Candlestick Analysis
BTCUSD: Inside Bar Trap + Order Block Rejection Targeting $102K📉 Bitcoin | SMC Breakdown | 1H Chart
Welcome to a clean Smart Money setup, where retail gets baited and Smart Money gets paid. Let’s break down what’s happening on BTCUSD, 1H chart, using multi-timeframe confluence and Smart Money Concepts. 👇
🗓️ 1. Daily Chart Confluence
We start with a Daily Inside Bar Pattern – a classic continuation setup, often used by institutions to trap traders before expansion. BTC ranged tightly, then broke to the upside to grab liquidity, not start a rally.
🟥 Daily High = Liquidity Pool
🟧 Inside Bar Range = Manipulation Zone
This is the trap zone.
🧱 2. Order Block Rejection (1H)
Price tapped a clearly defined Bearish Order Block in premium pricing, just above the mid-range of the Inside Bar.
💥 Reaction confirmed:
Rejection candles from OB
Structure respecting downside bias
Fakeout = Fuel for downside expansion
📉 3. Bearish Continuation Structure
Price is moving within a descending channel, respecting internal supply zones. Each lower high is met with supply pressure, and internal lows are swept before moving lower.
You’re looking at a high-probability continuation move toward the weak low marked near $102,200.
🧊 4. Weak Low as Final Target
This level is a classic liquidity magnet – weak lows = retail stop clusters = Smart Money target.
We expect BTC to:
Tap OB
Reject with minor pullback
Break structure
Fill imbalance and target weak low
It’s a beautiful setup if managed correctly.
🧠 5. Psychology & Trap Narrative
Retail is:
Buying the breakout of Inside Bar
Placing stops under weak lows
Ignoring the OB rejection
Smart Money is:
Selling from OB
Riding the imbalance
Grabbing liquidity from below
This is where you flip from reaction-based trading to narrative-based execution.
🧮 6. Trade Setup Summary
📍 Entry Zone: $108,500–$109,700 (OB zone)
🔐 Stop Loss: Above $109,800 (invalidate OB)
🎯 Target:
TP1: $106,500
TP2: $104,000
TP3: $102,200 (Sell-side Liquidity Sweep)
⚖️ RRR: Approx. 1:4 to 1:5 depending on entry
⚠️ Risk Management:
Do not overleverage.
This setup rewards patience and narrative confirmation, not emotional entries. Wait for OB confirmation and rejection.
📈 If this hits, it’s a chart you screenshot and study again and again.
💬 Comment “INSIDE BAR MASTERCLASS” if you’re watching this play out live. Share with your trading circle.
EUR/USD: Engulfing candle, momentum signals boost bullish caseThe case for EUR/USD upside was looking good even before Donald Trump’s latest tariff backflip on EU imports, with Friday’s engulfing candle joining momentum indicators like RSI (14) and MACD in generating bullish signals.
With the price banging on the door of minor resistance at 1.1380, a bullish setup has been generated. If the price can clear 1.1380 and hold there, longs could be established on the break with a stop beneath for protection. Offers may emerge around 1.1420 where the pair topped out in late April, making that screen as an initial target. For those seeking greater risk-reward, 1.1500 has proven to be a strong resistance zone over the years, making that another level to aim for.
While the U.S. dollar has benefitted from similar tariff backflips previously, they are now widely expected by traders, meaning the tailwind they used to provide may no longer apply.
Good luck!
DS
Short trade
🟥 Sell-side Trade Log
📉 Pair: PEPE/USDT
🏷️ Type: Intraday | LND Session AM
🧠 Setup: Breakout
📅 Date: Sunday, 26th May 2025
🕔 Time: 5:00 AM
🔹 Entry Price: 0.00001317
🔹 Profit Target: 0.00001267 (+3.18%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 0.00001324 (-0.53%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 7.14
🔍 Reasoning:
This sell-side breakout trade was initiated during the LND AM session following a clean break of consolidation support, with price accelerating through key short-term liquidity.
Congestion Entrance TradingCongestion Entrance marks the transition from a trend to a period of uncertainty and range-bound price action.
📘 Key Concepts:
Congestion begins when price fails to close on one side of the PL Dot for 3 bars.
The first bar that closes on the opposite side of the PL Dot (after a trend) is the Congestion Entrance bar.
This signals a likely end of the previous trend and the beginning of congestion or reversal.
🧩 Key Structures:
Dotted Line: Highest high (or lowest low) of the previous trend — often acts as a cap or floor.
Block Level: Low (or high) of the Congestion Entrance bar — often attracts price and marks congestion boundaries.
Parameters of Congestion: The range defined by the Dotted Line and Block Level.
⚙️ How It Evolves:
There are multiple transition scenarios, for example:
Trend Up → Action → Trend Down: Resistance holds at the Dotted Line, Block Level breaks.
Trend Down → Action → Trend Up: Support holds at the Block Level, Dotted Line breaks.
Trend Up/Down → Reversal: Direct shift into opposite trend if support/resistance is firm enough — skipping action phase.
🔍 Key Takeaways:
Congestion Entrance is often the first clue the market is shifting gears.
It's essential to monitor how price reacts to the PL Dot, Dotted Line, and Block Level.
Anticipate Ping trades (quick scalps) or prep for potential Congestion Action if price fails to establish a trend after entrance.
📌 Pro Tip: Watch how higher timeframes align — if the HTP is showing signs of topping or bottoming, the LTP congestion entrance may lead into a reversal or major trend change.
BTC/USDT Technical Analysis, 2025-05-23 15:30 UTC💹 BTC/USDT – Technical Analysis (5-min Chart | Binance Spot)
Date: May 23, 2025 | Time: 15:30 UTC
📈 Market Structure & Outlook:
Bitcoin is currently exhibiting a neutral-to-bullish intraday structure, with confirmation bias leaning toward accumulation amid short-term consolidation. The price action is positioned just above key intraday support, with a visible tightening range between major liquidity zones. MACD bullish crossover and candlestick strength indicate persistent buying interest, despite RSI flattening.
📊 Key Indicators:
MACD: Positive histogram (+98.62) confirms bullish crossover; momentum remains constructive.
RSI (14): Neutral at 62.0 — no overbought pressure, leaves room for upside.
ATR (14): Elevated at 368.77 — indicative of high-volatility regime; adjust risk accordingly.
OBV: Net-negative (-1,662) but recovering; suggests quiet accumulation underway.
EMA/SMA:
200-period SMA acting as dynamic support at 109,162.
Price above 50/100 EMA, showing intraday bullish posture.
Bollinger Bands:
Lower Band: 107,968.77 (support zone convergence).
Upper Band: 110,355.26 (immediate resistance ceiling).
🔑 Key Levels:
Support:
109,525–109,550 → EMA/Bollinger convergence zone.
109,162 → 200 SMA acting as institutional anchor.
Resistance:
110,000 → Psychological + stacked ask liquidity zone.
110,280–110,355 → Bollinger top + structural rejection zone (last seen at 14:25 UTC).
🔑 Candlestick Confluence:
Bullish Marubozu (14:30 UTC): Full-bodied candle indicating aggressive buying.
Piercing Line (14:25 UTC): Reversal cue reinforcing dip-buy narrative.
🎯 Trade Setup (Institutional Playbook):
Position Type: Intraday Tactical Long
Entry Zone: 109,525–109,600
Stop-Loss: 109,150 (below SMA-200 + volatility buffer)
Take-Profit: 110,280
Risk/Reward: ~1.8x
Execution Note: Watch for bid thinning below 109,550. Size down to accommodate ATR-adjusted slippage (1.5x).
📌 Summary:
Momentum favors bulls above 109,525; technical alignment supports continuation toward 110,280. However, volatility and macro headlines demand surgical execution and proactive risk control. Maintain discipline around liquidity pockets.
Short trade
5min TF
🟥 Sell-side Trade Log
📉 Pair: BTC/USDT
🏷️ Type: Intraday | LND Session AM
🧠 Setup: Liquidity Target (London Low)
📅 Date: Sunday, 25th May 2025
🕓 Time: 4:00 AM
🔹 Entry Price: 107,515.89
🔹 Profit Target: 106,345.53 (+1.09%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 107,711.93 (-0.18%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 5.97
🔍 Reasoning:
The trade was positioned as a sell-side continuation with a focus on targeting London session low liquidity,
USDCHF SHORT Market structure bearish on HTFs 3
Entry at Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection At AOi
Daily Rejection at the AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 0.83000
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 3.99
Entry 100%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
USDCAD short Market structure bearish on HTFs 3
Entry at Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection At AOi
Daily Rejection At AOi
Previous Structure point Weekly
Around Psychological Level 1.38500
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 5.11
Entry 105%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
Bitcoin 97k??(USD gaining strength)Good day traders, I’m back again with this beauty of a setup on BTCUSD, first things first on the daily TF price created a balanced price confirming our Thursday’s high as the high of the week.
On the 4H TF and this is where my focus is at, on the chart you can clearly see the levels that I would like to see price reaching to. The first one is my 4 hour FVG that I would like to see price leave open because of the second rectangle(1H BPR), to see how I came about this hourly balanced price range, you can just jump to the hourly and try to see how I got to that BPR for educational reward.
On the hourly if we take a closer look, we see that the 4H FVG and the 1 hour FVG are on top of each other again that’s a confirmation to consider. Back on this TF what I’m expecting to see is price try and fail getting to that 4H FVG and than shoot lower to our relative lows.
Short trade
🟥 Sell-side Trade Log
📉 Pair: SHIB/USDT
🏷️ Type: Intraday | LND Session PM
🧠 Setup: Breakout / Liquidity Sweep
📅 Date: Friday, 23rd May 2025
🕕 Time: 6:00 AM
🔹 Entry Price: 0.00001555
🔹 Profit Target: 0.00001440 (+7.40%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 0.00001564 (-0.58%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 12.78
🔍 Reasoning:
This sell-side trade was executed following a sweep of local buy-side liquidity and a rejection from overhead resistance during the LND session. Price action confirmed the shift in order flow with strong bearish momentum and displacement to the downside. The entry capitalised on a microstructure break and the presence of a nearby Fair Value Gap (FVG), targeting inefficiency below.
Repeat of Late Apr-May lows & rallyThe chart shows the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) on a 1-hour timeframe, with a pattern appearing to be repeating itself from late April/May(Liberation day announcements) dip and then boot and rally from trade announcements, all marked by colored lines.
The colored lines (blue, red, purple) highlight a recurring price action setup. Each set of lines seems to mark a sequence of movements:
Blue: Sharp drop, then gap up
Red: Consolidation at a lower higher from gap up, return to high, consolidation back lower at previous lower high
Purple: Breakout & reversal upward.
Short trade
Entry Day:
🟥 Sell-side Trade Log
📉 Pair: BTC/USDT
🏷️ Type: Intraday | Tokyo Session PM
🧠 Setup: Rejection from Supply Zone + FVG Target
📅 Date: Thursday, 22nd May 2025
🕘 Time: 9:00 PM
🔹 Entry Price: 111,675.68
🔹 Profit Target: 109,058.96 (+2.34%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 112,042.74 (-0.33%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 7.13
🔍 Reasoning:
This sell-side trade was initiated after BTC reached a pivotal supply zone, with the price breaking previous highs, indicating a possible reversal. A clear Fair Value Gap (FVG) below provides a logical downside target, representing an unmitigated imbalance where price is likely to revisit. The entry aligned with Tokyo PM session volatility and was structured to capitalise on this inefficiency.
Overview 30min TF
#SUIUSDT #1D (Bitget Futures) Rising wedge near breakdownSui got drained from Cetus LP and is about to print a spinning top candle on daily.
A retracement down towards 100EMA / descending trendline support seems likely.
⚡️⚡️ #SUI/USDT ⚡️⚡️
Exchanges: Bitget Futures
Signal Type: Regular (Short)
Leverage: Isolated (4.0X)
Amount: 4.8%
Current Price:
3.9642
Entry Zone:
3.9947 - 4.2035
Take-Profit Targets:
1) 3.5901
1) 3.2068
1) 2.8235
Stop Targets:
1) 4.5250
Published By: @Zblaba
CRYPTOCAP:SUI BITGET:SUIUSDT.P #1D #SuiNetwork #L2 sui.io
Risk/Reward= 1:1.2 | 1:2.1 | 1:3.0
Expected Profit= +49.7% | +87.1% | +124.5%
Possible Loss= -41.6%
Estimated Gaintime= 1-2 months
Trump triggers risk aversion, how to position gold?🗞News side:
1. Trump plans to impose a 50% tariff on the EU
2. Houthi armed forces strike Israel again
3. Pay attention to the impact of the US dollar trend on gold
📈Technical aspects:
Trump is "crazy?" He suggested to impose a 50% tariff on the EU directly from June 1, and threatened to impose a 25% tariff on iPhones not produced locally. This news caused the euro, European stocks, and iPhone stock prices to plummet. At present, the gold price is consolidating between 3350 and 3360. For the US market, it is necessary to prevent a wash, but the short-term increase has been too large. If there is a rapid adjustment, the amplitude will also be large. Therefore, the US market is stuck in the range operation. Pay attention to the support of 3335-3325 below. If it continues to rise, pay attention to the resistance range of 3375-3385.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
3330 is in stalemate 3335 is the key to long and short positions🗞News side:
1. PMI and initial jobless claims data
2. Geopolitical situation
3. Progress of the G7 meeting
📈Technical aspects:
Currently, the gold price is caught in a fierce battle between bulls and bears at the 3330 level. From a technical point of view, gold is still in the weekly level adjustment and no clear unilateral trend has emerged. Recently, there has been frequent changes in long and short positions, and the rise and fall of prices depends on the impact of news on the market. Even if gold experiences a correction at present, it is likely to be only a small range. Therefore, in the short term, attention should be paid to the resistance line of 3330-3335. If it breaks through, it is expected to look towards yesterday's high of 3345. If it encounters resistance and pressure at 3330-3335, it may retreat to 3310-3300 in the short term for correction. The upper strong pressure is still at 3350-3360, and the lower support of 3300-3290 is still strong. There is no good entry trading opportunity at present, so brothers should wait patiently.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
GBPJPY SELL Analysis Idea!!!!⸻
Pair: GBPJPY
Timeframe: 1 Hour (1H)
Bias: Bearish (Sell Setup)
⸻
Technical Analysis:
1. Price Structure & Market Context:
• The chart shows a clear downtrend from the previous swing high near 196.000.
• Price has since formed a lower high within the red supply zone, reinforcing bearish pressure.
• Several liquidity grabs and rejections are visible near the red supply zone, indicating sellers are defending this level aggressively.
2. Key Zones & Levels:
• Supply Zone (Red Area): 193.243–193.594 — significant selling pressure observed.
• Buyers Above Zone: Price has failed to sustain above 193.243 despite attempts, confirming bearish strength.
• Break of Structure (BOS): At 192.824, confirming bearish momentum.
• Support Zones (Green Areas):
• First target area: 192.307
• Second target area: 191.272 — potential extended target if momentum continues downward.
3. Entry & Confirmation:
• Current Price: 193.168
• Price is rejecting the supply zone and failing to break above the 193.243 resistance line.
• Confirmation of sell setup co mes from:
• Bearish rejections at supply
• Price forming a lower high (193.100 HL level)
• BOS and retest pattern playing out
4. Trade Plan (Sell Idea):
• Sell Entry: Between 193.150–193.243 (rejection zone)
• Stop Loss: Above 193.594 (invalidate the supply zone rejection)
• Take Profit 1 (TP1): 192.307
• Take Profit 2 (TP2): 191.272 (extended target)
⸻
Confluence Factors:
• Price is respecting supply zone.
• Repeated bearish rejections and liquidity sweeps above key levels.
• BOS supports shift in structure to bearish.
⸻
Conclusion:
GBPJPY is showing strong signs of bearish control, with multiple rejections from the supply zone and a BOS indicating momentum shift. A sell from the current levels offers a good risk-to-reward setup, targeting the support zones below.
GBPAUD: Important Breakout 🇬🇧🇦🇺
GBPAUD broke and closed above a significant falling trend line on a daily.
The next strong resistance is 2.1 level.
It will most likely be the next goal for the buyers.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USD/JPY Rebounds from Support — Bulls Back in Play?USD/JPY looks like it’s found its feet. After tagging support near the April VPOC (142.71) and 6 May low (142.36), Thursday’s session printed the first bullish candle in over a week — a spinning top just above key support.
The daily RSI (2) bounced from its most oversold reading in a month, and the 1-hour chart shows bullish divergence on the RSI (14), now comfortably above 50.
Price has lifted from the monthly S2 and is circling S1. If USD/JPY can push through yesterday’s high (144.40), I’m looking toward 145, 145.86 and potentially the 146 handle, which aligns with the monthly pivot at 146.38.
** Please note that Japan's CPI data drops in ~25 mins **
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
GBP/JPY Holds Key Support as Bullish Momentum BuildsA bullish setup has emerged on GBP/JPY, with recent price action suggesting bullish momentum is building. With GBP strengthening against USD, GBP/JPY may present a higher-probability bullish scenario compared to USD/JPY in the near term (though this also looks bullish to my eyes over the near term).
GBP/JPY held above key moving averages midweek. GBP/JPY failed to close below its 200-day SMA on both Wednesday and Thursday, while yesterday’s session also respected support at the 50-day EMA and the 192.00 handle.
Momentum indicators support the bullish case, with the daily RSI trading above 50 after rebounding from its most oversold level in six weeks.
As long as prices hold above Thursday’s low, bulls may look for a retest of the cycle highs near 196.00.
** Please note that Japan's CPI data drops in >30 minutes **
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com