please tap the supplythis is a textbook short setup for me, we wait for the price action to tap the supply block, then wait for a sell confirmation (according to our rules), then we pull the trigger!!!
Candlestick Analysis
Oil is still bearish but clearly at a key bullish zoneThe bullish array we are at now contains a flipped imbalance and can indefinitely hold price within it's boundary preventing a close lower close.
If this is the case, we will see heavy wicking in this area and a reverse to the high of the Friday candle high. Depending what happens at the high will determine what to expect next. The main observation that is speaking to us is how price wicked the entire iFVG flip range and closed on the edge of the FVG range. This will be important body level to watch going into next week.
We also expect this low to be wicked but we will have to see how we play the inducement that is going to build in this range.
Unraveling Silver's Price Puzzle: Volume Profile AnalyticsH ello,
As I draft this article, the price of silver is currently hovering above the key level of $31.2. This level is considered "key" because it represents a significant point where large buy and sell forces meet, as indicated by the volume profile at the bottom.
The importance of this level is further confirmed by the price action itself. Silver has been in a moderately strong uptrend, as suggested by the linear regression on the candles. However, the uptrend was interrupted at this price, and from September 24 until now, silver has been struggling to overcome the supply and push the price higher. You may observe how volume grows around this level, in a so-called "zone", and decreases as the market moves towards the zone borders. It's both a supply and a demand zone as indicated further by how the price usually returned into the zone after going out from it.
Between October 9 and October 14, the market absorbed significant sell forces. Absorption means that there were sellers, but the sum of the buying volumes (what I call buy force) negated the sell force's impact on the price. You can observe it on the chart where relatively tall sell volume deltas belong to candles of the opposite price action - Yellow volume delta candles to green price candles. Furthermore, if you observe it, you can also see that the buy force moved the price upwards against the sales. Additionally, for the first time since September 24, the demand outweighed the supply for a relatively extended duration.
Overall, the chart signals that it's an important time for silver's price. The market is in a balanced state where demand matches supply. However, if you look at the trend within this balanced state, you find a moderately strong uptrend. Thus, despite the balance, the trend projects higher prices in the future.
Regards,
Ely
Retest of major level of support Looks like CADJPY has come to retest previous level of support following with some rejection candles around the zone. Will most likely reject this major level as it remains strong and reverse to the upside
Continuing the Moon Phase Vs Nifty chart further. Yesterday in the message we understood how The dark circle resonates with the dates of no moon day and Grey circle indicates the day when we saw a full moon. Invariably in most of the no moon days as can be seen in the chart index is at the peak near no moon day. Then there is a fall seen in Nifty. Recovery starts in few days of Full moon day and then again Nifty makes a peak near no moon day. We were trying to contemplate if it is a coincidence. Now we saw a small turnaround today. We do not know if this will hold and if the recovery will start from here and now but we will juxtapose Moon Phases Vs Nifty chart with our Mother, Father and Small Child theory, RSI and Bollinger bands and see what levels we get for support and resistances further.
RSI is currently on daily chart is at 41.27 having taken support near 37 zone. This seems to be a good support zone for RSI as it as bounced from there and there about several times. Nifty took baby steps to recovery on Friday as Full Moon is done. Lowest RSI on daily chart was around 32 that was exactly one year back so we can expect either of these two levels to hold fort.
Father line support is near 23404. Bollinger band shows a support zone near 24373 range in case Nifty takes a dip from here. Mother line resistance is near 25026 and Bollinger Median resistance is near 25372. Resistance for nifty based on Bollinger band top seems to be at 26372.
Mother, Father and Small Child theory is explained in my book Happy Candles Way to Wealth creation. The book is available on Amazon in Paperback and Kindle version. Do read it as many reviewers on Amazon consider it as a Hand book to equity investment.
In this way we have tried to deduce support and resistance levels of Nifty with the help of Mother, Father and Small Child theory, Bollinger band, RSI. We tried to predict the turnaround phases for Nifty’s upward and downward runs by juxtapositioning it with phases of Moon. To a normal eye all this looks a little complicated and difficult but when you dissect it and spend time with the chart you will be able to deconstruct it bit by bit, frame by frame and level by level.
Disclaimer: There is a chance of biases including confirmation bias, information bias, halo effect and anchoring bias in this write-up. Investment in stocks, derivatives and mutual funds is subject to market risk please consult your investment advisor before taking financial decisions. The data, chart or any other information provided above is for the purpose of analysis and is purely educational in nature. They are not recommendations of any kind. We will not be responsible for Profit or loss due to descision taken based on this article. The names of the stocks or index levels mentioned if any in the article are for the purpose of education and analysis only. Purpose of this article is educational. Please do not consider this as a recommendation of any sorts.
New strategy based on 50/200 EMASaw this strategy on Reddit and tweaked some things to what I am showing to you now with a 80-85% win rate. You wait for the 50 EMA to cross over the 200 EMA either the same day or post/pre market before. After the crossover, you wait for the pullback and when a wick hits the 50 EMA and reverses, you enter a long trade until either the trading day is over or the RSI shows overbought. Anybody have any changes that would make it better or that I’m missing? I’ve noticed it works best on 15m.
retest of support level the market has come back to retest level 0.62660 of support with some signs of rejection, before bouncing back to the upside
major level of resistance will it break?major level of resistance of has been reached 83.782 with what appears lots of consolidations around that zone from lack of volume, we shall continue to monitor to see if there is a break out or reject
NZDUSD 4H long watchlistIt's a quiet week no trades yet, but that's a good thing.
That means also no losses are taken. So my decision-making ability to spot only good quality trades for my system works.
NZDUSD 4H long is on only thing that caught my attention and I will explain why.
First thing what I always want to see a long clean downtrend breaking support. It's hovering arround that level so that's good.
Second thing consolidation pattern with a couple of fakeouts. The last deep red candle pierced deeper than the rest. So that indicates price is looking for liquidity to move up again.
What's also really nice after the deep red candle we see some small indecision candles.
The only thing what needs to happen now is one medium to strong bullish candle I draw it on the charts as example. That's enough reason for me to enter.
If not I skip the trade with no problem :)
End of the Trend?It is not a Shooting Star and not a Hanging Man. And I am to lazy to look into my Nison bible what the name of such a candle on top of a Flagstaff is. At least it is not a bullish signal.
When we will hold this price level until Thursday -and I expect it to do so- then a downward correction is likely. I will have a look at the Fibonacci levels to get an idea of the first targets.
Harami?I will check, whether it is a Harami building today. Probably it is not a Harami as the lower lunt ist to long. Nevrtheless it is not a confirming candle but a reversal one.
I am selling some NIO stocks now. The rise seems to have been to fast and the downward correction may still continue a bit longer.
Possible short on AUD/CADThere is a lot of internal liquidity to take and also there is a huge gap that should be filled, so I set the first target on the beginning of the GAP an the second Target on the beginning of the order block, or what I consider order block. I think that could start a short because the price is arrived in a upper order block, and also for my past analysis I think that this pair is in a bearish configuration on a large time frame.
Possible long on CAD/CHFI am long on this pair, but I think that now is the time to enter long for Target 1 and then for Target 2. The rose box are the order block that for my opinion are important to consider as target. There is also a red pin bar, usually the price retrace over these candles, for that reason I set the Target 1. Going long then there is a quite good carry trading.
Gap filled on GBP/CHF and now long continuationGap filled originated by the news in the morning about GBP and now I entered long with the target as in the picture.
retest of resistance level market is currently retesting previous level of resistance with some signs of rejection on the 30 minute and 15 minute time fame, although it does seem to be breaking through. if it does break, there should be a retest before continuing to the upside
here is a free signal, waiting for a confirmationthis is how I plan to trade this pair, my confirmation will be a 4hr candle close below 0.92507...
rejection on major level of resistance There seems to be signs of rejection upon the 91.146 level of resistance as bullish momentum has decreased
Breakthrough or reject of resistanceLooks like the market is retesting previous level of resistance for the third time at 0.52621its possible that it could break through since its a third retest of this zone and volume looks promising keeping a close eye on how the market reacts around this zone
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Short-Term Bearish Sentiment
Crude Oil looks bearish after a breakout of a key daily horizontal support.
The next key supports are 68.5 - 69.2 and 66.4 - 67.4.
The price will most likely continue falling, at least to the first support.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
EURJPY UPDATESeeing that this pair has not made any significant move for the week, but the weekly candle is showing that sellers are pushing price to the downside we could still expect a slel off but after a break if the accumulation phase
Long trade
BTC/USD trade during the Tokyo session on Thursday, 17th Oct 2024
11.45 pm
Entry 67582.05
Profit level 68404.31 (1.22%)
Stop level 67479.05 (0.15%)
RR 4.83
Entry 1min TF
Reason; Analyzing using the Footprint indicator and Volume Point of Control (VPOC) highlights the price level where the most trading volume occurred. This helps identify significant support or resistance areas.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 10/18/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2024
- PR High: 20413.50
- PR Low: 20377.00
- NZ Spread: 81.5
No key scheduled economic events
Quick auction return back to Tuesday lows
Session Open Stats (As of 2:15 AM 10/18)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Session Gap 7/24: -0.32% (open > 19946)
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 298.31
- Volume: 25K
- Open Int: 248K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -3.7% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 20954
- Mid: 19814
- Short: 17533
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
