Gold still has the potential to bounce back to 3070!Gold has been experiencing significant volatility driven by fundamental factors. While bearish sentiment appears to remain dominant, the recent downside move has already priced in much of the negative risk. As such, traders should avoid an overly one-sided bearish bias in the current environment.
After bottoming out near the 2970 level, gold staged a strong rebound. During the ensuing consolidation phase, the 3010–3000 zone has provided consistent support, signaling the emergence of a short-term demand zone. This indicates that the bulls have not completely capitulated and may attempt to stage a corrective rally toward the 3050 level, or potentially even as high as 3070.
From a short-term trading perspective, we may consider initiating long positions within the 3015–3005 range, aiming for an upside target of 3050, with a possible extension toward the 3070 resistance area.
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Candlestick Analysis
USDJPY Buy scalping positionI took this trade based on an uptrend formation in the 30-minute and 1-hour timeframe. Price is going back up to retest the last low on the Daily and 4hr timeframe, and there is a probability for a downtrend to form which will give us a swing trade. I'm just taking advantage of the retest move to make some extra greens. LOL
Nifty recovers from lows of the day. But not out of danger yet.Nifty as expected suffered heavy losses due to Trump Tariff Tornado which has engulfed the global markets. The good thing which is the silver lining in the cloud was that it recovered from the lows of the day by a lot. The lowest point of today or perhaps the year 2025 so far was 21743 and we closed the day at 22161. Which is about 418 points. However we are not out of the woods yet. We will hopefully see bottom formation later during this week or the next if this lowest point is already not the bottom. The support levels for Nifty remain at 21743, 21289, 20790 and 20320. Resistance for Nifty will be at 22266, 22711, 23083 and 23384. Above 23384 closing Nifty will be back to the bulls territory and we can hope for a recovery towards 24K first and then 25K.
As of now the ball is still in Trump's court as the world sizzles with his Whims and fancies. China is planning a stimulus package for its industry and High level cabinet meeting is going on in India as I write this to counter the effects of Trump Tariff and swift recovery of our economy in addition to minimising the effect of damage.
The best strategy is to wait out the Trump Storm reassess the situation once bottom is formed. Those who have liquidity this is a good oppertunity to go long after bottom fishing.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
EURCHF: Classic Gap Down To TradeOut of the different gap openings present today, the one I noticed on 📈EURCHF appears to be a promising trading opportunity.
I have identified a clear double bottom pattern on the hourly chart following the gap down opening.
There is a strong likelihood that the gap will be filled soon, with a target set at 0.9431.
AUDCAD: True Bullish Reversal?! 🇦🇺🇨🇦
AUDCAD formed a nice inverted head and shoulders pattern
after a test of a key historic support.
A bullish violation of its neckline with a strong bullish candle
provides a reliable confirmation.
I expect a correctional move at least to 0.8723
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Ethereum 20% Crash: Temporary Setback or a Buy Opportunity?Hello, Traders!
Ethereum experienced a significant drop, plunging over 20% in just one day and hitting its lowest point since last August.
ETH price found strong support at $2130 and I don’t expect further downfall beyond this level unless broader market conditions deteriorate.
One of the key technical developments was Ethereum breaking the crucial $2800 support zone, which is a bearish signal for the continuation of the uptrend.
However, a quick recovery above this level could reignite bullish momentum and bring buyers back into the market. W
atching how ETH reacts to this resistance will be crucial in the coming days.
The main catalyst for this sell-off was Trump’s decision to impose tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China, which triggered a broader risk-off sentiment in global markets.
The crypto space, being highly sensitive to macroeconomic events, saw a sharp reaction, with Ethereum and other major altcoins suffering deep corrections.
Despite the current bearish outlook, there is one major reason why Ethereum is likely to recover quickly — the upcoming Pectra upgrade, set to take place next month.
Historically, ETH has seen strong rallies leading up to major network upgrades, and I expect a similar pattern to unfold this time.
If the market stabilizes and sentiment shifts, Ethereum could reclaim lost ground and resume its long-term bullish trajectory.
For now, the key levels to watch are $2130 as support and $2800 as resistance.
A break above $2800 could signal a strong reversal, while failure to hold $2130 might open the door for deeper corrections
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Bitcoin drops. What's next?Hello, Traders!
Bitcoin price continues to fall towards the next big support area at 74k-70k.
Currently, there is no sign of BTC reversal, and it seems that this correction phase will last long.
Ideally, the faster BTC finds its local bottom, the faster it starts to rise again.
However, the current market conditions suggest that a period of consolidation might be necessary before a meaningful recovery.
I doubt that the BTC price will fall below 70k despite all the negative sentiment surrounding it at the moment.
More likely, we will see strong buying pressure at those levels, as institutional investors and long-term holders step in to accumulate at what they perceive as a discount.
Also, the stochastic RSI on a weekly scale has dropped to 0, which historically indicates that momentum is oversold and a potential reversal could be near.
If we see a bullish cross on the SRSI on a weekly timeframe, this might act as a catalyst for a price rebound, possibly pushing BTC toward new highs.
Another indication of a possible bottom is the Fear & Greed Index, which currently sits at around 20.
This level reflects extreme fear in the market, a condition that has often preceded local bottoms in previous cycles.
Historically, such extreme fear tends to trigger a shift in sentiment, leading to increased demand and a subsequent price recovery.
Furthermore, on-chain metrics suggest that long-term holders remain unfazed by the recent downturn, with exchange reserves continuing to decline. This indicates that a significant portion of BTC supply is being moved to cold storage, reducing selling pressure.
Additionally, open interest in the futures market has seen a decline, which could mean that excessive leverage is being flushed out—a necessary step for a healthier market structure.
If BTC manages to hold the 70k support level and confirms a reversal with increasing volume, we could see a strong recovery phase unfold.
However, if the price breaks below this key support, the next significant area to watch would be around 65k, where additional buying interest might emerge.
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Master swing trading! Both long and short sides can profit!The current fundamental environment: tariff issues and geopolitical conflicts are on opposite sides, so there are both bearish and bullish factors for the gold market, which have triggered fierce competition between long and short forces to a certain extent, exacerbating market volatility!
At present, overall, the short forces have the upper hand, but the longs still have a certain ability to fight back! If the short energy is fully released during the process of gold falling to around 2970, then gold may still usher in a wave of rebound opportunities in the short term. First of all, the areas worthy of our participation in trading are mainly concentrated in the following:
1. The short-term support area below: 3010-3000; secondly, the important defensive area for bulls is: 2975-2965.
2. The short-term resistance area above: 3040-3050; secondly, the important defensive area for bears is: 3070-3080.
This is the key area that we must pay attention to in the short-term, and it is also an important reference for our next short-term trading!
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NZDJPY: Best Gap to Trade Today?! 🇳🇿🇯🇵
Among various gap openings that we see today,
the one that I spotted on NZDJPY looks like one of the best to trade.
I see multiple bullish imbalances on an hourly time frame
after a formation of the gap down opening.
Probabilities are high that it will be filled soon.
Goal - 82.15
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USD/CHF: Back at Support – Will Buyers Step In?Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** USDCHF Analysis !
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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Thanks for your continued support! Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
Market Review: Full Higher Time Frame Review of NASDAQ bear runI hope this get's featured 🎯
The simplest macroeconomic review of NASDAQ you may see this year.
It's all a fib retracement. That's all I have to say for now 🔪 Share this with someone looking for a good review 💰
**Video was cut short by a minute or two but the general idea was complete
NASDAQ New Week Gap will tell you everything you need to knowIf you watched my idea update from Friday, I was saying that the sellside monthly lows as well as the 2023 yearly high are being targeted.
Low and behold, we hit all targets on the weekly gap drop. Let's see how price approaches the new week opening gap mid level (dashed white). It will definitely hit that level before the end of the week.
If it does not, that means we have super easy sellside targets to hit after a clear rejection back below tested highs as always.
Share this with someone needing easy targets 🎯
WILL GOLD MARK NEW ATH TRUMP TERRIF ALERT!🚨 GOLD UPDATE (XAU/USD)🚨
Gold is showing a strong bullish trend, and it’s expected to continue for the next month. 🌟 If you see any dips, buy in again and again! We could see gold touch 3200 soon, especially with the ongoing China & Trump tensions. The US economy remains strong, and fundamentally, gold is primed to soar even higher! 📈💥
After Trump's tariffs, gold may dip and sweep more liquidity before bouncing back stronger. ⚡ As China and Trump battle, US strength keeps pushing gold to new heights. 📊
Key Buying Zones 🔑:
- 3030 – 3035: Last zone for reversal 🔄
- 3000: Strong support zone 🚀
Targets 🎯:
- 3100 💰
- 3200 💎
- After 1 month: 3300 💥
⚠️ Always follow risk management⚠️
Bitcoin Bullish Idea I'll be buying for that point of interest 78544.71 if I see confirmation for reversal. Though H8 zone 79100.20 looks valid too as the price has triggered it and rejects it awesomely.
My projection is this new week is going to be Bullish not just for Bitcoin but some other. Crypto pairs too.
I'm bullish on Eth as well.
Kindly boost if you find this insightful 🫴
Short trade
Trade Breakdown – Sell-Side (Crypto Weekend Setup)
📅 Date: Saturday, April 5, 2025
⏰ Time: 3:00 PM NY Time (NY Session PM)
📉 Pair: DOGE/USD
📉 Trade Direction: Short (Sell)
Trade Parameters:
Entry Price: 0.16821
Take Profit (TP): 0.16173 (+3.85%)
Stop Loss (SL): 0.17009 (-1.12%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 3.45
Reasoning:
Demand Turned to Resistance" — this signals a bearish shift in structure:
I assume a likely failed rally, where previous demand could not hold for confirmation bias
and price seemed to respect the demand zone (highlighted blue) as resistance, giving confluence for a short. Targeting a pivotal low, suggesting a liquidity grab or structure retest.
Short trade
15min TF overview
Trade Breakdown – Sell-Side (Intraday Crypto Setup)
📅 Date: Saturday, April 5, 2025
⏰ Time: 9:00 AM NY Time (NY Session AM)
📉 Pair: BNB/USD
📉 Trade Direction: Short (Sell)
Trade Parameters:
Entry Price: 592.98
Take Profit (TP): 586.78 (+1.05%)
Stop Loss (SL): 594.97 (-0.34%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 3.12
Reason: Based on the narrative of supply and demand, ideally taken after a bearish confirmation on the 15min and BTCUSD pair as confluence for directional bias confluence
Bearish Reversal Incoming? Key Resistance Holds as Price StallsAfter analyzing multiple timeframes, we observe that the price has surged significantly and is now trading within a key resistance zone. The resistance remains strong, and the RSI across multiple timeframes is in the extreme overbought territory, showing bearish divergences. Additionally, despite the sharp rally, the price has not undergone any meaningful correction.
Considering these factors—strong resistance, the proximity to a weekly trendline, extreme overbought conditions, and bearish divergence—along with the presence of a hanging man candlestick at resistance, a correction is likely. Our correction targets are the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels.