Natural Gas Wave Analysis – 12 March 2025
- Natural gas reversed from round resistance level 5.0000
- Likely to fall to support level 3.815
Natural gas recently reversed from the resistance area between the round resistance level 5.0000, the upper weekly Bollinger Band and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from 2022.
The downward reversal from this resistance area stopped the earlier weekly upward impulse sequence (3) from the start of 2025.
Given the recent formation of the daily Shooting Star and the overbought weekly Stochastic, Natural gas can be expected to fall to the next support level 3.815.
Candlestick Analysis
SPY - L3 Bullish Daily Exhaustion SignalAMEX:SPY first level 3 bullish exhaustion signal on the daily since Jan 2016, when in marked the exact bottom. The other 3 times it happened in the past 30 years were during the 2000-2003 dot com bust.
Within 10 candles after the signal:
75% win rate
+3.5% average move
4 data points over 30 years
GOLD (XAUUSD): Consolidation Phase Complete!📈Gold has been consolidating for more than a week, trading within a broad horizontal range on the 4-hour chart.
Following today's release of US fundamentals, the market is showing bullish momentum.
A breakout above the range's resistance indicates that the accumulation phase may be complete, opening the door for further upside potential.
The next target to watch is the 2950 resistance level.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Accumulation is Over!📈Gold has been consolidating for over a week, remaining within a large horizontal range on a 4-hour chart.
However, after the release of today's US fundamentals, the market appears to be bullish.
Breaking through the resistance line of the range suggests a bullish accumulation has been completed, potentially leading to further growth.
The next focus is on reaching a resistance level of 2950.
Long trade
4Hr TF Overview
Buyside trade
Pair EURUSD
Wed 05th March 25
6.00 pm (NY time)
NY Session PM
Entry 1.07999
Profit level 1.09919 (1.78%)
Stop level 1.07565 (0.40%)
RR 4.42
Reason: Observing price action and using the Richard Whykoff narrative..I assumed we are trending upwards - Phase D (trending inside the range) for a buyside trade.
XAUUSD - 13th March 2025 - Scaling in Shorts The daily POI has been reached, and price is now trading above the Week 10 high. This is a key area of interest for us, and on M15, a possible Market Maker Sell Model (MMSM) is forming, aligning with our short thesis.
We are scaling into shorts, focusing on executing our edge with discipline. The market can do anything, but our job is to stay patient, take high-probability trades, and let price do the heavy lifting.
Check out the video for more.
Let’s see how price develops from here.
Post CPI Update: NAS still very well behaved in this range🎯 As previously mentioned, we were expecting the bearish imbalance to be the magnetic area. Price in this chart is behaving just as it should. As well with bearish imbalance or FVG, we expect price to find it as a trend continuation point.
If we do not get a bullish close over the previous day, we will expect a swift attack of the lows in the coming PA.
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NZDCHF SHORTMarket structure bearish at AOi 3
Entry at Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 0.50500
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 5.07
Entry 100%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
AUDJPY: Bullish Continuation Confirmed 🇦🇺🇯🇵
On a today's live stream, we spotted a confirmed bullish reversal on AUDJPY.
The price formed a huge inverted head & shoulders pattern on a 4H
and violated its neckline during the London session today.
A bullish movement is now expected at least to 94.0
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UK100 about to drop again?good day traders, our past trades were a success and as you can see UK100 is repeating the same pattern again, meaning we are anticipating another drop, I won't explain much because it's simple and clear analysis that is self-explanatory. all I can say is wait for a candle rejection and enter
GBPCHF: Bullish Wave Continues 🇬🇧🇨🇭
As I predicted yesterday, GBPCHF went up from support.
I see one more bullish pattern today:
this time we have a confirmed breakout of a neckline of a double bottom.
The market is going to rise and reach 1.148 level soon.
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US DOLLAR INDEX (DXY): Bearish Movement ContinuesAs I expected, the Dollar Index decreased last week.
Analyzing the price movements throughout the day, we can see further evidence of a strong downward trend.
After consolidating within a horizontal range on a 4-hour chart, the price broke below its support level and closed below it.
Sellers are showing their dominance once again, with a retest of the broken support level indicating a potential move lower to at least 103.10.
AUDCAD LONG Market structure bullish on HTFs DW
Entry at both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly rejection at AOi
Weekly EMA Retest
Weekly Previous Structure point
Daily Rejection at AOi
Daily EMA retest
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Levels 5.05
Entry 95%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
ASX 200: Oversold Signals Flash, But Bulls Need ConfirmationASX 200 SPI futures are so oversold on the daily timeframe that you can’t help but notice, especially when looking back over recent years. The only time an RSI reading this low didn’t spark some form of bounce was during the height of the pandemic panic in early 2020.
But being oversold alone isn’t enough to trade against the prevailing strong bearish trend, putting extra emphasis on Wednesday’s price action. To get bullish and position for a countertrend squeeze, we need a price signal for confirmation.
I’m watching 7796—the price dipped below this level in low-volume trade during the night session before reversing back above. It’s only a minor level, but beneath it there’s not much for bulls to hang their hat on until 7600, where buyers stepped in last year.
Depending on the price action around the open at 9:45 am AEDT, if bulls defend 7796 again, the risk of a squeeze increases, similar to what we saw on Tuesday.
Longs could be considered above the level with a stop beneath the session low for protection. 7900 is one potential target, with 7996 and former uptrend support around 30 points higher alternative options for those seeking greater risk-reward.
A clean break and close below 7796 would invalidate the squeeze setup. Unless accompanied by fundamentally bearish news, flipping short after recent declines would be risky.
Potentially working in bulls’ favour, iron ore futures in Singapore had a solid session overnight, lifting nearly 1% to $101.70 per tonne.
Good luck!
DS
Bitcoin Wave Analysis – 11 March 2025
- Bitcoin reversed from pivotal support level 78375.00
- Likely to rise to the resistance 85000.00
Bitcoin cryptocurrency recently reversed up from the support area between the pivotal support level 78375.00 (which formed the daily Hammer in February), the support trendline of the daily down channel from January and the lower daily Bollinger Band.
The upward reversal from this support area is expected to form the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Bullish Engulfing (strong buy signal for Bitcoin).
Given the long-term uptrend, Bitcoin can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 85000.00.
Short trade
30 min TF overview
Sellside tarde
Pair EURGBP
Tue 11th March 25 2.00 pm
LND to NY Session PM
Entry and Structure - 30 min TF
Entry 0.84450
Profit level 0.84219 (0.27%)
Stop level 0.84497 (0.06%)
RR 4.91
Target fib level 0.382
Reason: Observing price action on EURGBP and the narrative of supply and demand, I assumed the price reached a pivotal supply zone indicative of a sellside trade.
XAUUSD - Sit On Your Hands And Get Rich!Last week was the first week this year to close lower.
$3,000 is a huuuge psychological level for gold to reach so it is expected for price action to faulter and present rangebound conditions just below that price.
The weekly BISI @ 2817 - 2860 has been respected, with the consequent encroachment holding weight but there is still a chance on the lower timeframes for gold to drop back into this area