Volatile day where Mother line gave support to NiftyIt was a volatile day on browsers where Mother line of hourly chart gave support to Nifty and helped it close in Green. after opening in Green Nifty and making a high of 24767 Nifty saw selling pressure which took it to as low as 24535 losing over 232 points. There Nifty found the support of Mother line and rose 141 points closing at 24666 which is 88 points hig from yesterdays close. Further volatility cant be ruled out as Nifty is facing the resistance of the trend line at 24684. If this level is crossed Nifty can find further resistance at 24852 and 25012. 25012 seems to be a Channel top resistance which will be little difficult to cross. Supports for Nifty remain at 24505 (Mother Line Support), 24374, 24165 and 23979 (Father Line Support). If Father line support is broken by chance bears can drag Nifty further down to 23786 levels. Around this zone we will also have mid channel support of the parallel channel. Thigs are delicately poised with positive shadow of the candle.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Candlestick Analysis
GBPJPY: Important Breakout 🇬🇧🇯🇵
GBPJPY successfully violated and closed above a major
daily resistance cluster.
It opens a potential for more growth now.
Next resistance - 197.3
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ETHEREUM (ETHUSD): Retest of $3000 Soon!Ethereum has successfully violated and closed above a significant daily horizontal resistance level.
The bullish momentum appears to be ongoing, and the price is likely to soon test the psychological level of $3000 mark.
Following this test, a breakout is expected, potentially driving prices to new heights.
Nasdaq 100 set for 25k?The Nasdaq 100 is in a technical bull market, having rebounded 20% from its cycle low. While the risk remains that this is simply a 'bear market bounce' that could sucker punch bulls, I believe bulls have got this and we could be headed for 25k.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Short trade
5min TF entry
🟥 Sellside Trade Log
📉 Pair: BTC/USD
🏷️ Type: Intraday | NY Session PM
🧠 Setup: Breakout (Downside)
📅 Date: Tuesday, 13th May 2025
🕔 Time: 5:55 PM
🔹 Entry Price: 104,320.89
🔹 Profit Target: 103,710.98 (-0.58%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 104,475.64 (+0.15%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 3.94
🔍 Reasoning:
The sellside breakout trade was initiated following a clean breakdown through local support during the NY PM session. Price action showed strong momentum and follow-through beneath the key structural level, confirming bearish intent. The setup aligned with a downside liquidity run and order flow shift, with stop placement just above the breakout level to minimise risk exposure.
Short trade 🟥 Sellside Trade Log
📉 Pair: ETH/USD
🏷️ Type: Intraday | NY Session PM
🧠 Setup: Breakout (Downside)
📅 Date: Tuesday, 13th May 2025
🕕 Time: 6:20 PM
🔹 Entry Price: 2,702.20
🔹 Profit Target: 2,654.27 (-1.77%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 2,710.31 (+0.30%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 5.91
🔍 Reasoning:
Sellside breakout trade assumes a clear momentum-driven directional bias during the NY PM session. The move was reinforced by forming a Fair Value Gap (FVG) on the lower timeframe (5min), indicating institutional selling pressure and inefficiency. Price broke below a key structural level and continued into the FVG, confirming bearish intent. Entry was taken with confluence from the gap, targeting the next liquidity pool while maintaining tight stop control above the invalidation zone.
5min TF entry
Firmly bullish on gold to 3280-3290 areaAs the trading strategy I published in my last article, I am still holding my gold long position. Obviously, I am confident that gold still has the potential and space to rebound. Gold just hit a low of around 3226 during the decline, and did not break the "W" shape structure formed by the recent low of 3207 and the second low of 3215. The oscillating upward structure remains intact, which is conducive to the continued rise of gold; the foreseeable resistance area in the short term is in the 3280-3290 area. Once this area is broken, the area around 3320 is just around the corner!
Trading strategy:
At present, our gold long position has made very good profits, continue to hold it, and let gold fly for a while!
TVC:DXY FOREXCOM:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD
GBPUSD SHORTMarket structure bearish on HTFs DH
Entry at Daily AOi
Weekly Rejcetion at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Daily bearish engulfing candle
Daily complete Head and shoulder pattern, Waiting for retest of the neckline
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 1.32500
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 3.82
Entry 90%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
Long trade
🟩 Buyside Trade Log
📈 Pair: BTC/USD
🏷️ Type: Intraday | NY to LND Session AM
🧠 Setup: Breakout
🆔 Trade ID: #BTCUSD-0513A
📅 Date: Tuesday, 13th May 2025
🕦 Time: 11:55 AM
🔹 Entry Price: 101,540
🔹 Profit Target: 104,638.11 (+0.98%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 103,453.78 (-0.16%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 6.01
🔍 Reasoning:
Buyside breakout trade taken during the NY to LND session overlap. Price broke cleanly above a key intraday resistance level with strong momentum, confirming structural strength. Order flow supported bullish continuation, and the setup aligned with a broader liquidity run toward the next major high
Bullish as long as above 24400 As we can see despite the strength in midcap NIFTY fell following the temporary stay in conflict which can be continued at any point of time which creates uncertainties and reflected the same in index. Also operation Keller which has successfully executed by Indian army can add fuel to the fire for upcoming trading sessions and technically as long as we are above 24400, every dip can be bought so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching.
Bearish sign but we think it pushes to MAJOR RESISTANCEYesterday CRYPTOCAP:BTC formed a BEARISH ENGULFING. We've spoken on this pattern countless times.
However, we didn't bring it up because we didn't/don't think it's relevant.
WHY? Look at the paltry volume. Bitcoin volume is SUPER LOW.
BTC is still in Bullish mode from Late 2022.
---
We turned Bullish again on CRYPTOCAP:BTC around early April:
A) We saw that huge Bitcoin selloff 4/7
2) Which reversed that same day
3) Followed by some buying a couple days later
4) More BTC accumulation 4/21 when it was under 88k
Major resistance coming up soon.
Pause HIGHLY LIKELY.
CPI data market, buy gold!Fundamentals:
Focus on CPI;
Technical aspects:
As expected in my previous article, gold has rebounded to the area around 3250-3260 as expected.According to the current structure, gold tends to fluctuate upward in the short term; it may even extend to the 3280-3290 area.Gold rebounded after touching 3207, and combined with the secondary low point near 3215 to form a "W" structure. This technical structure has formed a strong support structure for gold prices; and after the bad news is exhausted, the on-site wait-and-see funds will gradually enter the market, which will also push up the gold price to a certain extent. So I think gold still has the conditions to challenge the 3280-3290 area!
Trading strategy:
Consider starting to go long on gold in batches in the 3250-3240 area, target price: 3270-3280
Nifty Analysis EOD - May 13, 2025 - Tuesday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD - May 13, 2025 - Tuesday 🔴
Is it Retracement or Breakout Failed?
🔍 Nifty Summary
Nifty opened with a mild gap-down of 35 points and within the first 20 minutes, it sliced through multiple supports — Previous Day Close, 24,882, 24,801–24,768, and even 24,730 — in what looked like a determined breakdown. However, the follow-up was missing. Instead of extending lower, the index hovered indecisively near the CPR until 12:30 PM.
Post-lunch, a breakout attempt did arrive — but momentum was lukewarm. Both sides saw significant premium erosion, making it a tough day for option buyers.
Despite the early pressure, Nifty closed at 24,578 (-57 pts) — a mild negative close, but interestingly near multiple fib supports and recent swing zones, hinting at absorption.
🕵️ Intraday Walk
🔽 Broke PDC → 24,882 → 24,801–24,768 → 24,730 within 20 minutes.
🌀 Stuck inside CPR zone until 12:30 PM – volatility without trend.
📈 Breakout attempt post-lunch lacked strength.
💸 Both calls and puts decayed heavily – option writers ruled.
🧭 75-Min Chart Analysis / Zone Commentary
Market flirted with imbalance in the morning, but later balanced out, forming a neutral structure.
The rejection of deeper downside and close near key fibs point to a pause more than a trend.
🔍 Key Observations:
✅ Closed near recent swing high at 24,589
✅ Near 0.382 Fib retracement from the previous close (24,587)
✅ Near 0.618 Fib from the prior session (24,595)
❌ No follow-through after support breaks
❌ Momentum faded quickly after the breakout attempt
📌 Implication:
The market shows signs of absorption near support zones but lacks strength for a reversal — neutral to slightly bullish bias, but still cautious.
🛡 Gladiator Strategy Update
Strategy Parameters
ATR: 362.82
IB Range: 298.2 → 📏 Large IB
Market Structure: ⚖️ Balanced
Trade Highlights
📈 Long Trigger @ 12:40 PM
🎯 Target 1:1 Achieved
💼 Total Trades: 1
🔢 Support & Resistance Levels
🟩 Resistance Zones:
24,660
24,730
24,768 ~ 24,800
24,882
24,980 ~ 25,000
25,100 ~ 25,128
25,180 ~ 25,212
🟥 Support Zones:
24,882
24,800 ~ 24,768
24,730
24,660
24,590
24,530 ~ 24,480
24,461
24,420 ~ 24,400
24,365 ~ 24,330
24,245 ~ 24,240
🔮 What’s Next?
Today’s session looked like a failed to sustain above 24800 and lack of retracement. close around the fib level, raises a question about whether is it breakout failure or just retracement ?
In short: no clarity.
📌 If Nifty holds above 24,530–24,480, it may attract buying towards 24,730–24,800 again.
📉 But a sustained break below 24,480 could invite a retest of 24,365 ~ 24,330 zone.
➡️ For now, traders should stay nimble and option buyers cautious.
💬 Final Thoughts
“Confusion is a part of clarity. Let the market reveal itself — reacting is better than predicting.”
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
USDCHF: Correctional Movement Ahead?! 🇺🇸🇨🇭
USDCHF may continue a correctional movement after
a release of the today's US CPI data.
A technical price action confirmation that I spotted is a
valid Change of Character CHoCH on an hourly time frame.
We can expect a bearish continuation to 0.8358
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CPI data released, golden day analysis and operation layout🗞News side:
1. CPI data is in line with expectations, short-term positive
📈Technical aspects:
As we wrote in the last post, from the 4H point of view, the oversold is serious, and there is a need for rebound correction in the short term. At present, the fluctuation of gold prices is mainly affected by news. Technical analysis and indicators can only be used as a side analysis guide and reference. Gold bottomed out in the morning and rebounded, and the European market continued to rise above 3250. This means that today is not a very weak bear. At the same time, the daily line touches the 30-day moving average support. There is a high probability of turning positive today. The overall idea is to treat the market as a shock.
Intraday gold operation suggestions:
🎁BUY 3240-3250
🎁TP 3260-3270
Looking further towards the 3277 line
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Nifty cooled down from the overbought zone. The correction in Nifty we saw today in most likelihood seems like a correction from overbought zone. The indicator for this is RSI which had reached 77.09 yesterday in the hourly chart. After the correction today it is back to 53.28 after reaching 51.5 earlier today. Another reason can be US and China agreeing to a trade deal which might also be seen as a negative for Indian markets. whether it will have very negative impact and send market further down is there to be seen. IT, Metals, Infra, MNC, Pvt Banking and Finance stocks were laggard. The indices that were positive today are Midcap, Small cap, Psu Banks, CG, Media and Pharma.
Supports for Nifty remain at: 24450 (Mother line of Hourly chart), 24374, 24165, 23929 (Father line of Hourly chart) and Mid channel support at 23786.
Resistances for Nifty remain at: 24642, 24797 and 25012 (Channel top resistance).
Shadow of the candle looks neutral as of now.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.