EURNZD Wave Analysis – 14 February 2025
- EURNZD reversed from long-term resistance level 1.8495
- Likely to fall to support level 1.8200
EURNZD currency pair recently reversed down from the major long-term resistance level 1.8495, which has been reversing the price from the middle of 2023, as can be seen below.
If the pair closes today near the current levels it will form the weekly Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Shooting Star – a strong sell signal for this currency pair.
Given the strength of the resistance level 1.8495 and the bearish euro sentiment seen today, EURNZD currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 1.8200.
Candlestick Analysis
BTC Dominance Drops: Is the Alt Season About to Begin?Hello, Traders!
After its recent rise to 64%, BTC.D started to decline slowly and currently dropped below 61%.
In order to resume alt season, BTC.D needs to drop at least below 57% and hold below that mark for a prolonged period of time.
Ideally, it should break below 54% to make a lower low and confirm a sustained downward trend.
Historically, when BTC.D enters a clear downtrend, liquidity flows into altcoins, leading to significant rallies across the board.
I don’t think that even if the alt season really takes off, we will see BTC.D much below 48%—perhaps 45%, but not lower.
At that level, the market typically starts rotating back into BTC, capping further dominance declines.
However, if BTC stagnates while liquidity continues flowing into alts, a deeper drop isn’t entirely out of the question.
One of the potential catalysts for a BTC.D decline and the start of the alt season is Ethereum’s upcoming Pectra upgrade.
Historically, ETH has shown strong performance ahead of major network upgrades, often doubling in price in anticipation.
If history repeats itself, we could see increased demand for ETH, driving capital into the broader altcoin market.
The Pectra upgrade is scheduled for April 8, meaning we might see altcoins gaining momentum in the next couple of weeks.
If BTC remains stable and ETH starts outpacing it, this could create the perfect conditions for the much-anticipated alt season.
Keep an eye on ETH/BTC as well—it could serve as an early indicator of the shift. 🚀
Please don’t forget to boost this idea and leave your comments below.
Nifty did well to hold on to crucial support. Can it hold ?Nifty did well today to bounce back from the lows of the day at 22774 to close at 22929. Holding this support is key. Under the pressure of relentless selling the market is in bear grip as of now. This is a good time to identify long term investment opportunities. Gaining immediate profits and fast recovery looks little difficult as of now. (You can not be 100% sure about the tops and bottoms of the market.) Next few months will give ample opportunities to average/add on bounce only. Mother father line supports and Resistances are the key to any investment during the bear phase of market. Patience of investors will be tested in the coming few weeks and months. Reshuffling your portfolios in favour of Fundamentally strong stocks that are going or still above 50 and 200 weeks EMA or Mother father line will be key. This is a stock pickers market. The forth that had build up post COVID rally is being cleared. Corrections are healthy sign for long term investors. Stock market is a place where money is transferred from the impatient to the patient. Pain will remain in the market for a short to medium term but hopefully great time and great rally awaits us in medium to long term. This next few weeks and probably months will test the new investors. Those who have seen a few Bull and Bear cycles know that good times do return eventually on the browsers.
Nifty Supports remain at: 22758, 22159, 21810 and finally 21302.
Nifty Resistances remain at: 23128, 23259 and 23435. Major hurdles for Bulls remain near Mother line at 23554 and Father line 23594. After a closing above 23838 only Bulls can be back into the game.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
GBPJPY Short ideaOn a solely technical analysis trade idea, I'm placing a short on OANDA:GBPJPY for the day on pre-NY session and hopefully keeping it thru the day and re-assessing how it evolves.
With a weekly bearish close, and yesterday's bearish close, I saw a Asia sweep during the london session, leaving an imbalance where I'm trading off of. The easy target is yesterday's low for a 1:3, but I'll watch it as it could go deeper if the week were to close bearish.
Shorting gold has started to pay off wellDear Traders,
As I shared in my previous article, gold failed to break higher after reaching around 2933. The selling pressure above, coupled with profit-taking, continues to exert downward pressure on gold. Currently, gold shows clear signs of a bearish reversal, with the price action gradually shifting downward. Based on the current structure, I believe gold will likely need to retrace to the 2915-2905 region.
Our current short position on gold is in profit, and we can continue holding it while patiently waiting for further profit expansion!Bros, have you followed me to short gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
AUD/USD - TP Smashed Clean. Called it, executed it, and now we’re here. Price respected my SMC setup perfectly—4H structure gave me the bias, 30M refined my entry, and price followed through like clockwork.
Saw the inducement, waited for the CHoCH confirmation, and the order block tap was all I needed. Entry was smooth, exit was precise. This is what happens when you trust the process and put in the work daily.
Another win locked in. Who’s keeping up? Let’s see if the market’s ready for my next move.
#Forex #SmartMoneyConcepts #AUDUSD #PrecisionTrading #MarketMastery
Bless Trading!
Short GoldDear Traders,
Currently, gold reached a high of around 2932 but quickly retraced and failed to establish support above 2930, indicating strong resistance from the bulls. Given the current momentum conditions, the bullish momentum is insufficient to support a sustained breakout to the upside. This suggests that after the price push higher, the market has become more cautious and is not blindly chasing long positions in gold.
On the other hand, as gold's volatility contracts, there is a need for a pullback to enhance market liquidity. Gold may therefore retrace and potentially test the 2910-2900 support zone again.
For short-term trading, I will continue to focus on small-scale short positions on gold.Bros, do you have the courage to short gold with me? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
GBP/JPY setting up for a swing-trade short?My core bias this year is for the Japanese yen to outperform, and for yen pairs such as GBP/JPY, EUR/JPY and AUD/JPY etc to suffer.
We are currently within a countertrend bounce against a much larger bearish move on GBP/JPY, but a doji formed just beneath a resistance cluster on Thursday to suggest the bounce is pausing, if not correcting itself.
The 1-hour chart shows that volumes were rising while prices fell from Thursday's high, and volumes were lower as they recouped some of those losses. Yet with GBP/JPY now trying to form a bearish outside candle on the 1-hour chart, perhaps a swing high has already formed.
The near-term bias is bearish while prices remain beneath 192.50, and for prices to fall to at least the 38.2% Fibonacci ratio ~190.75.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
ASX 200: Why I don't trust today's 'record high'The ASX 200 reached a record high in today's session, but it's not a convincing record high in my books. If anything, it could signal yet another false break. Using the ASX cash and futures market alongside Wall Street indices, I delve into why we need to be on guard for another bull trap before the real move potentially begins.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
GBPCAD SHORT Market structure structure beariish on HTFs 3
Entry at both Daily and Weekly AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Daily EMA retest at AOi
Previous Daily Structure Point
Around Psychological Level 1.78500
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Levels 8.63
Entry 105%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King
The Daily Edge - 13th Feb 2025XAUUSD Holds Above 2900 as Bullish Momentum Builds
Market Overview
Price tested 2870-2880 POI, reacted with a strong buying wick, and closed above 2900.
The weekly profile suggests further continuation into Thursday and Friday.
Re-entered long positions at POI using 4H chart confirmation.
Key Observations
4H Chart Confirmation: Price consolidated before breaking out, with a high-volume node near 2870 acting as support.
Inside Bar Formation: Price is stalling above 2900, signaling a potential breakout or downside fakeout.
Our Next Steps
Holding long positions, targeting previous ATHs.
Monitoring 4H breakout structure:
A break above 2922 signals further expansion.
A fakeout below 2905 may offer another long re-entry.
Primary target: 2950 ATH, with 3000 as an extended target.
How does the 4H chart help refine confidence in trade entries within a larger trend?
#XAUUSD #Gold #TradingView #MarketAnalysis #PriceAction #PipsnPaper
Stick to shorting goldDear Traders,
As I clearly mentioned in my previous post, we could short gold in the 2920-2930 resistance zone, and as expected, gold retraced to the target zone I anticipated: 2910-2900. Our short position thus yielded a significant profit.
Currently, gold has bounced off the 2910-2900 support zone and has moved back up to around 2920. However, gold has been repeatedly rejected near 2920 and has not broken higher, confirming that the 2920-2930 zone is providing effective resistance. From a technical perspective, if gold forms a triple top pattern at this level, it could likely experience another downward correction and retest the 2910-2900 support zone.
Therefore, for short-term trading, we can continue to short gold at the 2920-2930 resistance zone.Bros, do you have the courage to short gold with me? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
A poem of the marketIn the financial markets, the Pin Bar candle is like a poem silently composed within the charts, a poem that tells the tale of the battle between buyers and sellers. This candle, with its long shadow, narrates the story of effort and defeat, as if one side sought to conquer the sky or split the earth, but in the end, was pushed back, leaving only a shadow of its aspirations.
**The Bullish Pin Bar** is like a poet who, in the darkness of night, sees a star and, with hope for light, draws its long shadow toward the earth. It says, "The sellers tried to pull me down, but I, with the light of hope, rose again and conquered the sky."
**The Bearish Pin Bar** is like a poet who, at the peak of day, sees a dark cloud and, with fear of darkness, casts its long shadow toward the sky. It says, "The buyers tried to lift me up, but I, with the force of reality, returned to the ground and embraced the darkness."
The Pin Bar candle, with its small body and long shadow, is like a poem that encapsulates all the emotions of the market in a single moment. This candle, in its simplicity and beauty, reminds us that sometimes efforts do not yield results, and sometimes, turning back is the only way forward. Within this candle lies the story of hope and despair, effort and defeat, light and darkness—a story that repeats itself every day in the financial markets, each time narrated in a new language.
"Taken from artificial intelligence."