XAU USD LONGGold price was consolidating in a symmetrical triangle pattern from which I opened this long position just at the confluence of the diagonal and horizontal support (s), I expected price to hit the confluence zone before further pump to the upside as it did, but fortunately price mover within the range of the symmetrical triangle and retested the upper band and pumped as predicted.
Good setup Though, better luck next time. Better missed than a loss.
_THE_KLASSIC_TRADER_.
Candlestick Analysis
Daily Edge – March 29, 2025Friday Close – Week 13 Wrap + Week 14 Setup Preview
Context
Week 13 closed bullish, forming a double distribution profile and finishing just below all-time highs.
Week 14 opens on the final day of March + Q1 — a high-stakes inflection point.
Red folder news events dominate the week ahead, including Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) on Friday.
Key Weekly Levels (Week 13)
MPH: 3086
VAH: 3046
POC: 3016 (below W12 POC at 3034)
VAL: 3004
MPL: 3002
Last Week’s Play Recap
Entered a Failed Auction Long early in W13 near W12 VAL (3014–3020)
Structure evolved into clean IB Breakout, then full range extension and continuation toward highs
Late-week close confirmed expansion above AMR High and value structure
Some live positions remain open, awaiting Monday’s open for management decisions
Looking Ahead to Week 14
Monday is observation-only — waiting for the Initial Balance (IB) to form on the 4H TPO Weekly Profile
This week also prints:
The February IB (from Daily/Monthly TPO)
The Week 14 IB (Weekly TPO)
The Q2 Opening Profile (Quarterly TPO)
Higher timeframe structure remains bullish, but entries will only follow confirmed setups from the PNP playbook
Execution Plan for the Week
Let Monday define IB
Match structure to historical high-probability patterns
Tag validated setups: FA, IBX, Reversion, etc.
Execute using the scaling-in model only after confirmation
Maintain consistent VAR and clarity on exit plan
“Structure prints the story. Data confirms the play. We only act when both align.”
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3 Best Trading Opportunities to Maximize Profit Potential
Hey traders,
In the today's article, we will discuss 3 types of incredibly accurate setups that you can apply for trading financial markets.
1. Trend Line Breakout and Retest
The first setup is a classic trend line breakout.
Please, note that such a setup will be accurate if the trend line is based on at least 3 consequent bullish or bearish moves.
If the market bounces from a trend line, it is a vertical support.
If the market drops from a trend line, it is a vertical resistance.
The breakout of the trend line - vertical support is a candle close below that. After a breakout, it turns into a safe point to sell the market from.
The breakout of the trend line - vertical resistance is a candle close above that. After a breakout, it turns into a safe point to buy the market from.
Take a look at the example. On GBPJPY, the market was growing steadily, respecting a rising trend line that was a vertical support.
A candle close below that confirmed its bearish violation.
It turned into a vertical resistance .
Its retest was a perfect point to sell the market from.
2. Horizontal Structure Breakout and Retest
The second setup is a breakout of a horizontal key level.
The breakout of a horizontal support and a candle close below that is a strong bearish signal. After a breakout, a support turns into a resistance.
Its retest is a safe point to sell the market from.
The breakout of a horizontal resistance and a candle close above that is a strong bullish signal. After a breakout, a resistance turns into a support.
Its retest if a safe point to buy the market from.
Here is the example. WTI Crude Oil broke a key daily structure resistance. A candle close above confirmed the violation.
After a breakout, the broken resistance turned into a support.
Its test was a perfect point to buy the market from.
3. Buying / Selling the Market After Pullbacks
The third option is to trade the market after pullbacks.
However, remember that the market should be strictly in a trend .
In a bullish trend, the market corrects itself after it sets new higher highs. The higher lows usually respect the rising trend lines.
Buying the market from such a trend line, you open a safe trend-following trade.
In a bearish trend, after the price sets lower lows, the correctional movements initiate. The lower highs quite often respect the falling trend lines.
Selling the market from such a trend line, you open a safe trend-following trade.
On the chart above, we can see EURAUD pair trading in a bullish trend.
After the price sets new highs, it retraces to a rising trend line.
Once the trend line is reached, trend-following movements initiate.
What I like about these 3 setups is the fact that they work on every market and on every time frame. So no matter what you trade and what is your trading style, you can apply them for making nice profits.
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GBPUSD | APRIL 2025 FORECAST | Chopping Block is Hot!GBP/USD is approaching the psychological 1.3000 level, a key battleground for bulls and bears. The pair has been trading within a rising channel, but recent price action suggests momentum could be shifting.
🔹 Trend & Structure: GBP/USD remains in a broader uptrend but is struggling to maintain bullish momentum above 1.3000. A confirmed break could signal continuation, while rejection may trigger a retracement toward 1.2800-1.2750.
🔹 Technical Outlook:
Support Levels: 1.2850, 1.2750
Resistance Levels: 1.3050, 1.3150
Indicators: RSI hovers near 65, signaling slight overextension; MACD shows bullish momentum but weakening.
🔹 Fundamental Factors:
BOE policy expectations vs. Fed’s stance on rate cuts.
US & UK economic data—watch CPI and employment figures.
If GBP/USD clears and holds above 1.3000, it could open doors for a rally toward 1.3150. But if sellers defend this level, we might see a pullback toward 1.2850-1.2750 before the next move.
Will 1.3000 hold, or is a reversal on the horizon? Drop your predictions below! 📉📈 #GBPUSD #ForexTrading #MarketAnalysis
GBPJPY | APRIL 2025 FORECAST| Will GJ fly to the SKY?GBP/JPY has been riding strong volatility, reacting to both BOE and BOJ policy shifts. As we head into the new month, the pair is testing a critical resistance zone near , with momentum signaling a potential breakout or rejection.
🔹 Trend Analysis: The pair remains in a strong , with price respecting the as dynamic support/resistance.
🔹 Key Levels: Resistance at , support at . A break above could open the door to .
🔹 Technical Outlook: RSI divergence hints at possible exhaustion, while Fibonacci retracements suggest key reaction zones around .
Will GBP/JPY continue its bullish momentum, or are we looking at a deeper correction? Share your insights below! 📉📈 #GBPJPY #ForexForecast #MarketAnalysis
Realtime markups: Indices tailspin to the weekly range lowsAfter rejecting the weekly highs aggressively on Wednesday, we had a clear run toward the low of the same weekly range candle's low. I believe this low will be hit before anything else.
We will see what the Monday open sequence looks like. See you then 🫡
AUDUSD | APRIL 2025 FORECAST| This Next Move will be Massive!AUD/USD is shaping up for a critical month, with price action hovering around a key support zone near . The pair has been reacting to , influencing both bullish and bearish momentum.
🔹 Trend Analysis: The pair remains in a on the higher timeframe, with acting as dynamic support/resistance.
🔹 Key Levels: Support at , resistance at .
🔹 Momentum & Structure: A break above could trigger bullish continuation, while failure to hold may lead to a deeper retracement.
With fundamentals aligning with technicals, this month could present solid trading opportunities. Will AUD/USD push higher, or are we in for a reversal? Drop your thoughts below! 🚀📊 #AUDUSD
The Index to watch next week: FMCG IndexThe index that is trying to break out and one needs to watch the next week seems to be the FMCG Index.
The FMCG index is currently facing the Mother line resistance. If the index can overcome the Mother line resistance which is at 53619 there is a chance that this index in the near future can go on to its net resistance levels which are at 54203, 55259 or even 56230. A closing above 56230 or the Father line and the trend line near by in a few weeks or the next quarter can lead the index to gain some previous levels like 57K, 58K or even 59K. The support for FMCG index is currently at 52656, 51508 and 50176.
To know more about supports, Resistances, investing in stocks based on sector index, Trend lines Parallel Channels, Mother, Father and small Child Theory, Behavioural finance, Fundamental analysis, Technical analysis, Profit booking etc. Read my book The Happy Candles Way to Wealth creation. It is as on date one of the highest rated books on Amazon. The paperback version and Kindle can be bought through Amazon. You can also contact me to buy the same.
Now if this breakout actually happens in the Nifty FMCG index the some of the stocks that composites the FMCG index will be the beneficiaries. Some might benefit more some might benefit less and some might not benefit but for index to move upward the stocks composing it have to perform well. To know which stocks will do better than others we will have to look at their individual charts. The stocks which make the Nifty FMCG index are Tata Consumer, Britannia, Radico Khaitan, Godrej Consumer Products, UBL, Dabur, United Spirits, Nestle, Colgate, Marico, PGHH, Dabur, Balrampur Chini, Hindustan Unilever, Varun Bevreges and ITC. The Index Can Perform if the majority constituents or the stocks with heavy weightage perform. Some of these stocks can perform others might not. Choose wisely after consulting your investment advisor, studying fundamentals and Technicals of each company.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. No one can guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. There is also chance of bias in our opinion. The supports and resistances indicated are based on data which has a cycle time of being 3 months or older so it is not necessary that it will work. The author or Smart Investment will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
US30 Sells Idea for the New York SessionUnless we see some news come out on tariffs, we could see some downside on US30 today. It is falling inside a wedge pattern right now, and I expect the price action to fall within that wedge with a potential to go down during the New York session. I will be waiting for a break of the upper green zone (around 42150), then a pullback and rejection, to take sells down towards the 42000 (and possibly lower) areas.
I am not looking for any buys on US30 today, unless I see some really big green candles towards the upside during the 9:30 am EST.
Buy BTC,it still has the potential to reboundBTC experienced a sharp short-term decline, breaking lower; however, the downward momentum has significantly slowed. Importantly, the recent pullback has not disrupted the broader upward consolidation structure, with the 84500-83500 zone continuing to provide strong support.
Once the bearish sentiment fully subsides, I anticipate a relief rally or a technical rebound. Therefore, this pullback could present an excellent opportunity to go long on BTC.
Consider entering long positions around the 84500-83500 support zone, targeting an initial upside move toward the 86000-86500 range.
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Gold Approaches 3100, Short Opportunity EmergesGold has reached a high of around 3085, now just a step away from the 3100 level. However, for short-term trading, I view the 3085-3105 range as an ideal zone to consider short positions on gold.
📍Short-Term Trading Strategy:
Consider scaling into short positions within the 3085-3105 range. Pay close attention to position sizing and risk management when setting up trades.
📍Key Support Levels to Watch:
-First target: 3065-3055
-Second target: 3045-3040
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Gold Bulls Again!Following significant buying activity during the Asian session today, spurred by Trump's announcement on auto tariffs, gold prices have begun to cool off and are retracing towards the 3050 region. If the price reaches this level and forms support on the lower timeframes (30-minute to 1-hour charts), there may be an opportunity to take quick buy positions similar to yesterday's trades.
At present, selling gold is not advisable, as tariff-related news could trigger volatility at any moment. For buy positions, it is recommended to wait for the price to retrace and confirm that buyers are actively stepping in. This approach minimizes risk and ensures a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
Wishing you a successful trading session and a fantastic Friday ahead!
Bitcoin Intraday Trading IdeaBitcoin has been selling off throughout the day today and looks set to tap into a major support level at 84500 to 85000. If we see a bounce from that level then we can anticipate price to reach around 86200, which could give us a good opportunity to ride the train down again.
If the major support area does not hold, then we can look for candle closure below that to possibly take bitcoin towards the region of 83000 to 84000 today.
NZDUSD: Bullish Move From Support 🇳🇿🇺🇸
NZDUSD looks strongly bullish after a test of a key daily support.
As a confirmation, I see a nice bullish imbalance candle on an hourly
and a double bottom formation.
The pair may rise at least to 0.57323
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SILVER (XAGUSD): One More Important BreakoutSILVER was accumulating within a tight trading range on a 4H time frame for nearly two days.
The release of recent fundamental news caused a significant uptrend, breaking through the range resistance and a key daily resistance level with a high momentum bullish candle.
The previously broken levels are now acting as support. I believe that the bullish momentum could continue, possibly reaching 34.80.
GOLD (XAUUSD): To The New HighsGold reached a new all-time high, breaking through a key daily/intraday resistance level based on previous all time high.
This broken resistance level is now acting as a strong support.
It is expected that the price will continue to rise and reach 3100 in the near future.
Potential Short On GoldGold closed Thursday at resistance.
Friday is usually selling day for OANDA:XAUUSD
I'm waiting for the 4H to open, climbing up to make a top wick. If this happens, I would be looking for shorts at the 4H flip back to the downside, with TP at around the $3,029 support
As you can see, it is super clean traffic all the way down to the desired area.
This might actually be a quick drop