Cad/Jpy Capturing the Yield SpreadThe recent Houthi attacks on oil tankers have escalated geopolitical tensions, particularly impacting the global oil market and consequently influencing the Canadian dollar (CAD) as a commodity currency. Simultaneously, the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) cautious stance post-earthquake suggests potential extensions of accommodative measures.
Geopolitical uncertainties, especially in the oil market, tend to affect the CAD due to its correlation with commodity prices. This situation may create an opportunity for a CAD/JPY long position, considering the CAD's sensitivity to oil price fluctuations amid heightened tensions.
Strategic entry points, coupled with diligent monitoring of oil market developments and BOJ's policy announcements, could present favorable conditions for a CAD/JPY long trade, with the anticipation of potential CAD movements amid evolving geopolitical dynamics
Canadiandollar
CADJPY - BULLISH MOVE 📈
As We Talked in The Previous Analysis:
On Thursday 07 Dec, The CADJPY Reached a Support Level (106.050 - 105.536).
The CADJPY Price Broke The Resistance Level (107.694 - 108.284).
This Key Level Becomes a New Support Level.
_____
Currently,
The Price Pull Back to Important Structure
and Now it Will Continue its Bullish Movement !
TARGET: 109.230🎯
Cad/Jpy bounce backTrade Idea for CADJPY
Bias: Very Bullish
Overall Score: 9
Commitment of Traders (COT) Bias: 3
Institutional traders are showing a robust bullish sentiment towards CADJPY, indicating a forecast of continued upside.
Retail Sentiment: 1
Retail traders appear to be bearish on CADJPY. Given the tendency for retail traders to often be on the losing side, their bearish sentiment serves as a contrarian bullish signal for us, supporting our bullish view.
Seasonality: 1
Current seasonal trends favor a bullish momentum for CADJPY.
Trend Reading: 2
CADJPY is on an upward trajectory, further underscoring the bullish momentum.
GDP Growth: -1
A slight negative in GDP growth, but the dominant bullish indicators more than compensate for this.
Inflation: 2
Inflation metrics are aligning favorably, adding to the bullish outlook.
Unemployment: 0
Unemployment figures are neutral and do not sway our primary bullish perspective.
Interest Rates: 1
Interest rate dynamics are pointing to CADJPY strength.
Additional Factor: Increasing Oil Prices
Canada's role as a major oil exporter means rising oil prices often buoy the CAD. This backdrop solidifies our bullish stance on CADJPY.
Conclusion: With a mix of strong bullish indicators, particularly the COT bias, retail sentiment (considered contrarily), trend direction, and rising oil prices, CADJPY appears poised for bullish movement.
LIKE and FOLLOW to stay updated for more ideas like this
CADJPY Confirmed buy signalThe CADJPY pair has been trading within a Fibonacci Channel Up since the March 2020 market bottom. The recent rejection on the 1.5 Fibonacci level back to the 0.5 show it test and hold an important Support, the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which has only broken once in 3 years (since November 2020) and that was during last year's inflation crisis.
As long as it holds, it is a strong buy opportunity and evidence for that is the 1W RSI which has printed the same pattern (Channel Down break into a rebound) as the September 26 2022 and August 16 2021 lows. Both initiated rebounds that hit their prior Resistance levels.
As a result, we are taking this opportunity to buy and target the previous Resistance (from the September 25 High) at 111.000.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
AUDCAD Buy signal on 1D Golden Cross.The AUDCAD pair is trading within a Channel Up pattern that has currently been rejected twice on Resistance 1 (0.905500). With the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) crossing today (or tomorrow the latest) above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) to complete a 1D Golden Cross, and the 1D MACD forming now a Bullish Cross, we have a strong case for a break-out above Resistance 1 this time.
Once this takes place, we will buy and target 0.9200 as the new Higher High of the Channel Up. It will be a +3.76% rise from the recent Higher Low, which is roughly the % rise of the previous 2 bullish legs.
Bonus material (past AUDCAD trade):
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
USDCAD Bullish signal emerged inside a 15 month Rectangle.USDCAD has hit the 0.236 Fibonacci level of the 15 month Rectangle pattern after a continuous decline since the November 1st High.
This level has been a technical buy entry on 5 occassions.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 1.36350 (0.618 Fibonacci level).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) has printed a Falling Support, which has been a bottom formation on April 13th and June 22nd.
Please like, follow and comment!!
EURCAD Sell signal on a confirmed break-out.The EURCAD pair broke below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) again after getting rejected on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which establishes it as a Resistance. The long-term pattern is a Channel Down (blue) since the February 10 Low and the current (dotted) Channel Down is the Bearish Leg towards a new Lower Low.
We are taking this bearish break-out signal for the 2nd phase of the Leg and will target Support 1 at 1.43300. The downtrend can extend as low as 1.42180 and -5.50% from the High (as on the June 08 Low) but best settle for an established Support. If the 1D MACD completes a Bullish Cross before the 1.43300 target is achieved, we will close the short regardless, as all MACD Bullish Crosses below the 0.00 mark in 2023 have initiated very strong rallies.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
USDCAD: Important Breakout 🇺🇸🇨🇦
We see a massive bearish breakout on USDCAD on a daily.
The price broke and closed below 1.3365 - 1.3400 huge demand area.
The broken structure turned into a resistance.
We may anticipate a bearish continuation to 1.327 / 1.316
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
USD/CAD Nears Three-Month Low as US Dollar Bears Take ControlUSD/CAD Nears Three-Month Low as US Dollar Bears Take Control
The USD/CAD pair is facing sustained selling pressure for the third consecutive day, reaching a near three-month low during the early European session. Trading around the 1.3385 area, down 0.15% for the day, the pair appears vulnerable to further downside as the US Dollar (USD) succumbs to bearish sentiment.
As of the current moment, the price hovers around 1.3375, indicating a potential for additional bearish momentum.
The USD Index (DXY), which gauges the Greenback against a basket of currencies, has plunged to a level not seen in over four months following the Federal Reserve's (Fed) recent dovish pivot. The central bank's announcement on Wednesday marked the conclusion of its monetary policy tightening cycle and outlined plans for at least three 25 basis points rate cuts in 2024. Coupled with the prevailing risk-on sentiment evident in the global equity markets, the US Dollar is facing intensified selling pressure, weighing on the USD/CAD pair.
In this scenario, the outlook suggests a potential continuation of bearish momentum for the USD/CAD pair. Traders will be closely monitoring key support levels and market dynamics for insights into the pair's future trajectory.
Our preference
Short positions below 1.3450 with targets at 1.3330 & 1.3300 in extension.
NZDCAD - 4H bullishLet’s break down the NZD-CAD pair's recent movements. Back in October, we witnessed three bullish legs that propelled the index upward, following a touch on the last demand zone. Fast forward to December, the pattern repeats with another three-leg movement bringing us back down to that demand zone.
Now here's the exciting part – based on these patterns, I'm predicting another climb, targeting at least the previous high. Stay tuned to see how this plays out in the live market