EURJPY Wave Analysis – 19 March 2025
- EURJPY reversed from resistance zone
- Likely to fall to support level 161.00
EURJPY currency pair recently reversed down from the resistance zone between the resistance level 163.80 (which has been reversing the price from January) and the upper daily Bollinger Band.
The downward reversal from this resistance zone created the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Shooting Star.
Given the overbought daily Stochastic, EURJPY currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 161.00.
Candlestick Analysis
XAUUSD - Bulls Remain in Control The bullish trend remains intact, with swing structure bullish across all key timeframes:
✅ Daily – Higher lows holding strong
✅ 4H, 1H, 15M – Structure remains bullish
We’ll be watching how price develops overnight. Currently looking for longs on Thursday.
Let’s see what prints. 📈🔥
EURUSD Wave Analysis – 19 March 2025
- EURUSD reversed from resistance level 1.0930
- Likely to fall to support level 1.0830
EURUSD currency pair recently reversed down from the key resistance level 1.0930 (a former monthly high from November, which also stopped the earlier minor impulse wave iii).
The downward reversal from resistance level 1.0930 is likely to form the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Evening Star – a strong sell signal for EURUSD.
Given the overbought daily RSI and strongly bullish US dollar sentiment, EURUSD currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 1.0830 (low of the previous correction iv).
Make or Break 3 key Resistances Approaching. Nifty saw 3 good days of recovery. Now the real test begins as we are approaching the 3 big daddy resistances.
1) R1 Mother line Resistance (50 days EMA) 22988.
2) R2 Long Term Trend line Resistance 23237.
3) R3 Father Line Resistance 23399.
If these 3 are crossed the Nifty has potential to hit 23809 in the medium to short term.
If Nifty rally does not have steam it can again fall back to the support levels at 22638, 22334 or even 21974.
IT has not contributed to the current rally Infact it has remained laggard. RIL has not contributed. HDFC has remained range bond. If some IT counters or Heavy Weights like RIL or HDFC join the rally we can see Nifty flying otherwise there is a potential for this rally to fizzle out again. Things are in balance right now. Shadow of the candle neutral as I write this. Very important closing weekly closing awaits us on Friday.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Short trade
1Hr TFG overview
Sell-side trade
Pair EURUSD
Tues 18th March 25
8.00 pm
Tokyo Session PM
Entry 1.09365
Profit Level 1.08598 (0.70%)
Stop level 1.09502 (0.13%)
RR 5.6
Reason: Observing oversold region RSI on the day TF and price at a pivotal supply level seemed indicative of a sell-side trade. Target 0.618 fib level.
Short gold with 2930-2940 zone as resistanceBros, the situation in the Middle East is turbulent again! Gold took advantage of the trend and continued to rise to around 3028. Stimulated by the news, gold's rise was obviously abnormal and showed a disorderly rise! This kind of price rise is actually very dangerous, so we can't directly chase gold. According to my expectations, the highest price of gold will only reach around 3040, so I think shorting gold with 2930-2940 zone as resistance is the best trading opportunity at the moment.
However, in the short term, the correction of gold may be smaller than expected because the market is enthusiastic about going long. So the first thing we should pay attention to below is the 3005-2995 zone.
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EURAUD: Strong Bullish SignalsThere are clear confirmations of bullish momentum on the 📈EURAUD:
This is evident from the breakout above a resistance line in a bullish flag pattern and the formation of a confirmed change of character CHoCH on the 4-hour chart.
I believe that the market is likely to sustain its upward movement, with the next resistance level seen at 1.7300.
NZDJPY: Bearish Movement Confirmed 🇳🇿🇯🇵
All Yen pairs look bearish after the early morning BoJ interest
rate decision and press conference.
NZDJPY formed an inverted cup & handle pattern on a 4H
after a test of a key daily resistance.
High momentum bearish candle indicates a strong bearish sentiment.
I think that the price may drop at least to 86.2 level.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USD/JPY: Bear Wedge and Pin Candle Flash Warning SignsThe ducks may be lining up for a resumption of the USD/JPY downtrend.
Firstly, it remains in a defined falling channel. Secondly, Tuesday’s reversal delivered a bearish pin candle, often seen around market tops. Thirdly, the rebound from last week’s lows resembles a bear wedge pattern, warning of a potential downside break and resumption of the bear trend.
Momentum indicators aren’t fully on board, with RSI (14) and MACD trending higher, so the case for initiating shorts is not yet a slam dunk. But it should be on the watchlist.
A break of the bear wedge would put a retest of 148.65 on the radar, with a move beyond that level opening the door for a possible flush towards 147.10, where buyers were lurking last week. If the price were to keep pushing higher and break channel resistance, the bearish bias would be invalidated.
As covered in the attached analysis, when it comes to risks around rates guidance from the Fed and BOJ later today, this scribe sees those for the former skewed towards a slightly more dovish outcome than market pricing, and a more hawkish tone from the BOJ.
Good luck!
DS
Solana Wave Analysis – 18 March 2025
- Solana reversed from the resistance zone
- Likely to fall to support level 113.75
Solana cryptocurrency recently reversed down from the resistance zone lying at the intersection of the resistance level 134.65 (former support from the end of February), 20-day moving average and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from the start of March.
The downward reversal from this resistance zone created the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Evening Star.
Given the widespread bearish sentiment across the cryptocurrency markets, Solana can be expected to fall to the next support level 113.75 (the former low of wave (2) from the start of March).
XRP Next Move !... $4 XRPUSD Ripple Just A Matter Of Time? $€£¥This space seems a bit quite now but if you liked XRPUSD / XRPUSDT at $3 what has changed now?
When the hype is around thats the time to be ⚠️ cautious IMO.
When there is little attention of the said market thats when 🟢SeekingPips🟢 likes to get to work.
⚠️This time is NO different⚠️
NOT SURE WHERE THE NEXT LOW WILL FORM❓️
ME NEITHER❗️❕️❗️
🟢 You don't need to know❗️ You just need to HAVE A PLAN ✅️
Long trade
1Hr TF overview
Trade Details:
Direction: Buy (Long)
Entry Price: 1.09370
Take Profit: 1.10467 (+1.00%)
Stop Loss: 1.09190 (-0.16%)
Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RR): 6.09
Trade Analysis:
The Tokyo session transitioning into London based on the narrative of demand and supply seemed indicative of a buyside trade and the price action observed on the 1Hr TF.
Entry 15min TF
Excellent Break Out by Nifty. Will the momentum continue?Today the Nifty had a good leap after a lot of consolidation. The key question is will the momentum continue or FIIs will again take this opportunity to book profit. Today FII is on the net buying side after a long time. If the buying continues or even if FII remains neutral there is a good chance that we can see upside from here.
Key resistances for Nifty remain at 22857, 22921 and 22985. Above 22985 Nifty can gain more strength and may try to regain the levels of 23044, 23147 and 23249. 23404 as of now remains a mega resistance which is also the 200 days EMA of 200 days Father line. This zone as of now is little difficult to cross. Closing above 23404 can give might boost to the Bulls and a new Bull run can begin post closing above this point. Supports for Nifty at this juncture remain at 22726 (200 hours EMA or Father line of Hourly chart), 22594 and 22543. A closing below 22543 which is the Mother line support of the hourly chart or the (50 Hours EMA).
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Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Bitcoin drops. What's next?Hello, Traders!
Bitcoin price continues to fall towards the next big support area at 74k-70k.
Currently, there is no sign of BTC reversal, and it seems that this correction phase will last long.
Ideally, the faster BTC finds its local bottom, the faster it starts to rise again.
However, the current market conditions suggest that a period of consolidation might be necessary before a meaningful recovery.
I doubt that the BTC price will fall below 70k despite all the negative sentiment surrounding it at the moment.
More likely, we will see strong buying pressure at those levels, as institutional investors and long-term holders step in to accumulate at what they perceive as a discount.
Also, the stochastic RSI on a weekly scale has dropped to 0, which historically indicates that momentum is oversold and a potential reversal could be near.
If we see a bullish cross on the SRSI on a weekly timeframe, this might act as a catalyst for a price rebound, possibly pushing BTC toward new highs.
Another indication of a possible bottom is the Fear & Greed Index, which currently sits at around 20.
This level reflects extreme fear in the market, a condition that has often preceded local bottoms in previous cycles.
Historically, such extreme fear tends to trigger a shift in sentiment, leading to increased demand and a subsequent price recovery.
Furthermore, on-chain metrics suggest that long-term holders remain unfazed by the recent downturn, with exchange reserves continuing to decline. This indicates that a significant portion of BTC supply is being moved to cold storage, reducing selling pressure.
Additionally, open interest in the futures market has seen a decline, which could mean that excessive leverage is being flushed out—a necessary step for a healthier market structure.
If BTC manages to hold the 70k support level and confirms a reversal with increasing volume, we could see a strong recovery phase unfold.
However, if the price breaks below this key support, the next significant area to watch would be around 65k, where additional buying interest might emerge.
Please don’t forget to boost this idea and leave your comments below.
Skeptic | XAU/USD Ready to Break Out? Key Long & Short Setups!Welcome back, guys! I’m Skeptic . Let’s kick off the week with an analysis of XAU/USD , which seems to be giving us a long trigger right now! Let’s break down the 1-hour time frame.
🔍 Market Overview:
The major trend on the daily is still uptrend , so it’s best to trade in the direction of the trend (long) . Last week, as per our analysis, we hit a new ATH and managed to break the resistance at 2954.74 .
📈 Current Situation:
After a brief consolidation in the 4-hour time frame, a new uptrend momentum seems to be kicking off, which could lead to another price surge and a potential new uptrend.
🚀 Long Setup:
Our riskier long trigger will be activated after breaking 2994.16 , and it looks like the current candle is about to break it.
For a safer position, we’ll wait for a breakout above 3002.71 .
📉 Short Setup:
A short position below 2968.43 could work, although the uptrend momentum is quite strong, so there’s a higher chance of hitting the stop loss .
💡 This week, we have plenty of setups, so make sure to catch all the analyses and stay prepared.
Until the next analysis—stay sharp and trade smart! 💪🔥
DOW JONES INDEX (US30): Pullback From Resistance
Dow Jones Index looks bearish after a test of a key daily/intraday resistance.
An inverted cup & handle pattern on that on an hourly and a strong
intraday bearish momentum this morning leaves clear bearish clues.
I think that the market can retrace at least to 41580 support.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Rotation to healthcare ?Analysis of NLBNPIT1YHG3 certificate: EXACT SCIENCES, VRTX, AGILENT TECHNOLOGIES
Article debut: 18 March 2025
The certificate is at justcertificate.com
As a general rule, "buy the rumors and sell the news" works in most cases, so we won't deny it, but reports of rotations to industries like healthcare persist. True? No need to know, as technical and quantitative analysis can provide guidance for our decisions.
Analyzing spot price relative to the exponential moving average in 200 periods (EMA) is a popular tool. This simple indicator shows how many companies have maintained the average price computed over 200 days, which technical analysts use to assess the state of interest in the stock. Not the most accurate method, but used by many, hence including us.
Use TradingView's stock screener to filter S&P 500 healthcare technology stocks (we get 61 across all healtcare industries) and then apply a price filter over the EMA for 200 days (22 companies). The ratio is about 40%, which is in line with the index, and 10% higher than Information Technology and 12% higher than Consumer Discretionary. We were neither hyped nor market-disinterested. A good certificate may be profitable if a sector's side phase.
We can activate industry filters using JustCertificate and have about 300 healthcare-related certificates. We limit the underlying certificate stocks to three to avoid including other sectors as much as possible, and there are about 250 active certificates.
The NLBNPIT1YHG3 is in my wallet, and now it costs around 86 euros with Exact Sciences as the "worst of" and less than 30% margin above the coupon barrier. Exact Sciences develops cancer detection and prevention tests. More than a pharmaceutical title, it can be considered in biotech, with volatility closer to Nasdaq stocks.
It is a contrastive situation. The weekly candlestick chart shows that at the time of certificate issuance in the retail market, Exact Sciences was down nearly 60% from its 2021 peak and was in the midst of a major head and shoulders that broke the master Point Of Control (POC) of 64 USD, causing the first support area to drop to 45 USD, which matched the second POC that stopped the drop. From there, the sock tried to reach the master POC twice and failed to close the gap when the company missed earnings on November 4, 2024, indicating that sellers dominate the 65 USD liquidity area.
The price is currently at 45 USD at the secondary POC, with a weekly shadowed candle that may indicate buyers contrasting sellers in that price range. The title moves on a clear descending trend line with declining max prices but min prices compression from 32 USD. Fair value might be 45–61 USD among the two POC.In fact, 12 statistical models by Investing.com place fair prices around $50.
As always, your risk tolerance and portfolio benchmark determine your appetite forr this certificate. Based on my criteria, the certificate is attractive with a 20% return, 11.4% cumulative cedolar flow, and 40% potential current entrate, as estimated by JustCertificate.