Bullish Trend!Finally, with a violation on the GBPUSD Weekly Chart, trend traders can now long the GBPUSD at ease.
I will wait for a retest at 1.2696 on the GBPUSD 4-hourly chart for a buying opportunity.
If you are waiting for a counter-trend trade, the safest way is to wait for a violation of the red trendline(left). Then wait for the retest on the red trendline. You have to make sure there isn't any violation that happens after the retest, that is when you can engage the trade after the Magic Candle Confirmation.
Candlestickpattern
What's Next?I'm waiting for a shorting opportunity on the EURUSD, and the best trading setup I could be waiting for is the retest of the previous resistance at 1.0960 on the 1-hourly chart.
If you are waiting for a buying opportunity, the support level on the 4-hourly chart, 1.0863, could interest you.
What is your trade plan?
Comment down below.
Candlestick Patterns - Part3Hanging Man (Bullish Reversal Pattern)
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The Hanging Man is a bearish candlestick pattern that appears during an uptrend. It has a small body near the top of the trading range, a short upper shadow, and a long lower shadow. It suggests a potential trend reversal, indicating that buyers may be losing control and sellers could take over. Confirmation from subsequent price action is usually needed before taking any trading decisions based on this pattern.
Candlestick Patterns - Bearish Reversal Patterns - Hanging Man
Key components and characteristics
The Hanging Man pattern consists of a single candlestick with the following characteristics:
1. Body: The Hanging Man candlestick has a small body, typically bearish (black or red), representing a narrow range between the opening and closing prices. The body may also be bullish (white or green) but is less common. The small body indicates indecision or a slight preference towards bearishness.
2. Lower shadow/wick: The Hanging Man has a long lower shadow, also known as the tail or wick, extending below the body. The length of the lower shadow should be at least twice the size of the body. This shadow represents the low price reached during the trading period.
3. Upper shadow/wick: The Hanging Man has little to no upper shadow. If present, it is usually very short compared to the lower shadow. This indicates that bulls attempted to push the price higher but failed, signaling potential weakness.
Shooting Star (Bullish Reversal Pattern)
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The Shooting Star is a candlestick pattern commonly found in technical analysis of financial markets. It is formed when the open, high, and close prices are relatively close to each other, but the high is significantly above the open and close. This creates a candlestick with a small body and a long upper shadow or wick.
The Shooting Star pattern suggests a potential reversal of an uptrend, indicating that buyers may be losing control and sellers are becoming more active. It is often seen as a bearish signal, especially when it appears after a price rally. Traders interpret this pattern as a sign that the market may be overextended and could experience a downward correction or trend reversal.
The significance of the Shooting Star pattern is strengthened when it occurs near key resistance levels or when it is accompanied by other technical indicators or patterns that confirm the bearish sentiment. Traders typically look for confirmation in subsequent price action before making trading decisions based on this pattern.
Candlestick Patterns - Bearish Reversal Patterns - Shooting Star
Key components and characteristics
The Shooting Start candlestick pattern consists of a single candlestick with the following characteristics:
1. Body: The Shooting Star has a small body, indicating that the opening and closing prices are close to each other.
2. Lower shadow/wick: The Shooting Star typically has little to no lower shadow, or if present, it is very short compared to the upper shadow.
3. Upper shadow/wick: The defining characteristic of a Shooting Star is its long upper shadow or wick, which extends above the body. This shadow represents the high price reached during the trading period.
Gravestone Doji (Bullish Reversal Pattern)
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The Gravestone Doji is a candlestick pattern in technical analysis used to analyze financial markets, particularly in trading stocks or other securities. It is formed when the open, high, and close prices of a trading period are all at or near the low of the period, creating a long upper shadow or wick. The pattern resembles a gravestone, hence its name.
Candlestick Patterns - Bearish Reversal Patterns - Gravestone Doji
Key components and characteristics
The Gravestone Doji candlestick pattern consists of a single candlestick with the following characteristics:
1. Body: In a Gravestone Doji Doji, the opening price, closing price, and high price of the trading session are all at the same level. This creates a small body at the bottom of the candlestick.
2. Lower shadow/wick: The lower shadow, which represents the price range between the opening price and the low of the period, is either non-existent or very short in the Gravestone Doji pattern.
3. Upper shadow/wick: The upper shadow represents the price range between the high of the period and the closing price. In the Gravestone Doji, this upper shadow is usually long and extends above the opening price.
Bearish Engulfing (Bullish Reversal Pattern)
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The Bearish Engulfing candlestick pattern is a two-candle pattern that usually signals a potential reversal of an uptrend. It occurs when a small bullish candle is followed by a larger bearish candle that completely engulfs the previous candle's body. The bearish candle's body represents a strong shift in sentiment from buyers to sellers, as it opens above the previous candle's close and closes below the previous candle's open. This pattern suggests that bears have gained control and may lead to further downward movement in the price. Traders often use it as a signal to consider selling or taking a bearish position in the market.
Candlestick Patterns - Bearish Reversal Patterns - Bearish Engulfing
Key components and characteristics
The Bearish Engulfing candlestick pattern consists of two key components:
1. Bullish candle: The first candle is a bullish (green or white) candlestick, indicating that buyers have been in control. It is typically smaller in size compared to the second candle.
2. Bearish candle: The second candle is a larger bearish (red or black) candlestick. Its body completely engulfs the body of the bullish candle, meaning the high and low of the bearish candle's body completely cover the range of the bullish candle.
Evening Star (Bullish Reversal Pattern)
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The Evening Star is a bearish candlestick pattern that typically signals a potential reversal of an uptrend. It consists of three candles and is formed at the top of a price rally.
Candlestick Patterns - Bearish Reversal Patterns - Evening Star
Key components and characteristics
The key components and characteristics of an Evening Star candlestick pattern are as follows:
1. First Candle: The pattern starts with a bullish candle that occurs during an uptrend. It represents the continuation of the existing upward momentum. This candle often has a long body and indicates the dominance of buyers.
2. Second Candle: The second candle is a small-bodied candle, often a doji or a spinning top, which reflects indecision in the market. It signifies a potential shift in sentiment as the bulls and bears reach a temporary balance. This candle can be bullish or bearish and serves as a warning sign.
3. Third Candle: The final component is a bearish candle that closes below the midpoint of the first candle. This candle demonstrates that selling pressure has increased, overpowering the previous buying pressure. It confirms the Evening Star pattern and suggests a potential reversal of the uptrend.
Three Black Crows (Bullish Reversal Pattern)
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The Three Black Crows is a bearish candlestick pattern that often indicates a potential reversal in an uptrend. It consists of three consecutive long-bodied black (or red) candles with each opening within the body of the previous candle and closing near its low. The pattern suggests that sellers have taken control, driving prices lower over three consecutive trading sessions. It typically signifies a strong shift in market sentiment from bullish to bearish and can be a signal for traders to consider selling or taking profits.
Candlestick Patterns - Bearish Reversal Patterns - Three Black Crows
Key components and characteristics
The key components and characteristics of the Three Black Crows candlestick pattern are as follows:
1. Number of candles: The pattern consists of three consecutive candles.
2. Color: Each candle is typically black or red, indicating a bearish sentiment.
3. Shape: The candles are long-bodied, meaning they have relatively large real bodies compared to their wicks or shadows.
4. Opening and closing: Each candle opens within the real body of the previous candle and closes near its low. This shows sustained selling pressure throughout the trading sessions.
5. Trend reversal: The pattern often occurs after an uptrend, indicating a potential reversal in the market sentiment from bullish to bearish.
6. Volume: Ideally, the pattern is accompanied by increasing trading volume, suggesting strong selling pressure.
7. Confirmation: Traders usually wait for confirmation after spotting the Three Black Crows pattern, such as a further decline in prices or a break below a support level, before considering a bearish trade.
It's worth noting that while the Three Black Crows pattern can indicate a bearish reversal, it's essential to consider other technical indicators, market conditions, and confirmation signals to make well-informed trading decisions.
Cheers & have fun!
Candlestick Patterns - Part2Hammer (Bullish Reversal Pattern)
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The Hammer is a popular candlestick pattern that provides important information about the potential reversal of a downtrend. It is a single candlestick pattern characterized by a small body located at the top of the trading range with a long lower shadow (also known as the tail or wick). The long shadow represents a rejection of lower prices, indicating potential reversal. The upper shadow, if present, is usually very small or nonexistent. Traders may interpret the Hammer as a signal to go long or buy, considering confirmation and other technical analysis tools.
Candlestick Patterns - Bullish Reversal Patterns - Hammer
Key components and characteristics
The Hammer pattern consists of a single candlestick with the following characteristics:
1. Body: The Hammer candlestick has a small body, which represents a narrow range between the opening and closing prices. The body is typically bullish (white or green) but can also be bearish (black or red). The small body indicates that there is indecision in the market.
2. Lower shadow/wick: The most prominent feature of the Hammer is its long lower shadow, which extends below the body. The length of the lower shadow is generally at least twice the size of the body. This shadow represents the low price reached during the trading period.
3. Upper shadow/wick: The upper shadow, if present, is usually very short or nonexistent. This indicates that the bulls were able to push the price up from the lows, suggesting a potential reversal.
Inverted Hammer (Bullish Reversal Pattern)
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The Inverted Hammer is a candlestick pattern that typically forms at the bottom of a downtrend and suggests a potential reversal in the price of an asset. It consists of a small body located near the bottom of the candle, with a long upper shadow and little to no lower shadow.
The pattern indicates that sellers initially dominated the market, pushing the price lower. However, buyers stepped in, driving the price back up, resulting in the long upper shadow. The small body indicates indecision between buyers and sellers, with a slight bias towards buyers. The lack of a lower shadow suggests that buyers were able to maintain control without much resistance.
Traders interpret the Inverted Hammer as a signal that the bearish pressure may be weakening, and a bullish reversal might occur. Confirmation of the reversal typically comes with a subsequent bullish candle or a break above the high of the Inverted Hammer. Traders often look for other technical indicators or patterns to strengthen their analysis before making trading decisions based on the Inverted Hammer pattern.
Candlestick Patterns - Bullish Reversal Patterns - Inverted Hammer
Key components and characteristics
The Inverted Hammer candlestick pattern consists of a single candlestick with the following characteristics:
1. Body: The pattern has a small real body near the bottom of the candlestick. The body represents the price range between the opening and closing prices.
2. Lower shadow/wick: The Inverted Hammer typically has little to no lower shadow. The absence of a lower shadow suggests that the low price for the period is near the bottom of the candlestick body.
3. Upper shadow/wick: The Inverted Hammer has a long upper shadow, which extends above the small body. This upper shadow represents the high price reached during the trading period.
Dragonfly Doji (Bullish Reversal Pattern)
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The Dragonfly Doji is a candlestick pattern that forms when the opening price, closing price, and high price of a trading session are all equal. This pattern typically occurs at the bottom of a downtrend and suggests a potential reversal in the price direction.
Candlestick Patterns - Bullish Reversal Patterns - Dragonfly Doji
Key components and characteristics
The Dragonfly Doji candlestick pattern consists of a single candlestick with the following characteristics:
1. Body: In a Dragonfly Doji, the opening price, closing price, and high price of the trading session are all at the same level. This creates a small body at the top of the candlestick.
2. Lower shadow/wick: The candlestick has a long lower shadow, which indicates that the price fell significantly during the session but was ultimately pushed back up by buyers. The length of the lower shadow is typically at least twice the length of the body.
3. Upper shadow/wick: Unlike other candlestick patterns, the Dragonfly Doji does not have an upper shadow. This means that the high price of the session was the same as the opening and closing prices.
Bullish Engulfing (Bullish Reversal Pattern)
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The Bullish Engulfing candlestick pattern is a bullish reversal pattern that typically occurs at the end of a downtrend. It consists of two candles, a smaller bearish candle followed by a larger bullish candle. The body of the bullish candle completely engulfs the body of the bearish candle, indicating a shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish.
Candlestick Patterns - Bullish Reversal Patterns - Bullish Engulfing
Key components and characteristics
The bullush engulfing candlestick pattern consists of two key components:
1. Bearish candle: The first candle is a bearish (red or black) candlestick, indicating that sellers have been in control. It is typically smaller in size compared to the second candle.
2. Bullish candle: The second candle is a larger bullish (green or white) candlestick. Its body completely engulfs the body of the bearish candle, meaning the high and low of the bullish candle's body completely cover the range of the bearish candle.
Morning Star (Bullish Reversal Pattern)
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The Morning Star is a bullish candlestick pattern typically found on price charts. It consists of three candles and is considered a reliable indicator of a potential trend reversal from a downtrend to an uptrend.
Candlestick Patterns - Bullish Reversal Patterns - Morning Star
Key components and characteristics
The key components and characteristics of a Morning Star candlestick pattern are as follows:
1. First Candle: The first candle in the pattern is a long bearish (red or black) candlestick. It signifies a strong selling pressure and suggests that bears are in control of the market.
2. Second Candle: The second candle is a small-bodied candle that can be either bullish or bearish. It forms a gap down from the previous candle, indicating indecision or a weakening of the selling pressure.
3. Third Candle: The third candle is a long bullish (green or white) candlestick that gaps up from the second candle. It confirms the reversal as buying pressure overtakes the selling pressure. This candle suggests that bulls are gaining control and a trend reversal may be imminent.
Three White Soldiers (Bullish Reversal Pattern)
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The Three White Soldiers is a bullish candlestick pattern that often signals a reversal of a downtrend and the beginning of an uptrend. It consists of three consecutive long-bodied bullish candles with small or nonexistent wicks or shadows. Each candle opens within the previous candle's body and closes higher than the previous candle's close. The pattern indicates increasing buying pressure and suggests a strong shift in market sentiment toward the bulls. Traders often interpret this pattern as a sign of potential upward momentum and look for opportunities to enter long positions.
Candlestick Patterns - Bullish Reversal Patterns - Three White Soldiers
Key components and characteristics
The key components and characteristics of the Three White Soldiers candlestick pattern are as follows:
1. Three consecutive candles: The pattern consists of three consecutive bullish (upward) candles.
2. Long-bodied candles: Each candle in the pattern should have a relatively long body, indicating strong buying pressure. The longer the bodies, the more significant the pattern.
3. Absence of or small wicks/shadows: The candles should have minimal or no upper or lower wicks, suggesting that the buying pressure was sustained throughout the entire trading session without significant pullbacks.
4. Opening within the previous candle's body: Each candle should open within the body of the previous candle, showing a continuation of the buying pressure from one candle to the next.
5. Closing higher than the previous close: The closing price of each candle should be higher than the previous candle's close, signifying a steady rise in prices and a bullish sentiment.
6. Reversal signal: The Three White Soldiers pattern typically appears after a period of downtrend, indicating a potential reversal and the start of an uptrend.
7. Volume confirmation: Higher trading volume during the formation of the pattern adds strength to the interpretation and suggests increased buying activity.
These components collectively suggest a strong shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish, often prompting traders to anticipate further upward movement and potential buying opportunities.
To be continued.
Cheers & have fun!
Candlestick Patterns - Part1Candlestick Components
Candlestick components refer to the various elements that make up a candlestick chart, a popular tool used in technical analysis to analyze price movements in financial markets. Each candlestick represents a specific time period, such as a day, week, or hour, and provides valuable information about the price action during that period.
There are four main components of a candlestick:
1. Open: Is the opening price of the time period. It indicates the first traded price during that period.
2. Close: Is the closing price of the time period. It indicates the last traded price during that period.
3. High: Is the highest price reached during the time period is represented by the upper shadow or wick of the candlestick. It extends vertically from the top of the candle body to the high point.
4. Low: Is the lowest price reached during the time period is represented by the lower shadow or wick of the candlestick. It extends vertically from the bottom of the candle body to the low point.
The body of the candlestick is the rectangular area between the open and close prices. It is filled or colored differently to indicate whether the closing price was higher (bullish) or lower (bearish) than the opening price.
How To Read a Candlestick
Reading a candlestick involves analyzing its components and patterns to gain insights into price movements and potential market trends. Here's a step-by-step guide on how to read a candlestick:
1. Identify the trend: Start by determining the overall trend of the market, whether it's bullish (upward) or bearish (downward). This can be done by looking at the sequence of candlesticks and their general direction.
2. Understand the candlestick components: Examine the individual candlestick's open, close, high, and low prices. The open and close prices determine the body of the candlestick, while the high and low prices define the upper and lower shadows.
3. Interpret the candlestick color: Candlesticks are typically colored differently to represent bullish and bearish movements. A green or white candlestick usually indicates a bullish or positive movement, where the close price is higher than the open price. Conversely, a red or black candlestick represents a bearish or negative movement, where the close price is lower than the open price.
4. Analyze the size of the body and shadows: The size of the body and shadows can provide additional information. A long body suggests a significant price movement during the time period, while a short body indicates a relatively small price change. Longer shadows indicate greater price volatility, while shorter shadows suggest price stability.
5. Look for candlestick patterns: Candlestick patterns are specific formations created by multiple candlesticks. They can provide valuable insights into potential reversals, continuations, or indecision in the market. Examples of common candlestick patterns include doji, hammer, engulfing, and shooting star.
6. Consider the volume: Volume is an essential factor to analyze alongside candlestick patterns. Higher volume during specific candlestick formations can confirm the strength of a trend or signal potential market reversals.
7. Combine with other technical indicators: To strengthen your analysis, consider using other technical indicators like moving averages, trendlines, or oscillators. These indicators can provide further confirmation or additional insights into market conditions.
Remember that reading candlesticks is not a foolproof method, and it's crucial to consider multiple factors and employ risk management strategies when making trading or investment decisions. Additionally, learning and practicing candlestick analysis takes time and experience to develop proficiency.
To be continued.
Cheers & have fun!
USDZMW USDZMW looking forward to continuation of the down trend after the market mitigated some of the imbalances on the highs.
Markert made a bullish engulf candle signaling a good sell off probability which is currently being tested and mitigated.
Currently the Zambian economy is facing a form of uncertainty as it has not yet successfully come to an agreement to restructure its debt with its official creditors. positive news towards such an agreement will strongly confirm my analysis apart from that low up and down volatility is to be expected.
📉🌩️ Fundamental Storm Ahead! Prepare for a Bearish MoveWe can notice the formation of a bearish Gartley pattern, a reliable harmonic pattern signaling a potential reversal. Adding to the bearish sentiment, we witnessed a bearish engulfing candlestick pattern, providing further confirmation of the impending downward move. Moreover, both the oversold RSI and bearish divergence support this bearish narrative.
Now, let's identify the potential reversal zone for an optimal short entry. It's a crucial area where the bears are expected to take control. The first take profit level sits at 1.24888, representing the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement of the entire wave from point A to point D. As the downtrend continues, our target lies at 1.24100, which aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level.
If the market conditions allow, we might witness an even deeper correction towards our second target, which coincides with the lower points of the harmonic pattern. This presents an intriguing opportunity to capture additional profits.
When considering the fundamental aspect, it's essential to note that the Federal Reserve has recently increased interest rates. This move has the potential to boost the value of the US dollar. If the dollar appreciates as expected, it could adversely impact GBPUSD pairs, leading to a substantial correction.
I'd strongly suggest entering a short position from here
Dont forget to press the like button if you think this insight was helpful ! 🐻📉💪
EURUSD before CPIThe first important news of the week coming up today.
We continue to look at the H1 trend reversal and buying opportunities.
On confirmation after the news and a good ratio, we will look for an entry with an initial target of 1.0940.
It is still possible to see stop hunting below the previous low of 1.0730.
EURUSD just make another higher high. BUY!EURUSD retraced to the 38.2 and formed a morning star. Price then broke through a strong resistance. The 1H is looking to re-test support. I will be looking for indecision and reversal candlesticks on top of the daily support or the prior high which is near the low & 38.2%.
All Time Support!!The USDCAD is on the Key Support Level on the Weekly Chart, Daily Chart, 4hourly chart and 1-hourly chart. This is unique because if you had used our definition of breaking of structure, you would have realised that the support wasn't broken even when the market had come down for 92pips on the previous low but failed to close below it.
The support level that I'm waiting for a buying opportunity is 1.3335. All I need is an MC confirmation
Expansion PatternsAUDCAD has a unique setup that I'd not seen before. We have shark patterns from the Weekly chart to the 1-hourly chart.
This is a clear sign of sideway increase volatility, a situation I DID NOT trade when I started trading 18years ago, not until I found the Shark Pattern trading strategy 12years ago.
I'm more comfortable waiting for the Shark Pattern form up on the 1-hourly chart at 0.8902. Not only because it was the lowest timeframe, which means lesser initial risk on the trade and the completion of the Shark Pattern lands on the Key Support level on the 1-hourly chart.
BluetonaFX - 05/06/2023 AUDUSD RANGE SETUP UPDATEHi Traders!
PLEASE SEE LINK TO ORIGINAL IDEA BELOW.
Our AUDUSD range zone is working perfectly. Since we had the pin bar morning star reversal candle to get back inside the range zone, the bullish momentum looks to be heading to the range resistance at 0.68183. This was a great setup as the potential reward was far greater than the risk.
We will continue to see if there is enough momentum to carry upwards to the resistance of the range zone.
Please do not forget to like, comment and follow.
Thank you for your support.
BluetonaFX
New sales on EURUSDYesterday, EURUSD rose back up to the resistance zone and bounced back.
This allows us to look at new sales opportunities today.
The target remains a test of the 1.0640 bottom.
A scenario breaks down on a breakout of the previous high.
With a better ratio right now is the GBPUSD selling opportunity.
Counter-Trend Trading opportunityLow Risk, Good Return Trade
A Bearish Shark Pattern has shown up on the AUDUSD 4-hourly chart. As it is not the best trading setup but the second target produces a healthy Profit Factor of 2.
I've shorted the Shark Pattern as it coincides with the 1-hourly chart 3 drive formula.
This is possible because we use our in-house A.P.E framework and this is known as the combo trade.
EURUSD risk reductionYesterday we looked at EURUSD selling opportunity that is currently developing.
At these levels, we are not looking for new entries, but de-risking already active sales.
Risk is lowered by moving the stop to entry levels or by partially closing.
Expectations remain for EURUSD to head for a test of 1.0640 as we watch for an end of the move.
Next week there is a large number of important news that will cause great fluctuations.
Catching Falling Knife Series= "IZMO"In this Knowledge Nugget, I have explained logic behind my own trade in "IZMO" which rallied 50% + from its swing low in just days. I am found of entering such stocks for one round of buying at support level with my own set up logic.
This is for educational purpose & please do not copy this trade without understanding risk & position sizing.
BluetonaFX - AUDUSD RANGE SETUPHi Traders!,
We are back inside the range zone on AUDUSD. After multiple breaks of the range zone, we have not continued with the direction of the break, which tells us that both buyers and sellers are currently undecided long term as to where to go from this area.
We have highlighted the range zone on the chart. Resistance to the zone is at 0.68183 and support is at 0.65664.
From analysing the price action on the chart, we recently had a pin bar morning star candle after a range zone break at the 0.64583 level. The pin bar morning star is a strong reversal candle pattern, therefore a push to the upside of the range may be on the cards here.
As long as we are above 0.65664 there are opportunities for long positions and with a look to exit near the top at 0.68183. To the downside, to look for a continuation, we must break and close below the pin bar morning star candle at 0.64583.
We will keep an eye on this in the next few days and will give you a progress update.
Please do not forget to like, comment and follow.
Thank you for your support.
BluetonaFX