EURNZDEURNZD has been examined in different dimensions:
1- Strong supply and demand levels that I identify with my own indicator and system.
2- The structure of recently formed waves
3- Current market momentum
4- The structure of classical and price patterns
In this idea, I identified the direction of the market in different ways and in the second step, I analyzed the potential of continuation or reversal. Usually, paying attention to the trend and strength of the trend can greatly increase the accuracy of the analysis.
In general, I tried to describe the continuation of the movement in the simplest possible way in the diagram.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is a personal opinion and you are responsible for any trading decisions.
Candlestickpattern
Aggressive Shorting Opportunity within the Sell ZoneAn aggressive shorting opportunity present itself within the sell zone.
Shorting is consider trend trading in this trading setup, so why does it consider as aggressive?
That is because the market is now traded on the tip of the box. It presents the Best Profit Factor(Reward:Risk) but in the most risky setup(very close in breaking the Sell Zone).
One can choose to stay out of the trade.
EURUSD heading towards 1,0585Today will be announced FOMC minutes. This news may lead to bigger fluctuations.
Yesterday EURUSD failed to reach the sell zone and pulled back from lower values.
We expect bearish move to continue towards 1,0585, and in case of breakout to reach 1,0515.
Enormous fluctuations are possible during the news , that’s why lower your risk.
SPX: Bullish Rejection Structure.• The SPX is doing a bearish reversal structure, as it lost our two main support levels: The 21 ema and the 4,060;
• Last Friday it tried to react, as it did a Dragonfly Doji, just above the 21 ema – However, today’s reaction rejects this bullish attempt completely;
• Now it seems the SPX is seeking the next support, at 4,015;
• Since the index lost the 21 ema, and it did a lower high/low, the mid-term bias is bearish again. Only a very good bullish pattern, followed by a bullish reversal structure would put an end to this bearish sentiment;
• So far, there’s no such sign, but let’s keep our eyes open around the 4,015 area. I’ll keep you updated on this.
Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analyses!
Sell zone at EURUSD No change in expectations since yesterday.
The more likely direction remains to the downside, as we will look for sales on reaching and pushing back from the zone.
There are no grounds for buys next to the zone!
On a rise and pushback, look for a sell entry with a stop above 1.0805.
The goal is to reach and break 1.0620!
Bitcoin price compressionHi Guys.
Im in 1H timeframe and i think BTC price compressed between two line i drawn on my chart.
Also we can see a weak Divergence between RSI and Price action too.
This will lead the price to the lower line and despite there is a strong support line there , in 24000
the price will bouce back and go approch upper line.
So we can take 2 trades here:
1- Now with SL upper than latest minor peak
2- after reaching lower line and the bounce verified.
The price action around 24000 was very strong because you see two long shadowed candle in this area historically.
After this price compression ends , we shuold analysis again to see what will happen.
But in some extent , I think we break this Triangle upward and go toward 26000 target.
Hope you enjoy , thats just my idea NOT a trading Advice.
Trade on your own strategy but take ideas from others.
THANK YOU ALL
New sell zone on EURUSD Last Friday EURUSD reached 1,0611 and pullback from the level.
The rise may continue to 1,0730, where we will be looking for sell opportunities again.
An entry is made only after pullback from the zone.
The target is test and breakout of the last week’s low.
The scenario breaks down on moving above 1,0805.
Closing sales on EURUSD Yesterday we set a new sell zone on EURUSD. We saw a nice pushback from it and a drop of almost 100 pips.
The first level of the Fibonacci extension has already been reached and all positions should be reduced risk!
Support at 1.0660 will now act as resistance and we may see another drop to 1.0577.
When these levels are reached, it is advisable to partially or completely close sales.
Lower values are only sought by manually moving the stop!
GBPJPY 4 Hr Analysis: Mid-Week UpdateHey guys :)
So, after seeing some bullish movement this week, we are now waiting for price to retrace a bit deeper to that fib below and then show us what it wants to do from there.
As per my analysis, I would like to see price retrace anywhere between 159.500 and 158.500 within the fib drawn above. It may not even retrace much further at all and just continue bullish from there. But I would like to see it pull back further into the fib if I am going to consider taking a trade.
There are obviously many pathway options that price may take but these are just the main 2 that I would personally like to see at the moment. If price does not give me either of these I will Of course readjust and plan accordingly. :)
Option 1:
If price pushes higher into the fib and removes liquidity from the previous highs, then it is likely that price is just enticing and accumulating buyers before it drops and continues bearish. I would like to price push higher to about 162.500 or 163.500 before reversing as that will also satisfy and fill the imbalance to our left - But Of course it doesn't have to.
Buyers will see it break the previous highs and think that price has broken Market Structure and is continuing bullish causing them to place buys left, right and center.
Little do they know; price is only retracing further into the Higher Timeframe Bearish Fib, removing liquidity, and in fact, NOT breaking Market Structure. Basically, just performing the good old 'strike and reverse'.
Option 2:
Price will just retrace around the same area (162.500 or 163.500) instead of reversing and continue bullish for the time being.
Again, these are not verbatim. As price changes and moves as it wants, I will react accordingly and make the corrections needed for my analysis and projections. :)
Remember, it is not about being right or wrong. I know I always say this - but there is absolutely nothing wrong with being inaccurate in your analysis.
The problem lies with those who can't ACCEPT being wrong and they try to hold on to their analysis regardless knowing that price is going against them.
People think it's embarrassing to be 'wrong'. What's embarrassing is watching your stop loss being hit all in the name of your family, friends and Neighbours thinking you are right.
Ego will get you absolutely nowhere in these markets and you WILL be humbled and fast!
I can guarantee that there is nobody out there who is 100% right 100% of the time - And if there is, it's from YEARS of wins, losses, trials and error.
Adaptation is the key to survival if you want success in this job.
FIBONACCI 🙌the sing retest is done and it is reversing at the GOLDEN RATIO level {0.618}, next is engulfing bullish candlestick, my moving average is crossed to the bullish side while moving to break my 200SMA on 4HT. we can draw a Fib extension to get your TP levels, i expect it to break the previous sing high.
TSLA: Bear Trap.• The rally persists on TSLA, and today, it almost rejected completely last week’s Evening Doji Star candlestick pattern;
• In order to reject this bearish pattern / top sign, TSLA has to break $214 – today it hit $213.98 - and in this case, TSLA would trigger a Bear Trap (a complete rejection of the previous bearish sign after triggering it);
• We are almost there, and TSLA still could break it – but it must not take too long, otherwise, the market may see a possible Double Top in this area;
• What could make TSLA correct from here? If it loses the purple trend line seen in the 1h chart. Only then the bullish bias will get weaker;
• So far, there’s top sign, and no clear bearish structure on TSLA, but I’ll keep you updated on this.
Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analyses!
📊 Candlestick CheatsheetCandlestick charts are commonly used in trading to analyze market trends and make trading decisions. Candlesticks can be categorized as bullish or bearish, depending on whether the price has increased or decreased over a given period.
It is important to note that while candlestick patterns can be useful in predicting market movements, they should not be used in isolation, and other indicators and analysis should also be considered. It is also important to have a clear understanding of the market and its underlying fundamentals before making any trading decisions.
🔹 Rails
The rails pattern is a two-candlestick pattern that typically occurs during a downtrend. The first candle is a long red candle, followed by a long green candle that opens below the previous day's close but closes above it, creating a rail-like pattern.
🔹 Three White Soldiers
The three white soldiers pattern is a bullish pattern that consists of three consecutive long green candles with small or no wicks. It typically occurs after a downtrend and suggests a reversal in the market's direction.
🔹 Three Black Crows
The three black crows pattern is a bearish pattern that consists of three consecutive long red candles with small or no wicks. It typically occurs after an uptrend and suggests a reversal in the market's direction.
🔹 Mat Hold
The mat hold pattern is a five-candlestick pattern that occurs during a bullish trend. It consists of a long green candle, followed by three small candles with lower highs and higher lows, and ending with another long green candle.
🔹 Pinbar
The pinbar pattern is a single candlestick pattern that has a long tail or wick and a small body. The tail should be at least two times the length of the body. The pattern suggests a reversal in the market's direction.
🔹 Engulfing
The engulfing pattern is a two-candlestick pattern that occurs when the second candle's body completely engulfs the previous candle's body. A bullish engulfing pattern occurs during a downtrend and suggests a reversal in the market's direction, while a bearish engulfing pattern occurs during an uptrend and suggests a reversal in the market's direction.
🔹 Morning Star
The morning star pattern is a three-candlestick pattern that typically occurs after a downtrend. It consists of a long red candle, a small candle, and a long green candle, with the small candle gapping down from the previous day's close. The pattern suggests a reversal in the market's direction.
🔹 Evening Star
The evening star pattern is the opposite of the morning star pattern and typically occurs after an uptrend. It consists of a long green candle, a small candle, and a long red candle, with the small candle gapping up from the previous day's close. The pattern suggests a reversal in the market's direction.
👤 @algobuddy
📅 Daily Ideas about market update, psychology & indicators
❤️ If you appreciate our work, please like, comment and follow ❤️
USDCHF: A WEAKER SWISS FRANC?We had a huge impulse on the monthly chart and this medium/longer term move is the retracement of that impulse.
So in the coming week(s) we want to see the Swiss Franc get weaker against the dollar.
Even on the technical side, we see price break above the counter trendline and the weekly resistance. So for those who swing trade, this setup is something you'd wanna look at.
Stay strapped and control risk 🙏🏼📈
EURUSD declines continue Yesterday we saw big swings during the news with no clear direction.
The movement before and after the news suggests that the downward movement will continue.
The support levels we expect remain at 1.0622 and 1.0563!
A break above 1.0805 will indicate that the downtrend has ended and a reversal is coming.
TSLA: About to Continue the Bullish Rally.• Since TSLA did its top sign last week, it lost the $200 support and it has been correcting;
• For now, there’s no meaningful bullish reaction indicating that this pullback is over;
• In order to completely reject last week’s top sign (Evening Star Doji), TSLA must break $214, the Star’s high;
• The next technical support is at $182, and TSLA still could get there, if we don’t see a clear bullish reaction first;
• The $200, our previous support, is a possible resistance now. If TSLA breaks it this week, we might see a promising bullish reaction ahead;
• I’ll keep you updated on this.
Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analyses!
📍 The 5 Step Process1️⃣ MARKET STRUCTURE
The market structure has a significant impact on the formation of prices, dissemination of information, and execution of transactions. In the context of stock trading, market structure can also refer to the pattern of price movements in a downtrend, characterized by lower highs and lower lows. This pattern indicates that prices are consistently decreasing over time and that selling pressure is outweighing buying pressure. The market structure in a downtrend can provide important information to traders and investors about the overall sentiment in the market and can inform their decision-making process.
2️⃣ PSYCHOLOGICAL LEVEL
A psychological price level in trading refers to a price point that is believed to have a significant impact on market participants' behavior and decision making. These price levels are usually round numbers, such as $50 or $100, or important milestones, such as all-time highs or lows, and are often used as reference points in trading. Market participants often view psychological price levels as significant barriers that need to be breached or defended in order to signal a change in market sentiment.
3️⃣ FIBONACCI
Fibonacci retracement is a technical analysis tool used in stock trading to identify potential levels of support and resistance. It is based on the idea that prices will tend to retrace a predictable portion of a move, after which they will continue to move in the original direction. The tool is used by drawing a trendline between two extreme points and then dividing the vertical distance by the key Fibonacci ratios of 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8% and 100%.
4️⃣ TRENDLINE
A trendline in trading is a straight line drawn on a price chart to identify a current trend in the market. The trendline is drawn by connecting two or more price points and is used to identify the direction of the trend, either up, down, or sideways. If the trendline is sloping upwards, it is considered an uptrend, and if it is sloping downwards, it is considered a downtrend.
5️⃣ CANDLESTICK
A twizzer bottom is formed when a long green candle is followed by a red candle that closes below the midpoint of the first candle. This pattern indicates that the buying pressure that was present in the first candle is being replaced by selling pressure, and suggests a potential reversal from an uptrend to a downtrend. It's important to note that a twizzer candlestick pattern is just one piece of information and should not be relied upon solely when making trading decisions. It is often used in conjunction with other technical analysis tools and indicators to form a more comprehensive view of market conditions.
👤 @AlgoBuddy
📅 Daily Ideas about market update, psychology & indicators
❤️ If you appreciate our work, please like, comment and follow ❤️
Important USD news (CPI) Important USD news will be published today at 15:30!
By default, they cause large fluctuations.
All active positions must be reduced risk.
New positions are wanted after the news!
The more likely direction remains for the downside to continue towards 1.0620 and 1.0565.
This scenario breaks down on a closing above 1.0790.
GBPCHF: pretty interesting patternHi guys, yesterday while looking at my charts I noticed quite an interesting GBPCHF model. In the chart above, you can see the pattern that I have drawn, how after every big and sharp drop, there is a consolidation for about 3 touches and then the price makes an ascent to the existing trendline made by the recent highs.
I am not saying here that you should go long now and wait 1-2 months for it to reach TP, but you may consider entering multiple long positions with shorter TPs.
You can take this as the general trend direction for the near future of GBPCHF.
I personally will do just that and if this pattern repeats I will milk quite a lot out of GBPCHF for the next 1-2 months.
TSLA: Did a Top Signal.• TSLA is doing a top sign, and it is showing some weakness;
• Since TSLA is losing the $200, and it did a top sign, the next technical stop is the $182;
• The last 3 candlesticks form what appears to be an Evening Doji Star, which according to Bulkowski’s studies, works as a bearish reversal 71% of the time;
• Therefore, a correction wouldn’t be surprising, especially when we realize how far TSLA is from its 21 ema right now. The mid-term bias is still bullish, despite the possible correction. In this scenario, any bullish reaction above a clear support (the $182, or even the 21 ema) would be just an opportunity to buy, as the bias would still be bullish, and the Risk/Reward Ratio would be very good;
• I’ll keep you updated every day on this.
Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analyses!
EURUSD declines continues EURUSD's downtrend continues and we already have a breakout of the previous low.
This means that all sales from last week should now be with low risk.
The next support levels are 1.0622 and 1.0563.
Important news is coming tomorrow, which will cause great fluctuations.
Therefore, one should not look for new high-risk positions, but wait for confirmation!