Candlestick Analysis
$SOL - Retrace to Breaker. $230 0r $220 *SMC**Smart Money Concepts* Will tell you there's a void in priceAfter making a run on the 4 hour chart to well above current highs, and then a slight drop into the vair value gap, AND THEN ANOTHER RUN ON THE HIGHS...... I decided that that would proabably be the last high for at least the next couple of days, if not at least the next 24 hours.
So I decided once it hit above the wicked high near 242, I wanted to go short. There's liquidity just below 230 where the mid of the 4 hour FVG lies, But also the juat before the tops of the wick area to the broken highs to the left, the fair value gap median is about 227, And then a breaker around 220. The price should bounce off of that price and continue going up.
But considering we're at all time highs, the price run may take a short consolidation which is why I'm shorting the price from now until it hits discpunt array near 62 % after breakin the high. Once it hits that that 4 hour Breaker point, we should see price start to move sideways for a bit before we start to see it. strike up again.
Either way, I've Got Solana Futures on a short
MEXC:SOLUSDT.P
COINBASE:SOLUSD
BITGET:SOLUSDT.P
AND I'VE GOT GATEIO:SOLUSDT.3S
as well as other Sol5S and 3S until I think it's time to turn them around or hit my Take profit. LBank has the 5S Running Well. I will try to post the truth of the earnings. Whether my own site or somewhere, you can follow my accounts to see My advancements.
After It price does strike these areas It wouldn't be surprising if they flipped at the discount level shooting for tor the 168%....
But as for now, I'm focused on the Short, let's hope it continues to short. or at least give a sideways fake out, then drop as we usually see in smart money.
Trade Recaps: USDJPY-LONG, GBPJPY-LONG, 21/11/2024UJ & GJ Bias Analysis: Both setups were very similar so correlation risk was high and I was effectively risking 1% on 2 separate setups. The Daily was trading at a premium, however after price began re-establishing a bullish counter trend, we pulled back into Internal range liquidity, mitigating the 62.5% and 70.5% fib levels on UJ & GJ respectively. Long entries were in line with the 1H bullish ranges and entry confirmation was achieved by means of a 15M reversal candle and Micro-timeframe confluence (1M Market Structure shift or 5M FVG inversion).
Grade:
- UJ: High Risk
- GJ: Low Risk
What I did well or could've done better:
- I choked my stop losses on both pairs as I was trying to achieve the highest possible R:R. This led to being stopped out after price traded lower on both pairs to sweep MTF TBL.
- I was focused and identified re-entry opportunities. I stuck to my trade management plan and only executed a re-entry on GJ as my plan allows for 3 maximum consecutive losses per day.
USDCAD Long Market structure Bullish on HTFs DW
Entry at Daily and Weekly AOi
Weekly rejection from AOi
Previous Weekly Structure Point
Daily Rejection from AOi
Around Psychollogical Level 1.39500
H4 Candlestick rejection
Levels 7.26
Entry 95%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King
Gold: Staying Bullish Despite the NoiseGold has been trending bullishly for some time, with multiple breaks to the upside confirming the trend. However, the most recent move saw a break to the downside. While this may lead many traders to turn bearish, I see this as a potential reaccumulation phase rather than a trend reversal.
From my perspective, this move could be a trap to generate liquidity below before targeting the cloud of liquidity identified above. If this analysis holds true, we might see a push higher and potentially a new high forming in the near future.
What do you think about this move? Let me know in the comments! 🟡📈
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research before trading or investing.
NZDCAD SHORT Market structure Bearish on HTFs DW
Entry at Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Previous Weekly Structure Point
Daily Rejection At AOi
Previous Daily Structure Point
Around Psychological Level 0.83000
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Levels 6.7
Entry 105%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King
Treasury yields at a crossroads? The implications for marketsThe long end of the US Treasury curve has been influential for FX markets recently. The rolling 10-day correlation between US 10-year yields with the DXY, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, and USD/JPY is either strongly positive or negative. Even gold shows a notable -0.73 correlation, highlighting the influence of long bonds on broader markets.
Given the inverse relationship between bond yields and prices, it’s no surprise that the correlation between 10-year yields and 10-year Treasury futures (shown in orange, left-hand pane) has been nearly perfectly negative over the past two weeks.
In terms of directional risks for yields moving forward, the right-hand pane showing US 10-year Treasury note futures is instructive. The price remains in a downtrend, repeatedly rejected since being established October. If this trend persists, it signals lower prices and higher yields.
That said, with the bullish hammer candle from the lows last week, coupled with RSI (14) and MACD which are providing bullish signals on momentum, you get the sense we may be in the early stages of a turning point.
If we were to see the price break the downtrend, resistance may be encountered at 113’00, a level that’s been tested from both sides in recent weeks. If that were to give way, it points to an environment of a softer US dollar and kinder conditions for longer duration assets and commodities.
Good luck!
DS
Re-distribution schematicDuring a uptrend the price is moving sideways and we are in a bullish market, we are located in a supply zone but the actual liquidity is above this zone. This could indicate a re-distribution model where lows and highs getting liquidated before a new up move. Will look for buys when the lows have been liquidated and a bullish impulse is following.
POV : VRAJ : VRAJ IRON AND STEEL LTDPOV : VRAJ : VRAJ IRON AND STEEL LTD
Chart Analysis:
The price level of **240** is acting as a critical **support and resistance** zone, as evident from past behavior.
Similarly, in the 209–212 zone, every time the price reaches this area, it sees buying interest, establishing this level as a strong support.
Last month, the price took support at the lower levels and formed a Higher Low (HL) pattern. However, it failed to sustain above the 240 level on two attempts, showing resistance at this level.
Going forward, a bullish formation was observed, breaking out with a small gap. However, after retesting the support zone, the price attempted to cross the gap again yesterday but failed to close above it.
---
? What to do
Reversal Trade Play:
- Consider entry above 225 with a stop loss below 209 closing Basis
- Set an initial target of 240, and for further targets, re-evaluate only if the price sustains above 240 on a closing basis.
👎 What NOT to do:
- Do not hold positions if the price falls below 209 under any circumstances.
- Do not enter a trade unless the price crosses 225.
- If the price closes below the previous day’s close on the trading day, exit the trade immediately.
For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice. Please consult a professional before making financial decisions.
#Disclaimer
#NiVYAMi
USDJPY LONG Market structure Bullish on HTFs DW
Entry at Daily and Weekly AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Previous weekly Structure point
Daily Rejection At AOi
Around Psychological Level 153.000
H4 Candlestick rejection
Levels 9.2
Entry 85%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King
UK inflation report to provide fresh GBP/USD setupsGBP/USD would likely be a lot higher heading into today’s UK inflation report if not for the Ukraine headlines yesterday. The bullish pin coming a day after a bullish engulfing candle says as much, reflective of plenty of willing buyers below 1.2613.
With RSI (14) breaking its downtrend and MACD looking like it may soon flick higher, momentum also looks to be in the early stages of turning, adding weight to the price signals over the past two sessions. While the near-term bias is bullish, entry for potential longs will be determined by the UK inflation report due out shortly.
The annual headline rate is expected to accelerate to 2.2% from 1.7%, although traders may want to put more weight on the core and services figures given noise created by base effects. The former is seen easing a tenth to 3.1% while services is tipped to remain sticky at 4.9%, reflecting the impact of continued strength in wages growth.
However, domestic factors have not been highly influential over GBP/USD moves recently, as demonstrated by the extremely tight inverse relationship with US benchmark 10-year US Treasury yields over the past fortnight.
If the relationship persists, use the reaction to the report to evaluate the merit of setups.
If we see a dip towards 1.2613, you could buy with a tight stop beneath for protection. 1.2720 would be the initial target with 1.2803 the next after that. Another option would be to wait to see whether the price can break above 1.2720, allowing for longs to be established with a stop below. 1.2083/200DMA would be the first target. Beyond, the uptrend dating back to May is also on the radar. It’s found around 1.2930 today.
If the price were to break and hold below 1.2613, the bullish bias would be invalidated.
Good luck!
DS
GBPUSD possible to start the next drop today!Hey guys,
Based on the chart price reached a resistance area on 15min chart timeframe and a bullish trend line is broken.
So based on this scenario and considering the previous days drop on price, I consider this movement as good sell opportunity with rational risk reward ratio which is around 1:6.
Good luck!