Breaking through 3350, the bullish trend remains unchanged📰 News information:
1. Pay attention to the impact of Trump administration tariffs
📈 Technical Analysis:
Possible interest rate cuts and tariffs in the fall continue to stimulate risk aversion. Currently, the 3300-3285-3310 points form a head and shoulders bottom pattern. The bullish momentum is relatively strong in the short term. Our short trade near 41 has hit the stop loss. As I wrote before, gold may continue to rise to 3360 or 3365 after breaking through 3350. The current RSI indicator is seriously oversold, so be cautious when operating in a unilateral trend in the short term. The safe way is to wait for a pullback to 3345-3340 to go long
🎯 Trading Points:
BUY 3345-3340
TP 3360-3370-3400
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
Candlestick Analysis
Bulls rise, beware of Friday's black swan📰 News information:
1. Pay attention to the impact of Trump administration tariffs
📈 Technical Analysis:
Gold rose as expected and touched around 3344, which was in line with our judgment last night. However, from the market point of view, the K-line entity did not stand firmly above 3335. There are only two possible scenarios for the subsequent trend of gold. One is to stand directly above and test the 3345 resistance again, and the other is to fall in the European and American markets due to timeliness and retest the key support of 3310. At present, the upper positions are 3345 and 3365 respectively. If 3345 is repeatedly not broken and the European market falls with acceleration, then the 3310 area will still need to take back the long positions, which can be defined as a long wide-range wash. 3330-3320 is a very critical support position, and 3310 is a strong support. Therefore, the best position for shorting during the day is around 3335-3345, with the target at 3330-3320. Consider long positions after falling back and getting support here.
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3335-3345
TP 3330-3320
BUY 3330-3320
TP 3345-3365
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
OANDA:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
DXY (USD Basket) - 3 Month - Short Squeeze In Play?Technicals:
The last 3-month candle closed above the major resistance that tends to hold according to historic levels going back to the year 1967.
Golden Cross is almost complete (50 MA crossing the 200 MA).
Fundamentals:
The dollar has only been more shorted once in history (2018), setting things up for a potential "Short Squeeze" and triggering a "Risk Off" scenario. Tends to hurt risk assets quite hard—for example, tech stocks, crypto, and other leverage plays.
A rise in the DXY could potentially trigger a "Short Squeeze" for foreign countries, companies, and investors that borrow in USD, creating "economic panic" in other countries that get their currency devalued relative to their obligations.
Countries that need USD to service their debt. With the current tariffs, the flow of dollars in the world will change. The question is: what will the effect look like in August when these tariffs start to go live? Like I mentioned before, other countries need the dollars in order to service their debt. If it gets more expensive for US consumers to import (caused by the tariffs), the exporting countries won’t get those dollars—setting it up for a buying cycle that could potentially drive the USD (DXY) higher, even to all-time highs.
Current narrative:
The narrative right now is that the USD will get "worthless," setting the stage to take more risk and use more leverage, maybe without even hedging. A surprise variable to this narrative could be devastating to the financial markets—not just in the US, but even to the world. IF/When this happens, everyone will hunt the USD once again, creating a new bullish narrative for the USD, and everyone will be forced to return to the reserve currency.
Nothing in this post should be considered financial advice. Always do your own research and analysis before investing.
TON/USDT.P (LONG OPPORTUNITY)It seems to be will take the breakout from that marked point and start the bulish trend upto marked zone. but need to keep in touch before taking the entry for the trade. we need a confirmation to take entry. So, please copy and watch the market along with the BTC also.
#btc #TON #viral
XAU/USD 11 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on two separate occasions forming a double top which is a bearish reversal pattern. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase.
Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025.
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS.
The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price.
As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Gold fluctuates, consolidation in the 3330-3310 range📰 News information:
1. Waller meeting on interest rate cuts
2. Trump tariff issues
📈 Technical Analysis:
Waller will participate in the meeting in more than two hours and pay attention to whether there is any news of interest rate cut. The key is to operate around the 3330-3310 range. Continue to pay attention to the support of 3310-3305 at night. If gold falls below 3310,-3305 again, the downward trend will continue, and it is expected to touch 3280 again, or even 3250. If it rebounds above 3330, it is likely to continue to rise.
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Go long when the trend reverses, beware of black swansYesterday's pullback to 3313-3310 confirmed the upward trend of gold. As I expected, it broke through the resistance of 3330 and touched around 3345. Currently, the short-term strong resistance is at 3345. Only by breaking through this resistance can gold maintain its upward trend. If it is blocked near the 3345 line in the short term, there is a possibility of a pullback. If 3345 breaks, there will be 3365 and 3400 above. Once the direction is clear, it will be easier to act. If there is a pullback during the day, it will give us a trading opportunity to enter the long position.
OANDA:XAUUSD
Hindustan Unilever Ltd. – Bullish Breakout with Strong MomentumHindustan Unilever opened the session with a gap-up accompanied by above-average volume, signaling strong buying interest right from the start. While the stock saw some early profit-booking, it quickly regained momentum and is currently trading near the day’s high—an encouraging sign of sustained demand.
Weekly Chart: The formation of a large bullish candle this week suggests aggressive buying and a potential shift in sentiment. This pattern indicates that the bullish momentum is likely to continue into the coming week.
Daily Chart: The stock has successfully broken out above multiple resistance levels, confirming a bullish breakout structure. The breakout is backed by volume, adding credibility to the move.
Trading Strategy:
Given the alignment of bullish signals on both the daily and weekly timeframes, a swing long position is warranted for the upcoming week. Traders may consider the following approach:
Entry: On a minor intraday pullback or a break above the current day’s high for confirmation
Stop-loss: Below the breakout level or this week’s low
Target: Next key resistance or a measured move based on the breakout range , approximately 10% from current levels
The technical setup reflects strong bullish momentum and suggests further upside potential in the near term.
GBPNZD: One More Pullback Trade I notice another potentially profitable pullback trade opportunity on 📉GBPNZD.
The price formed a double top pattern after testing a significant daily/intraday resistance and has broken through its neckline.
Currently, we are witnessing a retest, and the pair could pull back to the 2.2391 level.
BTC Roadmap Still Intact Bullish Momentum Building Toward 120KBitcoin Price action continues to validate the bullish roadmap shared in our last BTC post. The market respected the Immediate Buy Back Zone, springing from a demand backed structure into a fresh impulsive leg.
Notably, price has carved a clean 5-wave structure supported by recurring bullish pennants and continuation patterns each breakout driving momentum higher. Our target at 120,151 remains firmly intact, with price action showing healthy structure and controlled pullbacks.
The current setup remains valid as long as price holds above 106,655 and especially 100,941, which now act as structural pivot zones. Any deeper correction into the Demand Area would only serve as a re-accumulation window before the next leg.
Let’s see how price behaves into June. Momentum is aligning with structure.
Share your thoughts, like the post, and drop your setup confirmations on the comment section.
Gold’s Uptrend Is a Mirage,Bears Are Lurking Beneath!Gold has rebounded to around 3336, and seems to have tried to stand above 3335, but it has not stood firm. Therefore, it cannot be considered that the bulls have an advantage just because gold has tried to break through 3335. Recently, I have been reminding everyone that before gold stands above 3335, the bears still have the spare power to dominate the market, so I fully believe that the gold bulls and bears will fight fiercely for control around 3335!
Why do I think it is difficult for gold bulls to have a good performance in the short term? Because since gold fell and touched 3285, it has fallen below many key supports. The market is short-selling. The previous support has become a key resistance under the effect of technical top and bottom conversion, and multiple resistances are concentrated in the 3335-3345-3355 area. Under the suppression of multiple resistances, it is difficult for gold bulls to make any progress in the short term.
So before the resistance is effectively broken, I think any rebound may be an opportunity to short gold, so I will try to find the band top and short gold based on the resistance area, and now I think it is still worth a try to short gold in the 3330-3340 area as originally planned! And look at the target area of 3320-3310
Long trade
ETHUSDT 4H Chart Analysis
Date: Sat 05th July 2025, 4:00 PM
Session: London to NY AM
Key Trade Details
Entry: 2,515.17
Profit Target: 2,864.44 (+13.89%)
Stop Loss: 2,479.01 (−1.43%)
Risk-Reward: 9.66
Key Reasons for the Trade:
Bullish Breakout above 2,515, supported by strong volume surge.
Price Above EMA & WMA: Clear trend confirmation.
Strong Momentum: The RSI is overbought, indicating bullish strength, but watch for a potential short-term pullback as the price approaches resistance.
Target Zone: Prior resistance cluster at 2,820–2,860.
Current RR in Play: Trade already moving
Golden Trap: Bulls Exhausted, Bears Ready to StrikeToday, the gold market is in a stalemate between long and short positions, with the market fluctuating sideways for a long time and maintaining an overall volatile trend. Although the rebound of gold has won a respite for the bulls, the rebound of gold during the day is not enough to completely reverse the decline. I think that before the 3325-3335 area is stabilized, the bears still have spare power to dominate the market!
According to the current structure, although gold rebounded again after touching 3310 during the retracement, it has retreated many times during the rebound. The candle chart is interspersed with obvious negative candle charts, indicating that the rebound strength is weak. In the short term, it is under pressure in the 3330-3340 area, and it is difficult to break through in a short time.
So I think the role of the gold rebound may be to trap more buyers, so we try not to chase gold after the rebound. The area near 3310 is not a key support in the short term. 3305-3300 is the current key support area. Once the bears regain control of the situation, gold may test the 3305-3300 area again. Once it falls below the reformed area, it may test 3280 again, or even refresh the recent low to around 3270.
So the downward potential of gold is not over yet. We can still look for opportunities to short gold in the 3325-3335 area and look at the target 3305-3295 area.
Night range operation, technical outlook is still bearishGold fell as expected after repeated battles at 3330. Currently, gold has returned to around 3320. This shows that the rebound was mainly driven by short-term risk aversion. As market news calms down and sentiment stabilizes, the market will most likely return to the technical trend. If it unexpectedly breaks through 3330, it is expected to touch the 3345 line I mentioned this morning. The short-term 3310 line currently has certain support. From a technical point of view, I prefer to short. Once it falls below 3310, the subsequent support will move to 3295-3285. Therefore, I think it is a good choice to short again at 3320-3330.
OANDA:XAUUSD
Short gold ,the downside potential is far from over.After we waited patiently for a long time, the gold bears finally showed signs of strength and began to fall as expected. Why do I insist on being optimistic about the gold retracement and wait patiently for it to retrace? !
In fact, it is very simple. Gold started to rebound from around 3283 and touched around 3330, which only recovered 50% of the decline. When facing the 50% retracement level, the bulls were unable to do so and could not stand above 3335, and could not even stabilize above 3330. The bulls' willingness was obviously insufficient. Then it can be determined that the gold rebound is only a technical repair of the sharp drop, and it cannot be completely regarded as a reversal of the trend. Then after a certain degree of repair, the gold bears will counterattack again.
Moreover, from the perspective of market psychology, the recent gold bull and bear markets have been discontinuous, and Trump often stirs up the gold market, making it difficult for the market to stand unilaterally on the bull side. Therefore, before gold stabilizes in the 3330-3340 area, there is limited room for rebound in the short term. Once gold falls below the 3310-3305 area again during the retracement, gold may test the area around 3280 again, or even around 3270.
So the above is why I insist on shorting gold, and I have shorted gold at 3320-3330 as planned, and patiently hold the position to see its performance in the 3310-3305 area, which is also the target area of our short-term short position.
Nifty approaching Mid-channel support zone now. Nifty after a 120 point negative closing is entering an important support zone. This support zone has 3 layers. The First of the support lies at 25322 which is just above the mid-channel. The second for Nifty is near 25222 which is just below the mid channel support.
There is a possibility of bounce either from the current level or either of these 2 levels. If we get a closing below 25322 then there is a possibility that bears might try to pull Nifty down towards 25167 which is the Father line or 200 Hours EMA.
The resistances for Nifty remain at 25404, 25437 which is the Mother line or 50 hours EMA. Post that there are resistances at 25477, 25551 and 25641. Closing above 25641 is required for Nifty to fly towards 26K levels.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Nifty Analysis EOD – July 10, 2025 – Thursday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – July 10, 2025 – Thursday 🔴
"False Hopes, True Drop – Bears Tighten Their Grip"
Nifty opened with a mild 50-point gap-up, but within the very first minute, that optimism was crushed. It dropped nearly 100 points, breaching the previous day’s low, and entered the key support zone of 25405–25418, which held briefly for about half an hour.
But this wasn’t a day for bulls.
After a weak attempt to recover from the 25360 support (which held twice intraday), sellers regained momentum, dragged the index further down, and finally closed at the lowest point of the day – 25348.
🔸 Expiry volatility played its part — trapping option buyers and luring them into false reversals.
🔸 However, quick scalpers and intraday short-sellers likely capitalized well.
🔸 The structure was decisively bearish, with no meaningful intraday bounce.
Tomorrow becomes crucial.
Bulls have one last stronghold at the 25300 level.
Bears, already in charge, may extend the damage further if this breaks.
⚠️ Bias Levels:
🟢 Bullish above: 25420
🔴 Bearish below: 25290
⚪ Between = Neutral / Watch Mode
🕯 5 Min Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 25,511.65
High: 25,524.05
Low: 25,340.45
Close: 25,355.25
Change: −120.85 (−0.47%)
📊 Candle Structure Breakdown
Real Body: 156.40 points – large red candle
Upper Wick: 12.40 points – minimal bullish push
Lower Wick: 14.80 points – bears kept pressure till close
🔍 Interpretation
Bears took over early and never let go
The close at day low shows strong conviction from sellers
Lack of significant wicks → no real fight from bulls
🕯 Candle Type
Bearish Marubozu-style candle – clear sign of dominance by sellers, and potential for continuation if no quick reversal
📌 Key Insight
Market is in a critical zone — hovering above the edge of deeper correction
25300–25290 is the line in the sand
A breakdown below can target 25,200–25,250
Bulls can only regain momentum above 25,420
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 189.49
IB Range: 113.75 → Medium IB
Market Structure: 🟡 Balanced
Trades Triggered
10:52 AM – Short Trade → 🎯 Trail SL Hit (R:R 1:0.38)
📌 Support & Resistance Zones
Resistance Levels
25,380
25,405 ~ 25,418
25,470 ~ 25,480
25,530
25,545 ~ 25,550
Support Levels
25,315 ~ 25,295
25,260
25,212 ~ 25,180
25,125
💭 Final Thoughts
"Expiry days often blur the picture, but today’s price action was sharp. Unless bulls step up quickly, the breakdown may just be getting started."
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
Bearish is still the main trend, first test 3250 supportYesterday, as the market expected a trade agreement to be reached between the US and its trading partners, risk sentiment was boosted. The strengthening of DXY and the rise in US Treasury yields put some pressure on gold.
On Monday, gold rebounded to 3320, and on Tuesday it touched above 3320 and began to fall sharply. In the short term, 3320 is a key trading position that we need to pay attention to. From the daily chart, the support line of 3320 has been completely broken, and the two major support points below are 3250 and 3200 respectively. Judging from the 4H chart, the decline may have just begun. Next, we may first face a test of the 3250 support line. If the 3250 support can be maintained, gold will maintain a volatile consolidation in the short term. Otherwise, if it falls below 3250, it will test the 3200 mark.
OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold fluctuates, continue to short at 3345 during the dayTrump's trade policy continues to stimulate risk aversion. Although the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes are neutral, they can potentially provide support for gold. Yesterday we gave the short positions of 3321 and 3333, which have generated profits so far. At the same time, it should be noted that the 4H MACD indicator has the potential demand to form a golden cross. In the short term, there is a certain suppression force at 3330-3335. If the Asian and European sessions repeatedly test this position but fail to break through effectively, you can go short without hesitation. If you want to go short again during the day, you can consider 3340-3345 and defend 3350. The lower 3310-3305 is a relatively strong support area during the day. If the Asian session retreats to this point, you can consider going long, with the target looking at 3330-3335.
OANDA:XAUUSD
Perfect prediction, pay attention to the high short entry pointTrump extended the tariff agreement to August 1 and began to collect tariffs again. Although it eased market tensions, his remarks will not be extended after the expiration, and he issued a tariff threat, which increased global trade uncertainty and pushed up risk aversion. There was no clear direction coming out of the Fed's meeting minutes last night, but the potential bias was bullish.
At the beginning of the Asian session this morning, I also indicated that gold would rise and then fall. At present, it has reached the highest point near 3325 and then began to retreat, but the 4H golden cross has just been formed. There is still a certain pressure above 3333. If the gold price repeatedly competes for this position, we can continue to short without hesitation. The second short position today is near 3340-3345. There is potential momentum for the bulls in the short term. If the European session continues to fluctuate below 3333, then the entry of short positions will be slightly more stable. Yesterday, short orders were given at the key points of 3321 and 3333, and TP looked at 3310. If the bulls re-emerge below 3310-3305, you can consider short-term long positions and target 3330-3335.
Gold rebounds as expected, NY focuses on the Fed meeting📰 News information:
1. Federal Reserve meeting minutes
📈 Technical Analysis:
Gold fell into a narrow range of fluctuations during the European trading session. As I said this morning, gold is expected to rebound in the short term and the bullish momentum needs to be released. From a technical perspective, the overall market is still in a volatile pattern. The support at the 3280 level below is still a key point that needs attention in the short term. The European session has repeatedly tested this area. If it falls below this support, it is expected to touch the 3250 level as I said. While guarding against gold diving during the NY session, the upper resistance of 3315-3321 cannot be ignored to prevent bullish retaliation.
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3315-3321-3333
TP 3300-3290-3280-3250
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
OANDA:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
CHAINLINK (LINKUSD): Very Bullish Outlook
I see 2 strong bullish confirmations on LinkUSD on a daily time frame.
The price violated 2 significant structures: a vertical falling resistance - a trend line
and a neckline of an inverted head & shoulders pattern.
With a high probability, the market will rise more.
Next resistance - 15.38
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