GBPUSD - Intraday Analysis: Expect a slight correctionIt is true that the order flow is bullish on the daily timeframe, but on this timeframe, the price has reached an order block. Considering the price reaching a P/D array on the 4-hour timeframe, I expect the price to move towards clearing the liquidity of the internal range on the 15-minute timeframe after clearing the liquidity of the external range.
Candlestick Analysis
Short trade
15min TF overview
📉 Trade Breakdown – Sell-Side (EUR/GBP)
📅 Date: Monday, April 14, 2025
⏰ Time: 3:30 AM – London Session AM
📈 Pair: EUR/GBP
🧭 Direction: Short (Sell)
Trade Parameters:
Entry: 0.86547
Take Profit (TP): 0.85986 (–0.65%)
Stop Loss (SL): 0.86725 (+0.21%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 3.15
🧠 Trade Narrative:
This early London session is a short-term trade idea
Reversing from a premium zone, targeting a clear drop back into discount or mid-range.
Does the Nasdaq keep dropping after approaching the nearby high?I have 2 zone that are coded as a "no close above" that should have held no issue
The reason why I am short mainly is because we haven't visit 50% of the New Week Opening Gap and we have rejected from 50% of the bearish gap above the range. As well as volumetric divergence after the rally.
I want to see this gap at least partially filled before anything else this week can happen.
Long trade
15min TF overview
✅ Trade Breakdown – Buy-Side (BTC/USDT)
📅 Date: Friday, April 11, 2025
⏰ Time: 5:00 PM – London to NY Session PM
📈 Pair: BTC/USDT
🧭 Direction: Long (Buy)
Trade Parameters:
Entry: 82,168.4
Take Profit (TP): 83,771.5 (+1.95%)
Stop Loss (SL): 81,646.2 (–0.64%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 3.07
🧠 Trade Narrative:
This late-session BTC long appears to align with:
A bullish continuation setup during a potential pullback into demand.
5min TF overview supporting price action narrative.
Gold’s decline is not over yet, aim at: 3160-3150Gold fell below the 3200 mark several times during the test. Although it recovered above 3200 several times, the rebound momentum is gradually weakening, giving short sellers the opportunity to counterattack.
From the perspective of the morphological structure, gold has perfectly constructed an arc top structure, laying a solid foundation for gold to usher in a retracement at any time. The 4-hour candle chart shows that the fall has just begun, so gold still has plenty of room for retracement. At present, gold has rebounded slightly after touching around 3200, but if it cannot break through the 3216-3220 zone during the rebound, it will further confirm the downward trend of gold, then gold will inevitably retreat to the 3160-3150 zone, and in the process of decline, once the profit chips are cashed in or even panic selling is triggered, gold may even have the opportunity to retreat to the 3130-3120 zone!
Therefore, in terms of short-term trading, I still advocate shorting gold in batches. The decline of gold has not ended. Let us look forward to gold bringing us huge profits during the retracement!
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Risks gradually accumulate, and short gold in batchesAt present, the highest price of gold has reached around 3244, but it soon fell back to below 3240; and the PPI data is obviously bullish for gold, but gold has not shown a significant upward fluctuation, indicating that as gold rises sharply, market sentiment tends to be more cautious, so that liquidity is insufficient. So from this point of view, gold still has a need for a correction!
In the past three trading days, the increase in gold has reached $270. So even if gold remains strong at present, we should not blindly chase more gold. On the contrary, we can still gradually establish short positions in batches. As long as we strictly control the number of transactions in the transaction, we don’t have to worry too much about the transaction risk!
Let us wait patiently for the market to gradually accumulate risk sentiment. Once it accumulates to the critical point, it only takes one opportunity for gold to collapse soon.
GOLD (XAUUSD): One More ConsolidationSince Friday, Gold has been consolidating in a horizontal channel on an hourly chart.
If you are looking to buy Gold this week, wait for a breakout above the channel's resistance. It will initiate a movement higher, at least to 3260.
On the other hand, if there is a bearish breakout below the channel's support, this can trigger a local correctional movement, at least to 3190.
It is best to wait for a breakout for reliable confirmation before making any trades.
Long trade
1Hr TF overview
✅ Trade Breakdown – Buy-Side (AUD/USD)
📅 Date: Thursday, April 10, 2025
⏰ Time: 9:00 AM (NY Time) – London Session AM
📈 Pair: AUD/USD
🧭 Direction: Long (Buy)
📐 Structure TF: 1-Hour (Directional Bias)
🎯 Entry TF: 2-Minute (Precision Entry)
Trade Parameters:
Entry: 0.61804
Take Profit (TP): 0.63266 (+2.37%)
Stop Loss (SL): 0.61588 (–0.36%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 6.77 🔥
Reason: Being timed with London–NY overlap, the byuside trade idea is assumed prime territory for-accumulation > displacement > continuation > was the reason for entry and buyside directional bias.
DMP's long setupsRisk On approach with discounts ahead. win win ;)
- Technical Analysis is KEY with timing ..
-Both their charts AUD and NZD seem to be
cleanest dirty shirts in the wash.
- Fundamentals helped my confluence levels
-Retesting demand zone but price structure needs better PA within zone before triggering entry. Give it time for confirming our PA,
- Multiple t/fs helped
- AUD chart DMP is alot clearer with PA atm but also needing some more patience with data candles and still with dynamics before she sets sail as long term hold.
EurAud sell insight Price rejects an old weekly level 1.84352 clearing the previous week's high 1.82907 hence closing bearish.
Now I'm anticipating the previous week's low to be cleared so I'm bearish for the week 1.71115 (previous week low) as my draw of Liquidity 🧲
1.81291 and 1.84782 are my point of interest to short after getting confirmation
Kindly boost of you find this insightful 🫴
S&P500 INDEX (#US500): Intraday Bullish ConfirmationAfter a breakout of a key horizontal resistance,
📈US50P retested this level and then formed an ascending triangle pattern on a 4-hour time frame.
A bullish breach of the triangle's neckline is a key confirmation of buyer strength and suggests potential for a price increase to at least 5,500.
Why is BTC losing volume?!After establishing a new higher high on the rally, we have run into an old bearish zone from April 2nd and losing gas. This is about the end of this bullish cycle is seems and we are getting hourly chart candle indications of this.
As you see there is a small bit to go before we can establish ourselves back above the bearish fair value gap (balance).
Apparently this bearish FVG was still chock full of pending shorts. We are getting multiple failures to displace above highs I was triggered short.
As we close below the highest bullish candle, we should see a mass closing of longs from its low. First target is the inefficient range below (blue) around 84K
I believe we must go back to around the50% Fib retracement range as always and correct all imbalances and collect all lows within that range. Therefore I am short after the 11p candle pushed up out of the 10p candle but failed to close above.
As always I use failure displacement as a cue to look for a good LTF entry 🫡
4H Review shows massive bearish imbalance:
GBPAUD market outlookFX:GBPAUD
Price has reached and reacted off significant level of resistance zone at 2.16400, which was last seen on the 2nd of November 2015. On Friday's NY open, price created a false bullish signal with a 190 pips pin bar candle on the H1 chart. Instead, price reacted off its recent swap zone and continued its downtrend. If it breaks below 2.07720, we can anticipate a short-term continuous downtrend to the daily demand range, which is about 200 to 300 pip movement.
On the fundamentals, the Aussie dollar has recently hit a 5 year low against the USD, trading at just 60.5 US cents as the two world's largest economies have been ramping up tariffs to as high as 125%. The AUD may be impacted due to China being Australia's biggest trading partner and the trade war is only increasing uncertainty risks. On the bright side, the ASX 200 surged by 4.5% on a single day as Trump announces tariff pause, which was the highest increase in value on a single day ever since the pandemic in 2020. Both the UK and Australia have been imposed the same reciprocal tariff rates of 10%, for now, I expect a short-term downtrend before its continuation upwards, but we'll see what the coming week brings to us.
ANOTHER BULL RUN FOR BITCOINAs of April 12, 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at approximately $84,892, reflecting a 1.5% increase as it attempts to break a three-month downtrend.
Several factors have contributed to Bitcoin's recent price surge:
1. U.S. Tariff Exemptions: The Trump administration's decision to exempt key tech products from reciprocal tariffs has alleviated trade tensions, boosting investor confidence in risk assets like Bitcoin.
2. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve: The U.S. government's establishment of a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve signals institutional support for digital assets, enhancing market sentiment.
3. Market Dynamics: A significant amount of Bitcoin has been withdrawn from exchanges, indicating strong holding sentiment among investors. Additionally, a short squeeze has contributed to upward price momentum.
Finance Magnates
4. Global Adoption: Institutions like Lomond School in Scotland accepting Bitcoin for tuition fees reflect growing mainstream acceptance of cryptocurrency.
Latest news & breaking headlines
This could be the bull run we've all been waiting for.
$GLD - bullish momentum soon to stallHello, I was bullish on AMEX:GLD for a bit and now examining the charts, multiple frames, this may be setting up for a good short. If geopolitics and tariff talks deescalate then this should cool off. The Elliot wave placed indicates some time for a correction/pull back on this hot commodity and the candle on the Daily from Friday is a spinning stop doji which can indicate reversal in an uptrend. Also, we have so many gaps up that happened in 3 day span, crazy actually. I labeled areas of targets to fill these gaps. Expecting a retracement to $280.
WSL.
IDBI Bank Looking to make a comeback on Weekly Charts. IDBI Bank Ltd. engages in the provision of commercial banking services to retail and corporate customers. It operates through the following segments: Corporate and Wholesale Banking; Retail Banking; Treasury; and Other Banking and Group Operations. The Corporate and Wholesale Banking segment includes corporate relationship covering deposit and credit activities other than retail, as well as corporate advisory and syndication, project appraisal, and investment portfolio.
IDBI Bank Ltd. Closing price is 79.49. The positive aspects of the company are Attractive Valuation (P.E. = 11.9), Companies with Zero Promoter Pledge, Company able to generate Net Cash - Improving Net Cash Flow, Companies with Low Debt, Stocks Outperforming their Industry Price Change in the Quarter, FII / FPI or Institutions increasing their shareholding and MFs increased their shareholding last quarter The Negative aspects of the company is Companies with high market cap, lower public shareholding.
Entry can be taken after closing above 80 Historical Resistance in the stock will be 83.7, 88.1 and 92.1. PEAK Historic Resistance in the stock will be 95.6 and 99.3. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 65.4.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
BPCL looking strong on Weekly Charts. Bharat Petroleum Corp. Ltd. is a holding company, which engages in the business of refining of crude oil and marketing of petroleum products. It operates through the Downstream Petroleum and Exploration & Production (E&P) segment. The Downstream Petroleum segment includes the refining and marketing of petroleum products. The E&P segment focuses on hydrocarbons.
Bharat Petroleum Corp. Ltd. Closing price is 293.20. The positive aspects of the company are Very Attractive Valuation (P.E. = 9.3), Companies with reducing Debt, Companies with Zero Promoter Pledge, Stocks Outperforming their Industry Price Change in the Quarter, Growth in Net Profit with increasing Profit Margin and MFs increased their shareholding last quarter. The Negative aspects of the company are Declining Net Cash Flow : Companies not able to generate net cash and Companies with growing costs YoY for long term projects.
Entry can be taken after closing above 296 Historical Resistance in the stock will be 306, 319 and 330. PEAK Historic Resistance in the stock will be 345, 355 and 366. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 261 or 234 depending upon your risk taking ability.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Nifty in the Short Term can try to stage further recovery. After the drastic Trump Tariff war shock Nifty is trying to recover it's lost territory closing at 22828. Right now the Nifty is trapped between Mother and Father lines of its Hourly chart. The supports for Nifty remain at 22761 (Mother Line Support), 22675, 22353 and 21859. Below 21859 Nifty becomes very week again. The resistance for Nifty on the upper side remain at 22924 (Strong Father line Resistance), 23174 (Strong Trend line Resistance), 23384, 23569 and finally 23783. Above 23783 closing Nifty will become very Bullish.