EUR/JPY Bulls Seeking Signal as Price Clings to SupportEUR/JPY is teetering above known support, but with momentum favouring the bears, there’s no need to rush into longs.
If the pair continues find buyers on dips below 156.21, a long trade could be considered above the level with a stop beneath for protection. 158 looms as an initial target, with 159 and 161 other levels to watch.
The preference is to wait for a bottoming signal before entering, similar to the morning star patterns seen in December and early February. RSI (14) and MACD remain firmly bearish, reinforcing the need for patience given the setup is counter to momentum.
A convincing break below 156.21 would invalidate the setup, opening the door for shorts targeting a retest of 154.41.
Good luck!
DS
Candlestick Analysis
DXY - Fed’s Rate Cut Gamble Clashes With ECB Hawkish HoldSuccessful delivery this week with daily sell stops taken out @ 106.566 as expected. This caused risk on conditions for FX pairs; GBPUSD and EURUSD.
The heaviness to the downside indicates continuation to the downside.
106.111 - 105.440 is a price region i am scoping
EUR/USD - Short Term Long trade.M = Green
W = Deep Blue
D = Neon Blue
4H = Pink.
Vice Versa of my DXY analysis, EUR/USD should see bullish price action in repsonse to the DXY dropping. The EURUSD pair HTF's are somewhat mixed, with the M looking like its in the motion of forming a reversal coming off of the M bullish FVG created during the last bullish expansive leg.
There are key levels on the weekly and daily, but its the Monthly Bearish FVG currently unmitigated above current price action at 1.07, that is my draw on liquidity for any potential trades. Entries to be taken on the LTFs inside the current daily range, with the 4H Bullish OB being my entry level.
Keep it real.
NASDAQ - Short term downtrend.Bearish downtrend on the NASDAQ, targeting the Daily STL as nearest draw on liqudity. Expecting a retracement into the 4H BaG (Pink area) to then continue the current down-trend to sweep the liquidity at the daily STL.
As we can see, the recent bullish expansion to the upside actually took Monthly liquidity which then saw a sharp reversal which has taken out most of the bullish orderflow created in the expansion to the upside, where we created bullish FVGs moving into the HTF areas of interest. Trend turned bearish after the M high was taken, and we have created Bearish BaG on the 4H moving away from the area, as well as a potential Daily FVG being created after Mondays open.
The overall daily range for the year so far (2025) has been somewhat consolidatory, so im anticipating any move below the Daily STL we have as our target, to be a sweep and premium price action to then become our draw on liqudiity.
Happy trading!
GBP/USD - Bulls ROAR To The Upside!In regards to last weeks bias, GBPUSD delivered successfully to the upside, sweeping and closing above the area of interest mentioned throughout this week of 1.25762.
I will also be watching dollar index closely next week to see if we can continue the downside delivery into the discounted range of 105.188 as that will play a major role in GBPUSD rallying to the upside.
Happening Now: AUDJPY Swing Move Setup Buy- on Weak JPYBased on a strong AUD and weak JPY - see the currency index charts.
We've had a rejection off an area and Weekly candle last week closed engulfing - confirming bullishness.
Major news this week may create the conditions for volatility.
Will wait for a reversal pattern in price action before confirming the Buy.
The Daily Edge - 21st Feb 2025Bullish Momentum Stalls as Shorts Remain in Focus
Market Overview
Bullish price action continued on Thursday, with the daily candle printing a higher high and higher low range. Price closed above the previous bearish candles, maintaining the overall bullish structure.
However, price remains within the consolidation range, with highs near 2940 and lows around 2860. The short bias remains intact, and we are actively managing short trades currently in play.
Key Observations
Price reacted off the imbalance High 2920 today created by the recent push higher, moving from external to internal range liquidity.
Price is stalling around key levels despite maintaining a bullish structure.
The 50% retracement level of the latest daily swing sits below Friday’s low 2915
Shorts remain active but are at risk as bullish momentum continues within the range.
Our Next Steps
Manage existing shorts and monitor for signs of reversal or continuation.
Watch consolidation boundaries at 2940 highs and 2860 lows for breakout or reversal signals.
Observe price action leading into Monday for potential adjustments to the strategy.
Reflection Prompt
How can managing trades within a consolidation help refine entries and exits, especially when price action begins to stall?
#XAUUSD #Gold #TradingEdge #MarketAnalysis #PriceAction #Discipline #PipsnPaper
Be bold and short goldBrothers, did you short gold?
As I mentioned in my previous article, I have already entered short positions in the 2930-2940 zone. Today, gold has broken below Wednesday’s low, which has to some extent opened further downside potential and strengthened the probability of continued decline. Moreover, under the pressure of the head and shoulders pattern, I believe gold is highly likely to retest the 2920-2910 support zone today.
I have followed my trading plan and am currently in profit on my short positions. We can continue to hold and wait for further profit expansion. Did you follow me in shorting gold?If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Keep making money by shorting goldYesterday, I remained firmly committed to shorting gold from start to finish, and as anticipated, gold retraced to my two target zones: 2930-2925 and 2920-2910.
Today, gold has pulled back to around 2916, breaking Wednesday’s low, which has, to some extent, opened up downside potential and strengthened expectations for further downside acceleration toward the 2900-2880 region. Additionally, from a short-term technical perspective, a head and shoulders pattern has formed, further supporting the likelihood of a sharper decline. Therefore, in today’s trading, I continue to favor short positions in gold.
As gold’s price action shifts lower, overhead resistance levels are also adjusting downward. This calls for a more conservative expectation of gold’s rebound potential. For short-term trading, we can consider scaling into short positions in the 2930-2940 zone.
Bros, are you optimistic about the continued decline of gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Reverse Hammer in Nifty (confirmation pending) sign of reversal.A reverse hammer pattern is formed in Nifty in the weekly charts. Usually This kind of formation signals trend reversal. For reversal to be successful we need a closing next week above 23044. If this happens investors and traders can breathe a sigh of relief from the on going market correction.
If the reversal is not successful we might see Nifty fall further to 22427 or in the worst case scenario the next supports will be at 22132, 21718 or even 21302 as of now. On the positive side if the reversal is successful we may see Nifty rising to 23383, 23819, 24205 or close to 25K if we get a weekly or monthly close above 23044 level.
Another point which goes in favour of Nifty is that weekly RSI currently is at 39.39. Last time the weekly RSI was this low was in March 23 when it was 38.80. After this point we saw a rally in Nifty which lasted almost 18/19 months. So a further small dip post which we can see a come back in Nifty as per the Relative Strength Index.
Next week and the week after than will be critical for reversal of Nifty. Shadow of the candle neutral to positive this week. We might be near a temporary bottom (confirmation pending).
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Shooting Star Pattern: Meaning and Trading RulesShooting Star Pattern: Meaning and Trading Rules
In the fast-paced world of trading, recognising key chart patterns is crucial for informed decision-making. One pattern that traders often look for is the shooting star trading pattern. This article will delve into what a shooting star pattern is, how to spot it on a chart, its associated trading strategies, and its distinctions from similar patterns.
What Is a Shooting Star?
A shooting star in trading is a bearish candlestick pattern that can signify a potential reversal of an uptrend. It consists of a single candlestick with the following characteristics:
- A small body that is located at the lower end of the candlestick.
- A long upper shadow that is at least twice the length of the candle's body.
- A short or nonexistent lower shadow.
The appearance of the setup suggests that the price opened near its low and rallied significantly during the trading session but ultimately closed near its opening price. This pattern indicates sellers regained control after a brief period of bullishness.
While the formation is considered more probable when it closes red, it’s possible to see a green shooting star. A green shooting star candlestick simply indicates that sellers weren’t able to push the price down quite as aggressively.
How Can You Trade the Shooting Star?
The shooting star trading strategy involves the following key points:
- Entry: After identifying the candle in the strong uptrend, consider entering a short position. To validate the pattern, you may wait for the next one or two candles to close below the shooting star.
- Take Profit: Although candlestick patterns don’t provide specific entry and exit points, you can use common technical analysis techniques. For example, you may set a take-profit level based on the support level, Fibonacci retracement level, or nearest swing lows.
- Stop Loss: You may want to protect your position with a stop-loss order. This is usually placed above the high price of the shooting star. This helps potentially limit losses if the pattern doesn't lead to a reversal.
Let's consider a live market example of a shooting star in the stock market to illustrate the concept. A trader analyses the Meta stock chart and spots a shooting star stock pattern after an extended uptrend. They wait for confirmation, i.e. for the next bar to close lower. Upon confirmation, they decide to enter a short trade, setting their take-profit target at a significant support level and placing a stop loss above the formation’s high.
How Traders Confirm the Shooting Star Signals
Confirming the shooting star pattern's reliability involves a multifaceted approach, adding robustness to your trading decisions. Traders look beyond the candlestick itself, integrating various technical analysis tools to validate signals.
Key confirmation methods include:
- Volume Analysis: A high trading volume accompanying the shooting star candlestick pattern can strengthen the signal, indicating that the reversal is supported by significant market participation.
- Subsequent Candles: Observing the next few candles for bearish confirmation is essential. A strong bearish candle following the shooting star suggests that sellers are gaining momentum.
- Technical Indicators: Indicators can offer confirmatory signals, particularly momentum indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Stochastic Oscillator. A moving average crossover can also add confluence.
- Support and Resistance Levels: The proximity of the shooting star to established resistance levels enhances its significance. A shooting star forming near a resistance zone often signals a strong reversal point.
- Above Swing High/Low: A shooting star pattern that breaks into the area just above a key high or low before reversing can signal a stop hunt/liquidity grab.
- Contextual Analysis: The broader market context, such as prevailing trends and economic news, can influence the pattern's effectiveness. Aligning the shooting star with broader market sentiment increases the pattern’s reliability.
Shooting Star and Other Candlestick Formations
Let's compare the shooting star with other patterns with which it is often confused.
Shooting Star vs Inverted Hammer
The shooting star and inverted hammer look similar – they have small bodies and long upper shadows. However, they differ in their implications. The former is a bearish reversal pattern found in uptrends, while the latter is a bullish reversal formation seen in downtrends.
Shooting Star vs Evening Star
Both formations signal an uptrend reversal; however, the shooting star is a single-candle setup, whereas the evening star consists of three candles, including a large bullish candle, a small-bodied candle, and a large bearish candle.
Shooting Star vs Gravestone Doji
The shooting star and gravestone doji are both bearish reversal patterns. The shooting star features a small body at the lower end of the candlestick with a long upper shadow, signifying a failed rally.
In contrast, the gravestone doji has no or a tiny real body, as the open and close prices are identical or nearly identical, with a long upper shadow and no lower shadow. The gravestone doji suggests strong indecision in the market, with buyers initially driving prices up but ultimately failing to maintain that momentum, which often signals a sharp reversal.
Shooting Star vs Hanging Man
The shooting star and hanging man also share similarities but differ in appearance and market positioning. The shooting star is a bearish pattern occurring after an uptrend, indicating a potential reversal as bears managed to pull the price down at the end of a trading session.
Conversely, the hanging man appears at the top of an uptrend as well but has a small body at the upper end and a long lower shadow, reflecting that sellers were able to push the price down significantly before buyers pulled it back up. The hanging man suggests that selling pressure is starting to outweigh buying interest.
Advantages and Limitations
This formation offers traders valuable insights, but it comes with its own set of advantages and limitations. Understanding these can help traders use the pattern more effectively within their strategies.
Advantages
- Early Reversal Signal: It provides an early indication of a potential trend reversal, allowing traders to prepare for or act on a change in market direction.
- Simplicity: The pattern is straightforward to identify, even for less experienced traders, making it an accessible tool for technical analysis.
- Versatility: It can be applied across various markets and timeframes, with traders often spotting the shooting star in forex, stock, and commodity markets as well as across both short-term and long-term charts.
Limitations
- False Signals: The pattern alone is not always reliable and can generate false signals, especially in volatile markets or when not used with other confirmation tools.
- Lack of Precision: It does not provide exact entry or exit points, requiring traders to rely on additional indicators or analysis to determine these.
- Dependency on Context: The effectiveness of the formation is highly dependent on the broader market context and trend strength, limiting its standalone use.
Final Thoughts
Understanding chart patterns like the shooting star is essential for making informed decisions in trading. Remember that while this formation can provide valuable insights, it is more effective in conjunction with other tools for signal confirmation. As a trader, staying informed about market developments and continuously honing your skills could be a key to effective trading in the dynamic trading environment. Open an FXOpen account today to trade in over 600 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips.
FAQ
Can Candlestick Patterns Be Time-Sensitive?
Yes, candlestick patterns vary depending on the timeframe. A shooting star on a 1-minute chart provides short-term signals, while a shooting star on a daily chart may signal a longer-term reversal. However, the choice of timeframe goes hand in hand with your market strategy and goals.
How to Improve Candlestick Pattern Recognition Skills?
Improving your candlestick pattern recognition skills requires practice and study. You can analyse historical charts, use trading simulators, read educational materials like those at FXOpen, and engage with experienced traders to gain insights and practical experience.
Why Are Candlestick Patterns Important in Trading?
Candlesticks visually represent price action and help traders identify potential trend reversals, continuations, and key support and resistance levels. They are valuable tools for technical analysis.
What Is the Meaning of a Shooting Star Pattern?
The shooting star pattern is a bearish reversal candlestick that forms after an uptrend. It signals a potential shift in market sentiment, where buyers initially drive the price higher, but sellers take over, pushing the price back down near its opening level.
Is a Shooting Star Candlestick Bullish?
No, a bullish shooting star does not exist. It is a bearish pattern, indicating that an uptrend may be losing momentum and that a reversal to the downside could be imminent. A similar bullish formation is the inverted hammer.
Is a Shooting Star a Doji?
A shooting star is not a doji. While both patterns can signal reversals, a doji has nearly identical opening and closing prices with no significant body, reflecting indecision, whereas a shooting star has a small body with a long upper shadow, indicating a failed rally.
How Can You Trade a Shooting Star Candle?
Trading this candle involves looking for confirmation of the reversal, such as a bearish candle following the pattern. Traders often set stop-loss orders above the shooting star's high and target profit levels near key support zones or previous lows.
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This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Short gold againAs I mentioned in my previous article, I anticipated that gold might pull back to the 2930-2925 region, or even extend to the 2910 region, during today or tomorrow's New York trading session. Clearly, gold has retraced as expected and hit my target zone of 2930-2925. Our short position around 2954 has once again yielded a very favorable profit, totaling 270 pips.
Currently, gold has experienced a slight rebound, but it’s evident that the bullish momentum is weakening while bearish control is strengthening. After the accelerated short squeeze phase, 2955 may become the high for this stage. Moreover, as geopolitical risks decrease, the bullish momentum for gold further weakens, making it likely that gold could further dip and test the 2920-2910 support zone.
Therefore, for current short-term trading, I believe it might be a good idea to consider shorting gold again in the 2935-2940 region.Bros, will you follow me and short gold again? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Nasdaq (March 2025) - Brass Tax #S1E10In episode 10, I share how challenging price has been over the past couple of days but also, what you can do in order alleviate the need to feel like you must enter the market.
I go over price projections covered in Episode 9, how it played out in Thursday and what could be done better.
With one more day left this week and 13 high impact news events, I am anticipating high levels of volatility
Next draw of liquidity: NzdUsd0.58083 is a weekly POI that have been respected before. I'm anticipating price to retest that zone again this week , hence anticipating the news (Existing Home Sales) by 10:00 New York time to push price to my point of interest and rejection kicks in.
Therefore this weekly candle might close with a rejection of that zone and next week would be bearish till we clear this week low 0.56779
I'm anticipating price to also clear previous week low (the monthly low) 0.55164 by next month.
Kindly boost if you find this insightful 🫴
EURJPY LongThe price has completed the retracement after breaking the last Lower High.
From now on we should with high probability expect the price to rally back up to the last swing high of $161.2 and see if it can break it before making another Higher Higher from there.
But before that, there are two significant OBs on the way up that the price can face significant selling pressure from. We need to watch those zones closely.
USDCHF Short Market structure bearish on HTFs DH
Entry at Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Daily EMA retest
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 0.90500
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 4.96
Entry 90%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.