Bitcoin H1: Effort vs Result Breakdown!Massive selling volume spikes near the last swing low, but price reversal came in strong! 📉➡️📈
The law of Effort vs Result at play:
Effort: Sellers dumped hard, but the result? A bullish reversal 🚀
Result: Price back above key levels and closing near $109.5K. 💥
🔮 Price Target:
→ Immediate Resistance: $110K
→ Next Extension: $112K
This move shows that even with high volume sell-offs, buyers are in control. 🚀💰
Candlestick Analysis
Nifty facing trendline resistance and RSI cooling down. Nifty had come close to overbought zone. Not that it was immensely overbought. It is also facing a trendline resistance which is hampering it's further progress. Bears are trying their best to bring it down while Bulls are trying to pull it above the trend line. The trade is in perfect balance right now. Once during the day Nifty had broken the trendline resistnace too as it made a high of 25199 but could not sustain the levels and was pulled down immediately. 25055 provided support and kept it Flat.
Supports for Nifty now remain at 25052, 24957, 24917 (Mother line of hourly chart), 24846 is another trend line support. Father line support is at 24614. Below this level bears will take over.
Resistances for Nifty remain at 25118, 25199 (Trend line resistance), A closing above 25199 will enable and empower bears as this will be a closing above mid channel resistance too. In such a scenario Bulls can further full Nifty upwards towards 25298 and 25387 levels.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
What Is a Morning Star Pattern & How Can You Use It in Trading?What Is a Morning Star Pattern, and How Can You Use It in Trading?
The morning star candlestick is a popular price action pattern that technical analysts and traders use to identify potential trading opportunities. It indicates a reversal from a bearish to a bullish trend and is a valuable addition to any trader's toolkit. In this article, we will cover all the technical aspects of the morning star candlestick pattern.
What Is the Morning Star Candlestick Pattern?
The morning star in technical analysis is a reversal formation that appears at the end of a downtrend and signals a trend reversal. It consists of three candles.
To identify it on the chart, you should look for the following:
1. Downtrend: The market should be in a downtrend, and the first candle should be long and bearish.
2. Indecision: The second candle is usually expected to have a gap down, but gaps are uncommon in forex. Therefore, a small-bodied candle is considered sufficient. It's worth noting it can be either bullish or bearish, but if it’s bullish, the signal is stronger.
3. Significant increase: The third candle should be strong and bullish and close above the midpoint of the first bearish one. If it forms with a gap up, the buy signal is considered stronger.
When Morning Star Candlestick Patterns Occur
Traders can identify the morning star candlestick pattern in stocks, forex pairs, commodities, and cryptocurrencies*. It may also be observed across various timeframes, from minutes to weeks.
Generally speaking, a morning star pattern can be considered more reliable when it appears on a higher timeframe. For instance, a morning star candlestick pattern has more significance when it occurs over three days vs three minutes, given the increased amount of price action and market participation reflected over longer periods.
Psychology Behind the Pattern
The morning star reversal pattern reflects a shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish. Initially, a strong bearish candle indicates prevailing selling pressure. The second candle, with its small body, suggests indecision as the market stabilises and neither bulls nor bears dominate. This pause indicates that sellers are losing momentum. The third morning star candle, a strong bullish one, confirms the shift as buyers take control, driving prices higher. This pattern signals that the downtrend is likely exhausted, and a potential reversal is underway due to increasing buyer confidence.
Trading with the Morning Star
Traders can use the following steps to trade this setup:
1. Identify the setup: Look for a setup on the chart formed after a solid downtrend.
2. Confirmation: After identifying the formation, traders should confirm it before entering a long position.
3. Enter a long position: Consider entering a long position once the formation is confirmed.
4. Determine a take-profit target: Although candlesticks don’t provide specific entry and exit points, traders may consider the closest resistance level to take potential profit.
5. Monitor the trade: Continuously monitor the trade and adjust the stop-loss and take-profit levels as needed based on market conditions.
What Is the Morning Star Candlestick Strategy?
The morning star trading strategy leverages the formation's ability to signal a bullish reversal after a downtrend. The formation's reliability increases when it occurs at a support level and is confirmed by a momentum indicator like the RSI or MACD.
Entry:
- Traders look for the full morning star to form at a support level.
- They then look for a confirmatory bullish signal from a momentum indicator, such as RSI showing oversold conditions, a bullish MACD crossover, or a bullish divergence in either.
- Traders may wait for additional confirmation, like RSI moving back above 30, or enter on the close of the third candle in the pattern.
Stop Loss:
- A stop loss might be set below the swing low of the setup.
- Alternatively, traders may place the stop loss beyond the lower boundary of the established support level.
Take Profit:
- Profits might be taken at a predetermined risk-reward ratio, like 2:1 or 3:1.
- Traders also often aim for an opposing resistance level where a further reversal might occur.
Morning Star and Other Formations
Traders should not confuse the morning star candle formation with other formations, such as the evening star, which is the complete opposite.
Doji Morning Star
In a traditional morning star reversal pattern, the candle that appears in the middle of the formation has a small real body, meaning there is a clear difference between the opening and closing prices.
In a morning doji star formation, the second candlestick has characteristics of a doji, where the opening and closing prices are very close to each other, resulting in a very small real body. This reflects the indecision as neither bulls nor bears can take control of the market.
The doji setup is less common than the traditional formation, but it still signals a potential upward movement after a prolonged downtrend.
Evening Star
In contrast to a morning setup, an evening star is a bearish setup occurring after an uptrend. It also consists of three candles – a long bullish one, a small-body one (it can also be a doji), and a long bearish one that closes below the midpoint of the first bullish candle. This suggests that the market is about to turn down.
Benefits and Limitations of the Morning Star Candle
The morning star is a useful tool for traders seeking to identify potential market reversals, but it does come with some benefits and limitations.
Benefits
- Strong Reversal Signal: Indicates a bullish reversal after a downtrend, helping traders anticipate upward moves.
- Broad Applicability: Effective across various financial instruments such as forex, stocks, commodities, and cryptocurrencies*.
- Timeframe Flexibility: It can be observed on different timeframes, from intraday to weekly charts.
Limitations
- False Signals: Like all patterns, it can produce false signals, especially in volatile markets.
- Confirmation Needed: A morning star pattern entry requires confirmation from additional indicators or formations to improve accuracy.
- Experience Required: Identifying the formation correctly and interpreting its signals requires experience and a good understanding of price action.
Final Thoughts
While candlestick formations such as the morning star can be useful for traders to identify potential trading opportunities, it is crucial to remember that they are not foolproof and should not be the sole choice of market participants when making their trading decisions. Traders should also incorporate technical indicators and develop risk management techniques to potentially minimise losses.
FAQ
What Is a Morning Star in Trading?
The meaning of a morning star in trading refers to a bullish reversal formation consisting of three candles. It appears at the end of a downtrend, indicating a potential shift to an uptrend. The setup includes a long bearish candle, a small-bodied candle, and a long bullish candle.
Is the Morning Star Bullish or Bearish?
It is a bullish candlestick pattern that indicates a potential reversal from a downtrend to an uptrend in the market. It suggests that the selling pressure is subsiding, and buying pressure is beginning to take over.
What Does the Morning Star Pattern Indicate?
It is a three-candle price action, often indicating a bullish reversal in the market. It suggests that selling pressure has been exhausted, and buyers are starting to gain control of the market.
How Do You Read the Morning Star Pattern?
To read the morning star formation, traders should look for the following characteristics: a long bearish candle formed in a solid downtrend and followed by a bullish or bearish candle with a small real body, which in turn is followed by a long bullish candle closing above the midpoint of the first one.
What Is the Opposite of Morning Star?
The opposite of a morning star is the evening star, a bearish reversal pattern. It appears at the end of an uptrend, signalling a potential shift to a downtrend. The morning and evening stars are similar, except the latter mirrors the former, consisting of a long bullish candle, a small-bodied candle, and a long bearish candle.
*Important: At FXOpen UK, Cryptocurrency trading via CFDs is only available to our Professional clients. They are not available for trading by Retail clients. To find out more information about how this may affect you, please get in touch with our team.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Gold rises and then falls, short at 3330📰 Impact of news:
1. Geopolitical situation
2. Impact of the US dollar trend on gold
📈 Market analysis:
Gold rebounded again after falling to 3301, but the upper 3330-3340 line still has strong suppression on gold. Judging from the current trend, because the gold price has risen in the short term and returned to the 3325-3327 line, the short-term resistance is still 3330-3335 and it is expected to fall under pressure. Look for the 3315-3310 position. If it falls below this support, look down to the 3300-3290 line.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3330-3340
TP 3315-3310-3300
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
EURJPY Tapped 4H Supply – Massive Drop Loading?EURJPY | 30-Min View with 4H CRT Zones
🔥 This is where Smart Money sharpens their blades…
🧊 New Confluence Just Dropped:
🔴 CRT 4H High Zone: 165.108–165.475
Price wicked right into the 4H Compression Reversal Top (CRT) — ideal Smart Money trap zone
This area aligns perfectly with the bearish OB/supply from previous screenshot
🔵 CRT 4H Low Zone: Around 164.630
Strong structure level where liquidity is sitting
Price respected it as temporary support before likely break-and-retest continuation
🔍 Price Action Logic:
✅ Price faked out above CRT 4H High, grabbing liquidity
✅ Immediate rejection candle with wick rejection signals institutional selling
🔁 Now price is retesting the mid-OB / lower CRT, likely forming a breaker pattern
🟥 Huge clean imbalance to the downside — marked by that juicy green TP box
🔽 Expectation: price fills inefficiency and heads to 163.378 minimum
🎯 Trade Parameters:
🔻 Entry Zone 165.100 – 165.397 (Red Supply / CRT High)
🛡 SL Above 165.475 (CRT 4H High)
🎯 TP Target 163.378 (bottom imbalance fill)
⚖️ RRR Over 1:4 potential — high precision entry zone
🧠 Chart Ninja Analysis:
“When CRT zones align with OBs and liquidity sweeps,
that’s a Smart Money feast waiting to happen.” – 🥷
This chart is a classic reversal blueprint. If you missed the first tap — wait for the retest. If this holds below CRT Low (164.630), expect full bearish momentum into midweek.
📊 Confirmation Tactics:
🔄 M15 bearish engulfing / shift in structure after tap into CRT
🔻 Break of 164.630 = confirmation of bearish intent
⏳ Optional: use FVG + volume spike as further entry triggers
🚨 Save this chart — it's one of those sniper moments where everything aligns!
REGN – Bullish Engulfing + RSI Divergence at Weekly DemandRegeneron (REGN) is showing strong technical signals of potential reversal from a key weekly demand zone, replicating a setup similar to March 2021.
🔹 Bullish Engulfing Candle forms directly at the demand zone after a multi-month downtrend.
🔹 Volume Spike confirms strong buyer interest.
🔹 RSI shows bullish divergence, breaking its internal structure and holding above 30.
🔹 MACD crossover is setting up, with histogram and signal lines echoing the same configuration from March 2021 — which led to a significant rally.
This is a textbook confluence setup:
Structure (demand zone)
Momentum (RSI divergence)
Confirmation (volume + engulfing)
Trigger alignment (MACD timing)
A decisive follow-through above recent highs could confirm the reversal and initiate a new bullish leg.
Rebound is a good opportunity to short goldGold gradually rebounded after touching 3295. The highest price has rebounded to 3338. Although the rebound has reached $43, the upward momentum is not strong during the rebound. Therefore, the current rebound cannot be confirmed as a reversal trend. Moreover, gold has not yet effectively broken through the 3330-3340 area. Gold is still weak in the short term. Gold still has the potential to fall after the rebound. It will at least retest the 3315-3305 area again.
Therefore, there is no need to fear the rebound of gold for the time being. The rebound of gold is a good opportunity to short gold. I think gold will at least retest the 3315-3305 area again, and even exceed expectations to the area around 3280. Shorting gold is the password for profit in the short term!
EURGBP forex rallying as expected off weekly demand levelWeekly uptrend. Weekly demand imbalance at 0.83 is still in control and trying to play out as expected. Any swing long positions should be managed. I hope you could take advantage of long positions using the smaller timeframes for those intraday and short-term forex traders.
Precision Wires India Ltd: Breakout + Fundamental Bullish SetupTechnical Analysis (Daily Timeframe)
Breakout Pattern: consolidation breakout with Strong bullish DOJI candle above ₹185–₹187
Volume Confirmation: with a spike in volume (767.6K vs avg 571.2K)✅ Yes
Trend: Strong uptrend; Higher Highs & Higher Lows
Bullish momentum intact Price above 20 EMA & 50 EMA
FUNDAMENTALS ANALYSIS : Company fundamentals are fully strong, company low debt and high reserves make it fundamentally strong
PROFIT & LOSS:
Company revenue increased YOY
Company net profit good
Profit Margin improved from 3.9% to 4.2% that is the good sign.
🔼 Steady revenue growth with increasing margins shows operational efficiency and cost management.
Fundamental Summary
Parameter Verdict
Earnings Growth : Consistent YoY
Financial Health : Excellent
Promoter Holding: Stable & high
Business Model: Stable & scalable
Trade conclusion:
Strong volume Breakout from Consolidation
Earning Growth and ROCE >15%
Debt free company with high promoters confidence.
Good Sector
📢 Disclaimer: Not investment advice. Do your own research (DYOR). This idea is shared for educational and tracking purposes.
Gold rebound fails to change the trend and is still bearish?📰 Impact of news:
1. The streets of Los Angeles are full of "gunpowder smell"! Immigration protests escalate, and Trump sends troops to suppress them
2. Geopolitical situation
3. Federal Reserve political expectations
📈 Market analysis:
At the hourly level: the Bollinger Band opening is narrowing, the MACD technical indicator is running in a golden cross, and the RSI fluctuates frequently in the short term. There is a certain potential for short-term promotion. If the gold price stabilizes above 3315, it may trigger a rebound and touch 3330-3340 again. If the gold price continues to be below 3300 and the short position is strengthened, it may fall to a new low. Therefore, if it rebounds again to the 3330-3340 resistance line, short positions can still be considered.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3315-3318
TP 3330-3335
SELL 3330-3340
TP 3300-3290-3280
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Evening gold trend analysis and operation layout📰 Impact of news:
1. The streets of Los Angeles are full of "gunpowder smell"! Immigration protests escalate, and Trump sends troops to suppress them
2. Geopolitical situation
3. Federal Reserve political expectations
📈 Market analysis:
Gold rebounded as expected and touched the 3330 line. In the short term we need to pay attention to the 3335 line. On the one hand, it is the top and bottom, and on the other hand, the annual average line is also the pressure point of the upper track of the downward channel. Once it is suppressed below 3335, it will continue to fluctuate downward. If it unexpectedly breaks through 3335 or even 3340, then 3293 is likely to become the short-term bottom.
At present, the rise has slowed down after rising to 3330, and the technical side shows a top divergence signal, so in the short term, we still maintain the idea of shorting at a high level of fluctuation.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3335-3345-3355
TP 3310-3300
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Nifty Analysis EOD – June 9, 2025 – Monday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – June 9, 2025 – Monday 🔴
🎯 Stuck at the Top – Expansion Coming Soon?
Nifty opened with a strong Gap-Up of 127 points at 25,127, landing right at the upper resistance cap. But from the very first candle, it was clear that the market was unsure—price action showed indecision, and the index could barely add another 16 points before hitting the day’s high of 25,143.45.
From there, the index retraced about 66 points, marking a low at 25,077.15, before attempting a gradual recovery toward the high. But that breakout attempt was unsuccessful, and Nifty drifted back to the mean and closed the day at 25,103.20—essentially wrapping the entire session within a tight 65-point range.
Buyers fought hard to defend 25,100, while sellers tried to fill the morning gap. The narrow range and mean reversion hint at consolidation, setting the stage for a possible expansion in the coming sessions. Stay patient—the coil is tightening.
🛡 5 Min Chart with Levels
🕯 Daily Time Frame Chart
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 25,160.10
High: 25,160.10
Low: 25,077.15
Close: 25,103.20
Net Change: +100.15 (+0.40%)
📊 Candle Structure Breakdown
Real Body: 56.90 pts → 🔴 Red candle (Close < Open)
Upper Wick: 0 pts (Open = High)
Lower Wick: 26.05 pts
🔍 Interpretation
Price opened at the high and failed to push any higher – showing no strength above the open.
Despite a positive close versus the previous session, the candle is bearish intraday.
The lower wick shows some support, but not enough to flip the bias.
🔦 Candle Type
🟥 Red Inverted Hammer / Bearish Pin Bar– Typically signals weakness or potential reversal, especially when forming near resistance zones.
📌 Key Insight
The structure shows exhaustion or profit booking.
A move below 25,077 could open the door to further downside.
However, holding above 25,100–25,130 will keep bullish hopes alive.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 262.59
IB Range: 66.3 → Small IB
Market Structure: imBalanced
Trades:❌ No Trade Triggered by the system
📌 Support & Resistance Zones
Resistance Levels
25,116 ~ 25,128
25,180 ~ 25,212
25,285
Support Levels
25,062 ~ 25,070
24,972
24,920 ~ 24,894
24,800 ~ 24,768
💭 Final Thoughts
Today was a pause, not a pullback—yet.With price compressed in a tight band, volatility expansion is likely ahead.
🧠 “Markets don't stay quiet for long. Silence often precedes a scream—watch which direction the breakout takes.”
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
US 500 Index – All Time Highs Back in SightFresh optimism regarding trade negotiations between the US and China, coupled with confirmation on Friday that the US labour market is cooling down slowly and not indicating an imminent US recession, has seen the US 500 index open this morning at 4 month highs, bumping up against the psychological 6000 again, with its all time peak of 6144 (February 19th) back in sight.
Looking forward, this could be a pivotal week for the US 500, with a variety of risk events for traders to consider, all of which may have the potential to impact the direction of risk sentiment into the Friday close.
First up, later today, traders will be eagerly awaiting updates from the second round of trade talks between US and Chinese trade teams, who are tasked with defusing tensions regarding the supply of rare earth minerals and advanced technology.
Then, on Wednesday (CPI 1330 BST) and Thursday (PPI 1330 BST) the next round of US inflation updates for May are released. These could be relevant to traders who have become more sensitive to potential price rises due to the impact of President Trump's trade tariffs. Any surprise deviations from expectations in either of these releases could see an increase in US 500 index volatility.
Putting this all together with any fresh reports outlining progress on trade deals between the US and Japan or the EU, and it could be a volatile week in store. With this in mind, it can be helpful to consider the technical indicators and trends.
Technical Update: Focus on the Bollinger Mid Average
While some may have argued for a slowing in upside momentum of the recent US 500 index advance, price weakness has continued to be limited in both time and extent.
Importantly, as the chart above shows, when short term setbacks in price have recently materialised, it has been the rising Bollinger mid-average that has marked a support focus.
This maintains the potential of a more constructive picture and positive price trend, where buyers have been happy to pay a higher price each time that weakness is seen, and have been able to push the index above previous peaks in price, to new recovery highs.
Of course, there is no guarantee this pattern of higher highs and higher lows in price will extend further, but traders may well be focusing on this type of pattern as having the potential to lead to a more sustained phase of price strength.
What are the potential support and resistance levels that traders may be watching this week for clues to the direction of the next possible price move?
Potential Resistance Levels:
Further evidence that a positive trend in price could still be in place came on Friday, as a new recovery price high at 6017 was posted.
Traders may now be watching how a previous price high at 6049, which was posted on February 24th is defended, as closing breaks may see further attempts to push to higher levels. Such moves could then lead to further price strength towards 6144, the February 19th all-time high.
Potential Support Levels:
Having held and turned price activity higher over previous tests, it may well still be the rising Bollinger mid-average, which currently stands at 5916 that represents a possible support focus this week.
Closes below this level while not confirmation of a more extended phase of price weakness, may see a deeper decline to test 5842, the May 30th session low, even on to the 5742 level, which is equal to the low posted on May 23rd.
The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients.
Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
Gold weakness continues, bears continue to exert force📰 Impact of news:
1. The streets of Los Angeles are full of "gunpowder smell"! Immigration protests escalate, and Trump sends troops to suppress them
2. Geopolitical situation
3. Federal Reserve political expectations
📈 Market analysis:
At present, the hourly moving average of gold price is spreading downward. At the same time, the 4H chart has retreated from a high and lost the middle track, breaking through the rising trend line. The low point of the trend line coincides with the middle track. Today's operation uses the low point of 3330-3335 as the critical point of strength and weakness. If the market rebounds below this range, you can just go bearish. If it breaks through this dividing point, you need to be cautious. On the whole, the recommended short-term operation strategy for gold today is to mainly short on rebound. Focus on the resistance of 3330-3340 on the upper side in the short term, and focus on the support of 3290-3280 on the lower side in the short term. The market fluctuates greatly, and stop loss is strictly controlled!
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3325-3335
TP 3300-3290-3280
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
USDCAD Short Opportunity Description :
USDCAD is setting up for a potential short — I’m watching closely for an upthrust into the highlighted zone to initiate the position. Here’s my current read:
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
1. Trendline Break
Previous bullish trendline broken with conviction. Market structure now vulnerable to bearish continuation.
2. Volume Spike with Selling Pressure
Notable increase in volume on bearish candles — suggests smart money exiting or early sellers stepping in.
3. Anticipating an Upthrust
Watching for price to sweep the highs around 1.3695–1.3700, fail to sustain, and drop back inside range.
This would provide a low-risk entry with tight stops above the highs and 5r+ down to 1.3652, possibly even lower.
📌 Trade Plan:
Entry Zone: 1.3695–1.3700 (after upthrust confirmation)
Stop: Above 1.3710
TP1: 1.3652 (structure low)
TP2: 1.3600 (extended target if momentum builds)
---
🧠 Why This Setup?
This aligns with key principles I trade:
Trendline breaks often lead to retests followed by continuation.
Rising volume on the break is confirmation, not noise.
A failed breakout (upthrust) into previous supply zones is often the "last push" before price collapses.
Let me know if you're seeing something different. This is how I’m planning to attack the chart today.
XAU/USD 09 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 22 May 2025.
In my analysis from 12 May 2025, I noted that price had yet to target the weak internal high, including on the H4 timeframe. This aligns with the ongoing corrective bearish pullback across higher timeframes, so a bearish internal Break of Structure (iBOS) was a likely outcome.
As anticipated, price targeted strong internal low, confirming a bearish iBOS.
Price has remained within the internal range for an extended period and has yet to target the weak internal low. A contributing factor could be the bullish nature of the H4 timeframe's internal range, which has reacted from a discounted level at 50% of the internal equilibrium (EQ).
Intraday Expectation:
Technically price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,120.765.
Alternative scenario:
Price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Eur, Gbp & DXY Dynamics: We have reached fair valueWith equilibrium being established we are stuck in an internal liquidity range. We do expect the trending targets to be hit although we are seeing a preliminary shift in structure.
If there was anything I missed in this analysis please let me know. Share this with anyone who may be interested 🙏🏾
EURCHF: Pullback From Resistance Confirmed 🇪🇺🇨🇭
EURCHF may pull back from the underlined resistance today.
As a confirmation, I spotted a double top pattern after a test
of a key intraday resistance and a violation of its neckline with
a high momentum bearish candle on Friday.
Goal - 0.93585
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