EurUsd Trade IdeaI'm anticipating a sell on EU at 1.14165 or probably 1.14263.
First draw on Liquidity 🧲 is 1.12458
While I'm expecting the price to reach a monthly level of 1.11345 that just got broken to the upside, resting in an H4 Fvg to fill the the imbalance and continue to the upside.
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Candlestick Analysis
BLOODY FEBRUARY TO GREENY SUMMERFrom my initial Technical analysis from 100k down to 74k last february where we at now? so we have filled the CME gap and grabbed some liquidities. Price broke out from the trendline and now we goin to see some green daily/weekly candles to retest the 100k levels. If this fails to make an all time high. 2026 might be the bear market so hold your horses. and ready your capital bois.
Just a couple of observations.The bullish divergence has been confirmed.
The first weekly green candle Heikin Ashi since the beginning of Feb.
The reversal can be very tricky.
Don't even look that kijun and tenkan make a possible cross.
With this combination it can be some sideways movement but not more.
How low Can the Dollar Go? And What It Could Mean for EUR/USDThe US dollar index has handed back all of its Q4 gains with traders betting that Trump's trade war will do more damage than good to the US economy. I update my levels on the US dollar index and EUR/USD charts then wrap up market exposure to USD index futures.
AUDCAD Wave Analysis – 14 April 2025
- AUDCAD reversed from the support zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 0.8860
AUDCAD currency pair recently reversed up from the support zone located at the intersection of the long-term support level 0.8600 (which started two weekly uptrends from 2022) and the lower weekly Bollinger Band.
The upward reversal from this support area created the weekly Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Piercing Line.
Given the strength of the aforementioned support zone, AUDCAD currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 0.8860, the former strong support from January.
GBPUSD - Intraday Analysis: Expect a slight correctionIt is true that the order flow is bullish on the daily timeframe, but on this timeframe, the price has reached an order block. Considering the price reaching a P/D array on the 4-hour timeframe, I expect the price to move towards clearing the liquidity of the internal range on the 15-minute timeframe after clearing the liquidity of the external range.
Short trade
15min TF overview
📉 Trade Breakdown – Sell-Side (EUR/GBP)
📅 Date: Monday, April 14, 2025
⏰ Time: 3:30 AM – London Session AM
📈 Pair: EUR/GBP
🧭 Direction: Short (Sell)
Trade Parameters:
Entry: 0.86547
Take Profit (TP): 0.85986 (–0.65%)
Stop Loss (SL): 0.86725 (+0.21%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 3.15
🧠 Trade Narrative:
This early London session is a short-term trade idea
Reversing from a premium zone, targeting a clear drop back into discount or mid-range.
Does the Nasdaq keep dropping after approaching the nearby high?I have 2 zone that are coded as a "no close above" that should have held no issue
The reason why I am short mainly is because we haven't visit 50% of the New Week Opening Gap and we have rejected from 50% of the bearish gap above the range. As well as volumetric divergence after the rally.
I want to see this gap at least partially filled before anything else this week can happen.
Gold’s decline is not over yet, aim at: 3160-3150Gold fell below the 3200 mark several times during the test. Although it recovered above 3200 several times, the rebound momentum is gradually weakening, giving short sellers the opportunity to counterattack.
From the perspective of the morphological structure, gold has perfectly constructed an arc top structure, laying a solid foundation for gold to usher in a retracement at any time. The 4-hour candle chart shows that the fall has just begun, so gold still has plenty of room for retracement. At present, gold has rebounded slightly after touching around 3200, but if it cannot break through the 3216-3220 zone during the rebound, it will further confirm the downward trend of gold, then gold will inevitably retreat to the 3160-3150 zone, and in the process of decline, once the profit chips are cashed in or even panic selling is triggered, gold may even have the opportunity to retreat to the 3130-3120 zone!
Therefore, in terms of short-term trading, I still advocate shorting gold in batches. The decline of gold has not ended. Let us look forward to gold bringing us huge profits during the retracement!
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Risks gradually accumulate, and short gold in batchesAt present, the highest price of gold has reached around 3244, but it soon fell back to below 3240; and the PPI data is obviously bullish for gold, but gold has not shown a significant upward fluctuation, indicating that as gold rises sharply, market sentiment tends to be more cautious, so that liquidity is insufficient. So from this point of view, gold still has a need for a correction!
In the past three trading days, the increase in gold has reached $270. So even if gold remains strong at present, we should not blindly chase more gold. On the contrary, we can still gradually establish short positions in batches. As long as we strictly control the number of transactions in the transaction, we don’t have to worry too much about the transaction risk!
Let us wait patiently for the market to gradually accumulate risk sentiment. Once it accumulates to the critical point, it only takes one opportunity for gold to collapse soon.
GOLD (XAUUSD): One More ConsolidationSince Friday, Gold has been consolidating in a horizontal channel on an hourly chart.
If you are looking to buy Gold this week, wait for a breakout above the channel's resistance. It will initiate a movement higher, at least to 3260.
On the other hand, if there is a bearish breakout below the channel's support, this can trigger a local correctional movement, at least to 3190.
It is best to wait for a breakout for reliable confirmation before making any trades.
Long trade
1Hr TF overview
✅ Trade Breakdown – Buy-Side (AUD/USD)
📅 Date: Thursday, April 10, 2025
⏰ Time: 9:00 AM (NY Time) – London Session AM
📈 Pair: AUD/USD
🧭 Direction: Long (Buy)
📐 Structure TF: 1-Hour (Directional Bias)
🎯 Entry TF: 2-Minute (Precision Entry)
Trade Parameters:
Entry: 0.61804
Take Profit (TP): 0.63266 (+2.37%)
Stop Loss (SL): 0.61588 (–0.36%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 6.77 🔥
Reason: Being timed with London–NY overlap, the byuside trade idea is assumed prime territory for-accumulation > displacement > continuation > was the reason for entry and buyside directional bias.
DMP's long setupsRisk On approach with discounts ahead. win win ;)
- Technical Analysis is KEY with timing ..
-Both their charts AUD and NZD seem to be
cleanest dirty shirts in the wash.
- Fundamentals helped my confluence levels
-Retesting demand zone but price structure needs better PA within zone before triggering entry. Give it time for confirming our PA,
- Multiple t/fs helped
- AUD chart DMP is alot clearer with PA atm but also needing some more patience with data candles and still with dynamics before she sets sail as long term hold.
EurAud sell insight Price rejects an old weekly level 1.84352 clearing the previous week's high 1.82907 hence closing bearish.
Now I'm anticipating the previous week's low to be cleared so I'm bearish for the week 1.71115 (previous week low) as my draw of Liquidity 🧲
1.81291 and 1.84782 are my point of interest to short after getting confirmation
Kindly boost of you find this insightful 🫴
S&P500 INDEX (#US500): Intraday Bullish ConfirmationAfter a breakout of a key horizontal resistance,
📈US50P retested this level and then formed an ascending triangle pattern on a 4-hour time frame.
A bullish breach of the triangle's neckline is a key confirmation of buyer strength and suggests potential for a price increase to at least 5,500.
Why is BTC losing volume?!After establishing a new higher high on the rally, we have run into an old bearish zone from April 2nd and losing gas. This is about the end of this bullish cycle is seems and we are getting hourly chart candle indications of this.
As you see there is a small bit to go before we can establish ourselves back above the bearish fair value gap (balance).
Apparently this bearish FVG was still chock full of pending shorts. We are getting multiple failures to displace above highs I was triggered short.
As we close below the highest bullish candle, we should see a mass closing of longs from its low. First target is the inefficient range below (blue) around 84K
I believe we must go back to around the50% Fib retracement range as always and correct all imbalances and collect all lows within that range. Therefore I am short after the 11p candle pushed up out of the 10p candle but failed to close above.
As always I use failure displacement as a cue to look for a good LTF entry 🫡
4H Review shows massive bearish imbalance: