Remember short squeeze happens because there is no liquidity relative to the people who are short! If there is liquidity short squeeze will not happen!
A solution to #4 (by Hanan):
Since this issue is talked about in every media available, new players are entering the game and can move the price higher despite the liquidity.
- Problem #5: but what if many people will decide to have “diamond hands”? as long as someone will be willing to sell at lower prices, prices can go down fast and sharp on low volume! And there can be a long squeeze and an avalanche effect. This is something one should be aware of.
A solution to #5 (by Hanan):
Since all of the people could drive the price up in GME and AMC, they could do the same in silver. Due to solution #4, many people will stand up and buy at the high prices, and thus the price will not go down.
Wallstreetsbets also claims that since the ratio of silver to gold prices is out of proportion and it is 73 to 1, plus in the last century it was on 15-18 to 1 ratio, that means something has to be wrong!
Problem: does something has to be wrong? Where is this unwritten universal law that there is some universal constant between silver and gold prices? What if for example, since the technology advanced in the last few decades, and gold is in much demand for electronics, and there is a good reason why gold is rising and silver is not. If no one needs silver, why should anyone give a high price on it to buy it?
This trade is out of our trading system rules. Hanan wanted to exploit the situation and enter the trade, Zohar did not. We decided to remain conservative and not take this trade. But this was a very fiery and long discussion we had (5 hours), thought of sharing some of our thoughts.
Who do you think is right?
TSM looking to complete Inverted Head and SholdersTSM Looks to be about to complete an Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern on the 4hr time frame. A break of the trend line and hold should be a good entry. A break of 123.50 would be the super safe entry. Neckline to head is roughly 13pts, so the expected move from the neck to completion should be the same which would put our High End Price Target at roughly 134(right near a resistance) with 126.50 being our intial price target. Currently a safe contract would be a June 18 2021 Call, strike dependent on your capital and risk tolerance.
Long on AMDChart pattern along with price action/ candlestick momentum, indicates to me this can be a bullish entry. AMD looks stable. Implied volatility is reading 47.5% from my broker IB. I will be looking to buy a credit spread at the open, to exit before Earnings as a safety/ risk management measure.
UPDATE: $2500 STILL VALID FOR ETH. DEEP CRAB ENTACT!!As you can see on nearly every time scale, the Deep Crab harmonic idea for KRAKEN:ETHUSD , is still beautifully confined within the pattern. Even with the recent consolidation due to BTCs downward pressure - it never broke out of the DEEP CRAB HARMONIC. As long as BTC doesn't force the crypto market further downward, the price targets are $2200, and more importantly $2500.
TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK - CRYPTOCURRENCY IS A HIGHLY VOLATILE MARKET.
LIKE/FOLLOW FOR MORE TA ON THIS ASSET AND MANY MORE TO COME :-)
BIDU 250$ CALL SWING TRADEAscending triangle breakout could be a sign for a bullish trend up. CALL OPTION opportunity!
AMD call option strike 97.5 OTMAMD is in a confirmed uptrend (weekly)
After 4 months of moving sideways and holding a major trendline.
If it will continue up reward is 3 points of risk, if it will break the trendline, it will be possible to cut loss at half a risk point (risk to reward 1 to 6).
Call option PLTR until MarchHello traders,
I got a signal in my system.
PLTR was trading sideways for some time.
The implied volatility is down from 160% to ~100%
In the 71 days, we have earnings.
The stock is in a general trend up.
I always diversify my portfolio never all in.
CLNE IMPORTANT LEVEL RIGHT NOW (LONG OPPORTUNITY)GO LONG IF WE SEE A BREAKOUT (CALL!)
ENTRY AROUND 14.70 - 14.80!
Buying WFC 19 MAR 21 42 CALLI'd like to see price hold this current support level on the 4H.
If price moves and closes lower than $35.80, then I will be closing these contracts for a loss.
Why did I choose $42 as a profit target? Because if you zoom out on the 4H chart, you will see a price level that was created between 28 FEB and 5 MAR 2020. I believe price could reach the peak of that price level by expiration.
