AUDCAD: Time to Fall 🇦🇺🇨🇦
Update for AUDCAD.
We spotted a confirmed structure breakout on a daily, yesterday.
After a pullback, the price tested a strong intraday resistance.
A double top pattern was formed on that.
I expect a bearish move now.
Goals: 0.8742 / 0.8720
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Canadiandollar
GBPCAD: Double long term Buy opportunity.GBPCAD is testing the 1D MA50 as Support on neutral 1D technicals (RSI = 49.135, MACD = 0.001, ADX = 29.493). This is an early buy signal. However since the long term pattern is a Channel Up, the downside potential extends as low as its bottom of the HL trendline. Throughout its formation, the 1D MA100 has constantly provided Support, more specifically three times since February 16th.
Consequently, if a 1D candle is closed under the 1D MA100 (again it will be the first time inside this eight month Channel Up), we will add a second buy position near the 1D MA200. The current buy (1D MA50) targets the top of the Channel Up (TP = 1.74500), the lower buy targets the 1.382 Fibonacci extension (TP = 1.75150).
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NZDCAD - BROKEN SUPPORT LEVEL📉Hello Traders👋🏻
On The Daily Time Frame The NZDCAD Price Reached a Support Level (0.81894 - 0.81736).
Currently, This Key Level is Broken (Support Becomes New Resistance Level)🔥
So, I Expect a Bearish Move📉
i'm waiting for a retest...
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TARGET: 0.80770🎯
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USDCAD Sell opportunity arising a little higher.USDCAD is trading inside a Channel Down pattern for nearly 5 months.
The price is currently on the 1day MA50 for the first time since July 7th and second since June 1st. Obviously a strong Resistance.
The technical rejection zone however lies a little higher inside the range consisting of the 1.33845 Resistance (previous High) and the 0.618 Fibonacci level (1.34340). This is where the last Lower High was rejected.
The 1day RSI is already near its own Resistance, same as the May 25th Lower High rejection.
As a result, starting to sell when it touches it and scale sells up until the 0.618 Fibonacci, is a valid approach.
Target Support A at 1.30950 and after a rebound, Support B at 1.29555 for a technical Lower Low.
Previous chart:
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CADJPY - Bearish Double TOP📉Hi Traders👋🏻
On The Daily Time Frame The CADJPY Price Reached A Resistance Level (107.400-107.812) and 61.8 fibonacci retracement level !
Currently, The Price Formed a Double Top Pattern📉
The Neckline is Broken🔥
So, I Expect a Bearish Move📉
i'm waiting for a retest...
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TARGET: 104.950🎯
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CADJPY Bullish within the Channel Up, bearish below it.CADJPY is trading within a Channel Up since the March 24 bottom. The price action maintained this bullish formation as not only did it recently made a Higher Low but from July 12 to July 18 all 1D candles successfully closed above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), something common since April 27. As long as this is taking place, we will stay bullish, targeting 109.250. That is a Lower Highs level, similar to the one on in April, whose fractal resembles today's.
On the other hand, if we close a 1D candle below the 1D MA50, we will sell and target 102.000, just above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line).
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$USD/CAD - Big Monthly Range *M(tf)$USD/CAD seen on *Monthly time-frame
Price Action seems to have Broken Structure on *M.
However, price still on Strong Supports :
- *M mid-range S/R area
- Triangle Bottom Area of Support (broken for now)
- Support Trendline from Lows
More confirmations to come The Week ahead in terms of Price Action
for the BoS situation & wether supports will hold $USD/CAD or plunge it.
EURCAD: Pullback From Key Level 🇪🇺🇨🇦
EURCAD is approaching a confluence zone based on a horizontal support
and 382 retracement of the last bullish impulse.
The price also formed an ascending triangle formation on 1H time frame
and broke its neckline as a confirmation.
I expect a pullback to 1.4717 / 1.475
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GBPCAD - Bearish Double Top📉Hi Traders👋🏻
On The Daily Time Frame The GBPCAD Price Reached A Strong Resistance Level (1.73142-1.73784) !
Currently, The Price Formed a Double Top Pattern📉
The Neckline is Broken🔥
So, I Expect a Bearish Move📉
i'm waiting for a retest...
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TARGET: 1.69440🎯
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USDCAD critical 1M MA50 test. Sell higher or wait for break-out.The USDCAD pair hit again the bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) of the Channel Down that started on the March 10 High and on top of that almost touched the 1M MA50 (red trend-line) for the first time since September 13 2022. Naturally, this is a major long-term Support, which if broken (full 1M candle closing below it), invalidates the Channel Down and could start an even more aggressive sell-off. In that case, we will target Support 1 (1.29625) and Support 2 (1.28980) and after each 1D closing below them we will go all the way until Support 3 (1.27290).
If however the 1M MA50 and bottom of the Channel Down hold, we will wait for a test (rejection) of the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) to open a sell. If it rises more to the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), we will open a second sell and target Support 1 at 1.29625.
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GBPCAD Sell opportunity on this signalGBPCAD is trading inside a double Channel Up pattern, with a rejection yesterday on the shorter term pattern.
The 1day RSI is about to cross under its MA, which has always been a sell signal when on a bullish trend (above 55.00).
Wait for its completion and sell, targeting the 1day MA50 at 1.69400.
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Canadian Dollar To All Time Lows???CAD/CHF is currently sitting at a key level and a big test. Today is also the day of the Canadian Interest Rate decision.
Forecast is for Canada to increase their rate from 4.75% to 5% which would be an increase of 0.25 points. However, this same prediction was made for the RBNZ last night and they decided to keep their rate the same.
If the BoC do keep the rates the same, or increase the rate I don't see how either could be positive for the CAD, simply putting it the country is not in the best of positions.
We also had the worst CPI report in almost 2 years not too long ago and an increase in Unemployment rates last month, despite adding jobs.
I don't see how any Canadian led pair could be considered bullish, given the state of the country and my bias is for a short here.
CADJPY: Sell this consolidation.CADJPY is testing the 1D MA50 in the form of support on bearish 1D technicals (RSI = 42.279, MACD = -0.050, ADX = 56.167). A 1D candle close under the 1D MA50 signifies a validation of selling extension as after the rejection on R1, the long term support of the HL trendline broke.
We will sell this week's consolidation, which isn't just taking on the 1D MA50 but the S1 (104.120) as well, targeting initially the S2 (TP1 = 102.245) and then the S3 (TP2 = 99.350) assuming the 1D MA200 breaks.
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AUDCAD is starting a long-term corrective legIt's been 2.5 months since we last traded AUDCAD, when it gave us a sell signal (see chart below) right at the top of its Channel Down for maximum gain:
Right now, the pattern is getting wider and its new bearish leg to a new Lower Low may be starting as last Friday's inability to close above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) may result in a Lower High rejection at the top of the Channel Down.
The 1D RSI is trading within a Rectangle pattern, which just hit its top and that matches with the tops of the Channel Down. We are opening two sell positions now, one targeting Support 1 at 0.88350 and the other Support 2 at 0.877450. If broken and the short-term rebound gets rejected on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), we will open a new sell to target the bottom of the Channel Down and Support 3 at 0.8600.
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AUDCAD: On the 1D MA200 and top of the Channel Down. Sell.AUDCAD hit the 1D MA200 yesteday and came just shu off the top of the Channel Down. The 1D timeframe is technically bullish (RSI = 62.944, MACD = 0.002, ADX = 28.766) but the RSI is also near the top of its Rectangle pattern. The previous top coincided with the Channel Down rejection.
Consequently we are opening a sell now and target the S1 (TP1 = 0.874500) and if a 1D candle closes under, extend selling to the S2 (TP2 = 0.86630).
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NZDCAD: Confluence Zone & Your Trading Plan 🇳🇿🇨🇦
NZDCAD is testing an important confluence zone:
I spotted a perfect match between a horizontal key level and a falling trend line.
For a confirmation, watch a double top pattern on 1H time frame.
We need a breakout of its neckline as a trigger.
Hourly candle close below 0.8356 will confirm a violation.
A bearish continuation will be expected to 0.83 level then.
If the price sets a new high, the setup will become invalid.
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EURCAD: Plan is being executed perfectly.EURCAD is on a strong rise following the double Support test as outlined on the plan we published 6 weeks ago (see chart at the end). The 1D timeframe is on green technicals (RSI = 64.005, MACD = 0.003, ADX = 30.986) but the RSI is near the top of the 8 month Channel Down, so it would be justifed to see a technical pullback near the 1D MA50 before the 2nd part of the rally.
TP1 = 1.46480 is already hit, TP2 = 1.47485 is near so we will be prepared to add another buy if the price pulls back. We place a new target on the Symmetric R (TP3 = 1.49360) and will only pursue TP4 = 1.51145 if the 1D MA50 holds after a new pull back. Otherwise the trend will turn bearish again to the lower S levels.
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EURCAD - NEW BULLISH MOVE📈Hello Traders👋🏻
On The Daily Time Frame The EURCAD Price Reached a Resistance Level (1.46028 - 1.46496).
Currently, This Key Level is Broken (Resistance Level Becomes new Support Level)🔥
So, I Expect a Bullish Move📈
i'm waiting for a retest...
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TARGET: 1.47200🎯
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