Vistra May Have Shaken Off DeepSeek Vistra fell in January because of DeepSeek. It quickly rebounded and now some traders may expect its longer-term uptrend to continue.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the rally between the low of January 27 and the high of January 30. The nuclear-power company has held above a 50 percent retracement of that bounce, which may confirm buyers remain in charge.
Second, a pair of inside weeks may also reflect a lack of selling pressure.
Third, prices have pushed against a falling trendline. Could that help confirm a breakout?
VST’s 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) also stayed above its 21-day EMA despite the DeepSeek crash. Price have additionally held their 50-day simple moving average. Those patterns may be consistent with short- and intermediate-term uptrends.
Next, the most recent set of weekly lows around $132 were above the September 30 trough near $115. Those higher bases may also reflect bullishness over the longer run.
Finally, traders may see potential AI catalysts on the horizon with Nvidia reporting on February 26, followed by its big AI conference March 17-21.
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Candlestick Analysis
Mastering Candlestick Patterns: Visual Guide for Traders
🔵 Introduction
Candlestick charts are among the most popular tools used by traders to analyze price movements. Each candlestick represents price action over a specific time period and provides valuable insights into market sentiment. By recognizing and understanding candlestick patterns, traders can anticipate potential price reversals or continuations, improving their trading decisions. This article explains the most common candlestick patterns with visual examples and practical Pine Script code for detection.
🔵 Anatomy of a Candlestick
Before diving into patterns, it's essential to understand the components of a candlestick:
Body: The area between the open and close prices.
Upper Wick (Shadow): The line above the body showing the highest price.
Lower Wick (Shadow): The line below the body showing the lowest price.
Color: Indicates whether the price closed higher (bullish) or lower (bearish) than it opened.
An illustrative image showing the anatomy of a candlestick.
🔵 Types of Candlestick Patterns
1. Reversal Patterns
Hammer and Hanging Man: These single-candle patterns signal potential reversals. A Hammer appears at the bottom of a downtrend, while a Hanging Man appears at the top of an uptrend.
Engulfing Patterns:
- Bullish Engulfing: A small bearish candle followed by a larger bullish candle engulfing the previous one.
- Bearish Engulfing: A small bullish candle followed by a larger bearish candle engulfing it.
Morning Star and Evening Star: These are three-candle reversal patterns that signal a shift in market direction.
Morning Star: Occurs at the bottom of a downtrend, indicating a potential bullish reversal. It consists of:
- A long bearish (red) candlestick showing strong selling pressure.
- A small-bodied candlestick (bullish or bearish) indicating indecision or a pause in selling. This candle often gaps down from the previous close.
- A long bullish (green) candlestick that closes well into the body of the first candle, confirming the reversal.
Evening Star: Appears at the top of an uptrend, signaling a potential bearish reversal. It consists of:
- A long bullish (green) candlestick showing strong buying pressure.
- A small-bodied candlestick (bullish or bearish) indicating indecision, often gapping up from the previous candle.
- A long bearish (red) candlestick that closes well into the body of the first candle, confirming the reversal.
2. Continuation Patterns
Doji Patterns: Candles with very small bodies, indicating market indecision. Variations include Long-Legged Doji, Dragonfly Doji, and Gravestone Doji.
Rising and Falling Three Methods: These are five-candle continuation patterns indicating the resumption of the prevailing trend after a brief consolidation.
Rising Three Methods: Occurs during an uptrend, signaling a continuation of bullish momentum. It consists of:
- A long bullish (green) candlestick showing strong buying pressure.
- Three (or more) small-bodied bearish (red) candlesticks that stay within the range of the first bullish candle, indicating a temporary pullback without breaking the overall uptrend.
- A final long bullish (green) candlestick that closes above the high of the first candle, confirming the continuation of the uptrend.
Falling Three Methods: Appears during a downtrend, indicating a continuation of bearish momentum. It consists of:
- A long bearish (red) candlestick showing strong selling pressure.
- Three (or more) small-bodied bullish (green) candlesticks contained within the range of the first bearish candle, reflecting a weak upward retracement.
- A final long bearish (red) candlestick that closes below the low of the first candle, confirming the continuation of the downtrend.
🔵 Coding Candlestick Pattern Detection in Pine Script
Detecting patterns programmatically can improve trading strategies. Below are Pine Script examples for detecting common patterns.
Hammer Detection Code
//@version=6
indicator("Hammer Pattern Detector", overlay=true)
body = abs(close - open)
upper_wick = high - math.max(close, open)
lower_wick = math.min(close, open) - low
is_hammer = lower_wick > 2 * body and upper_wick < body
plotshape(is_hammer, title="Hammer", style=shape.triangleup, location=location.belowbar, color=color.green, size=size.small)
Bullish Engulfing Detection Code
//@version=6
indicator("Bullish Engulfing Detector", overlay=true)
bullish_engulfing = close < open and close > open and close > open and open < close
plotshape(bullish_engulfing, title="Bullish Engulfing", style=shape.arrowup, location=location.belowbar, color=color.blue, size=size.small)
🔵 Practical Applications
Trend Reversal Identification: Use reversal patterns to anticipate changes in market direction.
Confirmation Signals: Combine candlestick patterns with indicators like RSI or Moving Averages for stronger signals.
Risk Management: Employ patterns to set stop-loss and take-profit levels.
🔵 Conclusion
Candlestick patterns are powerful tools that provide insights into market sentiment and potential price movements. By combining visual recognition with automated detection using Pine Script, traders can enhance their decision-making process. Practice spotting these patterns in real-time charts and backtest their effectiveness to build confidence in your trading strategy.
Bitcoin’s Bullish Patterns_Ready for a Breakout!?As I expected in the previous post , Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) approached the Heavy Support zone($93,300-$90,500) and Support lines but quickly started to rise.
Bitcoin is moving in the Support zone($96,150-$94,700) . And in this increase of Bitcoin in the last few hours, we can see the Morning Star Candlestick Pattern well in the 2-hour time frame .
Educational tip : The Morning Star is a bullish reversal candlestick pattern that forms after a downtrend, consisting of three candles: a large bearish candle, a small indecisive candle, and a strong bullish candle. It signals a potential trend reversal and growing buying momentum.
In terms of Classic Technical Analysis , it seems that Bitcoin has succeeded in forming the Descending Broadening Wedge Pattern , which can be a sign of Bitcoin's increase .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that the entire corrective waves inside the descending channel were all in the form of a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) so that it seems that Bitcoin finally completed the main wave C in the previous hours. If Bitcoin breaks the upper line of the wedge pattern, we can confirm the end of the main wave C .
I expect Bitcoin to be able to touch the Targets I specified on the chart AFTER breaking the upper line of the Descending Channel .
Note: If Bitcoin goes below $94,400, we expect more dumps.
Do you think Bitcoin can finally break out of this Descending Channel? Pump or Dump?
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 2-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Sorry, I'm shorting gold againYesterday, gold retraced to a low near 2919, but it didn’t reach my expected target zone of 2915-2910, so I didn’t have the opportunity to go long on gold. Currently, gold has rebounded again and extended above 2950. To be honest, while gold maintains its strong bullish position, as long as it stays above 2930, I still don’t recommend chasing long positions. With gold currently trading near 2954, I am even less inclined to go long.
On the contrary, the accelerated rally in gold has a short squeeze potential, so at this level, I am more inclined to short gold. From a cyclical perspective, gold has been prone to showing “Black Thursday” and “Black Friday” patterns recently, so there is a possibility that a reversal could occur today or tomorrow. Therefore, I still recommend continuing to try shorting gold in the short term.
I tend to think that gold may pull back to the 2930-2925 area during the New York trading session today or tomorrow, and may even extend to the area around 2910.Bros, have you followed me to do more gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
XAUUSD Poised for a Bullish Surge to 3010In my latest analysis of the XAUUSD chart, I forecast an uptrend that will drive prices to reach the 3010 mark. Key indicators show bullish momentum, supported by recent market trends and historical data. Traders should keep an eye on critical support and resistance levels to capitalize on this potential upswing. Dive into the details and get ready to ride the wave of gold's bullish journey!
US CRUDE OIL(WTI): Classic Day TradeUSOIL was trading in a tight horizontal range on the 4-hour chart for a significant period of time.
The resistance of this range was violated yesterday, followed by a retest and a strong bullish response.
This could signal a potential upward trend continuation towards the 73.32 mark.
USDCAD SHORTMarket structure bearish on HTFs 3
Entry at Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Rejection at Daily AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Round Psych Level
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 7.89
Entry 100%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
GBPCAD LONG Market structure bullish on HTFs DH
Entry at both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection At AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Daily EMA retest
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 1.78500
H4 Candlestick rejection
Levels 5.47
Entry 90
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
EUR/JPY - Bullish Rejection from Key Support📈 Trade Idea: Long EUR/JPY
Analysis:
Price aggressively rejected the downside with a long wick, indicating strong buyer interest at a key support level. This suggests a liquidity grab, where price swept lows before pushing back up. A potential bullish reversal could be in play, targeting the next resistance zone.
Trade Plan (Based on Chart Setup):
🔹 Entry: 156.991 (Rejection from support)
🔹 Stop Loss: 156.846 (Below recent low, invalidates bullish bias)
🔹 Take Profit: 157.281 (Fixed at 2R)
Risk/Reward:
✅ Stop Loss: ~15 pips
✅ Take Profit: ~30 pips
✅ Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2
Why this trade?
✔️ Liquidity grab below previous lows
✔️ Strong bullish rejection at key demand zone
✔️ Potential reversal targeting previous resistance
📌 Looking for price to maintain above 156.50 to sustain bullish momentum.
GBP/JPY - Bullish Reversal from Key Support📈 Trade Idea: Long GBP/JPY
Analysis:
Price has rejected a key demand zone, showing a strong reaction off support. The long wick and bullish rejection indicate buyers stepping in. This aligns with a potential reversal trade, aiming for a retest of the previous supply zone.
Trade Plan (Based on Chart Setup):
🔹 Entry: 189.744 (Rejection from support)
🔹 Stop Loss: 189.422 (Below candle's body)
🔹 Take Profit: 190.388 (Fixed at 2R)
Risk/Reward:
✅ Stop Loss: 32pips
✅ Take Profit: 64 pips
✅ Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2
Why this trade?
✔️ Strong bullish rejection from demand zone
✔️ Liquidity grab below lows before push-up
✔️ Targeting previous resistance/supply zone
📌 Looking for follow-through momentum toward the upside.
Datadog: S&P 500 Candidate?! Key Levels to Watch Now!Hi there,
When we talk about the most respected stocks in the market, getting added to the S&P 500 index is a big milestone for any company. It’s not just a status symbol—it’s an event that can push the stock price higher as funds and investors rush to buy it.
Datadog (DDOG) is one of the potential candidates , so let’s analyze what the price action is telling us.
Technical Breakdown:
Right now, Datadog stock is testing a key support level of around $130. This price level has acted as both resistance and support in the past, and in November last year, the stock broke above it. Now, it has come back to retest this level, possibly looking for a base before making its next move.
If $130 holds as support, and the company’s fundamentals remain strong, this could be a solid entry point for buyers.
A secondary support zone to watch is near $100, about 25% lower than the current price. This level has seen big price movements before, meaning there could be strong interest from traders and investors if the stock drops there.
As legendary investor Peter Lynch once said:
"If you sell instead of buying when a stock drops 25%, you won’t achieve long-term profits in stocks."
This idea is also the foundation of my approach – what to do when the price drops? Am I ready to buy more at lower prices? If the answer is something like “probably not,” “not sure,” etc., then it’s worth considering whether it’s even worth buying in the first place!
Plans for different types of investors:
Short-Term Investors: If you’re looking for a quick trade, you might want to wait for a dip to $100, where a stronger bounce could happen. Buying from current prices can be a bit risky considering short-term horizons.
Long-Term Investors: If you believe in Datadog’s continued growth, the $130 level might already be a good spot to start buying. But be ready to buy more if the price drops further.
Final Thoughts:
Datadog is a fast-growing company with strong fundamentals, but the stock also has a high valuation and faces competition. As always, do your own research and make sure your investment strategy fits your risk level and goals.
Cheers,
Vaido
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GOLD (XAUUSD): Breakout confirmedGold is currently in a strong bullish trend.
After establishing a new higher high and higher close on the 4-hour timeframe, the pair has entered a consolidation phase within a horizontal trading range.
I anticipated a bullish breakout above the range’s resistance level.
A 4-hour candle closing above 2943 would signal strong buying momentum, confirming a bullish continuation. The next target for buyers would be 2980.
GBPCAD: Comprehensive Trading Plan⚠️ GBPCAD Analysis
This week, GBPCAD broke a key structural resistance and closed above it.
Currently, the pair is consolidating within a tight horizontal range, retesting the broken structure on the 4-hour chart.
For confirmation of a bullish intraday trend, watch for a breakout above the range resistance.
A 4-hour candle closing above 1.7924 will validate the breakout, potentially leading to a bullish continuation toward 1.7967.
HI SCHLUMBERGER I love this company so much that I love it to go up...however the chart are looking pretty wacky
It's a bear market for this asset
Pull out or diversify your portfolio cause the next target is the $34 and $20 mark respectively
Hopefully the investors and economy turns it around swiftly
NZD/USD - Bullish Engulfing at Support for Long Entry📈 Trade Idea: Long NZD/USD
Analysis:
Price formed a bullish engulfing candle at the 0.5700 key support level, signaling strong buying pressure. This level previously acted as resistance and has now turned into support, confirming a potential continuation of the uptrend.
Trade Plan (Based on Chart Setup):
🔹 Entry: 0.5714 (bullish engulfing confirmation)
🔹 Stop Loss: 0.5694 (below structure, invalidates setup)
🔹 Take Profit: 0.5775 (next resistance zone)
Why this trade?
✔️ Bullish engulfing pattern at key support
✔️ Break-and-retest confirmation of previous resistance as support
✔️ Strong uptrend continuation setup
📌 Looking for price to stay above 0.5700 to maintain bullish bias.
GBPJPY ShortGBP/JPY - Support Turned Resistance Short Setup
📉 Trade Idea: Short GBP/JPY
Analysis:
The previous support level around 192.05 has now turned into resistance. Price attempted to break above but failed, indicating potential downside pressure. This aligns with a classic support-turned-resistance setup, where sellers step in after a retest.
Trade Plan:
🔹 Entry: Sell at 191.416 (At candle low)
🔹 Stop Loss: Above 191.900 (Body's High)
🔹 Take Profit: 190.448 (2RR)
Additional Confirmation:
🔹 Bearish rejection at resistance
🔹 Momentum shifting lower on lower timeframes
🔹 Potential continuation of the downtrend
NQ - Wednesday FrameworkLast week NQ ran out its external range high.
Tuesday ran out Monday (check 4h) high and low and closed bearish.
On the 4h and 1h, we have a cisd to the downside. Paired with ES smt at the highs (check 1h). Measure the manipulation leg on the 1h for STD extensions and targets align with daily fvg. This is giving me evidence of a possible short term retracement delivery cycle in price. We could see Wednesday offer a continuation lower.
What I would need to see to confirm shorts:
If Asia and London initially trade higher above new day and midnight opening price, then the intraday framework is setting up for a classic sell day. This is ideal for shorts. Either NY Continuation or NY Reversal daily profile is what I'm hunting. I need to see a 15m cisd. That would confirm the daily profile.
If Asia and London trade lower first, then conditions are not ideal for intraday framework I'm looking for and need to be cautious of shorts.
If Asia and London consolidate, then I will wait for the external range to be swept during NY session. A 15m cisd will confirm direction after sweep on liquidity and I will target opposing liquidity.
If 4h fvg is closed though, that confirms ifvg and shorts will no longer be consider.
Mother Line again resisting and Trendline supporting. Something got to give now in a big way as Mother line 50 Hours EMA of 1 hour chart is resisting the up move and trend line formed from the base of recent low is providing support to the Nifty. Few things can happen here which everyone can observe for Educational purpose:
1) If Trend line is broken Nifty will again try to seek support at 3 month or more cyclical points of 22802 or 22722. If 22722 is broken Nifty may find itself again searching for Bottom which can be temporarily near 22451.
2) Second thing that can happen is Nifty can just like last 2 days stay range bound and trapped between trend line supports and resistance in the range of 22722 to 23022 (Mother line of 50 hours EMA).
3) We might get a break out if we get a closing above 23022 (Mother line). In such a scenario the next resistance levels based on cyclical 3 month or older data seem to be near 23108, 23200 or 23283 (200 Hours EMA or the Father line). If we get a closing above Father line 23283 the next resistances can be 23494 or 23804.
This is what short term outlook of Nifty looks like.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Short trade
Sellside Trade
Pair: EURUSD
Date: Monday, 17th February 2025
Time: 3:00 AM (NY Time)
Session: Tokyo to London Session AM
Trade Details:
Entry: 1.04734
Profit Level: 1.04092 (+0.61%)
Stop Level: 1.04987 (-0.24%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 2.54
Sellside trade is structured around a bearish market structure, liquidity grabs, and session timing,