USD/JPY Rebounds from Support — Bulls Back in Play?USD/JPY looks like it’s found its feet. After tagging support near the April VPOC (142.71) and 6 May low (142.36), Thursday’s session printed the first bullish candle in over a week — a spinning top just above key support.
The daily RSI (2) bounced from its most oversold reading in a month, and the 1-hour chart shows bullish divergence on the RSI (14), now comfortably above 50.
Price has lifted from the monthly S2 and is circling S1. If USD/JPY can push through yesterday’s high (144.40), I’m looking toward 145, 145.86 and potentially the 146 handle, which aligns with the monthly pivot at 146.38.
** Please note that Japan's CPI data drops in ~25 mins **
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Candlestick Analysis
GBP/JPY Holds Key Support as Bullish Momentum BuildsA bullish setup has emerged on GBP/JPY, with recent price action suggesting bullish momentum is building. With GBP strengthening against USD, GBP/JPY may present a higher-probability bullish scenario compared to USD/JPY in the near term (though this also looks bullish to my eyes over the near term).
GBP/JPY held above key moving averages midweek. GBP/JPY failed to close below its 200-day SMA on both Wednesday and Thursday, while yesterday’s session also respected support at the 50-day EMA and the 192.00 handle.
Momentum indicators support the bullish case, with the daily RSI trading above 50 after rebounding from its most oversold level in six weeks.
As long as prices hold above Thursday’s low, bulls may look for a retest of the cycle highs near 196.00.
** Please note that Japan's CPI data drops in >30 minutes **
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Should You Invest in Uniswap $UNI Crypto Right Now?Grab your popcorn, or whatever you vibe with—because today I will analyze Uniswap. Yep, the decentralized trading protocol that lets you swap tokens like Pokémon cards, but without asking mom for permission.
So, what is Uniswap? Simple. It’s like the vending machine of the crypto world. Wanna swap your Ethereum CRYPTOCAP:ETH for some Shiba Inu? Go ahead. No sign-up. It’s peer-to-peer, decentralized.
Remember those juicy monthly demand levels at $3.868 and $4.750 we discussed at the Set and Forget Trading Community? Yeah, those weren't just random numbers pulled from a bingo machine. That’s where big buyers stepped in, creating a supply and demand imbalances. Translation: There were way more people wanting to buy than sell, which made the price go UP. Magic? No. Just basic market dynamics, people.
And guess what? Those levels played out beautifully. Buyers showed up, price popped, and if you were patient, you got paid. If you weren’t… well, you can enjoy your bag of regrets.
Now, here’s where it gets interesting. The daily timeframe is now trending UP. We’ve officially seen the creation of a fresh imbalance at $5.19. That’s our new price level for buying Uniswap. But are we buying right now? NOPE.
Because here’s the golden rule of trading and investing: Patience is key. I know, I know—it’s boring. Waiting feels like watching paint dry… but on the blockchain. But trust me, the market doesn’t care about your feelings or my feelings.
We're waiting for price to pull back into $5.19, where the last big buyers left a footprint the size of a crypto whale. When will it get there? We don't know. THEN we’ll look to repurchase. Not before.
So remember—Uniswap is a beast in the DeFi world. Supply and demand is your best friend. And above all, don’t chase the pump. Let it come to you. Like a well-trained dog… or a well-behaved altcoin.
The gold trend takes a sharp turn, is a bear market coming?🗞News side:
1. PMI and initial jobless claims data
2. Geopolitical situation
3. Progress of the G7 meeting
📈Technical aspects:
During the Asian session, gold prices approached a two-week high. However, as the market digests the previous positive news and European and American economic data are about to be released intensively, gold's short-term trend faces uncertainty. The key data that everyone needs to pay attention to today include the May PMI data and the number of initial jobless claims in the United States. At the same time, the international trade situation, geopolitical dynamics, the progress of the G7 meeting and the speeches of Federal Reserve officials may have an impact on the market, so it is recommended that everyone keep a close eye on the impact of the news. Judging from the 4H market trend, the US market is paying attention to the short-term support around 3280-3275. Once it stabilizes above 3280, you can arrange to go long. On the contrary, once it falls below 3280-3275, it is possible to fall to the important support area of 3260-3250.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Nifty Analysis EOD – May 22, 2025 – Thursday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – May 22, 2025 – Thursday 🔴
Nifty weekly expiry, shocking climax...!
📉 Nifty Summary:
A 66-point gap-down set the stage, followed by a quick 196-point slide within the first 20 minutes, bottoming out at 24,541.60. From here, the index attempted a bounce but faced stiff resistance at the 24,625 ~ 24,640 zone—not once, but twice. This zone flipped polarity and began acting as resistance instead of support.
The third breakdown at 12:45 PM finally breached the day’s low, taking Nifty to a new bottom of 24,509.10, and then further to 24,462.40 by 2:35 PM. But just when it looked like the bulls were done for, the market made a shocking expiry bounce, recovering sharply to close at 24,637, back inside the crucial 24,625 ~ 24,640 zone.
🛡 5 Min Chart with levels
🔄 The day’s character was mostly range-bound post the initial fall, with a 90-point band until the IB Low was broken. The fall lacked strong conviction—signs of both bulls and bears trying to dominate but failing to sustain.
The final hour’s rebound was the real drama—profit booking, fresh buying, and expiry short covering all collided to cause a spike that caught many off-guard. A classic expiry move—some traders hurt, some became heroes.
📌 Yesterday’s Note Reference:
"Below 24640–24625, weakness may extend down towards: → 24500 → 24460."
✅ Market played by the script, touched 24500, and 24460 got hit too.
📉 Is the retracement run finished?
Technically, YES.
A bold call, but unless global headwinds reappear, today’s low must sustain.
If it doesn’t, watch for the 24,330 ~ 24,365 zone as the last guard. Breach that? Gap-fillers may run wild down to 24,160 ~ 24,008.
Not a trade plan—just technical facts. Let's see what the tape reveals next.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
🥷 Gladiator Strategy Update
Strategy Parameters
ATR: 327.22
IB Range: 195.90 → Medium IB
Market Structure: Imbalanced
Trade Highlights
✅ 1st Long Trigger: 12:45 PM – Target Achieved (R:R = 1:1)
💼 Total Trades: 1
🕯 Daily Time Frame Chart
📊 Support & Resistance Levels
🔺 Resistance Zones:
• 24,768 ~ 24,820
• 24,660
• 24,640 ~ 24,625
• 24,882
• 24,920
• 24,980 ~ 25,000
• 25,062 ~ 25,070
🔻 Support Zones:
• 24,590
• 24,530 ~ 24,480
• 24,460
🧠 Final Thoughts
"Markets don’t trap you; your lack of preparation does."
Today was a pure example of expiry surprise—respect the zones, follow the structure, and keep adapting.
✏️ Disclaimer ✏️
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
AAP to $40-43 on positive earnings report in 2 days?1. Fundamentals
The company was beaten down because of losing competition. This is a retail auto parts store chain, and not az OEM supplier.
The company presented a relatively good 2024 Q4 earnings in February, but fell on weak guidance.
Insiders bought shares in 2025 March
They completed a restructuring plan in 2024, because of margin collapse.
Earnings expectations are low, i guess they can be profitable for 2025Q1 if they presents the analyst expectations for revenue of 2.5B. (Analysts expecting this with a negative EPS)
2. Technicals
42% correction between 2025 February and April (i guess everyone remembers the day on April, so i don't need to tell the exact date, lol)
First higher high on April 23.
This was taken out on May 16., now we are in uptrend.
The stock took out the 50MA
Look left: 2024 december the stock plunged 42%, then consolidated, regained the 50MA and rallied 25% in 25 days - history repeating?
Long-term i have much higher price targets, ever triple digits!
I expect $39-40 on earnings and $43 in July.
DOW JONES INDEX (US30): Your Plan to Buy Explained
There is a high chance that US30 will resume growth soon.
The index is currently testing a wide daily support cluster.
My signal to buy will be a bullish violation and a candle close above
41920 minor horizontal resistance.
A bullish movement will be anticipated at least to 42200 level then.
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Intraday volatility,there is still chance to go long on pullback🗞News side:
1. The situation in Israel escalates
2. Initial jobless claims data
📈Technical aspects:
Influenced by recent news, gold showed a volatile rebound trend. Gold continued to rise in the early Asian session, r OANDA:XAUUSD eaching a high of around 3345. The 3290-3300 level below has absolute support in the short term. As long as it does not fall below 3290, you can go long at 3290-3300. In the 4H cycle, the Bollinger opening and the moving average diverge upwards. The upward momentum is sufficient, and it is not easy to guess the top. Pay attention to the 3310-3300 line of support below, and pay attention to the suppression of the 3340-3350 area above. If the gold price stabilizes at 3350, it is expected to further explore the resistance of 3360-3370. If the European session falls into volatility, maintain the range of high selling and low buying, and consider going long when it retreats to the support level of 3320-3310.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD
Bitcoin has officially entered price discovery on the Monthly📊 Bitcoin has officially entered price discovery on the Monthly chart.
With the previous cycle ATH ($69K) reclaimed and defended, BTC now prints monthly structure above $110K — marking a historic shift in macro trend.
🔼 Key upside levels:
• $128K – primary fib expansion
• $150K+ – extended cycle projection
There is no historical resistance ahead.
This is uncharted territory — and the market is writing a new chapter.
EURNZD: Pullback From Resistance Confirmed?! 🇪🇺🇳🇿
Odds are high that EURNZD will retrace from the underlined blue resistance.
The pair looks bearish from the intraday perspective after a release
of German fundamentals this morning.
I think that the price may drop to 1.9027 level.
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I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Learn Best Candlestick Pattern For Trend Trading Gold XAUUSD
This secret pattern will change the way you trade Gold XAUUSD.
If you study technical analysis in Gold trading, there is one unique candlestick pattern that you absolutely need to know.
In this article, you will learn the structure and the meaning of one of the most accurate candlesticks in Gold trading.
I will teach you how to recognize this pattern and how to trade it for maximum profits.
Let's start with some theory and let me show you how this candlestick pattern looks.
This candlestick pattern is called inside bar.
It is based on a combination of at least 3 candles.
The first candlestick in a sequence should be a strong bullish or bearish candle. The consequent candles should strictly close within its range.
If at least 2 candles close within the range of the first candle with its bodies, that will be a valid inside bar.
The first candle will always be called the mother's bar , while the following candles will be called the inside bars.
That's a perfect example of the inside bar pattern on Gold XAUUSD chart on a daily.
This pattern is based on 2 important elements that you should always pay close attention to.
The upper boundary of the range of the mother's bar will compose a significant resistance that will provide a safe place to sell.
While the lower boundary of the range of the mother's bar will be a strong support to buy Gold from.
Look how nicely Gold price respected the resistance of the range, dropped to its support and started to grow then.
Once you identified the inside bar, you can easily trade it within the range.
However, I strictly recommend waiting for a confirmation signal before you place a trade.
One of the proven confirmations is a price action signal on lower time frames.
In the example above, Gold formed a bullish chart pattern - double bottom after a test of a support and a bearish pattern - head and shoulders after a test of a resistance.
Remember that the market can not stay within the range of the inside bar candlestick pattern forever.
Bullish violation and a candle close above the range will be a strong signal to buy Gold.
While, a bearish breakout of its range will provide a strong bearish confirmation.
That's how a breakout of the underlined resistance triggered a strong rally on Gold.
Inside bar is the essential pattern both for the gold swing traders and day traders.
This pattern provides a lot of profitable trading opportunities, being very simple to recognize.
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I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
S&P ES Long setup target 5963.50 / Calls SPY target 596Fibonacci technical analysis : S&P 500 E-mini Futures CME_MINI:ES1! has already found support at the Fib level 78.6% (5623.50) of my Down Fib. Last Daily candle (May 2) has closed above retracement Fib level 78.6%. My Down Fib guides me to look for CME_MINI:ES1! to eventually go up to hit first target at Fib level 127.2% (5963.50).
CME_MINI:ES1! – Target 1 at 127.2% (5963.50), Target 2 at 161.8% (6205.50) and Target 3 at 178.6 (6322.75)
Stop loss slightly below the 61.8% retracement Fib level (5506.25).
Option Traders : My AMEX:SPY chart Down Fib shows price to go up to Target 1 at 127.2% (595.82), Target 2 at 161.8% (620.50) and Target 3 at 178.6 (632.50)
Stop loss slightly below the 61.8% retracement Fib level (549).
Enjoy the trading process and take time to smell the roses🌹
MES Short🔴 High Risk Short
Bearish Market Structure Shift caused by price meeting origin of Daily MSS from Mar04. Trade mapped on the hourly timeframe; focusing on impulsive swing high at $5956.25 that created MSS.
Entry on measured 61.8% fib retracement @ $5914.75.
TP1: $5873.25 (1R)
TP2: $5822.25 (2.25R)
Second take profit level lines up with both 200SMA + bullish 4H channel support , adding confluence to trade idea. It stands to reason price will retest the support of a longstanding bullish channel.
Notes:
•Stops moved to BE once TP1 hit
•Trade is high-risk due to SL having no significant higher timeframe importance.
The reason I’m focusing on this leg of price action rather than the 4H high at $5993.25, is because this hourly high specifically created the higher timeframe MSS. It suggests there’s an unusually high amount of sellers at that level.
3M Wave Analysis – 21 May 2025
- 3M reversed from multi-month resistance level 154.00
- Likely to fall to support level 145.00
3M recently reversed down from the multi-month resistance level 154.00 (which has been reversing the price from the end of January) intersecting with the upper daily Bollinger Band.
The downward reversal from the resistance level 154.00 formed the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Evening Star.
Given the strength of the resistance level 154.00 and the overbought daily Stochastic, 3M can be expected to fall to the next support level 145.00.
Long trade
1Hr TF overview
🟩 Buyside Trade Log
📈 Pair: SHIB/USDT
🏷️ Type: Intraday | NY Session PM
🧠 Setup: Wyckoff Accumulation (Breakout Phase)
📅 Date: Monday, 19th May 2025
🕐 Time: 1:00 PM (1.55 pm)
🔹 Entry Price: 0.00001393
🔹 Profit Target: 0.00001535 (+10.19%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 0.00001388 (-0.36%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 28.4
🔍 Reasoning:
The trade was structured around the Wyckoff Accumulation narrative, where the price completed its consolidation phase and transitioned into a breakout from the resistance ceiling. This move followed clear signs of absorption, a spring phase, and confirmation via higher lows within a trading range. Volume confirmed the breakout leg during the NY PM session.
5min TF entry
Observe the failed first attempt (which provided the consolidation range) and added further conviction to the buy-side entry 2nd attempt.
CADCHF update!!Good day traders, I’m back with yet another update on CadChf and if I can remember well I mentioned the first time I posted this setup that this one is special because it offer us opportunities to learn and get to see if what ICT(Micheal.J) says about his concepts true or not, for me they work!!
The first setup I posted here and the second one will both be tagged in the description below just to support my ideology and how I came about this setup. On the first setup there was a large wick that i stated should be considered as a Gap and we saw price close above it to balance that gap. And you move one TF higher on your weekly there you’ll see that price has failed multiple times to balance that weekly VI, back on our daily TF we can see that price did not fully trade through that 1st.PFVG and we want to see it come back to fully trade through the gap.
Overall bias is BUYSIDE LIQUIDITY!!
How to arrange after gold falls into consolidation🗞News side:
1. US officials said Trump's statement was related to the Golden Dome Project, which may affect the flow of funds
2. The tension in the Middle East has intensified, and the risk aversion sentiment has increased, which is good for gold
3. Although the withdrawal of Indian and Pakistani troops has eased the regional situation, geopolitical risks still exist
4. Trump mentioned the tax bill, which affected economic expectations and affected gold investment sentiment to a certain extent.
📈Technical aspects:
At present, gold is in consolidation, and the upward trend is slightly stagnant. From the hourly chart, there are signs of downward correction after the upward test of 3320. In the short term, the upper 3320 line has a certain suppression, so gold may test the support again and then rise after stabilizing. Then the first support below is the 3292 line, followed by the 3285 line. If it falls below, it may test the two key support points of 3273 and 3265. The current trend is not clear. In the future trading, we will wait patiently for the gold price to stabilize before entering the market.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD