Candlestick Analysis
USD/CAD finds support (but 1.40 still beckons)USD/CAD has spent most of the past two weeks stuck on sell mode, after its short-lived rise to the 22-year high of 1.48 came crashing down thanks to tariffs being delayed.
Due to bears closing shorts on CAD futures and bulls shying away from long USD bets, my core view is for USD/CAD down to 1.40, just above the 2022 high. But over the near term it shows the potential for a bounce towards 1.43.
Last week's low stalled around a weekly VPOC and November high. A small bullish hammer and inside-day doji also formed around the 100-day EMA, while a bullish divergence also formed on the daily RSI (2) in the oversold zone.
Bulls could seek dips towards the weekly VPOC in anticipation of a bounce to 1.4250, while prices hold above last week's low. At which point we can revisit its potential to roll over once more, in line with the core bias outlined above.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and forex.com
EUR/GBP may go lower next weekPrice filled sunday's gap and from there we got a strong impulse down.
Price also stuggled to go up from support at 0.83000.
Bulls were weak or there was low interest in buying.
This tells me that price may go down lower and at least take out week's
lows.
For entry wait for some pullback or open a small position
and add to it later. This because friday ended with
strong bearish candle and current prices doesn't give a good
R/R.
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) - Whiskers Away From Destruction Perma bulls are screaming $250,000 whilst perma bears are hollering the top is in. Currently, we sit below $100,000 with $98,405 being the key resistance over the last few days.
Something BIG is brewing and it could take both buyers and sellers out of the market short term.
Whenever price action trades within a tight range like what we have been seeing for several of days, liquidity spikes tend to show its face; whether that’s to the upside or downside, it’s anybody’s guess.
But the question I keep asking myself is, where does the most pain lay? Trading back up inside the premium range or sinking down to discounted prices @ $88,000?
I guess time will tell…..
Great 234 point comeback by Nifty from lows of the day. Nifty made a great comeback of 234 points from lows of the day that is 22725 to close at 22959. The momentum has to carry forward tomorrow in order for any rally to sustain. Only when we get a closing above Mother and Father line Bulls can take a sigh of relief. Mother line and Father line are at 23530 and 23587 respectively. Before we reach there there are cyclical resistances 3 months or older at 22984, 23229 and 23435. Supports for Nifty will be at 22725, 22438 and 22159. If we get a weekly closing below 22159 the next supports will be at 21810 and 21302 only. So despite a good closing we are not out of danger zone as of now. Shadow of the candle is neutral as of now.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
GBPJPY - Swing to Buy - Capturing the low on JPY WeakThis swing takes into account Liquidity points on all timeframes.
We are bullish on Monthly, Weekly.
JPY is weak - showing a reversal to the downside.
Weak JPY = Buy scenarios on XXXJPY pairs.
We have a bullish reversal in the form of a gap down and engulfing Daily candle which closes higher.
Looking to take more entries and scale in as we head to the expected highs - to maximise the setup.
Short trade
30min TF overview
Sellside Trade
Pair: EURGBP
Date: Friday, 14th February 2025
Time: 6:30 AM (NY Time)
Session: London to NY Session AM
Trade Details:
Entry: 152.131
Profit Level: 151.440 (+0.45%)
Stop Level: 152.443 (-0.21%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 2.21
Reason: This sellside trade is based on market structure confirmation, liquidity sweeps, and session timing,
EURUSD retracement?
I'm watching OANDA:EURUSD today. My bias is bullish and would like to see it swipe some liquidity and reach some buy zones. There's also an imbalance in the Daily timeframe. However being a US holiday today, I don't expect a lot of movement. So I'm also considering the retracement down to those levels, considering its distance from them. Observing and waiting for liquidity to be taken first before taking any trades. Maybe preserving capital is the right trade today?
GbpCad Short analysis This bias was from daily then H4 then H2.
I would have share the chart is H1 but H2 has more clarity and few candles than H1.
1.78866 is my point of interest I would have explained more on how I build my bias but just check this out, it's enough ss an insight. Kindly boost if you find this insightful 🫴
Short trade
4Hr TF overview
Sellside trade
Pair AUDNZD
Entry 5min TF
Structure Day
Entry 4Hr
Thu 13th Feb 25
5.00 pm (NY Time)
LND to NY Session PM
Entry 1.11112
Profit level 1.10544 (0.51%)
Stop level 1.11346 (0.21%)
RR 2.43
Reason: Observing price reactions at a pivotal supply level (1.11112) indicated a retracement was likely to balance price through sellside delivery. This confirmed the short setup, aligning with the expected market structure shift.
Short trade
30min TF overview
Sellside Trade
Pair: GBPJPY
Date: Friday, 14th February 2025
Time: 8:00 AM (NY Time)
Session: London to NY Session AM
Trade Details:
Entry: 191.892
Profit Level: 190.673 (+0.64%)
Stop Level: 192.525 (-0.33%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 1.98
Reason: Trade capitalizes on bearish market structure, liquidity sweeps, and session timing to execute a short position.
Gold’s Wild Ride: From Record Highs to Sudden Sell-OffsLast week was highly volatile for Gold prices.
After reaching a new all-time high on Tuesday, the price dropped sharply by approximately 800 pips. However, it began recovering on Thursday and climbed back to the 2940 zone on Friday.
In the final hours of trading, Gold experienced another sharp decline, closing the week exactly at the 2880 support level.
These repeated sell-offs from the all-time high suggest that a deeper correction may be underway, potentially confirming a double-top pattern. If this scenario unfolds, the measured target for the drop could be around 2820.
With this in mind, I will look to sell rallies against the recent 2940 all-time high.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Gold - Fundamentals And Technicals Are Pointing To The UpsideAnother week of continuation in bullish price action and Gold managed to book new all-time highs @ $2,942 per oz.
Many investors and traders are speculating the price of Gold by the end of the year could reach $3,000 but I believe our dreams may come true sooner than expected.
Expect short term retracements to immediate imbalances in price action on the daily timeframe but in the grand scheme of things, It's up up and up!
Long Trade
30min TF overview
Buyside Trade
Pair: NZDUSD
Date: Friday, 13th February 2025
Time: 8:30 PM (NY Time)
Session: NY to London Session PM
Trade Details:
Entry: 0.57188
Profit Level: 0.58820 (+2.85%)
Stop Level: 0.56837 (-0.61%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 4.65
Reson's Buyside trade is based on a bullish market structure, liquidity grabs, and demand zone reactions, for this buyside trade idea.
$BTC 3 Black Crows Falls Below WSMA9Another tough week for CRYPTOCAP:BTC
Closed the Week below the SMA9
With its 3rd consecutive bearish candle,
also known as 3 Black Crows.
This could mean that we have another bloody week ahead.
$94-91k is still very much in play.
Worth noting that Alts have been outperforming BTC this week, which is reflected in TOTAL and BTC.D
Long trade
1Hr TF Overview
Buyside Trade
Pair: EURGBP
Date: Thursday, 13th February 2025
Time: 5:00 PM (NY Time)
Session: London to NY Session PM
Trade Details:
Entry: 0.83237
Profit Level: 0.83538 (+0.36%)
Stop Level: 0.83086 (-0.18%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 1.99
This buyside trade is based on a multi-timeframe approach, aligning structure across the 1H, 4H, and daily timeframes to confirm bullish momentum.
Timeframe Breakdown:
1H Timeframe: Entry confirmation based on price action signals, involving a break of structure (BOS)and or retest of a demand zone.
4H Timeframe: Provides higher timeframe context, showing a shift in market structure favouring upside movement.
Daily Structure: Ensures that the trade aligns with overall market bias, avoiding counter-trend setups.
Short trade
4HR TF Overview
Sellside Trade
Date: Thursday, 13th February 2025
Time: 3:00 AM (NY Time)
Trade Details:
Entry: 2662.45
Profit Level: 2586.43 (+2.86%)
Stop Level: 2689.10 (-1.00%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 2.85
Reason: Observing price action since the Mon 10th of February I assumed we had reached a pivotal supply level indicative of a sellside trade.