Bitcoin (BTCUSD) - End of January AnalysisBitcoin and the Stock index market are amazing for comparing how fundamental news impacts these asset classes.
Both markets don’t have a strong correlation when we look at the price charts but the biggest thing they have in common is Artificial Intelligence meaning any negative news that is released will affect the price of both classes classes.
We have seen weakness on the weekly timeframe with the chance of a draw down into a discount below $90,000.
Candlestick Analysis
EUR/USD - End of January AnalysisA lot more indecision on the monthly timeframe, closing bullish inside of the previous monthly candle.
Does this signify a possibility for a short term rally?
In this analysis, I cover the possibilities of a retracement back inside of the weekly range or a continuation into the higher timeframe arrays.
Dow Jones (March 2025) - End of January AnalysisSimilar to Nasdaq and S&P, although we have closed bullish for the month, Donald Trump has made an announcement that tariffs will be placed in Mexico, Canada and China at a rate of 25% & 10%, which the market did not seem to like on the Friday.
Intraday timeframes tell a different story to what the macro market structure is dictating.
Short term, we could be in for a bearish retracement, rooting out all the stubborn traders who have a medium to long term trade on whilst trailing their stop.
Very interested this month with how YM, NQ and ES delivers.
Nasdaq (March 2025) - End of January AnalysisNasdaq was set for weekly losses due to the rout that DeepSeek caused; revealing the breakthrough they had with low-cost artificial intelligence models. This caused a bloodbath in AI linked stocks.
Technically speaking, we closed the month bullish but was still within a price range of the previous month, December 2024.
Anything higher than 50% of the December monthly wick would give me the confidence to continue the bullish bias but I see the opportunity for a short-term market shift back into a area of previous rejections @ $20,025 - $20,428 so this is what I am looking toward until proven otherwise.
Candle body closure above $22,093.50 will change my monthly bias to bullish as this will go hand in hand with my 6-month perspective
Nasdaq (March 2025) - AI All-Time High Boom!Nasdaq is trailing higher, just as ES and YM are but the market to watchout for is ES. Refer to this weeks analysis of ES to gain a deeper understanding.
Unlike ES where i am targeting all-time highs, I am more fascinated with the midpoint of the highs and open of the 16th Dec 2024 weekly candle as I would like to study how price reacts from this area.
S&P 500 (March 2025) - Expecting Resistance At All-Time HighsA rally to ATH is always a good sight to see but what I don't want to see is a fake out, especially in the higher timeframes like the weekly or daily.
Candlesticks like doji's, shooting stars just above ATH can increase the likelihood of a retracement back down into previous inefficiencies.
For the next two weeks, we all are going to be on a wild ride!
XRP/USD Trade Update - Liquidity Grab & Potential Reversal I’m still holding my XRP/USD long position, but price recently broke to the downside from a wedge formation. Instead of continuing directly toward my TP, it’s now seeking engineered liquidity before making its next move.
🔎 Key Observations:
✅ Liquidity Grab: Price is dipping into a key liquidity zone, sweeping weak hands before a potential move back up.
✅ 30M Order Block: I’ve identified a demand zone around 2.8170, which could act as support for a reversal.
✅ Bullish Continuation? If price holds the 2.8170 area and reacts strongly, I anticipate a move back toward TP levels. However, if this zone fails, I’ll reassess my bias.
🎯 Plan Moving Forward:
📌 Watching the 30M order block reaction closely.
📌 If bullish confirmation appears, I expect a push back toward my TP.
📌 If invalidated, I’ll adjust my trade accordingly.
Let me know what you think—are you still bullish on XRP/USD? Drop your thoughts in the comments!
#XRPUSD #SmartMoneyConcepts #Liquidity #OrderBlocks #Forex #CryptoTrading
Bless Trading!
Long trade
10-sec observation
Volume Analysis indicator observation
Pair BTCUSD
Sat 1st Feb 25
3.50 pm
NY Session PM
Buyside Trade idea
Entry 101014.1
Profit level 102181.6 (1.16%)
Stop level 100987.7 (0.03%)
RR 44.22
10sec Entry
This buyside trade idea is based on supply and demand dynamics and observed price action in the 10-second time frame (10sec TF) for snipper entry. Reason for entry observation of downtrend (look left) and exhaustion of selling pressure utilising Volume analysis indicator.
Long trade
1Hr TF overview
Pair: UNIUSDT
Buyside Trade Setup
Entry: 11.384
Profit Level: 12.037 (+5.74%)
Stop Level: 11.288 (-0.84%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 6.8
Thought Process:
This buyside trade idea is based on supply and demand dynamics and observed price action in the 30-minute timeframe (30M TF).
Assessing the overall swing structure while monitoring the fractal structure for directional bias.
PD array considerations include premium and discount influences, further guiding trade execution within the framework of market efficiency.
A recent unsuccessful sell-side trade provided additional confluence for the buy-side setup, reinforcing the presence of a respected demand zone.
The ultimate target is swing high (TP3).
XAU/USD: Bearish Continuation Setup with SMC Framework~On the 4H chart, the previous bullish structure shifted to bearish intent after breaking the recent major higher low (HL). This confirmed a change of character (CHoCH) and suggested a potential trend reversal. Following the break, price took out buy-side liquidity (BSL) as inducement and fully mitigated the supply zone/order flow area, solidifying the bearish bias.
~Lower Timeframe Plan (30M & 5M):
As we approach the Sunday evening or Monday opening, I am closely watching the 30-minute chart for confirmation of a CHoCH that aligns with the 4H bearish intent. Once the CHoCH on the 30M is validated, I will refine my entry on the 5-minute chart by looking for a CHoCH flip into a precise order block or order flow zone.
Expectations:
I anticipate price to respect the mitigated supply zone on the 4H and continue its bearish trend. My targets are set at liquidity zones aligned with the higher timeframe structure. I will patiently wait for the setup to develop in alignment with Smart Money Concepts (SMC) principles, focusing on structure, liquidity inducements, and precise entries.
Key Levels:
• 4H bearish intent confirmed after HL break.
• 30M CHoCH confirmation: Awaiting.
• 5M entry: Pending precise setup during Sunday evening or Monday open.
Let’s Connect:
Does this setup align with your perspective on XAU/USD? Drop your thoughts or questions below!
Bless trading!
Strongest Reversal Candlestick Patterns For Gold & Forex
In this educational article, we will discuss powerful reversal candlestick patterns that every trader must know.
Bullish Engulfing Candle
Bullish engulfing candle is one of my favourite ones.
It usually indicates the initiation of a bullish movement after a strong bearish wave.
The main element of this pattern is a relatively big body. Being bigger than the entire range of the previous (bearish) candle, it should completely "engulf" that.
Such a formation indicates the strength of the buyers and their willingness to push the price higher.
Bullish engulfing candle that I spotted on Gold chart gave a perfect bullish trend-following signal.
Bearish Engulfing Candle
The main element of this pattern is a relatively big body that is bigger than the entire range of the previous (bullish) candle.
Such a formation indicates the strength of the sellers and their willingness to push the price lower.
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Bullish Inside Bar
Inside bar formation is a classic indecision pattern.
It usually forms after a strong bullish/bearish impulse and signifies a consolidation .
The pattern consists of 2 main elements:
mother's bar - a relatively strong bullish or bearish candle,
inside bars - the following candles that a trading within the range of the mother's bar.
The breakout of the range of the mother's bar may quite accurately confirm the reversal.
A bullish breakout of its range and a candle close above that usually initiates a strong bullish movement.
Bearish Inside Bar
A bearish breakout of the range of the mother's bar and a candle close below that usually initiates a strong bearish movement.
Bearish breakout of the range of the mother's bar candlestick provided a strong bearish signal
on EURUSD.
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Doji Candle (Morning Star)
By a Doji we mean a candle that has the same opening and closing price.
Being formed after a strong bearish move, such a Doji will be called a Morning Star. It signifies the oversold condition of the market and the local weakness of sellers.
Such a formation may quite accurately indicate a coming bullish movement.
Doji Candle (Evening Star)
Being formed after a strong bullish move, such a Doji will be called an Evening Star. It signifies the overbought condition of the market and the local weakness of buyers.
Such a formation may quite accurately indicate a coming bearish movement.
Above is a perfect example of a doji candle and a consequent bearish movement on Silver.
I apply these formations for making predictions on financial markets every day. They perfectly work on Forex, Futures, Crypto markets and show their efficiency on various time frames.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
AT&T Wave Analysis – 31 January 2025
- AT&T reversed from long-term resistance level 25.00
- Likely to fall to support level 23.00.
AT&T is under the bearish pressure after the price failed to break above the long-term resistance level 25.00 (which has been reversing the price from the start of 2020), standing above the upper weekly Bollinger Band.
The downward reversal from the resistance level 25.00 will likely form the weekly Shooting Star (strong sell signal for AT&T) – if the price closes this week near the current levels.
Given the strength of the resistance level 25.00, AT&T can be expected to fall to the next support level 23.00.
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) - $99,000 Would Really Piss People Off!When Technicals talk, I listen.
Weakness is starting to show inside of a premium range after an attempt on all-time highs whilst Donald Trump made an announcement on Monday.
As somebody who is pro-crypto, such speeches should strengthen the price of Bitcoin but the opposite happened.
Smart individuals buy when there is panic in the marketplace and there is plenty of opportunity to dollar cost into BTC below FWB:88K but for the time being, $99k is the price point to keep an eye out for.
BTC | W-BOTTOM Pattern Continuation - UPDATEA quick continuation on yesterday's BTC update, with regards to the bullish W bottom pattern that likely takes us into the new ATH.
There are a few conditions that need to be met in order to "secure" the W pattern, but we're currently not seeing these conditions met. The good news, is that it's beginning to look more like a cup an handle pattern, also a bullish pattern.
This daily lose and especially the weekly close is going to be a KEY candle close to watch.
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Optimism/USD AnalysisOptimism/USD Analysis:
The pair has been in a short-term downtrend but is now approaching a strong support level. A bullish reversal is expected if the price respects this support, confirmed by technical signals such as a bullish engulfing candlestick pattern or other momentum indicators.
Key Takeaways:
Support Zone: A critical level to monitor for potential bullish confirmation.
Confirmation Signals: Bullish engulfing candle or shifts in momentum indicators.
Bias: Bullish reversal potential if the support holds.
What are your thoughts on this setup? Let’s discuss!
Short trade
Sellside trade idea
Wed 29th Jan 25
10.30 am
LND to NY Session AM
Entry 1min TF
Entry 3405.98
Profit level 3269.30 (4.01%)
Stop level 3426.09 (0.59%)
RR 6.8
Reason: 15-min TF observation of price action since 28th Jan 25. Price seems to have reached a pivotal supply level and exhaustion indicative of a sellside trade.
Short trade
Sellside trade idea
Wed 29th Jan 25
10.30 am
LND to NY Session AM
Entry 1min TF
Entry 32.445
Profit level 32.025 (1.29%)
Stop level 32.585 (0.43%)
RR 3
Target NY low
Reason: Buyside momentum was starting to fade, and exhaustion seemed to suggest a sell-side opportunity at a pivotal supply level.