Candlestick Analysis
Learn How to Trade Cup and Handle Pattern on Forex & Gold
If you are studying a price action, you should definitely know how to identify and trade Cup and Handle pattern formation.
Being applied properly, it can generate big profits.
In this educational article, I will teach you how to identify this pattern. We will discuss its psychology and I will share with you 2 trading strategies.
📏And let's start with the structure of the pattern.
The pattern has 3 important elements:
Cup - long-term correctional movement that tends to move steadily from a bearish trend to a bullish trend.
Handle - short-term correctional movement with signs of bullish strength.
Neckline - upper horizontal boundary of the pattern - a strong resistance that the price constantly respects.
⚠️Being formed, it warns you about a highly probable coming bullish movement.
The trigger that confirms the initiation of a bullish wave is a breakout of the neckline of the pattern and a candle close above.
Here is the example of a completed C&H with a confirmed neckline breakout, indicating a highly probably coming bullish movement.
Depending on the preceding price action, Cup & Handle Pattern can either be a trend-following or reversal pattern.
📉If the pattern is formed after a bearish impulse. It is considered to be a reversal pattern.
Here is the example of a reversal C&H that I spotted on EURUSD.
📈If the pattern is formed at the top of a bullish impulse , it is considered to be a trend following pattern.
Here is the example of a trend following C&H that I spotted on GBPJPY.
The thing is that while the price forms the C&H, buying volumes are accumulating. Even though, buyers are hesitant and reluctant initially, their confidence grows, and the accumulation leads to explosive neckline breakout.
There are 2 strategies to trade this pattern.
✔️ Strategy 1.
That approach is quite risky , but the reward can be quite substantial.
You should monitor the price action when the price is creating a handle. Occasionally, the price starts trading in a falling channel: parallel or contracting one.
Your trigger will be a bullish breakout of its resistance and a candle close above.
Once the violation is confirmed, you can buy aggressively or set a buy limit order on a retest.
Stop loss will lie below the lows of the channel.
Target will be the closest key resistance.
Here is the example of the handle being a falling channel.
✔️ Strategy 2.
Wait for a breakout of a neckline of the pattern.
Once a candle closes above that, it will confirm the violation.
Buy the market aggressively or set a buy limit on a retest of a broken neckline then.
Stop loss will lie below the lows of the handle.
Target will be the closest key resistance.
Here is the example of the trade based on a confirmed breakout of a neckline of C&P on NASDAQ Index.
Applied properly, the strategies may reach up to 70% win rate.
As always, the best pattern will be the one that forms on a key level.
Try it, test it, and good luck in your trading journey.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
GOLD (XAUUSD): Important Bearish BreakoutQuick update on Gold....
As we discussed yesterday, to wait for a breakout, the price of gold finally broke and closed below an important intraday support level after consolidating.
Upon retesting this broken support, there was a strong bearish response, leading me to believe that the market will continue to decline.
The next support level to watch for is at 2896.
Continue to short gold after the reboundGold's decline yesterday found support around the 2888 level before staging a rebound, and it has now recovered to the 2925 area. Although the bulls have begun their counterattack, their momentum appears significantly weaker compared to previous recoveries, indicating a growing lack of confidence among bullish participants.
Yesterday’s downward breakout from a period of sideways consolidation pushed gold through multiple key support levels and decisively breached the 2900 mark. This demonstrated strengthening bearish momentum, driven by profit-taking from earlier positions and an influx of panic-driven selling. Despite the current rebound, it’s likely just a technical correction following the sharp drop, providing more opportunities to short gold.
As gold’s price action shifts lower, the 2925-2935 zone now stands out as a prominent short-term resistance area. For short-term trades, we can use this zone as a key level to initiate fresh short positions. Gold is likely to retest the 2890 support area, and a decisive break below this level could open the path for further declines toward the 2870-2860 region.
Bros, profits are the ultimate goal in trading. Accumulating profits is what changes lives and destinies. Choosing wisely is far more important than just working hard. If you want to replicate trade signals and earn stable profits, or if you want to deeply learn the correct trading logic and techniques, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article!
NZDCHF SHORT Market structure bearish on HTFs DH
Entry at Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Daily EMA retest
Previous Structure point Daily
Round Psych Level 0.51500
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 5,6
Entry 95%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
Gold Bulls on Notice: Cracks Forming in the Rally’s FoundationTraders should be alert to the growing risk of a downside move in gold.
Bullish momentum underpinning the rally has weakened over recent weeks, alongside shaky price action.
RSI (14) has diverged from price, setting lower highs even as the latter briefly hit record levels. The bearish momentum signal has been confirmed by MACD, which has turned lower decisively.
While bulls defended uptrend support on Tuesday, resulting in a decent bounce, that’s unlikely to perturb bears given the increasingly unconvincing technical picture, punctuated by the bearish engulfing candle delivered during the session.
If we were to see a sustained break of the uptrend, keep a close eye on the price action around $2882.40—a level bullion tested either side on multiple occasions earlier this month. A break below could open the door to $2390.
Good luck!
DS
Any rebound is an opportunity to short goldAs I mentioned in my previous article, after a period of sideways consolidation, gold chose to break downward—signaling greater downside potential. We perfectly captured the shorting opportunity around the 2935-2945 resistance zone. Gold not only successfully hit the 2910-2900 target area but even exceeded my expectations, with the price bottoming out around the 2888 region. This was an excellent short trade, and I personally gained over $10K in profits from this position.
Currently, gold is hovering around the 2890-2888 region, and while the downtrend has momentarily slowed, the bulls have yet to mount any effective counterattack. This indicates weakening bullish sentiment, and with earlier profits being cashed out alongside follow-up and panic-driven selling, the bearish trend is likely far from over. Breaking below the 2890 support further opens the door for continued downward movement, increasing gold’s potential for deeper declines.
For short-term trades, any rebound in gold’s price could present fresh opportunities for short positions. We should closely monitor the 2910-2920 area for potential entries to short gold once again.Bros, profits are the ultimate goal in trading. Accumulating profits is what changes lives and destinies. Choosing wisely is far more important than just working hard. If you want to replicate trade signals and earn stable profits, or if you want to deeply learn the correct trading logic and techniques, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article!
NIFTY EASY TO UNDERSTANDNIFTY Easy to understand analysis share with you when market go down to demand zone we will see buy from that level if market go to upside then we will see sell on that level those i shared in this chart.
Remember! The Market is a Device for Transferring Money From The Impatient To The patient.
EURUSD ANALYSIS ENGULGING THEORY BASEDEurusd currently in mid 2 zone if market go upside we can see down fall our that first level or if market go down then we can see buy from these 2 levels that i mentioned in chart lets see what will happen.
Note ! dont trade without knowledge becouse your harder money market will not see and dont put your whole amount in trade takecare.
Impact of yesterday’s Piercing Bar (Gold/USD 1D Chart)Impact of yesterday’s Piercing Bar (Gold/USD 1D Chart)
1. Price Action & Candlestick Pattern Analysis
• The Piercing Line pattern on the daily chart is typically a bullish reversal signal, appearing after a downtrend.
• However, today’s strong bearish follow-through (big red candle) invalidates the bullish intent of the pattern. This signals weakness in buyers’ strength.
2. Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) & Market Sentiment
• Volume change is negative (-5.8%) with an increase in spread (74.95%), which means there’s a wider price range with less participation—suggesting weakness in demand.
• Weak buying pressure across lower timeframes (1H, 4H, 8H) confirms that any bounce is likely to be short-lived.
3. Support & Resistance Zones
• Key resistance at 2,956-2,972 (VWAP Upper Band & Liquidity High) acted as a rejection zone.
• Key support at 2,888-2,891 (VWAP & VSA Liquidity Low). This is the level to watch for potential breakdown.
4. Momentum & Trend Analysis
• The bearish momentum is strong across multiple timeframes (1H, 4H, 8H).
• Price failed to hold above 2,932 VWAP, confirming further downside risk.
5. Order Flow & Market Strength
• Negative Delta on footprint charts shows that sellers are dominating order flow.
• Absorption at 2,899-2,900 suggests smart money is still distributing, not accumulating.
Outlook & Trading Plan
Bias: Bearish Outlook (Short Continuation Expected)
• Entry: Sell Below 2,891 (Breakdown confirmation)
• Stop Loss: 2,920 (Above rejection zone)
• Take Profit 1: 2,863 (Liquidity Low)
• Take Profit 2: 2,850-2,810 (VWAP Lower Band zones)
• Confidence Level: 75%
Justification for Trade:
• The Piercing Line failed to reverse trend.
• VWAP breakdown & weak volume structure confirm bearish continuation.
• Momentum remains bearish, with weak demand signals.
👉 Conclusion: Gold remains bearish unless bulls reclaim 2,932-2,956. Short positions favored on breakdown.
My Long-term BTC Idea March 2025 IMPORTANT MONTH FOR BITCOINBitcoin (BTC) Analysis - Not Financial Advice
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. These are real trend lines that you can draw yourself. While the current trend appears bearish, it might also present a good buying opportunity. Personally, I’ve struggled to trade Bitcoin successfully because emotions often get the better of me. For instance, I saw WIF at $0.02 but didn’t buy because I had also seen it at $0.00002. This example highlights that the current price isn’t always a reason to avoid buying. That said, I am currently holding off.
Key Insights from the Chart:
Current Price Action: BTC is around $86,845, correcting after hitting a high near $96,500. It appears to be testing a support line within an ascending channel.
Trend Channels:
The broader ascending channel (orange lines) suggests a long-term bullish trend.
Mid-range correction lines and resistance levels (purple lines) highlight key price zones.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Key support: $69,077, $64,877, and $49,673.
Major resistance: $109,087 (upper boundary of the orange channel).
Buying Zones:
Golden Buy Zone: Around $15,446, ideal for long-term entries during deep corrections.
Perfect Buy Zone: Slightly above $29,166, a strong buy area if BTC pulls back.
Bear Market Bottom: Approximately $40,147, a solid long-term support level.
Market Outlook:
Short-term: The correction might continue until BTC tests the mid-level purple line or the $73,721 level. A bounce from these levels could signal a continuation of the bullish trend, potentially pushing toward the $109,000 target.
Long-term: If BTC stays within the ascending orange channel, a long-term target above $109,000 remains realistic.
Risk Factors: A break below the correction line or falling outside the channel would indicate a bearish reversal.
Personal Perspective:
With the monthly candle closing in three days, BTC needs to push upward to form a wick, signaling bullish potential. If not, attention shifts to the weekly candle. Predicting the outcome is uncertain—this could either be a buying opportunity or a liquidation zone. Remember, back in 2021, BTC hit FWB:65K , then dropped to $30k, which turned out to be a great buying opportunity as it later surged to $67k.
Altcoin Season:
Some believe altcoin season is coming, but I think it already happened in 2024. Raydium (RAY) soared from $0.12 to $9, and coins like WIF and Fartcoin also surged. Unfortunately, many low-quality coins have been pumping, with less-experienced investors driving the trend.
Conclusion:
Despite the current bearish sentiment, this market phase might offer solid buying opportunities if key support levels hold. The next few days are crucial—watch how the monthly candle closes and monitor the weekly candle for further signals. As always, trade carefully, and don’t let emotions dictate your decisions.
What happened? The gold price fell to 2935 againAfter waking up, I found that the gold price stopped at 2635. It was strange that the price was still at 2953 when I was about to rest, and no reporter told me that there was an emergency in the middle. Why did the gold price fall so fast?
I looked at the market. After the Asian market opened, the gold price was technically corrected and the pressure from the upper high was strong, so it was adjusted back to repair the rebound affected by the news in the New York market.
The news hardly mentioned how badly things were going. On the contrary. Maybe this time the negotiations were effective. The negotiations are being revised one after another. If the peace talks come to an end, the gold price may see a large adjustment. It is expected that a few hundred points will be very easy.
At present, there is still a need for further technical corrections, leaving aside the impact of news. In the short term, the gold price still wants to break the upward channel. The bears are still very strong, and the current gold price is at 2936. The hourly candlestick chart shows that if the point near 2925 falls below, there is a high probability that it will fall below 2900 in the short term. If there is no entity breaking this position in the short term, it will still be mainly consolidating at a high of 2930-2950.
Therefore, buying low and selling high is the main option. Before the general direction is decided, it is difficult to see a unilateral sharp rise or fall in the market, so keep this trading strategy and idea.
Short gold after reboundWe were fortunate to have closed our long positions around the 2942 level, securing our profits in a timely manner. Although my initial plan was to start shorting gold on Thursday and Friday, the market unexpectedly began its decline earlier than anticipated, and I was unable to open short positions immediately. Given that gold’s downturn started ahead of schedule in this cycle, there is still room for price fluctuations. Therefore, we should avoid rushing into short positions, as gold may still see a short-term rebound to the 2930-2940 region.
Gold has repeatedly faced resistance around the 2950-2955 zone and, following a period of sideways consolidation, finally broke downward—breaching the 2930-2925 support area. This suggests that there is still more downside potential, and the move could trigger panic selling. Consequently, I will be shifting my strategy to prioritize short positions after price rebounds.
For upcoming short-term trades, we can consider initiating short positions in the 2935-2945 zone. Should gold resume its downward trajectory, it is likely to test the 2910-2900 support region.Bros, profits are the ultimate goal in trading. Accumulating profits is what changes lives and destinies. Choosing wisely is far more important than just working hard. If you want to replicate trade signals and earn stable profits, or if you want to deeply learn the correct trading logic and techniques, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article!
Gold Bulls Beware: Is the Market Ready for a Pullback? Since the beginning of the year, Gold has closed every week in the green, with the last four weeks marking all-time highs.
However, not even trees grow to the sky—let alone gold. 🌳✨
Looking at the posted chart, we can see that despite reaching ATHs and trading above 2900 over the past three weeks, the price has consistently reversed sharply from those highs. This suggests that a correction is becoming increasingly likely.
Yesterday's ATH was only about 20 pips higher than the previous one, and once again, the price quickly reversed. At the time of writing, Gold is trading at 2936, hovering near a critical confluence support level.
If the confluence support breaks, traders should anticipate a deeper correction, with an initial target around 2880 and a potential move toward 2850.
I'm bearish on Gold, but I’m waiting for further confirmation before initiating sell trades. 📉🔍
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Go long on gold in the 2930 area and make continuous profits!Dear Traders,
In the past couple of days, gold has been volatile, swinging up and down. Have you made profits in your gold trades? Regardless, the fluctuations in gold were within my control, and I was able to secure considerable profits from my long gold positions.
As I shared in my previous two articles, in short-term trading, we should avoid hastily chasing rallies in gold. However, once gold retraces to the 2940-2930 support region, we can actively consider going long. Yesterday, after gold retraced to around 2930, it reversed and rebounded, rising to approximately 2953. Today, after touching 2929, gold reversed again and is currently climbing back to around 2942. We've secured substantial profits from two consecutive long trades in gold.
Bros, profits are the ultimate goal in trading. Accumulating profits is what changes lives and destinies. Choosing wisely is far more important than just working hard. If you want to replicate trade signals and earn stable profits, or if you want to deeply learn the correct trading logic and techniques, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article!