Gold Miners May Be FatiguedThe VanEck Gold Miners ETF had a major breakout in March, but some traders may think it’s getting fatigued.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the series of candles on April 16-22. Those bars occurred at the highest levels in almost four years. They’re also solid, illustrating that price wasn't able to hold the peaks.
Second, GDX fell sharply afterwards and made a lower high last week. That could mean April represented a peak. It could additionally suggest a new downward channel is taking shape.
Third, MACD is falling.
Next, gold and gold miners have benefited from the uncertainty caused by tariffs. Now, with signs of the trade war easing, some traders may find less appeal in the yellow metal.
Finally, GDX is an active underlier in the options market. (It averages more than 140,000 contracts per session, according to TradeStation Data.) That could help traders take positions with calls and puts.
Standardized Performances for the ETF mentioned above:
VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX)
1-year: +47.93%
5-years: +51.92%
10-year: +143.71%
(As of April 30, 2025)
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Candlestick Analysis
Nifty Analysis EOD - May 12, 2025 - Monday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD - May 12, 2025 - Monday 🔴
🚀 Peace Talks & Policy Push – Bulls Break Chains, Nifty Soars to New Heights!
Opening Mood:
Relief from geopolitical tension and global trade optimism lit a fire under the bulls—marking one of the most powerful sessions in recent weeks.
🧭 Nifty Summary:
Following positive developments—ceasefire between India and Pakistan and trade policy easing between China and the US—Gift Nifty signaled a sharp gap-up.
Nifty opened at 24,420 (▲ 412 points | 1.72%), jumping above multiple resistance levels: 24,400~24,420 and 24,365~24,300. The first 5-minute candle alone posted a 184-point rally—and from there, bulls never looked back.
By breaching the 24,800 resistance and making a new swing high at 24,944.80, the day stamped bullish dominance. The close just 20 points below the high reflects strong buying interest and minimal profit booking.
🕯️ Daily Candle Breakdown:
Today’s Candle: Bullish Marubozu (full-bodied, tiny/no wicks) — high conviction buying
Close: 24,924.60 (Near day’s high)
Key Observations:
✅ Breakout above 24,800 resistance
✅ Closed above 22nd Oct 2024 candle high — a key Head & Shoulder confirmation level
✅ Strong volume and price confirmation
🔜 Watch for follow-through above 24,700–24,800 zone
What It Implies:
Clear strength from bulls with no hesitation. If follow-through sustains, we could be heading toward a fresh leg of upside—likely to test the psychological 25,000 mark and beyond.
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
Strategy Parameters:
ATR: 355.76
IB Range: 358.95 → Extreme Large IB
Market Structure: ImBalanced
Trade Highlights:
Total Trades: 1
✅ Long Trigger @ 12:25 PM → Target 1:3.5 Achieved
📈 Intraday Walk (5-Min View):
Opened strong above multiple resistance zones
First candle: explosive 184-point rally
Smooth rally continued with no major retracement
A new swing high formed at 24,944.80
Day closed just shy of the high—strength intact
🔍 Support & Resistance Levels
🔼 Resistance Zones:
24,980 ~ 25,000
25,100 ~ 25,128
25,180 ~ 25,212
🔽 Support Zones:
24,882
24,800 ~ 24,768
24,730
24,660
24,590
24,530 ~ 24,480
📌 Final Thoughts:
"Markets love clarity. With news-driven fear subsiding, technicals are taking charge again. Follow momentum—but don't chase it blindly."
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
short trade
🟥 Sellside Trade Log
📉 Pair: AUD/USD
🏷️ Type: Intraday | Tokyo Session AM
🧠 Setup: Breakdown from Ascending Channel
🆔 Trade ID: #AUDUSD
📅 Date: Monday, 12th May 2025
🕐 Time: 1:00 AM
🔹 Entry Price: 0.64382
🔹 Profit Target: 0.63714 (-1.04%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 0.64630 (+0.39%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 2.69
🔍 Reasoning:
Sellside trade based on a breakdown below an ascending channel. Price failed to sustain support near the upper boundary and broke below the channel, signalling a shift in market structure. This setup confirmed the potential for a move lower, with entry positioned near the breakdown point, targeting the next level of support below the channel.
Short trade
1Hr TF overview
🟥 Sellside Trade Log
📉 Pair: EUR/USD
🏷️ Type: Intraday | Tokyo Session AM
🧠 Setup: Breakdown from Triangle + Resistance
🆔 Trade ID: #EURUSD-0512A
📅 Date: Monday, 12th May 2025
🕑 Time: 2:00 AM
🔹 Entry Price: 1.12309
🔹 Profit Target: 1.10713 (-1.42%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 1.12424 (+0.10%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 13.88
🔍 Reasoning:
Sellside trade taken following a breakdown from a triangle formation, with price rejecting firmly from a well-established resistance zone. The structure showed compression into resistance, followed by a decisive break to the downside during the Tokyo AM session. Entry was timed at the base of the pattern as momentum shifted, aligning with expected liquidity sweep beneath the formation.
How to layout gold as Sino-US trade eases🗞News side:
1. China-US trade relations eased, suspending some tariffs and countermeasures
2. Russia and Ukraine suspended firing for 30 days, and the India-Pakistan conflict was temporarily mediated
📈Technical aspects:
Affected by the easing of Sino-US economic and trade relations, coupled with the fact that the Russian-Ukrainian negotiations are on the right track and India and Pakistan have suspended firing, the risk aversion sentiment in the gold market has eased, and the gold price has fallen sharply since the opening today. At present, the 3200 line has formed an important short-term support. If the support effect is strong at this point, the gold price may rebound further; if it falls below this key support, it will accelerate the opening of downward space. The upper 3250-3260 is the previous intensive trading area, which will pose a certain pressure in the short term. At the top of the European market, focus on the resistance range of 3250-3260, and at the bottom, the support range is 3210-3200.
🎁BUY 3200-3210
🎁TP 3250-3260
🎁 SELL 3260-3270
🎁 TP 3250-3230
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold – Focus on the Specific Details of US/China Trade TalksGold prices rallied 0.6% on Friday to close at 3325 as traders rushed to obtain some safe haven protection against the uncertainty of whether the outcome of trade negotiations between the US and China, taking place in Geneva over the weekend, may yield positive or negative results which could have significantly impact all markets on the Monday open.
Roll forward 2 days and Gold has fallen to a low of 3259 (at time of writing) in early Monday trading as traders digest and then react to both the US and China reporting ‘substantial progress’ in their talks. This news seems to have initially boosted risk sentiment and reduced the need for traders to own Gold as a hedge, at least for now anyway.
While light on detail, initial reports indicate that the trade teams from the world’s two biggest economies have agreed to create a mechanism for further talks. US Treasury Secretary Bessant and Trade representative Greer are expected to hold a press briefing later this morning to share more specific details, so there is room for disappointment, which could see Gold rally back to higher levels, or more progress than anticipated by markets, which may see Gold extend its sell off down to potential key technical support levels.
Technical Update: Decision Making Progress Develops
On April 24th 2025, we published a commentary on Gold, highlighting its inability to break above the psychological round number resistance at 3500, from which a sell-off was developing. Please look back at our timeline to read our thoughts at that time.
The setback from these all-time highs at 3500 did extend further, and tests of 3228, which was equal to the 50% Fibonacci retracement (April 7th to April 22nd 2025 price strength) did materialise.
After initially seeing the strong bounce from 3228 last week, it appears that traders may be focusing on this level as a possible important support over coming sessions.
What is the Current Situation for Gold?
While much will depend on future price trends and market sentiment, it could be suggested that recent price activity in Gold since the April 22nd session all-time high, has established both upper and lower extremes of a developing sideways range, between 3228 and 3500.
This type of sideways activity represents something of a ‘balance’ between both buyers and sellers of Gold. Price strength has been met by selling pressure at 3500, while buyers have materialised around 3228, the 50% retracement level.
However, it could even be suggested after the price weakness from last Tuesday’s 3435 session high, immediate resistance could now be lowered to this 3435 level.
Predicting the direction of an eventual range breakout is difficult, and we must wait for either a confirmed closing break below 3228, or above 3435 to suggest the next possible direction of a more sustained phase of price movement. Until such a breakout materialises, extension of the choppy sideways activity, as seen recently, could continue.
Upside Focus: If potential is to turn towards further attempts to extend price strength, it may well be suggested by closes above last week’s 3435 high. While breaks of these 3435 extremes won’t be a guarantee of price strength, it might lead to retests of the psychological 3500 high, even towards 3570, which is the 300% Fibonacci extension of the October 31st to November 14th 2024 decline.
Downside Focus: To the downside, traders may well continue to focus on the 3228 Fibonacci retracement level as support, with closing breaks perhaps pointing to risks for further price declines. Such moves may then lead to weakness towards 3164, which is the lower 61.8% retracement level.
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Long trade
🟩 Buyside Trade Log
📈 Pair: SOL/USDT
🏷️ Type: Intraday | LND → NY Session PM
🧠 Setup: Breakout
🆔 Trade ID: #SOL-0511B
📅 Date: Sunday, 11th May 2025
🕐 Time: 1:00 PM
🔹 Entry Price: 172.541
🔹 Profit Target: 178.912 (+5.02%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 172.316 (-0.31%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 16.24
The buyside breakout was confirmed during the LND to NY session transition. Price action displayed sustained momentum through prior resistance, accompanied by strong volatility during the session overlap. Market structure and order flow favoured continuation, with a clear liquidity void overhead. The entry signal was triggered as price reached the previous and pivotal zone — the Sellside/Buyside In Balance (SIBI) area — further validating directional intent.
Short trade
4Hr TF overview
🟥 Sellside Trade Log
📉 Pair: NZD/USD
🏷️ Type: Intraday | Tokyo Session AM
🧠 Setup: Descending Channel Breakdown
🆔 Trade ID: #NZDUSD-0512A
📅 Date: Monday, 12th May 2025
🕐 Time: 1:00 AM
🔹 Entry Price: 0.59251
🔹 Profit Target: 0.58484 (-1.28%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 0.59443 (+0.34%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 3.99
🔍 Reasoning:
Sellside trade executed following a breakdown from a descending channel formation during the Tokyo AM session. Price action respected the upper trendline multiple times before failing to hold mid-channel support. The breakdown confirmed bearish intent with increased momentum and order flow alignment. Target set below the channel’s lower boundary, aiming to capture liquidity resting beneath the structure.
USD/CAD Bulls Could Just be Getting Warmed UpWe finally saw the reversal higher on USD/CAD last week, with a notable bullish engulfing candle strongly suggesting an important swing low. I take a quick look at last week's signal, update the analysis then wrap up on Canadian dollar futures positioning.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Yo! PI freaksYours and truly pioneers
If you're just like me, wondering what's going on with this pair, well here it is pi is on a train to the 1.3 region, and if its
So intoxicated by bullish momentum then 1.6 region is feasible
Hold on a bit... let's quit the waffles, feel free to jump on the train now 😉
GBPUSD ANALYSISThe weekly candle rejected weekly resistance and closed as a doji for consecutive weeks, which could mean price could be transitioning to a bearish market. Overall price is still bullish, but it did form an H4 LH so I'd look for price to retrace to the H4 support. If price breaks & retest minor M15 support around 1.32970, I'd start looking for sells with my TP being 1.32100.
Rebound or reversal? Analysis of gold trend on Monday🗞News side:
1. The India-Pakistan conflict escalates again
2. The progress of China-US negotiations
📈Technical aspects:
On Friday, we judged that the gold price trend may form a "head and shoulders bottom" pattern. Technically, the key support level below is still focused on the 3270 line, while the 3450 level above constitutes a significant double-top structure resistance level. At the daily level, the recent K-line combination has completed a deep retracement from the 3500 mark with two long negative lines, directly breaking through the important support platform. The K-line on the current day continues to adjust with a shadow line, and the oscillating rhythm of alternating yin and yang is in line with the characteristics of technical corrections. At the beginning of the week, it is recommended to maintain the operation idea of high altitude, low and long
1.🎁BUY 3320-3325, SL 3312, TP 3360-3380
2.🎁SELL 3355-3360, SL 3368, TP 3320-3300
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Long trade
15min TF
1min TF entry
🟩 Buyside Trade Log
📈 Pair: BTC/USD
🏷️ Type: Intraday | LND Session AM
🧠 Setup: Breakout
🆔 Trade ID: #BTC-0511A
📅 Date: Sunday, 11th May 2025
🕕 Time: 6:01 AM
🔹 Entry Price: 104,241.54
🔹 Profit Target: 104,964.71 (+0.69%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 104,168.57 (-0.07%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 9.91
🔍 Reasoning:
Buyside breakout trade following structural expansion above short-term resistance. The market showed momentum buildup and an impulsive break, indicating a strong buy-side presence. The target is set near the upper liquidity zone in alignment with the breakout projection.
1min TF
Long Trade
15min overview
30sec TF entry
🟩 Buyside Trade Idea
📈 Pair: SOL/USDT
🏷️ Type: Intraday | LND Session AM
🧠 Setup: Breakout + FVG + Demand Flip
📅 Date: Sunday, 11th May 2025
🕟 Time: 4:30 AM
🔹 Entry Price: 172.632
🔹 Profit Target: 180.249 (+4.41%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 172.260 (-0.22%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 20.00
🔍 Reasoning:
Confirmed buyside directional bias following a break of trendline liquidity. Consecutive Fair Value Gaps (FVGS) formed during upward movement, showing consistent institutional flow. A former supply zone flipped to demand, and the prior consolidation phase has been mitigated, providing confidence in a continuation toward higher liquidity zones.
📌 Status: Planned
5min TF overview
EURUSD: Liquidity Grab & Bearish Outlook 🇪🇺🇺🇸
EURUSD broke and closed below a key daily horizontal
support cluster on a daily.
After a breakout, the broken structure turned into a strong resistance
and was retested.
I spotted a confirmed liquidity grab on an hourly time frame
and a consequent bearish imbalance candle.
Probabilities will be high that the price will drop
at least to 1.122
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Short trade
15min TF overview
🟥 Sellside Trade Log
📈 Pair: SOL/USDT
🏷️ Type: Intraday | Tokyo Session AM
🧠 Setup: Breakout
📅 Date: Sunday, 11th May 2025
🕝 Time: 2:30 AM
🔹 Entry Price: 174.933
🔹 Profit Target: 171.559
🔹 Stop Loss: 175.380
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 7.55
Reasoning
Sellside trade taken after observing weak follow-through on previous bullish movement. Price action showed signs of exhaustion below a key resistance level, with a lower high forming on reduced volume. This indicated potential distribution. Entry was timed following a clean break of minor intraday support during the Tokyo AM session, aligning with short-term bearish structure and targeting nearby resting liquidity.
Long trade
15min TF
🟩 Buyside Trade Log
📈 Pair: SOL/USDT
🏷️ Type: Intraday | NY Session PM
🧠 Setup: Breakout
📅 Date: Saturday, 10th May 2025
🕔 Time: 5:00 PM
🔹 Entry Price: 172.541
🔹 Profit Target: 176.110 (+2.07%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 172.316 (-0.13%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 15.86
Buyside trade undertaken after reinforced failed sellside delivery from the previous setup. This behaviour suggests strong underlying buyside pressure. Target liquidity is observed higher up, aligning with continuation expectations.