Candlestick Analysis
2 Red Candles throw Nifty back to support searching mode. 2 intensive Red Candles with big selling throw Nifty back to support searching mode. The strong support zone is round the corner. The chart shows Nifty is nearing 2 major trend line supports at 24257 and 24175. If these 2 supports are broken further supports for Nifty will be at 23904 and 23803. Final Mega support for Nifty will be 23684 (200 day's EMA or Father Line Support) and recent low of 23291. On the upper side resistances galore at 24445 (50 day's EMA or Mother line) followed by 24627, 24793, 24960 and finally 25209.
The selling has come on the back of Rupee hitting all time low and fears over US FED slowdown in the Rate Cuts in the year 2025 as inflation is not abetting and is continuing to grow. US Markets have already priced in 25bps rate cut for the ongoing FEd meeting. But more worry is regarding the commentary about 2025 and 1 or 2 more US FED meetings decisions before Trump administration takes over. With Nifty nearing critical support levels mentioned earlier volatility, bulls Vs bears FII Vs DII intense struggle is on cards. Bears have had an upper hand so far this week but Bulls can stage a fierce fight back any time within this week itself once Nifty confirms support.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Algo:Bullish Momentum Intact for a Potential Upside continuationAlgo/USDT has been one of the standout performers among altcoins over the past month, with the price soaring by over 500%. After peaking just above $0.60, the coin experienced a healthy correction, forming a local low at $0.35, a level slightly above March's high.
Following this correction, BINANCE:ALGOUSDT entered a consolidation phase, creating a base around the $0.40 mark. This consolidation suggests the market is gathering strength for another potential upward move.
Currently, the price action indicates that Algo/USDT may be preparing for a new leg higher, with a likely target at the significant resistance near $0.70.
From a strategic perspective, I remain bullish as long as the $0.32 support level holds firm. The suggested approach is to buy dips, capitalizing on opportunities within this uptrend.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Support: $0.35 (recent local low), $0.32 (critical support)
- Resistance: $0.60 (previous high), $0.70 (major target resistance)
ETHEREUM (ETHUSD): How to Catch The Next Bullish MoveWe are seeing a significant potential for a bullish trend to persist on ETHEREUM, the current setup appears encouraging, indicating a possible bullish breakout.
To take advantage of the upcoming bullish momentum, it's advisable to wait for a breakout above the 3945 - 4110 blue range. A bullish violation of this area will likely lead to further growth towards the all-time high.
Obviously, ETHEREUM is somewhat overbought in the short term, but we have also observed a corrective movement from the highlighted resistance level first.
XAU/USD Strategy: Selling Rallies Amid Bearish StructureIn my analysis of XAU/USD yesterday, I highlighted that after the 800-pip drop, a rebound was likely. However, given the weekly Pin Bar and the bearish daily structure, I emphasized that any upward move should be viewed as a correction and an opportunity to sell.
Indeed, the market did see a rebound, but it was weak and short-lived. After reaching the 2665 zone, the price reversed to the downside and ended the day with minimal change.
Currently, the price sits at 2652, with the recent lows now acting as confluent support, reinforced by the rising trendline from the recent bottom. A decisive break below this support zone would shift focus to the next key level at 2610-2615.
My strategy remains unchanged: I continue to look for selling opportunities on rallies.
Platinum in deep consolidation TerritoryThe 70% to drop after my Nov 18th post turned out to be 100%
Now we are in deep consolidation going into the closing of this yearly candle
I predict we will drop further coming into the year but a sweep of the highs first.
There is actually no real way to predict which side will unload 1st to start the volatility so we remain cautious and super suspicious of the low volume going into the new year
DXY closing the yearly candle with bullish intentWe await to see what the DXY wants to do.
Will it respect the bearish array and seek to complete it's sellside rebalance?
Or will it seek further buyside clearing of old inefficient range above from the yearly chart?
I believe the new year candle will seek the high of the current candle closing. We will have some time to see this play out.
Dollar Index (DXY): One More Bullish Movement
Yesterday, I predicted a nice pullback on Dollar Index.
It looks like today, we have one more.
The price testing a key intraday/daily horizontal support
and formed a double bottom on that.
Bullish violation of its neckline may push the market higher.
Goal - 107.1
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Mastering RSI: The Complete and CORRECT Way to Trade ItThe Relative Strength Index (RSI) is one of the most popular and widely used indicators in trading.
Despite its prevalence, many traders misuse it or are unaware of its full potential. RSI isn't just about identifying overbought and oversold conditions; when applied correctly, it becomes a robust tool for trend confirmation, reversals, momentum acceleration, and much more.
This guide explores how to unlock the full power of RSI and avoid common pitfalls.
What Is RSI?
Developed by J. Welles Wilder Jr., RSI measures the speed and magnitude of price changes over a specified period. It oscillates between 0 and 100, with the following traditional zones:
Above 70: Indicates overbought conditions, where the price may reverse or consolidate.
Below 30: Indicates oversold conditions, where the price may rebound or reverse upward.
However, it’s important to note that RSI above 70 or below 30 can sometimes indicate trend acceleration rather than an immediate reversal—especially in strong trending markets, discussed in #6
The real reversal signal comes after RSI crosses back below 70 (for overbought) or back above 30 (for oversold). Understanding this distinction is critical to using RSI effectively.
1. Overbought and Oversold Conditions
The classic use of RSI involves identifying overbought and oversold levels:
Overbought: RSI rises above 70 and then drops back below it, signaling potential selling pressure.
Oversold: RSI falls below 30 and then moves back above it, indicating potential buying interest.
These signals are more effective when combined with tools like support/resistance levels or trendlines.
2. Centerline Crossover
The 50-level on RSI is a reliable trend indicator:
Above 50: Bullish momentum dominates.
Below 50: Bearish momentum dominates.
Use these crossovers to confirm trends:
Enter long trades when RSI is above 50.
Enter short trades when RSI is below 50.
3. Divergences
Divergences between RSI and price can signal potential trend reversals:
Bullish Divergence: Price makes lower lows, but RSI forms higher lows.
Bearish Divergence: Price makes higher highs, but RSI forms lower highs.
These divergences highlight weakening momentum and often precede reversals.
4. RSI Patterns
RSI can form recognizable chart patterns, such as triangles, head-and-shoulders, or double tops/bottoms. These patterns often precede price moves:
Triangles: A breakout on RSI often signals a strong price move.
Double Tops : A topping pattern on RSI warns of potential price declines.
5. Failure Swings
Failure swings occur when RSI enters an extreme zone (above 70 or below 30) but fails to sustain momentum and reverses. This is a strong reversal signal and can precede significant price moves:
Bullish Failure Swing:
RSI dips below 30.
It rises but dips again, staying above 30.
RSI breaks its previous high, signaling a bullish reversal.
Bearish Failure Swing:
RSI rises above 70.
It falls but rises again, staying below 70.
RSI breaks its previous low, signaling a bearish reversal.
How to trade it:
For a bullish failure swing, enter long when RSI confirms the higher low and breaks above the previous swing high.
For a bearish failure swing, enter short when RSI confirms the lower high and breaks below the previous swing low.
6. Momentum Acceleration Strategy
While RSI is traditionally used for spotting overbought and oversold conditions, it can also identify momentum acceleration during strong trends:
Above 70: In strong uptrends, when RSI rises above 70 and stays there, it signals upward acceleration, indicating buyers are in control.
Below 30: In strong downtrends, when RSI dips below 30 and stays there, it signals downward acceleration, with sellers driving the market lower.
How to trade it:
In uptrends, treat RSI staying above 70 as a sign of strength and look for pullbacks to enter long positions.
In downtrends, use brief rebounds as opportunities to short while RSI remains below 30.
7. Multi-Timeframe Strategy
Analyzing RSI across multiple timeframes enhances accuracy:
Use the higher timeframe (e.g., daily) to identify the overall trend.
Use the lower timeframe (e.g., 1-hour) to time trade entries.
Example:
If RSI on the daily chart is above 50 (bullish trend), look for hourly RSI dips below 30 to enter long trades.
If RSI on the daily chart is below 50 (bearish trend), wait for hourly RSI to reach overbought levels above 70 to short.
Tips for Advanced RSI Use:
Adjust RSI Settings: Shorter periods (e.g., 7) make RSI more sensitive, while longer periods (e.g., 21) smooth out signals for longer-term trends.
Combine RSI with Other Tools: Use RSI alongside moving averages, Fibonacci retracements, or Candlesticks.
Risk Management: Always pair RSI signals with a stop-loss strategy to manage risk effectively.
PRO TIP: As I like to say "Trade the price, not the indicator."
Use RSI as a confirmation tool, not the main signal.
For example, a price reversal from resistance or a bullish engulfing candle becomes far more reliable when backed by RSI signals.
Conclusion
RSI is far more versatile than many traders realize. While it’s traditionally used for identifying overbought and oversold levels, strategies like momentum acceleration and failure swings add depth to its utility. By combining RSI with centerline crossovers, divergences, multi-timeframe analysis, and chart patterns, traders can pinpoint entries, reversals, and momentum shifts with more precision and trade more confidently.
Key Takeaways:
- RSI staying above 70 or below 30 in trends signals momentum acceleration.
- Failure swings offer reliable reversal signals when RSI breaks key levels.
- Combining RSI strategies with other tools and proper risk management leads to more confidence
ASX 200: Is the Santa Rally Finally on the Runway?Did we just see the start of the ‘Santa Rally’ on Australia’s ASX 200? If the daily candle on SPI futures finishes around these levels, the price signal will likely embolden those who have been pining for its arrival.
As things stand, we’re looking at a key reversal with the body and range greater than the candle of 24 hours earlier, pointing to the potential for an extended run higher. RSI (14) has broken its downtrend – hinting at a shift in price momentum – although MACD is yet to confirm the signal.
While the timing of the futures contract roll emphasises the need for risk management, with just a handful of trading days left until Christmas, this has often been a strong seasonal period Australian stocks.
If the price closes above 8310, one setup to consider would be to initiate longs above the level with a stop beneath for protection, targeting the downtrend established from the record highs. A break of that level may open the door for a larger thrust, possibly towards 8420 or 8480.
The price needs to overcome 8353 for the setup to succeed, meaning traders should be on alert for signs of hesitancy from this known reversal level. If the price were to close beneath 8310, the bullish setup would be invalidated.
Good luck!
DS
Eicher Motors might motor along. Eicher Motors Ltd. engages in the development, design, manufacture, assembly and sale of two-wheelers, as well as related parts and accessories. It operates through Domestic and Overseas geographical segments. The Domestic segment includes sales and services to customers located in India. The Overseas segment includes sales and services rendered to customers located outside India.
Eicher Motors Ltd. CMP is 4838.50. The Positive aspects of the company are Company with Low Debt, Company able to generate Net Cash - Improving Net Cash Flow, Company with Zero Promoter Pledge. The Negative aspects of the company are high Valuation (P.E. = 31.1), Promoter decreasing their shareholding, Companies with growing costs YoY for long term projects, De-growth in Revenue, Profits and Operating Profit Margin and Increasing Trend in Non-Core Income.
Entry can be taken after closing above 4843 Targets in the stock will be 4931 and 4991. The long-term target in the stock will be 5059 and 5119. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 4603 or 4481 depending on your risk taking ability.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
JSW Energy looking Energetic JSW Energy Ltd. engages in the business of power generation. It operates through the following business segments: Power Generation, Power Transmission, and Power Trading.
JSW Energy Ltd. CMP is 688.95. The Positive aspects of the company are Company with decreasing Promoter pledge, High Volume, High Gain, Top Gainers and High Momentum Scores. The Negative aspects of the company are extremely high Valuation (P.E. = 61.5), Companies with Increasing Debt, Increasing Trend in Non-Core Income, High promoter stock pledges.
Entry can be taken after closing above 701 Targets in the stock will be 719, 738 and 756. The long-term target in the stock will be 773, 792 and 809. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 642 or 582 depending on your risk taking ability.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
A clean structure inside a 1 Hour Structure As we know, BTCUSD has been bullish for a while now. And market recently bounced-off from a 3H TF structural zone signifying a strong bullish trend. But what most people don't see is that price created a 1hr structure and price is currently trading within that same structure so I want price to retrace to the structure inside 1hr structure (x) before I will go bullish again.
Nifty searching for upward momentum. Nifty has again held on to the Motherline support of 50 Hours EMA today and if it is able to cross the resistance of 24698 more upside can be on the cards. In such a scenario the resistances on the upside in addition to 24698 will be at 24775, 24852, 24975 and finally 25147.
The supports for Nifty on the lower side seem to be at Mother line of 50 Hours EMA which is at 24852, 24398 Father line support of 200 hours EMA, Mid channel support at 24290 and finally the support is at 24174. Below 24174 Nifty become very weak. Above 25147 there will be a parallel channel breakout and Bulls will become very powerful. The signs are positive and despite a negative day on the browsers shadow of the candle is neutral to positive for tomorrow.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
S&P is Shaping a Bull Flag While Awaiting the FED DecisionLast week was characterized by increasing selling pressure that hindered upward price progression but failed to trigger any substantial pullback. The market has not even retested the previous consolidation zone ( 598-601 ), which highlights the weakness of the sellers.
Looking at the daily chart, the recent price action resembles a bull flag, favoring a continuation of the upward trend. For sellers to demonstrate their strength, they must not only break this pattern to the downside but also breach the 598 support level and drive the price further down to 594 .
Much will depend on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision this week, alongside the release of key economic data. The most favorable outcome for the bulls would be a 0.25% rate cut. Any other scenario could spark concerns—either about an impending recession (if the cut is larger) or about a prolonged high-interest-rate environment (if the cut is absent).
The market outlook remains bullish; however, the current price level is not ideal for new long positions. Buyers would be better served by waiting for a more meaningful pullback (e.g., to the 600 level), provided it is not driven by a negative shift in economic sentiment.