USD CAD - FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSISCommodity Currencies Still Vulnerable
Danske expects that both the Bank of Canada and Federal Reserve will hold rates steady over the second half of 2023.
It does, however, consider that market pricing is more out of line for the Federal Reserve than the Bank of Canada which will lead to a weaker bias for the Canadian currency against the US unit.
Nevertheless, it considers that the Canadian dollar is in a relatively strong position relative to other commodity currencies which will limit selling pressure.
Canadiandollar
CADCHF: Bullish Outlook 🇨🇦🇨🇭
CADCHF broke and closed above a solid horizontal resistance on 4H.
Now, the rising trend line and a broken structure compose the contracting zone of demand
from where I will expect a bullish continuation.
Next goal for buyers - 0.671
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$EURCAD Can Rise Now #EURCADTraders, EURCAD has been falling nicely and gave us a very good short trade. Now it has completed an M pattern in a medium time frame. When the M pattern completes the market goes up. So we can expect this market to rise up any time.
Beware that this can still form an extended M pattern as we have a trend lines cross. So trade what you see and only with a confirmation.
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Rules:
1. Never trade too much
2. Never trade without a confirmation
3. Never rely on signals, do your own analysis and research too
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Take care and trade well
-Vik
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📌 DISCLAIMER
The content of this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice and is provided for the sole purpose of education only.
Not financial advice or signal. Please make your own independent investment decisions.
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AUDCAD - BEARISH TRIPLE TOPHello Traders👋🏻
The AUDCAD Price Reached a Resistance Level ✔️
The Price Failed To Create New Higher High and formed a Triple Top Pattern ✔️
The Neckline is Broken 🔥
If Price Stays Under The Key Zone, AUDCAD Can Continue The Bearish Move 📉
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TARGET: 0.89655🎯
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EURCAD - fading out?OK, dont hate me for trading this. Its my guilty pleasure. We just click & SHE RUNS
I am also Canadian - that can be my excuse.
Looking to hit up from the lower 1.46xx area & hedge into a short swing - too early to tell exactly where but somewhere above 1.0485
On the grand scale we are at a point of potential trend change - If things line up, this could be a good runner for the shorts.
CADCHF - BEARISH TRIPLE TOP📉Hello Traders👋🏻
The CADCHF Price Reached a Supply Zone ✔
The Price Failed To Create New Higher High📈
Currently, CADCHF Formed a Triple Top Pattern ✔
The Neckline is Broken 🔥
If Price Stays Under The Key Zone, CADCHF Can Continue The Bearish Move 📉
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TARGET 1: 0.65795🎯
TARGET 2: 0.65365🎯
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USDCAD Starting the new Bullish WaveUSDCAD is inside a Triangle pattern that started forming since the October 13th 2022 High.
The latest hit on its bottom (leg 4) is what is pushing the price upwards today so aggressively.
So far all legs have been symmetric with the 1st phase (1 through 4) inside the Triangle and leg 4 targeted previously the 0.786 Fibonacci.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 1.37400 (the 0.786 Fibonacci).
Tips:
1. RSI (1d) is under its MA line. A break over it, confirms the bullish sentiment.
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USDCAD on a fall USDCAD since early this morning is on a consistent fall on the 15 minute chart.
AMEX:USD Dollar strength issues have continued with the latest hike in prime interest rates
trying to cool down inflation. Canadian dollar is buoyed by the rising spot price of
gold and oil which are more prominent parts of the Canadian economy than they
are in the USA> The chart shows a ride down the lower Bollinger Bands with no
signs of reversal as of yet. As a leveraged forex trade heading into the market close
I will open a good sized position scalping into 5-10 minutes before the close for the
week,
CADJPY: The 1D MA50 is crucialCSDJPY is on the rising Channel of its medium term Channel Up, rebounding on the 1D MA50. The 1D technicals are neutral (RSI = 53.031, MACD = 0.270, ADX = 28.072) and that always favors technically the dominant trend. So as long as the price is inside the rising Channel, our target will be the 1D MA200 (TP = 101.350). If a candle closes under the rising Channel and ideally the 1D MA50 as well, we will sell targeting the bottom of the Channel Up (TP = 96.000).
The 1D RSI is on a HL trendline. Technically a low risk buy will be on that line.
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AUDCAD: Sell at the top of the Channel Down.The AUDCAD pair is on the 1D MA50 for the third successive day, which is also the top of the Channel Down pattern. The 1D technicals have turned neutral (RSI = 52.833, MACD = -0.001, ADX = 23.757), indicating that this is technically a firm sell entry.
We will use this opportunity to short and target the S3 (TP = 0.88650) as all the Higher Lows of the uptrend have been filled by this Channel Down. On the contrary, if the price crosses over the R1, we will go long and target the R2 (TP = 0.92400).
Prior idea:
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AUDCAD is growing again with the Double Bottom Pattern🚀By forming the Double Bottom pattern , we can confirm the end of wave C.
I expect AUDCAD to grow to at least the resistance line after breaking the neckline of the Double Bottom pattern. (I have specified AUDCAD growth 🎯 targets 🎯 in the chart for you).
💡Also, I shared with you the position with RR= 2.68 , but be sure to follow your strategy and not forget capital management.💡
🔅Australian Dollar/Canadian Dollar Analyze ( AUDCAD ), Daily time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy, this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
EURCAD: Last buy round then sell to the 4H MA200.EURCAD is on a very consistent bullish pattern since February giving low risk buy signals on the HL trendline and sell signals on the HH trendline. This is well illustrated by the bullish technicals on the 1D time-frame (RSI = 63.779, MACD = 0.009, ADX = 34.173). The price is currently on the final bullish wave to the HH trendline, and we will stay long with TP = 1.51550. That is the 1.618 Fibonacci extension, which marked the previous Higher High (HH). Then we will sell targeting the 4H MA200 (TP = 1.4900).
Prior idea:
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CADJPY Rejected on the 1D MA200. Is this a trend change?The CADJPY pair got a rejected yesterday near the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which hasn't been touched since November 30 2022. Since the March 24 Low the price has been trading within a Channel Up but the long term pattern is a Megaphone and yesterday's rejection took place on its top (Higher Highs trend-line).
With the 1D MACD about to make a Bearish Cross, this is a Triple Sell signal on the long-term. As long however as the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the Channel Up hold, we can buy and target short-term the 1D MA200 at 101.500. If however we close a 1D candle below the Channel Down, the Sell Signal will be confirmed and we will target 95.200 (above the Support Zone) and 93.500 (Megaphone's bottom) in succession.
P.S. It's been almost 4 months since we called for a bullish divergence on CADJPY:
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