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Candlestick Analysis

Learning#02 : Fractals⛰️ Learning#02 : Fractals The Cleanest Clue on a Cluttered Chart If you like clean charts and smart price behaviour, Fractals are one of those tools that give subtle but powerful signals. They’re not magic. They simply reflect what price is telling you—if you’re willing to listen. Let’s unpack the concept and learn how to use Fractals like a pro. 🔍 What Is a Fractal in Trading? In technical analysis, a Fractal is a five-candle pattern that marks a local top or bottom in price. It’s a pure price-action signal that doesn’t rely on lagging indicators. There are two types of Fractals: Bearish Fractal (Top): The 3rd candle has the highest high, surrounded by two lower highs on each side. Bullish Fractal (Bottom): The 3rd candle has the lowest low, flanked by two higher lows on each side. These formations are Price's way of saying: *"I tried to go further, but couldn't." 📊 What Do Fractals Indicate? A shift in short-term control (bulls vs. bears) Minor support or resistance zones Useful markers for entries, exits, or trailing stop levels They don't guarantee reversals but are excellent at highlighting where price momentum may pause, reverse, or build structure. 📈 How to Use Fractals – A Practical Guide Let’s be clear: Fractals are not trade signals by themselves. Instead, they work best when used in confluence with your strategy. Think of them as tools that: Help confirm breakout levels Refine pullback entries Guide you in drawing cleaner trendlines, fib zones, and support/resistance levels Assist in identifying swing highs and lows for Dow Theory-style trend analysis 🔗 Fractals + Strategy = Smart Trading Whether you trade breakouts or mean reversion, Fractals help clarify: Which highs or lows matter Where to place stop losses with structure-based logic How to trail SL as the trade progresses They quietly organize your chart into readable, tradeable levels. 🚀 Practical Uses of Fractals Fractals are the first tool I add to any chart—they instantly reveal structure and guide every step of my analysis. 1. Breakout Confirmation Wait for a candle to close above a bullish fractal high or below a bearish fractal low. Useful when the market is trending or forming structures like double bottoms/tops. 2. Pullback with Confirmation Use the fractal zone as a short-term S/R level. If price returns and shows signs of rejection (like an inside bar, wick rejections, or low volume), consider entries based on confirmation. Great in sideways or swing environments. 3. Trend Structure Validation Fractals reveal clear pivot highs/lows, helping: Confirm higher highs/higher lows Mark structure for trendline drawing Validate Fib levels or S/R zones 4. Trailing Stop Loss Update your SL to trail behind the most recent opposite-side fractals. In longs: SL below new bullish fractals In shorts: SL above new bearish fractals This lets you stay in the move while managing risk like a pro. How it’s Look Like on Chart ⚠️ Common Mistakes to Avoid Trading every fractal blindly Ignoring price context or trend Relying on fractals in low-volume, choppy markets 📝 Final Thoughts Fractals are like breadcrumbs left by price action. They quietly point to areas where the market faced resistance or found support. Alone, they’re not enough. But in the hands of a price-action trader, they’re incredibly useful. Used alongside market structure, confirmation signals, and clean charting habits, Fractals become: Trend identifiers Entry enhancers Stop loss trail markers ⭐ Bonus Tip Next time you mark a level, Fibonacci or draw a trendline, check if a Fractal confirms it. You’ll be surprised how often it does. Trade simple. Trade clean. — Kiran Zatakia
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by kzatakia
XRPUSD SCALPING XRPUSD – Scalp Setup: Buy Into Sell (AUTH Liquidity Framework) XRPUSD is presenting a two-phase scalp opportunity based on liquidity behavior — first a buy-side reaction, followed by a sell-off from premium liquidity. 🔹 Buy Phase – Liquidity Rebound Setup Price has swept a key sell-side liquidity pocket below recent equal lows, triggering a reactive move. • Buy Entry: After lower timeframe confirmation (M5–M15 bullish shift) • Target: Short-term rally toward internal highs where buy-side liquidity rests • Exit Zone: Prior to major resistance or supply zone to secure profits 🔹 Sell Phase – Reversal From Overhead Liquidity Once internal highs are cleared and liquidity is taken, a reversal setup forms. • Sell Entry: Upon rejection from premium zone or after liquidity sweep above key highs • Confirmation: Bearish structure shift or strong rejection wick • Target: Value area retrace or inefficiency fill toward lower structure 📌 Follow for a free intro class on the AUTH Masterpiece System — learn how to spot precision setups like this using liquidity, structure, and value alignment. Disclaimer: This idea is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
CRYPTOCAP:XRPLong
by intraday_storm
Is Ethereum Back In Business? A Confluence of Bullish Patterns Is Ethereum Back In Business? A Confluence of Bullish Patterns, Brutal Liquidations, and Fundamental Strength The cryptocurrency market is a theater of perpetual drama, a relentless cycle of fear and greed, innovation and volatility. In this unforgiving arena, Ethereum, the world’s second-largest digital asset, has once again captured the spotlight. After a period of underperformance that left investors questioning its momentum, a confluence of technical signals, market-shaking liquidations, and strengthening fundamentals has ignited a fierce debate: Is Ethereum truly back in business? The answer is not a simple yes or no but a complex narrative woven from bullish chart patterns, the chaotic fallout of political spats, and the quiet, inexorable growth of its underlying network. At the heart of the bullish thesis lies a classic technical analysis signal: the Morningstar candlestick pattern. For traders and analysts who scour charts for clues about future price movements, the appearance of a Morningstar on Ethereum's monthly chart is a development of profound significance. Simultaneously, the market has been violently shaken by an $800 million liquidation event, a brutal culling of leveraged positions in both Bitcoin and Ether, reportedly triggered by a public feud between political and tech titans Donald Trump and Elon Musk. This event serves as a stark reminder of the market's fragility and its susceptibility to external shocks. Yet, beneath this surface-level chaos, a different story is unfolding. On-chain metrics point to a network that is not just surviving but thriving. Institutional interest is surging, evidenced by substantial inflows into newly approved spot Ethereum Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs). Whales, the market's largest players, are sending mixed but largely accumulative signals. And technological upgrades continue to enhance the network's scalability and utility. This article will delve into these competing narratives—the hopeful story told by the Morningstar pattern, the cautionary tale of massive liquidations, and the quietly confident hum of Ethereum's fundamental growth—to paint a comprehensive picture of where the pioneering smart contract platform stands today. The Morningstar's Dawn: A Technical Harbinger of a Bullish Reversal In the lexicon of technical analysis, candlestick patterns provide a visual language for market sentiment. The Morningstar is one of the most revered bullish reversal patterns, a three-candle formation that often signals the end of a downtrend and the beginning of a new upward climb. Its appearance on a high-timeframe chart, such as the monthly chart for Ethereum, carries significant weight, suggesting a major shift in market psychology from bearish despair to bullish optimism. To understand its power, one must first understand its structure. The pattern consists of three distinct candles appearing after a prolonged price decline. The first is a long bearish candle (typically colored red or black), which confirms the continuation of the downtrend and reflects the sellers' firm control. The second candle is the "star" of the pattern—a small-bodied candle that can be either bullish or bearish. This candle often gaps down from the previous one, indicating a moment of acute indecision in the market. The selling pressure that characterized the first candle has waned, but buyers have not yet seized full control. It represents a point of equilibrium, a pause where the prevailing trend loses its momentum. The third and final candle is a long bullish candle (typically green or white) that closes well into the body of the first bearish candle. This final candle is the confirmation; it signifies that buyers have decisively taken over, overwhelming the sellers and initiating a reversal. The psychology behind the Morningstar pattern is a story of a power shift. The long bearish candle shows sellers are confident. The small middle candle reveals that confidence is cracking; a battle for control is underway. The final strong bullish candle declares the buyers as the victors, signaling that the path of least resistance is now upwards. Recently, several crypto analysts have highlighted the formation of this very pattern on Ethereum’s monthly chart. After a period of consolidation and price decline, the emergence of a Morningstar suggests that the bottom of the recent downtrend may be in. Analysts see this as a macro reversal signal, a technical foundation for a potential rally. Some have set initial price targets around $3,300, viewing the current resistance levels as temporary hurdles that will likely be broken in the face of this powerful bullish formation. When combined with other indicators, such as trading volume, which ideally should increase during the formation of the third candle, the Morningstar provides a compelling technical argument that Ethereum is gearing up for a significant move higher. While no technical pattern is infallible, its appearance on a macro scale has undeniably injected a strong dose of optimism into the market, suggesting that Ethereum’s period of slumber may be coming to an end. The $800 Million Purge: A Tale of Liquidations and Political Tremors Just as technical analysts were celebrating the bullish omens on the charts, the market delivered a brutal reminder of its inherent volatility. A massive liquidation event, totaling over $800 million and by some estimates approaching $1 billion, swept through the cryptocurrency markets, disproportionately affecting leveraged traders in Bitcoin and Ethereum. In a span of just 24 hours, hundreds of thousands of traders saw their positions forcibly closed, a cascade of selling that sent prices tumbling. Liquidations are the boogeyman of leveraged trading. When a trader uses borrowed funds (leverage) to amplify their position, they must maintain a certain amount of collateral. If the market moves against their position and their collateral falls below a required threshold, the exchange automatically closes the position to prevent further losses. This forced selling creates a domino effect. As prices fall, more long positions hit their liquidation points, triggering more selling, which in turn drives prices down further, liquidating even more positions. This is a liquidation cascade, and it can lead to rapid and violent price drops. Recent data showed that long positions accounted for the overwhelming majority of these liquidations, indicating that the market was caught off guard by the sudden downturn. Exchanges like Bybit and Binance were at the epicenter of this financial storm, with Bybit alone reportedly accounting for nearly $354 million in liquidations. The largest single liquidation order was a multi-million dollar position, underscoring the high stakes involved. What triggered this sudden market panic? Many analysts pointed to an unlikely source: a public and increasingly acrimonious feud between former U.S. President Donald Trump and Tesla CEO Elon Musk. The dispute, reportedly stemming from disagreements over a major tax and spending bill, spilled out onto social media, creating a storm of uncertainty that rattled investors. In today's interconnected world, high-profile clashes between powerful figures can have an immediate and tangible impact on financial markets, particularly on assets perceived as "risk-on," such as cryptocurrencies. The public fallout was seen as a destabilizing event, injecting political uncertainty into an already fragile market. The fear was that the conflict could have broader economic implications or affect the regulatory landscape for technology and digital assets. This sentiment sparked a broad-based sell-off, not just in crypto but across traditional equities as well. For a market driven heavily by narrative and sentiment, the Trump-Musk tussle provided a powerful bearish catalyst, spooking investors and triggering the cascade of liquidations that sent Bitcoin and Ethereum prices sharply lower. The event serves as a crucial counterpoint to the bullish technical picture, highlighting how susceptible the crypto market remains to macroeconomic and political shocks, regardless of its own internal fundamentals. The Bullish Undercurrent: On-Chain Metrics and Institutional Adoption While the liquidation event painted a picture of chaos and fear, a deeper dive into Ethereum's on-chain data and ecosystem developments reveals a much more optimistic and resilient narrative. These fundamental metrics, which track the health and growth of the network itself, often provide a clearer long-term signal than the noise of short-term price fluctuations. A Thriving and Growing Network One of the most reliable indicators of a blockchain's long-term value is its network activity. On this front, Ethereum is showing undeniable strength. The number of unique active addresses interacting with the blockchain has been on a steady rise. Recent data shows a significant surge, with weekly active addresses surpassing 17 million, a testament to growing engagement and adoption. This isn't just speculative trading; it reflects genuine usage across Ethereum's vast ecosystem, including decentralized finance (DeFi), non-fungible tokens (NFTs), and Layer 2 scaling solutions. Furthermore, the growth in new users joining the network is a powerful leading indicator of future demand. The rate of new address creation has been on an upward trajectory, signaling that Ethereum's value proposition continues to attract a broader audience. This organic growth is the lifeblood of any network, creating a flywheel effect: more users attract more developers, who build more valuable applications, which in turn attract even more users. The Rise of Layer 2 and Technological Upgrades A key driver of this network growth has been the maturation of Layer 2 scaling solutions like Arbitrum, Optimism, and Base. These networks handle transactions off the main Ethereum chain, allowing for faster speeds and dramatically lower fees while still inheriting Ethereum's security. The explosion of activity on these Layer 2s has been a game-changer, alleviating congestion on the main network and making Ethereum accessible to a wider range of users and applications. Simultaneously, core protocol upgrades continue to enhance Ethereum's capabilities. The recent Pectra upgrade, for example, has improved scalability and further refined the network's deflationary mechanics. Since the implementation of EIP-1559, a portion of every transaction fee is "burned," or permanently removed from circulation. This, combined with the vast amount of ETH locked in staking contracts, creates a dynamic where the supply of available ETH is constantly shrinking. This principle of decreasing supply coupled with increasing demand is a fundamental recipe for long-term price appreciation. The Arrival of Institutional Capital Perhaps the most significant bullish development for Ethereum in recent times has been the approval and successful launch of spot Ethereum ETFs in the United States. This provides a regulated and accessible on-ramp for institutional investors to gain exposure to ETH, unlocking a potential wave of new capital. The early data is promising. In May 2025 alone, spot Ethereum ETFs recorded net inflows of over half a billion dollars, a sharp increase from the previous month. This institutional validation is a powerful signal. It signifies that some of the world's largest financial players view Ethereum not just as a speculative asset, but as a foundational technology with long-term strategic value. This flow of "sticky" institutional money is expected to provide a strong support floor for the price and reduce volatility over the long run. The Whale Watch: Accumulation and Confidence The behavior of "whales"—large holders of Ethereum—provides another crucial, albeit sometimes conflicting, layer of insight. On one hand, there have been reports of significant accumulation by these large players. Data shows massive transfers of ETH from exchanges to private wallets, a classic sign of long-term holding, as it reduces the immediately available supply for selling. One notable transaction involved Galaxy Digital moving hundreds of millions of dollars worth of ETH into a private wallet, suggesting strong institutional confidence. Over the past month, data from on-chain analytics firms has shown that whale wallets have increased their holdings, while retail holdings have slightly decreased, a pattern often seen before a bullish market run. However, the picture is not entirely one-sided. There have also been instances of long-term whales selling off portions of their holdings, contributing to short-term price drops. This reflects the diverse strategies among large holders. Some may be taking profits, while others are positioning for a long-term hold. Despite the mixed short-term signals, the broader trend appears to be one of accumulation and a net outflow of ETH from exchanges, which is a fundamentally bullish indicator. With exchange balances hitting seven-year lows, the potential for a supply squeeze is becoming increasingly real. Conclusion: Navigating the Storm Towards a Bullish Horizon So, is Ethereum back in business? The evidence suggests a resounding, if complex, "yes." The current market environment is a fascinating juxtaposition of short-term turmoil and long-term strength. The public spat between Trump and Musk, and the subsequent $800 million liquidation event, underscore the market's vulnerability to sudden shocks and the perils of leveraged trading. These events serve as a healthy dose of caution, reminding investors that the path forward will undoubtedly be volatile. However, when we look past the immediate noise, the underlying picture is one of robust and accelerating health. The Morningstar pattern on the monthly chart provides a powerful technical signal that a macro trend reversal is underway, suggesting that the recent period of bearish sentiment has exhausted itself. This technical optimism is strongly supported by fundamentals. Ethereum's network is growing at a remarkable pace, fueled by the success of Layer 2 solutions and continuous protocol improvements that enhance its scalability and economic model. The most compelling evidence, however, comes from the demand side. The launch of spot Ethereum ETFs has opened the floodgates for institutional capital, a structural shift that will likely define Ethereum's market for years to come. This, combined with the steady accumulation by whales and a shrinking available supply due to burning and staking, creates a powerful bullish cocktail. Ethereum is navigating a perfect storm of conflicting signals. The violent waves of short-term liquidations and political drama can be disorienting. But beneath the surface, the deep currents of network growth, technological innovation, and institutional adoption are flowing strongly in one direction. For investors who can look beyond the immediate horizon, the story told by Ethereum's fundamentals, supported by classic bullish chart patterns, is not just one of being "back in business"—it's a story of a platform solidifying its position as a cornerstone of the decentralized future.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
Analysis and layout of the latest gold trend in the evening📰 Impact of news: 1. The United States issues new sanctions on Iran 2. Trump continues to criticize the Federal Reserve 📈 Market analysis: The 1H moving average of gold has shown signs of turning downward. If a death cross structure is formed subsequently, it will open up further downward space. From the market point of view, the price of gold rebounded to around 3364 after the release of non-agricultural data. This position constitutes a short-term key resistance level. If the rebound is under pressure here during the US trading session, short selling on rallies can still be considered. Although the price of gold has started to decline, it has not been able to fall below the important support of 3,300, so the long-term direction remains unchanged. At the same time, we need to pay attention to the effectiveness of the 3310 support line in the short term, and consider long trading only after the bottom is confirmed. For short-term trading, consider shorting at 3340-3350, and look to 3320-3310 🏅 Trading strategies: SELL 3340-3350 TP 3320-3310 If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AllenBoswell-2
Nifty Analysis EOD – June 6, 2025 – Friday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – June 6, 2025 – Friday 🔴 🎯 25K Now, What's Next? Nifty opened on a neutral tone, cautiously awaiting the outcome of the RBI Monetary Policy. As the event unfolded and the repo rate cut of 0.5% was announced, the celebration began on Dalal Street—and the charts reflected it. What followed was a clean, powerful rally, breaking through key levels and carrying the index all the way to the psychological milestone of 25,000, where it closed almost flat on the round number at 25,003.05. Today’s close is just shy of the May 26th high, and a few hurdles still remain:👉 25,060–25,070👉 25,115–25,130👉 25,180–25,212 These levels will decide whether the breakout from the box range—which we’ve discussed in earlier reviews—truly sustains. As long as there’s no negative trigger over the weekend, bulls may carry the momentum into next week. 🛡 5 Min Chart with Levels 🕯 Daily Time Frame Chart 🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown Open: 24,748.70 High: 25,029.50 Low: 24,671.45 Close: 25,003.05 Net Change: +252.15 (+1.02%) 📊 Candle Structure Breakdown Real Body: 254.35 pts (Strong Green) Upper Wick: 26.45 pts Lower Wick: 77.25 pts 🔍 Interpretation A session that began quietly turned into a bullish sprint. The small upper wick shows there was minimal rejection at higher levels. The lower wick reflects early dip buying. The strong green body signals dominant intraday momentum, with bulls in charge from start to finish. 🔦 Candle Type 🟢 Bullish Marubozu–like candle– Almost a full body with small wicks, indicating powerful follow-through buying and confidence among bulls. 📌 Key Insight 25,000 breakout looks clean and technically sound. Holding above 24,900–24,950 in the coming session could lead to further upside exploration. All eyes on volume confirmation and whether we can conquer the next resistance band near 25,130+. 🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart ⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update ATR: 274.31 IB Range: 91.90 → Medium IB Market Structure: Balanced Trades:✅ 10:05 AM – Long Triggered → Target Achieved (1:1.4)✅ 10:40 AM – Long Triggered → Target Achieved (1:2) 📌 Support & Resistance Zones Resistance Levels 25,062 ~ 25,070 25,116 ~ 25,128 25,180 ~ 25,212 Support Levels 24,972 24,920 ~ 24,894 24,800 ~ 24,768 24,727 ~ 24,737 24,660 💭 Final Thoughts Momentum is back.Bulls not only broke free from consolidation—they made a statement. The RBI’s surprise move might just be the fuel Nifty needed to launch toward unexplored zones. 📌 “Big breakouts don’t ask for permission. They just happen—when doubt is highest.” ✏️ Disclaimer This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
NSE:NIFTY
by kzatakia
The rebound is not strong, and gold still has room to fallThere is no good entry point to participate in the transaction at present, but the highlight of today is the NFP market, so there is no need to rush to enter the market when there is no trading opportunity. Although gold rebounded slightly after touching 3340 overnight, to be honest, the rebound strength is far less than expected, and as long as gold remains below 3365-3375, gold will remain weak in the short term, so I think gold still has room to fall. First, pay attention to the support near 3330, followed by the support near 3310. However, in trading, we must pay attention to guard against the trend of falling after rising in the NFP market. Trading strategy: 1. Consider continuing to short gold in the 3375-3385 ​​area, TP: 3360-3350; 2. Consider trying to go long gold in small batches in the 3325-3315 area, TP: 3340-3350
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steffen_Schade
Long positions have made profits, focus on support📰 Impact of news: 1. The United States issues new sanctions on Iran 2. Trump continues to criticize the Federal Reserve 📈 Market analysis: At present, the gold price has touched 3340. If it stabilizes here, we can arrange to go long. However, the gold price is constantly testing downwards, which is why I did not arrange to go long immediately. At the same time, we need to be vigilant about whether the gold price will fall below the important support of 3330. If it really falls below 3330, the gold price may test the support of the integer mark of 3300, which will also determine the future market trend. 🏅 Trading strategies: SELL 3400-3370 TP 3340-3330-3300 BUY 3335-3330 TP 3350-3370 SELL 3325-3320 TP 3310-3300 If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AllenBoswell-2
USDJPY Wave Analysis – 6 June 2025 - USDJPY reversed from the support area - Likely to rise to the resistance level 146.00 USDJPY currency pair recently reversed from the support area between the support level 142.50 (which has been reversing the price from the end of April) and the lower daily Bollinger Band. The price earlier formed multiple consecutive Japanese candlesticks reversal patterns near the support level 142.50 – Bullish Engulfing, Morning Star and Pricing Line, Given the strength of the support level 142.50, USDJPY currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 146.00.
Long
by FxProGlobal
50 bps Repo Rate Cut boosts Nifty. Can it fly further now?The market was expecting a Repo Rate Cut From RBI. The expectation was for 25bps but what we got today from RBI was a bumper 50 bps rate cut. This propelled Nifty to close above much coveted level of 25K as Nifty managed to close at 25003. Now Nifty has entered a critical resistance zone. This zone starts from around 25037 to 25146. Closing above 25146 is mandatory for Nifty to fly further and gain further momentum. Last 4 weeks or so Nifty has been returning back from this zone. We can see this in the weekly chart of Nifty. With rate cut the chances for Nifty to fly above this most important levels has increased a lot. The resistances for Nifty Now Remain at: 25037, 25146 (Important Trend line Resistance, Bulls will be very active above this level.), 25473, 25804 and 26277. Further levels will be given once we get a closing above 26277. The supports for Nifty remain at: 24642, 24425, 23904, 23597 (Most important Mother Line of Weekly Candles). Below this level Nifty will become very week again and bears can drag Nifty further down towards 23201 (Important Trend Line Support). If this is broken in unlikely global or local geo-political event then Nifty can further fall to 22169 or even 21671 levels in unlikely scenario of major geo-political event unfolding. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
XAU/USD 06 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025 Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. M4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 22 May 2025. In my analysis from 12 May 2025, I noted that price had yet to target the weak internal high, including on the H4 timeframe. This aligns with the ongoing corrective bearish pullback across higher timeframes, so a bearish internal Break of Structure (iBOS) was a likely outcome. As anticipated, price targeted strong internal low, confirming a bearish iBOS. Price has remained within the internal range for an extended period and has yet to target the weak internal low. A contributing factor could be the bullish nature of the H4 timeframe's internal range, which has reacted from a discounted level at 50% of the internal equilibrium (EQ). Intraday Expectation: Technically price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,120.765. Alternative scenario: Price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Short gold after reboundOvernight, gold broke through the 3400 mark due to the intensification of geopolitical risks, but plunged sharply due to the reduction of the risk of Sino-US trade decoupling. Because the news swept up and down, it brought certain difficulties to the transaction. Today, we will focus on the NFP market! After overnight gold plunged to around 3340, it is currently maintaining a small rebound state. Relatively speaking, the rebound potential is weak, and with the sharp plunge of gold in the short term, the market bulls' confidence has been hit. At present, without major good news, it is difficult to make breakthrough progress based on technical support alone. The upper side faces short-term resistance of 3365-3375 area resistance. If gold cannot break through this area in the short term, gold will be weak! Trading strategy: Consider shorting gold in the 3370-3380 area, TP: 3355-3345
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steffen_Schade
USDJPY – Supply Zone Rejection Incoming?June 6, 2025 | Short-Term Bias: Bearish USDJPY is currently trading around 144.16, testing a key supply zone between 144.25 – 144.45. This area has historically acted as a strong resistance, and we’re now seeing signs of exhaustion after a solid bullish run from the 142.90 demand zone. 🔍 Technical Highlights: Price is inside a high-probability supply zone, with clear historical rejection at this level. A strong bearish risk-reward setup is in play, with the target at 142.90 and a stop above 144.456. The volume profile shows high activity around 144.00–144.25, hinting at possible consolidation or distribution. Previous structure confirms this level has served as a seller’s stronghold. 📉 Bias: Leaning bearish as long as price remains below 144.456. A break and close above that level would invalidate this setup and shift the bias to bullish, targeting the 145.00+ area. 📌 Trade Idea (Not Financial Advice): Entry: Current level (~144.16) SL: Above 144.456 TP: 142.90 Let’s see if sellers step in again here, or if bulls are ready to break through. ⚔️ Drop your thoughts below! 👇
Short
by PIPSPHERE_NETWORK