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Candlestick Analysis

A rebound is a good opportunity to short goldGold rebounds from 3100, but is the bullish momentum truly revived? I don’t see it that way. Yesterday’s retracement to 3100 has already weakened the strong bullish structure to some extent, with 3150 likely acting as a key resistance level. I believe the current rebound is merely a technical retest of the 3150 zone, reinforcing it as a potential cycle high and paving the way for a double-top formation, which could provide a bearish technical setup for further downside. Following the initial 3100 test, a second retest of this support level is likely. If gold fails to hold 3100 on the second attempt, a break lower towards 3095-3085 would become increasingly probable. I will continue to scale into short positions within the 3132-3142 zone, with an initial target of 3120-3110. If gold approaches 3100, I will closely monitor the price action to assess the likelihood of a further breakdown. The trading strategy verification accuracy rate is more than 90%; one step ahead, exclusive access to trading strategies and real-time trading settings
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Trader_Marvin
4
LTR longs potential-IS price retesting demand zone in the future? price allowing good r/r ratio LTF analysis could be seen as exhausted sellers. -remember its only revisiting zone ATM -confirmed buyers will show bullish PA if its ready or NOT we still need multiple things down here to confluence before entering in .. -zones are only zones when there's reactions - price structure has to play out firstly -stay unbias with no emotions. My NEUTRAL status until PA presents THEN TURNING shlong.
ASX:LTRLong
by Permaculture
1
Russell 2000: Squeeze Potential BuildsWith uncertainty surrounding U.S. trade policy about to be resolved and price signals turning bullish, the ingredients for a squeeze in Russell 2000 futures are now in place. Unlike other stock indices with far larger constituents, U.S. small caps have lagged this week’s rebound—potentially due to recession concerns, which wouldn’t help unprofitable cyclical firms tied to the broader economy. However, while fundamentals point to downside risks, recent price signals have been more constructive. Monday’s hammer candle formed after a reversal from known support. While Tuesday’s doji signaled indecision, it still closed slightly higher, with strong volumes going through. While signals like RSI (14) and MACD remain in negative territory, bearish momentum is starting to ebb, suggesting we may be in the early stages of a turn. Those considering bullish positions could look to establish entries above 1994.8 with a stop beneath for protection. Rallies over the past two sessions have fizzled around 2040, making that an initial focal point. If sellers there are overrun, it could encourage others to join the move, looking for a retest of horizontal resistance at 2132.5. Good luck! DS
CME_MINI:RTY1!Long
by FOREXcom
EUR/HUF: Positioning for a Probable Bullish Trend ShiftBig Picture Context Currencies, like any market, move in cycles driven by macroeconomic forces, capital flows, and investor psychology. The EUR/HUF exchange rate has been in an uptrend since mid-2023, reflecting a broader structural shift. The key question now is whether this trend continues or if we see a meaningful reversal. Looking at the data, we see that price has pulled back to a critical support zone (396-402 HUF). This is where buyers previously stepped in, making it a high-probability area for renewed strength. Meanwhile, resistance levels exist at 409.5 HUF, 411.75 HUF, and 420.53 HUF, with an ultimate target near 434.45 HUF. What the Market Is Telling Us Liquidity & Positioning: A volume spike signals increased market activity. This is often a sign that larger players are repositioning. Momentum & Trend: Higher lows and price support at moving averages indicate that bullish sentiment remains intact. Sentiment & Reflexivity: If buyers step in at support, it could reinforce the uptrend, drawing in more participants and accelerating price movement. Game Plan: Managing Risk & Reward Entry Zone: 396-402 HUF (buy into strength if support holds). Profit Targets: First milestone: 409.5 HUF (short-term test of resistance). Second milestone: 420.5 HUF (trend continuation). Final milestone: 434.5 HUF (full breakout scenario). Stop-Loss: Below 382 HUF, where the bullish thesis breaks down. Principles Applied Markets are a function of supply and demand, shaped by human behavior. We’re looking at probabilities, not certainties. The key is risk-adjusted decision-making—placing asymmetric bets where upside outweighs downside. If the support holds, the next move up is likely. If it fails, we step aside and reassess.
Long
by Vitezabraham
Short on XAU USDWe can see gold has been on a ridiculous bullish run given all the uncertainty in the market. I believe if this continues we can see further upside - however I am going out on a limb to say this weekly candle will either brush the 3090 level or close as red. I have entered short positions via market order (in the royal blue colour) and have also set limit orders for shorts all the way up to 3129 (in the lighter blue colour). This analysis can definitely be wrong but I believe the market has made 2 drastically massive moves in the last 2 days which are somewhat unwarranted (yes gold is bullish but last 2 days have hit highs of 40-50 dollar moves. Let's see what the market bring tomorrow with ADP Non-Farm Employment data and also President Trump speaking later in the evening in the US. I have mapped out important levels using the Fibonacci tool and also psychological level of 3100. Key levels Short entries starting from 3119 - Set another order every dollar above all the way to 3129 Stop loss 3136 is my stop loss for this trade - If 3130 is broken with volume then I believe that we may push higher (If this happens likely the trade will be stopped out) Take Profit 3075 is the final TP area (0.5 Fib level using last 2 week high + low) - Given gold is in such a bullish phase it is foolish to hold onto shorts in my opinion (as we can see from the chart typically these bottoms are bought up and can be evidenced by the long candle wicks) - 3090 will be where I start to scale out of this position and adjust SL levels
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by Q4Signs
7
BTC/USDT 15-Minute Chart Analysis🚀 BTC/USDT 15-Minute Chart Analysis 🏆 🔍 Market Overview: The chart shows Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) price action on a 15-minute timeframe with key resistance & support levels, along with potential trade triggers. 📌 Key Observations: 📈 Strong Resistance (🚧 85,339.85 USDT) 🔥 Major hurdle for buyers! A breakout above this could ignite a rally. 🚀 If BTC closes above this level with volume, we might see a strong uptrend. 🛑 Important Support (🔵 84,727.22 - 84,912.40 USDT) 🛡️ Holding this zone is crucial for bulls to maintain momentum. ❌ Losing this support could trigger a bearish move. 📊 Moving Averages (7, 25, 99 SMA): 🟡 Short-Term SMA (7): Price is testing this moving average. 🔵 Medium-Term SMA (25): Acting as dynamic support. 🟢 Long-Term SMA (99): Still bullish, showing an uptrend bias. ⚡ Trade Triggers: ✅ Long Trigger (📈💰) - If BTC breaks 85,339.85 USDT with volume → 🚀 BUY Opportunity! ❌ Short Trigger (📉🔻) - If BTC drops below 84,727.22 USDT → 🏴‍☠️ Short setup possible! 📢 Trading Strategy: 💎 Bullish Plan: Watch for a breakout above 85,339.85 USDT with strong volume → 🎯 Targets: 85,500+ USDT. ⚠️ Bearish Plan: If BTC breaks below 84,727.22 USDT, look for a drop to 84,498.52 USDT or lower. 🔥 Final Thoughts: Bitcoin is in a critical decision zone! 🎯 Breakout = Bullish Rally! ❌ Breakdown = Bearish Move! 📢 Stay Alert! Volume Confirmation is Key! 🎯
by Alireza-Abedi
Continue to short gold, there is still huge downside potentialGold fell below the short-term key support of 3120 and extended to around 3100. The short-term raid caught most long traders off guard. Today, I evaluated from both market factors and risk factors, and made a plan to short gold in the 3135-3145 zone, with the goal of a pullback to 3100. The potential profit space is $50. I believe that as long as you pay attention to and follow my trading strategy, you will definitely make a lot of money today! At present, gold has rebounded slightly after touching around 3100, but I do not recommend going long on gold in this position area; because a sharp drop in gold can easily hit the confidence of long traders, stimulate profit-taking and panic selling, so I think the decline is not over. Even from a technical perspective, although gold has a certain degree of technical repair after a rapid decline, it is obvious that the 4-hour level has not started to make up for the decline, indicating that there is still a lot of room for correction below. In this round of decline, I think gold is likely to continue to fall to the area around 3085, or even the 3075-3065 zone. Therefore, for short-term trading, we can still consider shorting gold in batches after it rebounds to the 3115-3125 zone, with the target pointing to the 3095-3085 zone.The trading strategy verification accuracy rate is more than 90%; one step ahead, exclusive access to trading strategies and real-time trading settings
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trader_Marvin
Short gold, profit target: 500pipsAfter reaching a fresh high of 3150, gold pulled back and has since been consolidating in a narrow range around 3132. While there is no denying that gold remains in a strong bullish trend, I believe it is now at its peak and could top out at any moment. This is why I continue to look for shorting opportunities rather than blindly chasing long positions—because I must first evaluate whether I have the risk tolerance to withstand a potential long-side drawdown. Currently, gold is showing signs of exhaustion, retreating from 3150 and stalling near its ascending trend channel resistance. There is a strong possibility that this marks the end of the parabolic uptrend, leading to a rounded top correction, similar to the previous price cycle. A potential retracement zone aligns with a $50 pullback. From a risk management perspective, going long at elevated levels presents significant challenges in setting a stop-loss (SL). A tight SL increases the probability of being stopped out due to market volatility, while a wider SL or no SL at all could expose long positions to severe drawdowns or liquidation if the market collapses. On the contrary, short positions allow for better-defined SL placement, and gold tends to correct sharply after an extended rally, offering favorable exit opportunities. The worst-case scenario for short sellers is missing out on further upside gains, but in return, we significantly reduce the risk of capital destruction. This is the primary reason why I remain firmly bearish on gold at current levels! Gold has retreated from its 3150 high, showing signs of momentum exhaustion. Given this price action, traders can consider initiating short positions within the 3135-3145 zone, aiming for a pullback toward the 3100 level. This setup offers a potential $50 profit per trade.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trader_Marvin