Nas100 target reached.I uploaded a trade idea of this yesterday and these are the results, I used proper risk management and proper execution approach!
Candlestick Analysis
How to trade the Fed's interest rate decision!In nearly an hour, the Fed will announce the Fed's interest rate decision and a summary of economic expectations;
In nearly an hour and a half, Powell will hold a monetary policy press conference.
If the Fed's policy statement or the latest forecast shows a dovish tendency, it may resume the downward trend of the US dollar, thereby supporting the upward trend of gold; and the recent mild inflation and weak employment data in the United States may prompt the Fed to soften its previous assessment, thereby strengthening expectations of interest rate cuts and providing support for gold prices.
From the current technical structure, gold maintains a volatile and anxious market during the day, and there is no clear direction in the short term, but gold is currently always below 3400, and the overall market is still in a weak trend; but gold has repeatedly touched the 3375-3365 area and can quickly recover, proving that there is still strong buying support below; in fact, it stands to reason that if gold is really weak, it should have continued to fall and touched the 3360-3350 area, but gold did not touch the area as expected, but used sideways trading to exchange time and space, and there was no sign of any downward breakthrough, so gold is likely to choose an upward direction.
In addition, the Middle East geopolitical crisis, global economic uncertainty, intensified trade frictions and rising inflation expectations will all provide structural support for gold. So if gold does not fall below the 3365-3355 area today, we will be bullish on gold first; but if gold cannot break through the 3410-3420 area in one fell swoop during the rise, then we need to be careful of the trend of gold rising and then falling.
As for how to trade the news next: the Federal Reserve interest rate decision. The above are my trading ideas and opinions, you can read them carefully and use them as a reference! If you still want to trade news after careful consideration, please be sure to set SL during the transaction to protect your account to the greatest extent!
ASX 200 Looks Set to BounceThe ASX 200 has drifted lower since its latest record high was set six days ago. 8500 held as support before doji formed on Tuesday to mark a false break of this key level. ASX 200 futures also tried but failed to break beneath it overnight.
Given the bullish divergence on the 1-hour RSI (14) and RSI (2), the bias is to seek dips towards 8500 for a cheeky long towards the December high.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forexc.com
Nifty Analysis EOD – June 18, 2025 – Wednesday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – June 18, 2025 – Wednesday 🔴
⚖️ Dhamakedar Start, But Indecisive Close – Weekly Expiry Caution Ahead
Nifty opened with a 65-point gap-down at 24,788.35, but what followed was a power-packed bullish start — within just 25 minutes, it surged over 150 points, hitting a day high of 24,947.55.
However, the euphoria didn’t last.
As the session progressed, the index gradually gave up all its gains, slipped below the previous day’s low, and finally found support at 24,750, a critical level. By the end of the day, Nifty settled around the opening zone at 24,812.05, just +23 points above open, while net change remained −41.35 points from the previous close.
The day showcased both strength and weakness — a typical "everyone-expected-fall-but-it-didn't-fall-enough" kind of day. The long upper wick reflects failed attempts by bulls, while the lack of breakdown keeps the bears in check.
Tomorrow is weekly expiry — caution is advised.
🕯 5 Min Time Frame Chart with Levels
🕯 Daily Time Frame Chart
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 24,788.35
High: 24,947.55
Low: 24,750.45
Close: 24,812.05
Change: −41.35 (−0.17%)
📊 Candle Structure Breakdown
Real Body: 23.70 pts → ✅ Green Candle (tiny body)
Upper Wick: 135.50 pts
Lower Wick: 37.90 pts
🔍 Interpretation
Strong bullish momentum early on, but buyers failed to hold above 24,900.
Long upper wick signals supply or profit-booking at higher levels.
Price closed near open despite wide range → indecision between bulls and bears.
🕯 Candle Type
🟨 Spinning Top – A textbook indecisive candle, often seen at turning points or during pauses in trend.
📌 Key Insight
Buyers couldn’t reclaim or close above 24,950 — resistance strengthened.
Support held at 24,750 — but barely.
Watch 24,950 on upside and 24,750 on downside — a breakout from either may decide expiry-day trend.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 252.34
IB Range: 170.65 → Medium IB
Market Structure: ⚖️ Balanced
Trades:🚫 Short Trigger at 12:45 : Trapped - SL Hit
📌 Support & Resistance Zones
Resistance Levels
24,894 ~ 24,882
24,972 ~ 25,000
25,060 ~ 25,080
25,102 ~ 25,125
Support Levels
24,825 ~ 24,847
24,725 ~ 24,735
24,660
24,590
💭 Final Thoughts
When price travels 200 points but closes flat, it tells you something: Smart money is waiting.Weekly expiry ahead could bring unexpected moves.✅ Stay nimble. Stay alert.
🧠 “When in doubt, let the market shout — not whisper. Listen for the breakout.”
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
HUM: Multi-Year Support & Trendline ConfluenceAnalysis:
On the monthly timeframe, Humana (HUM) presents an intriguing long-term setup. After a significant multi-year bull run, the stock has experienced a substantial correction from its all-time highs. However, it now finds itself at a critical confluence of long-term support levels, suggesting potential for a significant bounce or a reversal of the recent downtrend.
1. Long-Term Bullish Channel:
Since the 2008 financial crisis, HUM has been trading within a remarkably well-defined bullish channel (depicted by the two green parallel lines). This channel has guided the price consistently higher for over a decade, with price action respecting both the upper and lower boundaries multiple times.
2. The "200 to 215 Key Level" - A Major Confluence Zone:
* Multi-Touch Support: The price has historically found strong buying interest in this zone, notably during the 2020 market correction and now in the present.
* Trendline Confluence: Crucially, this horizontal support zone perfectly aligns with the lower boundary of the long-term bullish channel. This dual support from both a horizontal key level and the long-term trendline creates a powerful confluence zone, making it a high-probability area for buyers to step in.
Potential Targets (Upside Scenario):
• 1st Resistance / Target $300: Should the 200−215 support hold firm, the immediate upside target for HUM is the $300 level. This zone previously acted as a minor pivot point, where price saw both support and resistance. A break above $300 would confirm bullish momentum.
• Long-Term Target $380 to $400: Beyond the initial 300 target, the next significant long−term target is the∗∗300target, the next significant long−term target is 380 - $400 range. This area previously served as strong support after the initial peak in late 2021/early 2022 before the major breakdown. Reclaiming this zone would signify a substantial recovery and a potential return to previous highs.
• Invalidation & Risk Management:
While the setup appears compelling, it is crucial to consider the downside risk. A decisive monthly close below the $200 level would invalidate this bullish thesis. Such a breakdown would suggest a failure of the long-term trend channel and could lead to further downside, potentially towards the 150−175 region. Traders should monitor price action for confirmation of support and manage their risk accordingly.
Conclusion:
Given the strong historical significance and the powerful confluence of technical indicators at the
200−215 level, Humana (HUM) presents a compelling long-term buy-the-dip opportunity for those looking for a potential reversal and recovery. Patience and confirmation of support at this key level will be paramount.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
The interest rate remains volatile,and the gold operation layout📰 Impact of news:
1. Initial jobless claims data
2. US-Iran conflict continues
3. Pay attention to the Fed's decision
📈 Market analysis:
Gold has been trading sideways recently. It is expected that there will not be much fluctuation before today's Fed interest rate information and Powell's speech. It is expected to continue to fluctuate in the range of 3405-3365. At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical conflicts in the short term is also a point we need to pay attention to.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3380-3375-3365-3355
TP 3395-3400-3405
SELL 3405-3395
TP 3380-3375-3360
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Wide range fluctuations continue, the latest layout of gold📰 Impact of news:
1. Initial jobless claims data
2. US-Iran conflict continues
3. Pay attention to the Fed's decision
📈 Market analysis:
At present, the gold price is testing the 3380 line again, and the strong support below is 3365-3355. As long as it does not fall below this key support, the bulls will remain strong. At the same time, the two key points of 3405 and 3420 above are still short-term resistance. Breaking through may directly test 3450. In the short term, gold fluctuates repeatedly at the 3405-3365 level, temporarily maintaining a high-altitude low-multiple cycle. There is also initial jobless claims data released today. At the same time, the geopolitical situation in the short term is severe, so we need to be cautious. In addition, the New York Stock Exchange will be closed tomorrow. The focus this week is mainly on Friday, especially when it is superimposed with the Fed's interest rate decision, we need to be vigilant about the transmission effect of sudden changes in liquidity on the market.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3380-3365-3355
TP 33395-3400-3405
SELL 3405-3390
TP 3380-3360
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Stick to shorting goldGold is currently fluctuating in a narrow range of 3380-3385, and the trend is relatively slow. We also need more patience. In comparison, I think the current short-selling force has a slight upper hand, because gold has shown signs of accelerating decline after a difficult rebound many times, and has fallen below 3380 many times. According to the current gold structure, gold does not have sufficient room for decline, and it is still possible to continue to fall to the 3365-3355 area.
It is expected that gold will not fluctuate too much before the Fed's interest rate decision and Powell's monetary policy press conference. For this interest rate decision, I think the possibility of a rate cut is not great, and the current interest rate may still remain unchanged. The reduction in the expectation of a rate cut may stimulate a wave of gold declines in the short term. So in the short term, I still prefer a short trade in gold. Obviously, gold is currently under pressure in the 3395-3405 area, so we can still try to short gold in this area.
Short trade
📍 Pair: CADJPY
📅 Date: Tuesday, June 17, 2025
🕒 Time: 3:00 PM (NY Session PM)
⏱ Time Frame: 1 Hour
📈 Direction: Sell-side
📊 Trade Breakdown:
Entry Price 106.484
Profit Level 106.029 (0.43%)
Stop Loss 106.603 (0.11%)
Risk-Reward Ratio 3.82
🧠 Context / Trade Notes:
1H Structure-Based Entry:
Trade was observed on the 1-hour chart, and sell-side trade was undertaken due to a clear bearish market structure in play.
Long trade
📍 Pair: GBPUSD
📅 Date: Tuesday, June 17, 2025
🕒 Time: 3:00 PM (NY Session PM)
⏱ Time Frame: 1 Hour
📈 Direction: Buyside
📊 Trade Breakdown:
Entry Price 1.34293
Profit Level 1.35653 (+1.01%)
Stop Loss 1.34086 (−0.15%)
Risk-Reward
Ratio 6.57 : 1
🧠 Context / Trade Notes:
Higher Timeframe Confluence:
Trade took off a 1-hour bullish order block following consistent higher highs and higher lows.
Choch + BOS Confirmed:
Clear change of character and break of structure gave the green light for a continuation long.
Seize the opportunity to short gold after the reboundBecause gold fell back to the expected support area of 3375-3365 first, I just took the opportunity to go long on gold near 3372 and set TP: 3390. Obviously, our long position ended the transaction by hitting TP, and we made a profit of 180pips.
At present, gold continues to rebound to around 3396, and is facing the short-term resistance area of 3395-3405, and the upside may be limited. And I think before the Fed's interest rate decision and Powell's monetary policy conference, gold is likely to maintain a range of fluctuations, and the willingness of both long and short parties to break through may not be strong in the short term. And from the current structure, gold tends to fluctuate downward as a whole.
So for short-term trading, we might as well try to short gold in the resistance area. I think it is still very likely to retreat to at least the 3385-3380 area.
GBPCHF: Another Nice Setup to Sell📉GBPCHF could continue to decline after testing a significant daily resistance level.
As a confirmation signal, I spotted a head and shoulders pattern
on that on an hourly time frame.
The price may drop to at least 1.0971, followed by 1.0939 support.
NAS100 (US100) Mid Week Reversal - Bullish Order FlowA Half Batman presents itself during the Asian session and seems to be ready for LDN opening. This Peak Formation could be seen as the reset, to turn NAS100 bullish and ready to break the structure high.
Tend to short gold, it may still retrace to 3360-3350 areaAt present, gold as a whole is still fluctuating in the 3395-3365 area. In the short term, both long and short sides are not willing to break through. They may be waiting for the guidance of the Fed's interest rate decision and Powell's monetary policy press conference. However, from the current oscillation structure, because the high point of gold rebound and the low point of retracement are gradually moving downward, the center of gravity of the candlestick chart is shifting downward, and the weight of gold shorts is slightly higher.
From the current structure, 3395-3405 has become a new round of pressure area. Gold has been unable to break through for a long time, and has tried to accelerate downward many times during the retracement process. Although it can stabilize above 3375-3365, it may be easier to break through below after several tests. Once the 3375-3365 area is broken, gold may even continue to move to the 3360-3350 area.
Therefore, within the 3395-3365 oscillation range, we can temporarily maintain the trading rhythm of selling high and buying low in the short term, while we must pay attention to the breakthrough of gold. Once gold breaks through, the trend may be continued, and we need to follow the trend to execute transactions!
USD/CAD: Signs of a bottom as bulls fight backTuesday’s bullish move in USD/CAD has delivered a signal often seen at bottoms, taking out several key technical resistance levels in the process, including the December 2023 uptrend. With bearish momentum starting to reverse, upside risks look to be building.
Those in the market for a long setup could initiate positions around these levels with a stop beneath 1.3650 for protection. Tuesday’s high of 1.3693 now stands as an important near-term level. A break above opens the door to the June 10 high at 1.3728 as one potential target, along with 1.3750.
If either level is hit, reevaluate whether to hold, cut or reverse, given the setup runs counter to the broader trend.
Good luck!
DS
GBPUSD Wave Analysis – 17 June 2025- GBPUSD reversed from the resistance level 1.3615
- Likely to fall to support level at 1.3400
GBPUSD currency pair recently reversed down from the key resistance level 1.3615 (which has been reversing the price from the end of May) and the upper daily Bollinger Band.
The downward reversal from the resistance level 1.3615 formed the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Dark Cloud Cover – which was followed by the Shooting Star.
Given the bearish divergence on the daily Stochastic indicator, GBPUSD currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level at 1.3400 (former resistance from April).
RTX – Defense sector strength backed by structurePut Credit Spread Aug 140/130 | Entry: -1.81 | POP 76%
🚀 Technical & Macro Context:
Raytheon Technologies (RTX) is surging amid escalating geopolitical tensions (Iran–Israel conflict) and renewed strength in defense sector fundamentals. The stock has broken multiple resistance levels and is now trading in a parabolic move within a widening bullish channel.
📌 Technically backed setup:
✅ Clear Break of Structure (BoS) confirmed and respected.
🧱 Strong 4H demand zone between $135.25–$130.95.
📉 RSI trending high but not overheated.
📈 MACD remains bullish with wide separation.
This zone aligns with:
Dynamic support (EMA20).
38–50% Fibonacci retracement.
Previous consolidation zone now acting as demand.
🔒 Spread Structure:
Sell Put $140 (Aug 15)
Buy Put $130 (Aug 15)
Probability of Profit (POP): 76%
📉 Invalidation below $130 with volume. Will reassess if demand fails.
📷 The chart already illustrates the setup with institutional logic, break levels, and supply/demand zones.
🔍 If you enjoy structured option setups, technicals with context, and high-probability spreads,
👉 Follow me for more trade ideas like this.
📈 Weekly updates | 🎯 Conviction trades | 🧠 Smart risk-reward
Gold is weak, and there may be a low point yet to come!According to the current structure, gold is obviously in a weak position. Gold has failed to break through the high point of the previous wave after multiple rebounds during the day. 3400 has become a new round of pressure area; and gold has just accelerated its decline and fell below 3370. For the current trend, falling below 3370 will weaken the bullish sentiment to a certain extent and indicate that there is further room for decline, so I think gold should have a low point, and the low point we should first pay attention to is in the range of 3365-3355.
So in terms of short-term trading,
First, we can try to short gold with the short-term resistance area of 3395-3405;
But if gold first retreats to the support area of 3365-3355, we can first choose to go long on gold.
NZDUSD SHORTMarket structure bearish on HTFs DW
Entry at both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection At AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 0.59500
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 4.48
Entry 100%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
Falling below 3380,testing 3365,the low position remains bullish📰 Impact of news:
1. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East
2. Iran nuclear talks
3. Retail sales data
📈 Market analysis:
After rebounding to the 3400 line, gold encountered resistance and fell back to test the support level of 3380. Although it was very close to the point of 3405 we gave, I did not enter the trade because gold has been in the middle section in the short term and has not rebounded to the ideal point.
There are too many long orders at high levels in gold. The international situation is so tense that gold is still slowly declining, but the geopolitical situation is still continuing. In addition, the retail sales data is bullish. Then, as the trading strategy given at noon, it is expected to test the short-term support of 3365-3355 below. I will consider going long in this range
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3365-3355
TP 3380-3390-3400
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Why I Think GBPUSD Will Sell...Technical AnalysisHey Rich Friends,
I hope you're well today. I wanted to share why I think GBPUSD will sell today and maybe more this week. This is only my technical analysis so make sure you check the news and cross reference the indicators you have on your chart. This is what I am looking at:
- The market hit a swing high on 4H and has been creating lower highs.
- The momentum is picking up for the sellers based on candle bodies.
- The stochastic is facing down, the slow line (orange) is on top of the fast line (blue) and both lines have crossed below 50. These are bearish confirmations for me.
Additional information:
- Wait for the stochastic to cross below 20.
- Wait for a break of structure below 1.35320.
- I will be setting sell stops so that my trades trigger on the way down. I will set previous highs as my SL and previous lows as my TPs.
Good luck if you decide to take this trade!
Peace and Profits,
Cha
SILVER (XAGUSD): One More Buying Opportunity📈SILVER is currently experiencing a strong bullish trend on the daily chart.
Since the end of last week, it has been consolidating within a horizontal range on a 4-hour time frame.
Today's bullish movement has successfully broken above the resistance of this range, confirming buyer strength and suggesting a likely continuation of the upward trend.
The next target is 38.00.
Nifty Analysis EOD – June 17, 2025 – Tuesday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – June 17, 2025 – Tuesday 🔴
⚠️ Resistance Rejection at 25K – Pause or Warning Sign?
Yesterday’s note rightly anticipated today’s challenge near 25K — and that’s exactly how the session unfolded.
Nifty opened at 24,977.85, right inside the critical resistance zone of 24,972–25,000, and formed a near O=H (Open = High) structure. The index quickly lost ground, dropping 135 points within the first hour to mark a day low of 24,813.70, forming a medium-sized Initial Balance (IB) within a wide CPR — conditions known for range-bound or tricky days.
Throughout the session, Nifty hovered largely inside the CPR and IB, with a false breakdown attempt around 12:50 PM. Such setups (wide CPR + higher value + medium IB) often result in false moves or low-conviction sessions, and today was no exception.
By day’s end, Nifty closed at 24,853.40, logging a modest −93.10 point dip, forming what can be termed as a healthy pullback — but the real test remains.
If bulls want to take charge again, they must breach and close above 25,025. On the flip side, if 24,800–24,820 gives way, it could trigger a slide toward 24,725 and 24,660 in the coming sessions.
🕯 Daily Time Frame Chart
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 24,977.85
High: 24,982.05
Low: 24,813.70
Close: 24,853.40
Change: −93.10 (−0.37%)
📊 Candle Structure Breakdown
Real Body: 124.45 pts → 🔻 Red Candle
Upper Wick: 4.20 pts
Lower Wick: 39.70 pts
🔍 Interpretation
Opened near the day’s high but selling dominated soon after.
Small upper wick shows minimal buyer strength; recovery attempts were mild.
Lower wick indicates some support emerged at day’s low, but overall tone remained bearish.
🕯 Candle Type
🟥 Bearish Candle – strong real body, minor lower wick — reflects steady intraday selling, though not overly aggressive.
📌 Key Insight
Nifty has now rejected the 25K zone two days in a row, turning it into short-term resistance.
If 24,800 breaks, expect pressure to mount — next watch: 24,725 → 24,660.
Bulls need a close above 25,025 to regain command.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 258.48
IB Range: 131.60 → Medium IB
Market Structure: ⚖️ Balanced
Trades:🚫 No Trade Triggered by System
📌 Support & Resistance Zones
Resistance Levels
24,894 ~ 24,882
24,972 ~ 25,000
25,060 ~ 25,080
25,102 ~ 25,125
Support Levels
24,825 ~ 24,847
24,725 ~ 24,735
24,660
24,590
💭 Final Thoughts
Today’s session didn’t break anything major — but it also didn’t conquer anything new.Stuck between major support and resistance, the index is coiling for a move. Bulls have the burden of proof now.
🧠 “Markets don’t pause forever — compression leads to expansion. Be ready when it chooses its direction.”
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
