GBPCAD: Classic Pullback Trade for TodayThe GBPCAD pair formed a head and shoulders pattern at a crucial daily/intraday horizontal support level.
The recent breach of its neckline indicates a notable strength of buyers, suggesting a bullish momentum.
Given this technical setup, I anticipate that the pair could rally and potentially reach the 1.8650 level in the near term.
Candlestick Analysis
Below 3360, short sellers still have profit potential!Although gold has steadily rebounded to around 3345, compared with yesterday's gold falling below 3330 again, the rebound in the short term is not strong; overall, gold is still in a weak and volatile pattern, with pressure from the upper side at 3350-3360; and there is technical buying support in the lower 3300-3290 area. It is under the influence of the resistance area and the support area that gold lacks continuity.
So before gold breaks through effectively, I think both the long and short sides of gold have profit potential, so for the current short-term trading, we can temporarily maintain the high-sell-low-dregs trading within the range.
1. Consider shorting gold in batches with 3345-3365 as resistance, TP: 3330-3320-3310;
2. Consider going long gold in batches with 3325-3305 as support, TP: 3345-3355-3365
EURGBP: Bullish Move After False Breakout 🇪🇺🇬🇧
EURGBP will likely go up from a key daily/intraday support,
following a bullish breakout of a resistance line
of a bullish triangle on an hourly time frame.
The price may go up to 0.86218 level then.
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How a Triple Breakout and Daily Reversal Signal Point to a 25%..How a Triple Breakout and Daily Reversal Signal Point to a 25% Bullish Opportunity on EURCAD
Introduction
A strong bullish signal has formed on the EURCAD currency pair, capturing the attention of traders using a combination of
breakout confirmation and daily chart reversal signals. With a clear confluence across the 4-hour, daily, and weekly timeframes,
this technical setup offers a well-supported case for a buy position with an estimated 25% upside, targeting the 1.6100 level.
Whether traded intraday or held for a few days, the structure of this trade offers exceptional technical clarity and reward
potential.
✅ Key Technical Highlights
🔹 4-Hour Breakout Confirmation
The EURCAD pair has broken decisively above a recent range high on the 4-hour chart. This breakout occurred on increased volume,
which validates the move as more than a false spike. Price action shows bullish momentum building as candles close strongly above
the 50-period EMA, indicating short-term strength.
🔹 Weekly Chart Breakout Structure
Zooming out, the weekly chart reveals that EURCAD has cleanly broken through a key resistance zone, which had previously
capped price several times. The breakout aligns with the long-term trend shift, reinforcing the bullish narrative from a macro
perspective. Support now sits firmly below at previous resistance.
🔹 Daily Chart Reversal Signal
The daily chart offers the most critical insight: a strong reversal pattern, potentially a bullish engulfing or morning star, has
formed near the breakout area. This suggests a change in sentiment and invites buying pressure as traders react to the clear
reversal signal after a recent pullback. This reversal provides
timing precision for the trade.
🎯 Take-Profit and Target Projection
The price target is placed at 1.6100, which corresponds to:
A previous structural high
A Fibonacci extension zone
A round psychological number respected historically
The move to this level offers a potential 25% profit window, depending on entry price and lot size. This makes it attractive for both day traders and short-term swing traders.
🕒 Trade Duration Outlook
While this breakout setup is forming across the weekly and daily charts, the 4-hour entry makes it highly suitable for day trading.
Traders who prefer intraday execution can look for a pullback to breakout support for entry, followed by momentum confirmation
from RSI or volume spikes.
Swing traders may hold the position over several days, aiming for the full stretch to the 1.6100 target, while trailing stops to lock in profits.
⚠️ Risk and News Awareness
Traders must remain cautious of:
Oil price movements, which directly impact CAD strength
Economic data from the Eurozone or Canada (GDP, employment, interest rate updates)
Central bank speeches that may introduce volatility
Risk should be limited by placing stop-loss orders just below the 4-hour breakout level or the low of the daily reversal candle.
📌 Why This EURCAD Setup Matters
This setup is more than just a breakout—it combines:
Multi-timeframe confirmation
Momentum breakout on the 4-hour chart
Weekly structure validation
Daily chart reversal timing
These factors build a strong technical case for bullish continuation and provide high confidence for experienced and new traders alike.
Conclusion
EURCAD presents a powerful trading opportunity backed by clear technical signals across major timeframes. With a 25% upside and
precise entry timing from a daily reversal pattern, this is the kind of setup traders seek for both fast profits and well-structured
trades. Whether approached as a day trade or a swing play, the EURCAD breakout is one to watch.
Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or a
recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Use a simulation trading account before you trade with real money and learn risk management and profit taking strategies.
If we are still bullish futures look to expect these levels. If we are still trending bullish a return back to the old gap low found in the fib & the fvg within the 1hr time fractal .. with a continuation of higher futures - we can see the level delineating in gray lines are my upside targets to see want to reprice to in a order to continue higher.
Shorts trapped? No, the head and shoulders top is still downOver the weekend, I gave a trading strategy for going long at 3315-3305. Today, I updated and optimized the long order trading, maintained the high-short-low-long trading strategy, and began to rebound near the 3300 line, and successfully touched the long TP 3333. At present, I am executing short trades again according to the trading strategy and holding short orders.
Although gold has only retreated to around 3330, I am not worried about losses and failures in short trades. As I wrote in today's post, the daily K-line chart has a head and shoulders top pattern. As long as the bulls fail to recover 3360, it is still a short trend. Therefore, in the short term, I still think that the rebound is a good opportunity for us to go short.
At present, the short-term bullish momentum of gold has been consumed and the downward trend continues. Therefore, I still insist on holding short orders in the short term.
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and being strict with yourself. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
The short position is losing money. What should we do?Gold hit the intraday low of around 3296 and then began to rebound. We can see that the rebound of gold is not strong, but it is relatively sustained, so gold has rebounded to around 3335. To be honest, I did short gold according to my plan and still hold a short position.
Although gold has rebounded to around 3330, I don’t think my short gold trade has failed. As I said in the previous point of view, gold is facing technical suppression of the head and shoulders in the short term, which will suppress the rebound limit within the 3335-3340 area. So before gold stabilizes at 3340, I think the gold shorts still have the upper hand. So as long as gold stays below 3340, I think the gold rebound is a good opportunity to short gold.
At present, gold is facing the resistance area of 3335-3340 and begins to show signs of stagflation. After consuming a certain amount of bullish momentum, the gold shorts may counterattack strongly again and stimulate gold to fall rapidly. Therefore, before gold breaks upward through the 3335-3345 area, we can still consider shorting gold, or continue to hold a short position in gold!
NZDCAD SHORT Market structure bearish on HTFs DH
Entry at both Daily and Weekly AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 0.82500
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 3.29
Entry 100%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
CADJPY LONGMarket structure bullish on HTFs 3
Entry at both Daily and Weekly AOI
Weekly rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Daily EMA retest
Around Psychological Level 105.500
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 3.88
Entry 110%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
XMR 3 Month Heikin Ashi Trend ChartWe have here a trend outlook chart for Monero on a 3 monthly timeframe (Heikin Ashi candlestick chart). XMR is one of a handful of high market cap coins which have showed signs of strength on a variety of indicators (despite high volatility with various other high market cap coins), including the positive MACD and RSI indicators as shown in this chart.
In addition, there has been significant buy volume in the 170 - 277 price range, as can be seen in the Price-Volume indicator to the right of the chart, keeping the price up.
Monero has withstood the political and economic turmoil in recent months making it a strong contender against some of the largest market cap coins. With the current price sitting at approximately USD$315, there is potential for further upside in the long-term.
_____________
This publication and the information contained in it are for educational purposes only, and is not meant to be nor does it constitute financial, investment, trading or other types of advice or recommendations.
90-day tariffs expire, how to position gold next week📰 News information:
1. 90-day tariffs are about to expire
📈 Technical Analysis:
With the Trump administration's massive tax cut and spending bill officially implemented, the U.S. Treasury may start a "supply flood" of short-term Treasury bonds to make up for the trillions of dollars in fiscal deficits in the future. Concerns about the oversupply of short-term Treasury bonds have been directly reflected in prices. The yield of 1-month short-term Treasury bonds has risen significantly since Monday this week. Slowing wage growth, falling total work hours, stagnant wage income growth and concerns about consumer spending are all signs that support gold.
From a technical perspective, Friday's closing long shadow small candle body, the price closed at a high of 3345 and a low of 3224. The overall idea for next week is to follow the trend and rely on the first short-term support of 3323 below to participate in long positions. Secondly, 3315-3305 is given below. If the support point is lost, then 3300 below is also in danger, and there is no need to overly insist on continuing to do more at low levels in the short-term rhythm. The key pressure above is 3340-3350, and the limit is the pressure of 3360 above.
🎯 Trading Points:
BUY 3325-3323
TP 3333-3340-3350
BUY 3315-3305
TP 3325-3333-3340
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
GBPAUD SHORTMarket structure bearish on HTFs DH
Entry at both Daily and Weekly Rejection
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection At AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 2.09000
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 4.22
Entry 95%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
Gold fluctuates, beware of rebound caused by new tariffs📊 Gold Day Trading Strategy (Recommendation index ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️)
📰 News information:
1. 90-day tariffs are about to expire
2. New unilateral tariffs
3. Geopolitical situation
📈 Technical Analysis:
As I said this morning, shorting gold is divided into two times, the first time is near 3324, and the second time is at 3340 or 3345. If there is a short-term retracement after breaking through 24, you can follow up with a long order to look at 3335-3340. If gold is in a very weak state, you can consider shorting near 3315 and look at 3300. Because during the European session, 3300 has strong support, and the European session repeatedly tests this support. If it falls below 3300, we will go to 3295-3285, or even 3250. But at the same time, we need to pay attention to the rebound of gold that may be caused by tariff policies and geopolitical situations.
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3315-3325-3335
TP 3305-3295-3285
BUY 3290-3285
TP 3300-3310-3320
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and being strict with yourself. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
Stock Index: ES, NQ, YM Weekly Update📈 S&P 500, Nasdaq & Dow Jones – All-Time Highs, But Caution Creeping In
🟩 S&P 500 | Nasdaq | Dow Jones
All three indices hit new all-time highs to close out June.
Powered by:
🔋 AI optimism
💰 Solid earnings
🕊️ Dovish Fed tone and falling bond yields
SPX continued its breakout run
Nasdaq surged as big tech led the charge
Dow followed with slower but steady strength
⚠️ But Watch the Signs Beneath the Surface
Consumer confidence dropped sharply
Home sales weakened
Fed speakers remained non-committal on cuts
All three indices now look extended — particularly Nasdaq
Momentum remains bullish, but these rallies are now resting on softening macro, yield compression, and hope that the Fed stays on hold.
🧠 Key Takeaway
Price action is euphoric — but fundamentals are flashing mixed signals.
When tech leads the market at extremes, volatility risk is elevated.
The bears will take the 3290-3280 area stronglyGold started to fall from 3342 during the day and fell below 3300 at one point. Gold is in an obvious short position, and during the London market, gold continued its downward momentum without any decent rebound. Gold is in an extremely weak state. In the absence of a rebound in the London market, I think New York is very likely to continue to fall.
According to the current structure, gold is facing technical suppression of the head and shoulders in the short term, which greatly limits the rebound space of gold and suppresses the rebound limit within 3335. As the center of gravity of gold moves down, the resistance in the short term moves down to the 3315-3325 area. After breaking through 3330, the downward space has been opened up to a certain extent. So don’t be fooled by the false bullish candle that appear near 3330. Gold will inevitably continue to fall to the 3290-3280 area.
The 3290-3280 area is bound to be won, so shorting gold is still the first choice for short-term trading. You can consider shorting gold with the 3315-3325-3335 area as resistance, and look to the target area: 3295-3285-3275.
AUDUSD - RBA Rate Cut and Tariff Deadline in FocusIn a week that is light on economic data and events, with a heavy emphasis towards what happens next once President Trump’s 90-day tariff pause ends on Wednesday (July 9th), the AUDUSD currency pair has more than most for traders to focus on.
This is due to the fact the RBA, the Australian central bank, decides early Tuesday morning (0530 BST) whether to cut interest rates for the third time in a row from 3.85% to 3.6%, as is widely expected by markets, given that inflation has eased in recent months back into the RBA’s 2-3% target range. This announcement is closely followed by the RBA press conference (0630 BST), which could also be an important influence on the direction of AUDUSD depending on the comments Governor Bullock makes regarding future rate moves, economic growth and tariffs.
In terms of trade tariffs, President Trump last week suggested that he is unlikely to extend the 90 day pause, although he has changed his mind before. He also indicated that letters are being sent to trading partners outlining tariffs of between 10-70% on imports depending on whether he believes the country has been negotiating in good faith or not. These new tariffs are due to go into force on August 1st, so there is potentially still time for more twists and turns in this story and AUDUSD volatility may well increase across the trading week ahead as it plays out.
AUDUSD touched an 8 month high at 0.6590 last Tuesday (July 1st) before running into a wall of profit taking and eventually closing the week at 0.6550. Given the risk events facing traders that were just outlined above, this type of price action may not be that surprising.
Looking at how this week has started for AUDUSD, early trading in Asia has seen fresh selling to potential support around 0.6500 (see technical update below), which at the time of writing (0730 BST), is still holding, although bounces have so far been limited.
Technical Update: Preparing For The Week Ahead
With potential for a rate cut in Australia and concerns over tariff news this week, it perhaps isn’t too much of a surprise AUDUSD price corrections are materialising as a reaction to recent strength. While this decline may continue over the short term, traders are perhaps more focused on the potentially positive pattern of higher price highs and higher price lows that have materialised since April 9th 2025, which the chart below shows.
Of course, there is no guarantee this pattern will continue over coming sessions but being aware of support and resistance levels that may hold or exaggerate future price moves may be useful to know in advance.
Potential Support Levels:
After price strength, especially if new recovery highs within an uptrend pattern have been posted, it may prove to be Fibonacci retracement levels that act as support to any future price weakness. Calculating these on the period of price strength seen between May 12th up to the July 1st high, the 38.2% retracement level stands at 0.6501.
With the current setback now moving towards 0.6501 this morning, traders may be watching how this potential support level performs on a closing basis, as confirmed breaks lower might lead to a more extended phase of weakness that could prompt tests of 0.6473, the 50% retracement, even 0.6446, the deeper 62% retracement level.
Potential Resistance Levels:
Having seen new highs recently posted, which was the highest AUDUSD trade since mid-November 2024 (see the chart below), we can look at the weekly perspective to establish the next possible resistance levels.
As the chart shows, the latest AUDUSD activity has recently tested weekly resistance at 0.6550, which is equal to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of September 2024 to April 2025 weakness. It should be noted, in a similar way to last week, that it is possible AUDUSD may see trading activity above this 0.6550 resistance, but as we are using a weekly timeframe, it is this upcoming Friday's weekly close above this level that is required to suggest possibilities of a successful upside closing break.
Much will depend on future market sentiment and price trends, but weekly closes above 0.6550 if seen, may lead to further price strength towards 0.6688, the November 2024 high.
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New tariffs are coming. How should gold respond?📰 News information:
1. 90-day tariffs are about to expire
2. New unilateral tariffs
3. Geopolitical situation
📈 Technical Analysis:
On July 4th local time, there were constant turmoil in American politics and trade. Trump declared that the US government would send letters to trading partners that day to set new unilateral tariff rates, which would most likely take effect on August 1. He also revealed that the new tariff rates could soar to 70%. At the same time, Japan-US trade negotiations encountered obstacles, India planned to impose retaliatory tariffs on the United States, and the China-EU tariff war had also begun. At present, the news seems to be more favorable to the bulls.
From a technical point of view, gold closed higher last week, showing that there is still upward momentum this week. In the short term, we need to pay attention to the pressure in the 3365 and 3375 - 3380 areas, and the 3400 mark is a key position where bulls and bears are fighting fiercely. Before breaking through this position, we must be alert to the risk of falling back after a high rise. Pay attention to the support of 3310-3305 and 3295-3285 below. If effective support is obtained, we can consider going long. If it breaks, it may go to 3270-3260. Gold jumped to 3342 at the opening of the Asian session and then fell back. 3345 is the key in the short term. The news may affect its subsequent trend. In the short term, pay attention to the suppression of 3345 on the upper side, and further to the strong resistance area of 3365-3380. If there is resistance and pressure, you can short at a high level. The impact of recent news is erratic, so enter the market with caution and be sure to set TP and SL strictly.
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3330-3345
TP 3320-3310-3295
BUY 3310-3305
TP 3320-3330-3345
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐.
TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD