AUDCAD Sell opportunity with Death Cross emergingThe AUDCAD pair is on a Lower Highs rejected and ahead of a Death Cross formation on the 1D time-frame. Since 2022, we have seen two Falling Wedge patterns, which accelerated selling after the completion of a 1D Death Cross. The first target on both occasions was the 1.236 Fibonacci extension.
As a result, we are bearish on this pair, targeting 0.86500 (Fib 1.236 ext).
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Canadiandollar
EURCAD Medium-term Sell SignalThe EURCAD pair has been trading within a 12-month Channel Down and is currently reversing after a Double Top rejection on Resistance 1 (1.47825). Following the 1D MACD Bearish Cross, this has the potential to initiate Phase 2 of the Bearish Leg that started on the November 21 2023 Lower High.
Technically this should be at least a -4.47% Bearish Wave, similar to the rejection that started on August 30 2023. As a result our Target is 1.41600 (Support 2).
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USDCAD: Short term buyUSDCAD is almost neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 55.021, MACD = 0.001, ADX = 15.874) as the price has been mostly ranging within the 0.5 - 0.618 Fibonacci zone for the past two months. The 1D MA50 held and the push crossed over the 1D MA100 again, so on the short term we expect a HH on the 0.382 Fibonacci (TP = 1.36400). After that test, the price action since October 2022 (which is sideways) shows that most likely a pullback under the 0.618 Fib is to be expected.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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USDCAD Short-term sell signal to the December Low.The USDCAD pair gave us a strong buy signal last time we traded it (February 09, see chart below) but was rejected right under the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level:
A similar rejection happened on December 07 2022 and April 25 2023 which resulted into a sell-off to the lower Support Zone. Even though the medium-term pattern is a (dashed) Channel Up, the recent Bearish Cross formation can initiate a sell-off to the lower Support Zone similar to those we mentioned before. The confirmation would be a 1D candle closing below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the Higher Lows trend-line of the Channel Up.
As a result our short-term target is 1.32300 (just above the Support Zone). A closing above the Symmetrical Resistance Zone, invalidates that.
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EUR/CAD Analysis: Daily Zones and Cautions
Traders,
Let's assess EUR/CAD's daily zones and accompanying considerations:
Wait for LTF Confirmations: Exercise patience and await confirmations from lower time frames before making trading decisions.
Monthly RSI: Suggests a range zone, indicating potential stability.
Weekly RSI: Indicates a potential bearish move, urging caution regarding long trades.
Daily RSI: Signals more bearish days ahead, reinforcing the need for caution.
Daily Chart: Presents a bullish channel, providing a potential avenue for upward movement.
1-Hour Chart: Identifies a buy zone around a broken level and a sell zone near the supply zone.
Be mindful of these dynamics and ensure thorough analysis before entering trades.
Best regards,
CADCHF,🟢Is it bullish...?🟢
By examining the CADCHF 1-hour chart we can figure out there is a lot of buy-side liquidity that can be defined as a smart money target.
The market structure is bullish and the price had a bullish reaction to the daily order block.
Now, there is a sell-side liquidity inside the FVG that creates a high probability buy setup for us.
Please keep it in your mind: We need the LTF confirmation for entry.
💡Wait for the update!
🗓️07/03/2024
🔎 DYOR
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USDCAD: Local Bearish Reversal 🇺🇸🇨🇦
USDCAD is trading within a huge rising wedge pattern on a daily time frame.
After a test of an upper boundary of the wedge, the price formed a double top formation
and violated its neckline yesterday.
We may expect a bearish movement to the support of the wedge now.
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CADJPY: Next stop the monthly falling trendline?There's not much in the way of this move from what I can see.
Yen continues to be the weakest currency in the G10 (for now, BoJ look set to intervene at some point this year) and for the short term I expect this to continue to meet the descending long-term trendline that's formed.
I'll be looking for sells around 115 with any LTF confirmation, but until then I'm going to be doing some long scalps not that local resistance has been broken and retested.
NZDCAD Bullish, dip buy opportunity targeting 0.85400The NZDCAD pair has hit the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) yet again today and remains under Resistance 1 (0.84300) since July 14 2023, having multiple rejections on it. We do see however the potential for the emergence of a Channel Up, as the 1D RSI is printing the same pattern as the October 20 2023 Low, which initiated a Bullish Leg.
If the Channel Up prevails, that can be its new Bullish Leg to a Higher High. As a result we turn bullish on the pair, aiming for Resistance 2 at 0.85400.
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NZDCAD: Local Bearish Reversal?! 🇳🇿🇨🇦
I see a nice bearish reaction to a key daily horizontal resistance on NZDCAD.
After a test of the underlined blue area, the price started to consolidate and formed
a horizontal range on a 4H time frame.
Its support was violated and for us, it is an import sign of strength of the sellers.
We can expect a bearish continuation now at least to 0.83
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EURCAD: Pullback From Key Level 🇪🇺🇨🇦
I see a nice bullish confirmation after a retest of a broken structure on EURCAD.
The price formed a falling wedge pattern and violated its resistance on an hourly time frame.
We can expect a local bullish movement to 1.4675
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CADCHF Rejected on the 1D MA200. Sell opportunity.It has been more than 4 months since our last analysis on the CADCHF pair (October 10 2023, see chart below), which was a sell signal that hit directly our 0.64800 Target:
The current signal is no different, as the continuous rejection on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) since February 13, is giving a strong sell signal, which will be confirmed once the 1D MACD forms a Bearish Cross. As you can see, the pattern since December 2022 is a Channel Down and every 1D MACD Bearish Cross above 0.00, has formed a Lower High, hence issuing a strong sell signal. Our Target is the top of the Support Zone at 0.63500, which has been the first Target during the previous 2 Lower High rejections.
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EURCAD,🟢Is it time to buy?🟢(Details on caption)
Well, The price had a bullish reaction after touching the daily FVG, so I expect a more bullish move in EURCAD.
As the first target, we can define the liquidity pool that formed as an equal high at 1.4573.
The price formed the bearish order block, we should study the price in this zone because it is an important supply zone, if the price breaks this zone we can expect the price to be at a higher price.
If the price stays above the daily bullish FVG, the bearish FVG can be our final target. (1.4780-1.4890)
CADJPY: Bullish Trend Continues 🇨🇦🇯🇵
CADJPY is trading in a long term bullish trend.
After an extended correction, the market resumed growth
and set a new higher high higher close on a daily, violating a key horizontal resistance.
We can expect a bullish trend continuation.
Next resistance - 112.5
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Massive bullish patternsWe can see here a huge inverted HS and a double bottom (blue arrows) forming. I thinks all of this is going to push up very hard and break out the resistance from 08/2021. I'll wait for a pull back to buy, right now is too close to the resistance. Every time it pulls back to the trendline I'll add.
USDCAD Buy the bounce short-termOn our last USDCAD analysis (December 01 2023, see chart below), the price action gave us an excellent sell entry that easily hit our 1.3400 target:
The pair has since rebounded above both the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). We expect the 1D MA50 to hold and deliver a new short-term rebound towards the 0.618 Fibonacci level (Target at 1.36200), comfortably below the 1-year Symmetrical Resistance Zone. A closing above the that Zone would present a new buy opportunity after a pull-back near the 1D MA50 again with a target on the Resistance 1 level.
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