Nifty Analysis EOD – May 22, 2025 – Thursday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – May 22, 2025 – Thursday 🔴
Nifty weekly expiry, shocking climax...!
📉 Nifty Summary:
A 66-point gap-down set the stage, followed by a quick 196-point slide within the first 20 minutes, bottoming out at 24,541.60. From here, the index attempted a bounce but faced stiff resistance at the 24,625 ~ 24,640 zone—not once, but twice. This zone flipped polarity and began acting as resistance instead of support.
The third breakdown at 12:45 PM finally breached the day’s low, taking Nifty to a new bottom of 24,509.10, and then further to 24,462.40 by 2:35 PM. But just when it looked like the bulls were done for, the market made a shocking expiry bounce, recovering sharply to close at 24,637, back inside the crucial 24,625 ~ 24,640 zone.
🛡 5 Min Chart with levels
🔄 The day’s character was mostly range-bound post the initial fall, with a 90-point band until the IB Low was broken. The fall lacked strong conviction—signs of both bulls and bears trying to dominate but failing to sustain.
The final hour’s rebound was the real drama—profit booking, fresh buying, and expiry short covering all collided to cause a spike that caught many off-guard. A classic expiry move—some traders hurt, some became heroes.
📌 Yesterday’s Note Reference:
"Below 24640–24625, weakness may extend down towards: → 24500 → 24460."
✅ Market played by the script, touched 24500, and 24460 got hit too.
📉 Is the retracement run finished?
Technically, YES.
A bold call, but unless global headwinds reappear, today’s low must sustain.
If it doesn’t, watch for the 24,330 ~ 24,365 zone as the last guard. Breach that? Gap-fillers may run wild down to 24,160 ~ 24,008.
Not a trade plan—just technical facts. Let's see what the tape reveals next.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
🥷 Gladiator Strategy Update
Strategy Parameters
ATR: 327.22
IB Range: 195.90 → Medium IB
Market Structure: Imbalanced
Trade Highlights
✅ 1st Long Trigger: 12:45 PM – Target Achieved (R:R = 1:1)
💼 Total Trades: 1
🕯 Daily Time Frame Chart
📊 Support & Resistance Levels
🔺 Resistance Zones:
• 24,768 ~ 24,820
• 24,660
• 24,640 ~ 24,625
• 24,882
• 24,920
• 24,980 ~ 25,000
• 25,062 ~ 25,070
🔻 Support Zones:
• 24,590
• 24,530 ~ 24,480
• 24,460
🧠 Final Thoughts
"Markets don’t trap you; your lack of preparation does."
Today was a pure example of expiry surprise—respect the zones, follow the structure, and keep adapting.
✏️ Disclaimer ✏️
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
Candlestick Analysis
AAP to $40-43 on positive earnings report in 2 days?1. Fundamentals
The company was beaten down because of losing competition. This is a retail auto parts store chain, and not az OEM supplier.
The company presented a relatively good 2024 Q4 earnings in February, but fell on weak guidance.
Insiders bought shares in 2025 March
They completed a restructuring plan in 2024, because of margin collapse.
Earnings expectations are low, i guess they can be profitable for 2025Q1 if they presents the analyst expectations for revenue of 2.5B. (Analysts expecting this with a negative EPS)
2. Technicals
42% correction between 2025 February and April (i guess everyone remembers the day on April, so i don't need to tell the exact date, lol)
First higher high on April 23.
This was taken out on May 16., now we are in uptrend.
The stock took out the 50MA
Look left: 2024 december the stock plunged 42%, then consolidated, regained the 50MA and rallied 25% in 25 days - history repeating?
Long-term i have much higher price targets, ever triple digits!
I expect $39-40 on earnings and $43 in July.
DOW JONES INDEX (US30): Your Plan to Buy Explained
There is a high chance that US30 will resume growth soon.
The index is currently testing a wide daily support cluster.
My signal to buy will be a bullish violation and a candle close above
41920 minor horizontal resistance.
A bullish movement will be anticipated at least to 42200 level then.
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Intraday volatility,there is still chance to go long on pullback🗞News side:
1. The situation in Israel escalates
2. Initial jobless claims data
📈Technical aspects:
Influenced by recent news, gold showed a volatile rebound trend. Gold continued to rise in the early Asian session, r OANDA:XAUUSD eaching a high of around 3345. The 3290-3300 level below has absolute support in the short term. As long as it does not fall below 3290, you can go long at 3290-3300. In the 4H cycle, the Bollinger opening and the moving average diverge upwards. The upward momentum is sufficient, and it is not easy to guess the top. Pay attention to the 3310-3300 line of support below, and pay attention to the suppression of the 3340-3350 area above. If the gold price stabilizes at 3350, it is expected to further explore the resistance of 3360-3370. If the European session falls into volatility, maintain the range of high selling and low buying, and consider going long when it retreats to the support level of 3320-3310.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD
Bitcoin has officially entered price discovery on the Monthly📊 Bitcoin has officially entered price discovery on the Monthly chart.
With the previous cycle ATH ($69K) reclaimed and defended, BTC now prints monthly structure above $110K — marking a historic shift in macro trend.
🔼 Key upside levels:
• $128K – primary fib expansion
• $150K+ – extended cycle projection
There is no historical resistance ahead.
This is uncharted territory — and the market is writing a new chapter.
EURNZD: Pullback From Resistance Confirmed?! 🇪🇺🇳🇿
Odds are high that EURNZD will retrace from the underlined blue resistance.
The pair looks bearish from the intraday perspective after a release
of German fundamentals this morning.
I think that the price may drop to 1.9027 level.
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Learn Best Candlestick Pattern For Trend Trading Gold XAUUSD
This secret pattern will change the way you trade Gold XAUUSD.
If you study technical analysis in Gold trading, there is one unique candlestick pattern that you absolutely need to know.
In this article, you will learn the structure and the meaning of one of the most accurate candlesticks in Gold trading.
I will teach you how to recognize this pattern and how to trade it for maximum profits.
Let's start with some theory and let me show you how this candlestick pattern looks.
This candlestick pattern is called inside bar.
It is based on a combination of at least 3 candles.
The first candlestick in a sequence should be a strong bullish or bearish candle. The consequent candles should strictly close within its range.
If at least 2 candles close within the range of the first candle with its bodies, that will be a valid inside bar.
The first candle will always be called the mother's bar , while the following candles will be called the inside bars.
That's a perfect example of the inside bar pattern on Gold XAUUSD chart on a daily.
This pattern is based on 2 important elements that you should always pay close attention to.
The upper boundary of the range of the mother's bar will compose a significant resistance that will provide a safe place to sell.
While the lower boundary of the range of the mother's bar will be a strong support to buy Gold from.
Look how nicely Gold price respected the resistance of the range, dropped to its support and started to grow then.
Once you identified the inside bar, you can easily trade it within the range.
However, I strictly recommend waiting for a confirmation signal before you place a trade.
One of the proven confirmations is a price action signal on lower time frames.
In the example above, Gold formed a bullish chart pattern - double bottom after a test of a support and a bearish pattern - head and shoulders after a test of a resistance.
Remember that the market can not stay within the range of the inside bar candlestick pattern forever.
Bullish violation and a candle close above the range will be a strong signal to buy Gold.
While, a bearish breakout of its range will provide a strong bearish confirmation.
That's how a breakout of the underlined resistance triggered a strong rally on Gold.
Inside bar is the essential pattern both for the gold swing traders and day traders.
This pattern provides a lot of profitable trading opportunities, being very simple to recognize.
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S&P ES Long setup target 5963.50 / Calls SPY target 596Fibonacci technical analysis : S&P 500 E-mini Futures CME_MINI:ES1! has already found support at the Fib level 78.6% (5623.50) of my Down Fib. Last Daily candle (May 2) has closed above retracement Fib level 78.6%. My Down Fib guides me to look for CME_MINI:ES1! to eventually go up to hit first target at Fib level 127.2% (5963.50).
CME_MINI:ES1! – Target 1 at 127.2% (5963.50), Target 2 at 161.8% (6205.50) and Target 3 at 178.6 (6322.75)
Stop loss slightly below the 61.8% retracement Fib level (5506.25).
Option Traders : My AMEX:SPY chart Down Fib shows price to go up to Target 1 at 127.2% (595.82), Target 2 at 161.8% (620.50) and Target 3 at 178.6 (632.50)
Stop loss slightly below the 61.8% retracement Fib level (549).
Enjoy the trading process and take time to smell the roses🌹
MES Short🔴 High Risk Short
Bearish Market Structure Shift caused by price meeting origin of Daily MSS from Mar04. Trade mapped on the hourly timeframe; focusing on impulsive swing high at $5956.25 that created MSS.
Entry on measured 61.8% fib retracement @ $5914.75.
TP1: $5873.25 (1R)
TP2: $5822.25 (2.25R)
Second take profit level lines up with both 200SMA + bullish 4H channel support , adding confluence to trade idea. It stands to reason price will retest the support of a longstanding bullish channel.
Notes:
•Stops moved to BE once TP1 hit
•Trade is high-risk due to SL having no significant higher timeframe importance.
The reason I’m focusing on this leg of price action rather than the 4H high at $5993.25, is because this hourly high specifically created the higher timeframe MSS. It suggests there’s an unusually high amount of sellers at that level.
3M Wave Analysis – 21 May 2025
- 3M reversed from multi-month resistance level 154.00
- Likely to fall to support level 145.00
3M recently reversed down from the multi-month resistance level 154.00 (which has been reversing the price from the end of January) intersecting with the upper daily Bollinger Band.
The downward reversal from the resistance level 154.00 formed the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Evening Star.
Given the strength of the resistance level 154.00 and the overbought daily Stochastic, 3M can be expected to fall to the next support level 145.00.
Long trade
1Hr TF overview
🟩 Buyside Trade Log
📈 Pair: SHIB/USDT
🏷️ Type: Intraday | NY Session PM
🧠 Setup: Wyckoff Accumulation (Breakout Phase)
📅 Date: Monday, 19th May 2025
🕐 Time: 1:00 PM (1.55 pm)
🔹 Entry Price: 0.00001393
🔹 Profit Target: 0.00001535 (+10.19%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 0.00001388 (-0.36%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 28.4
🔍 Reasoning:
The trade was structured around the Wyckoff Accumulation narrative, where the price completed its consolidation phase and transitioned into a breakout from the resistance ceiling. This move followed clear signs of absorption, a spring phase, and confirmation via higher lows within a trading range. Volume confirmed the breakout leg during the NY PM session.
5min TF entry
Observe the failed first attempt (which provided the consolidation range) and added further conviction to the buy-side entry 2nd attempt.
CADCHF update!!Good day traders, I’m back with yet another update on CadChf and if I can remember well I mentioned the first time I posted this setup that this one is special because it offer us opportunities to learn and get to see if what ICT(Micheal.J) says about his concepts true or not, for me they work!!
The first setup I posted here and the second one will both be tagged in the description below just to support my ideology and how I came about this setup. On the first setup there was a large wick that i stated should be considered as a Gap and we saw price close above it to balance that gap. And you move one TF higher on your weekly there you’ll see that price has failed multiple times to balance that weekly VI, back on our daily TF we can see that price did not fully trade through that 1st.PFVG and we want to see it come back to fully trade through the gap.
Overall bias is BUYSIDE LIQUIDITY!!
How to arrange after gold falls into consolidation🗞News side:
1. US officials said Trump's statement was related to the Golden Dome Project, which may affect the flow of funds
2. The tension in the Middle East has intensified, and the risk aversion sentiment has increased, which is good for gold
3. Although the withdrawal of Indian and Pakistani troops has eased the regional situation, geopolitical risks still exist
4. Trump mentioned the tax bill, which affected economic expectations and affected gold investment sentiment to a certain extent.
📈Technical aspects:
At present, gold is in consolidation, and the upward trend is slightly stagnant. From the hourly chart, there are signs of downward correction after the upward test of 3320. In the short term, the upper 3320 line has a certain suppression, so gold may test the support again and then rise after stabilizing. Then the first support below is the 3292 line, followed by the 3285 line. If it falls below, it may test the two key support points of 3273 and 3265. The current trend is not clear. In the future trading, we will wait patiently for the gold price to stabilize before entering the market.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
CADCHF - Sell Short - Trendline and Candle stick confluences. Market is making a series of LH and LLs- Market has rejected from trend line resistance. Bearish Engulfing candle formation is a strong confluence of market bearish trend.
we can instant enter in the market, SL would be slightly above Last confirmed LH and TPs would be with R:R of 1:1 and 1:2 respectively.
Nifty Analysis EOD – May 21, 2025 – Wednesday 🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – May 21, 2025 – Wednesday 🔴
🌀 The Dead Cat Bounces Effect After Yesterday's Quick Fall 🌀
Nifty opened with a 45-point gap-up and, within the first 10 minutes, that gap was filled—marking a low of 24692.65. From there, a sudden burst of buying pressure launched the index above the 24768–24800 resistance zone in just 25 minutes. This sharp move triggered a round of short covering, propelling Nifty to the day’s high of 24946.20.
As shared live on TradingView, the Fib resistance zone of 24930–24940 (0.764–0.786 levels) was a key level to watch. True to expectation, Nifty faced strong rejection from this zone, leading to a V-shaped reversal—wiping out all gains in the next hour and marking a new low of 24685.35.
🌀 Screenshot from Tradingview - 1
🌀 Screenshot from Tradingview - 2
It was a rollercoaster ride in the first half. Post this, Nifty traded mostly within the CPR’s Top Central (TC) and Bottom Central (BC) range—though this range itself was 104 points, keeping the session active and far from boring.
Nifty’s close at 24813, around the VWAP and Central CPR, suggests a temporary equilibrium between buyers and sellers. The good part? We closed above the critical 24768–24800 support-turned-resistance. But there's a catch—the close is below yesterday’s Fib 0.5 retracement, signaling potential caution.
⚠️ Cautionary Note:In the short-term, today’s session fits the textbook example of a Dead Cat Bounce. With weekly expiry tomorrow, it's wise to stay alert and not get trapped in noise. Discipline and patience will be key.
🛡 25 Min Time Frame Chart
🔄 What’s Next? / Bias Direction
Wide trading range remains intact. But here’s the game plan:
📈 Long Setup:Above 24850, watch for strength with targets:→ 24920→ 24980→ 25075
📌 Above 25075, sharp short covering can drive price towards 25222 (Yes, it’s far—but good traders plan ahead, always).
📉 Short Setup:Below 24640–24625, weakness may extend down towards:→ 24500→ 24460
Let price action confirm.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
🥷 Gladiator Strategy Update
Strategy Parameters
ATR: 324.57
IB Range: 151.65 → Medium IB
Market Structure: Balanced
Trade Highlights
✅ 1st Long Trigger: 10:05 AM – Target Achieved (R:R = 1:1.5)
💼 Total Trades: 1
🕯 Daily Time Frame Chart
🔍 Support & Resistance Levels
🔺 Resistance Zones:
24,882
24,920
24,980 ~ 25,000
25,062 ~ 25,070
🔻 Support Zones:
24,768 ~ 24,800
24,660
24,640 ~ 24,625
24,590
24,530 ~ 24,480
24,460
✍️ Final Thoughts
"Volatility doesn’t trap the prepared, it challenges them."
Tomorrow being expiry, let the levels speak. Stay objective, stay adaptive.
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
Shiba Inu Crypto: A Useless Coin That Can Still Make You RichHey everyone, welcome back to a new supply and demand crypto analysis. Today, I will analyse one of the most unexpected — but potentially lucrative — investment opportunities in the crypto space right now: Shiba Inu Metaverse crypto.
Yeah, I know what you’re thinking… “Isn’t Shiba Inu just another meme coin?”
And yes, fundamentally, it’s not trying to solve world hunger or revolutionise finance. But guess what? You don’t need a coin to be helpful to make money from it.
All you need is to understand price action and supply and demand. That’s it.
What is Shiba Inu?
So let’s break it down. Shiba Inu started as a meme — a direct competitor to Dogecoin. It’s an ERC-20 token on the Ethereum network with a massive circulating supply and a huge following. Over time, it has evolved and launched its own ecosystem — including Shibarium, SHIB: The Metaverse, and other utilities.
But let’s be real: Shiba Inu is not about real-world utility. It’s about speculation, community hype, and timing the market right based on simple but powerful trading concepts.
Daily Timeframe is Trending UP
Right now, things are shifting in our favour on the daily timeframe. We’ve just entered an uptrend — a key change in market structure — and more importantly, we’ve got a new imbalance forming around $0.00001320. This is the next key level where we’re waiting to re-enter the market.
Why wait? Because smart investors don’t chase candles. They wait for the price to return, where demand will likely kick in again. That level is $0.00001320. Once price returns there and confirms demand, we buy — and we ride the next wave.
As gold's rally stalls, do bears have a chance?Technical aspect:
Gold is currently fluctuating in a narrow range around 3310, and the short-term direction is not clear. However, the rebound potential is relatively weak, but for the London market, gold's willingness to retreat is not strong; however, from a technical perspective, the current gold structure is still biased towards bulls, and gold still has the potential to continue to rebound to the area around 3330, or even the area around 3350;
However, after the rise of gold stagnates, we still cannot aggressively chase gold in trading, one is to prevent technical retracement after the sharp rise of gold; the other is to prevent the retracement of gold in order to grab liquidity after the rise of gold stagnates. In the short term, the support area we must pay attention to is in the 3285-3275 area, followed by the 3260-3250 area. If gold cannot break through the 3320-3330 area in the short term, gold may still continue to test the support area.
Trading strategy:
1. If gold still cannot effectively break through the area around 3320 in the short term, you can consider trying to short gold in small quantities around 3310-3320; TP: 3280-3270, set up protection to prevent gold from continuing to rise to 3330 or even 3350;
2. Consider going long on gold when gold retreats to the 3285-3280 area, set up protection to prevent gold from continuing to retreat to the 3260 area.
Long trade🟩 Buyside Trade Log
📈 Pair: SHIB/USDT
🏷️ Type: Intraday | NY Session PM
🧠 Setup: Breakout
📅 Date: Monday, 19th May 2025
🕜 Time: 1:30 PM
🔹 Entry Price: 0.00001393
🔹 Profit Target: 0.00001448 (+3.95%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 0.00001388 (-0.36%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 11.00
🔍 Reasoning:
The trade was triggered during the NY PM session following a breakout from local consolidation. Price action demonstrated strong bullish intent with a clean sweep of near-term resistance and no immediate supply overhead
30min TF
Gold is rising strongly, can it retreat and go long today?🗞News side:
1. US officials said Trump's statement was related to the Golden Dome Project, which may affect the flow of funds
2. The tension in the Middle East has intensified, and the risk aversion sentiment has increased, which is good for gold
3. Although the withdrawal of Indian and Pakistani troops has eased the regional situation, geopolitical risks still exist
4. Trump mentioned the tax bill, which affected economic expectations and affected gold investment sentiment to a certain extent.
📈Technical aspects:
Yesterday we gave the view that there would be suppression at the 3290 level above, but affected by geopolitics, risk aversion sentiment rose again. Today, the moving average spread upward, and the Bollinger Bands opened and expanded, and the situation is still bullish. At present, we need to pay attention to the key short-term support level, focusing on the 3280-3285 support line. If the price retreats to this level and does not weaken, it can be considered as an opportunity for us to go long. If the resistance of 3320 is broken through strongly, the upper target will move up, and the lower support will also move up accordingly. 3300 will be converted into an entry opportunity for bulls to pull back. Therefore, we need to observe the price continuity in the European session. If the European session continues to break highs, the US session's correction will still be mainly based on long positions. During the day, it is recommended to wait for gold to retreat to 3290-3280 and try to arrange long positions, looking upward to 3320-3330.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD