Classic Support and Resistance with Harmonic Pattern on USDCADUSDCAD has a classic support and resistance line on the 1-hourly chart. Here are two approaches depending on your trading style.
Classic Support and Resistance Levels:
Shorting Opportunity:
- Resistance Level: 1.3691
- Strategy: Look for a shorting opportunity at this resistance level.
- Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss just above the resistance.
- Target: Aim for the support level at 1.3641 or below.
Buying Opportunity:
- Support Level: 1.3641
- Strategy: Look for a buying opportunity at this support level.
- Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss just below the support.
- Target: Aim for the resistance level at 1.3691 or higher.
Harmonic Pattern:
- Bullish Shark Pattern:
- Completion Price: 1.3637
- Strategy: Wait for the Bullish Shark Pattern to complete at 1.3637.
- Magic Candle Pattern Confirmation: Look for a Magic Candle Pattern confirmation to enter a buying position.
- Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss just below the Bullish Shark completion level.
- Target: Aim for higher resistance levels based on the pattern projection.
Key Points:
- Classic S&R Levels: Simple and effective strategy using clear support and resistance levels.
- Harmonic Pattern: Adds an additional layer of confirmation for more precise entries.
- Risk Management: Ensure proper stop-loss placement to manage risk effectively.
- Confirmation: Always wait for confirmation signals before entering trades.
Whether you prefer classic support and resistance or harmonic patterns, these setups provide clear entry and exit points. What’s your take on USDCAD? Do you have other strategies that work for you? Share your thoughts and strategies below!
Candlestickpattern
Simple Strategies for NZDUSDA complicated trading strategy doesn't guarantee profits. Sometimes, a simple trading strategy works best. Here are two straightforward approaches I have for the NZDUSD trade.
Strategy:
1. Retest of Resistance at 0.6096:
- Setup: Watch for a retest of the resistance level at 0.6096.
- Entry: Enter a short position on confirmation of resistance holding.
- Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss just above the resistance level.
- Target: Aim for key support levels below for potential profit.
2. Retest of the Tip of the Bearish Channel:
- Setup: Look for a retest at the tip of the bearish channel.
- Entry: Enter a short position if the price respects the channel boundary.
- Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss just above the bearish channel.
- Target: Aim for the lower boundary of the channel or key support levels below.
Key Points:
- Simplicity: Simple strategies can be effective and easier to manage.
- Risk Management: Ensure proper stop-loss placement to manage risk effectively.
- Confirmation: Always wait for confirmation of the levels holding before entering trades.
Sometimes, simplicity is the key to effective trading. What’s your take on NZDUSD?
Do you have any other straightforward strategies that work for you?
Share your thoughts and strategies below!
GBPUSD Sideways Consolidation and Potential Breakout MovesGBPUSD is currently in a sideways consolidation on the 1-hourly chart, presenting a potential for an expansion move or breakout in the coming week. Should the market break out to the upside, there are two potential shorting opportunities to consider.
Analysis:
- Sideways Consolidation: GBPUSD is in a range-bound phase on the 1-hourly chart.
- Potential Breakout: Watch for an expansion move.
Shorting Opportunities:
Traditional Resistance Level:
- Level: 1.2662
Strategy: Look for Magic Candle Confirmation around this resistance level to enter a short position.
Bearish Gartley Pattern:
- Completion Level: 1.2677
- Strategy: Monitor for the Bearish Gartley pattern completion and confirm with bearish signals to enter a short position.
Strategy:
- Monitor Breakout: Pay close attention to the price action for a breakout, should the market breakout to the upside, there are 2 resistance level you have to take note.
Shorting Levels:
- 1.2662: Traditional resistance level.
- 1.2677: Bearish Gartley pattern completion.
- Confirmation: Ensure to look for confirmation signals (such as bearish candlestick patterns or other technical indicators) before entering a short position.
- Risk Management: Use appropriate stop-loss levels to manage risk, and not risking more than 1% of your equity.
- Stay alert and be ready to act on these potential setups. What’s your take on GBPUSD?
Do you see any other potential setups or insights? Share your thoughts and strategies below!
Trading Idea: Counter-Trend Trading Opportunities on EURUSDEURUSD has an overall bearish trend. At this point, many counter-trend traders, including myself, are looking for counter-trend trading opportunities. We've had some luck in this regard.
Analysis:
Daily Chart:
- Bullish Shark Pattern: Confirmation is formed, suggesting potential for a counter-trend move.
4-Hourly Chart:
- Falling Wedge Trading Setup: Provides a setup to go long and take advantage of the bullish pattern on the daily chart.
Strategy:
- Bullish Shark Pattern: Use this confirmation on the daily chart to inform your decision.
- 4-Hourly Chart Long Entry: Look for entry points based on the Falling Wedge setup.
- Entry: On breakout above the wedge.
- Stop-Loss: Below the recent swing low within the wedge.
- Target: Aim for key resistance levels that align with the daily chart's bullish shark pattern projections.
Key Points:
- Counter-Trend Trading: Recognize the overall bearish trend but exploit the temporary bullish setup.
- Pattern Confirmation: Use pattern confirmations on higher timeframes to guide entries on lower timeframes.
- Risk Management: Ensure proper stop-loss placement to manage risk effectively.
What’s your take on EURUSD? Do you see any additional opportunities or setups? Share your thoughts and strategies below!
MU: A Dangerous Inflection Point! (D&W charts).Daily Chart:
On the daily chart, MU is trading within an ascending channel, a bullish indicator suggesting an uptrend continuation. The recent price action has tested the lower boundary of this channel, around 133.30, a critical support level that was a previous resistance, as evidenced by the red arrows – another example of the Principle of Polarity. The price rebounded from this support, highlighting its significance.
A sustained move above this level could push the stock higher within the channel, potentially targeting the recent highs around 157.41. The only thing missing is a clear bottom signal (there isn't any so far). However, a break below 133.30 could signal a potential shift in trend, leading to a deeper correction in the weekly chart.
Weekly Chart:
In the weekly chart, a shooting star pattern is observed, a bearish reversal signal that often appears at the top of an uptrend. This pattern indicates a potential top, especially if followed by a bearish confirmation in the subsequent weeks.
The current weekly close below the low of the shooting star reinforces the possibility of a correction (however, this week isn’t over yet). If the price continues to decline, the next significant support level to watch is the 21-week EMA, which has previously acted as a dynamic support.
Conclusion:
Integrating both time frames, MU is at a crucial juncture. The daily ascending channel suggests a bullish bias, but the weekly shooting star pattern warns of a potential correction.
If the price holds above the key support of 133.30 on the daily chart, it could resume its upward trajectory within the channel. However, failure to maintain this level might lead to further downside, aligning with the bearish implications of the weekly shooting star.
Fow now, we should monitor these levels closely to gauge the stock's next move, balancing the bullish potential of the ascending channel with the caution warranted by the shooting star pattern.
For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions.
Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation.
“To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore
All the best,
Nathan.
Trading Idea: Classic Support and Resistance vs. Harmonic PatterSometimes, the classic Support and Resistance trade is more effective than Harmonic Patterns. It may seem simple, but trust me, it isn't. First, you have to plot it the right way, and even then, different analyses will view the trend differently.
For example, I’ve recently got into shorting USDCAD.
Key Points:
- Support and Resistance: Often more reliable than Harmonic Patterns if plotted correctly.
- Different Perspectives: Proper plotting can lead to varied interpretations of the trend.
- Current Trade: Shorting USDCAD based on my analysis.
Strategy:
- Plan Your Trade: Always plan your trade meticulously and do not follow anyone blindly.
My Entries:
Shorted USDCAD: 1.3692(13)
ISL: 1.3740(-48)
TP1: 1.3666(+26)0.54
TP2: 1.3640(52)1.08
Remember, effective trading requires careful analysis and a well-thought-out strategy. What’s your take on the effectiveness of Support and Resistance trades compared to Harmonic Patterns? Share your thoughts and strategies in the comments!
Buyback Patterns for Swing TradingNASDAQ:AMGN shows a buyback run followed by a sell day that was instigated by market makers as buyers quickly disappeared. Remember that corporate buybacks are done by bank floor traders to add stock to their inventory so they won't take profits at the peak of the run; those are other market participants, such as market makers.
NYSE:KO is another example of a buyback run and how price moves back down after the professionals conclude their buybacks. The buybacks were announced in May this year so this stock has just started its share repurchase program.
NVDA: Pullback Ahead?Hourly Chart: Key Support and Previous Top
The hourly chart for NVDA emphasizes the significance of the support level at 125.59. This level was a previous top, and now it is acting as a support, following the Principle of Polarity in Technical Analysis. The chart shows that the previous top, which is now support, has been tested a few times, reinforcing its critical role.
Daily Chart: Bearish Engulfing Pattern
On the daily chart, a bearish engulfing pattern is evident, signaling a potential correction of the uptrend. This pattern forms when a smaller white candlestick is completely engulfed by a larger black candlestick, indicating a shift in market sentiment from bullish to bearish. This pattern is often a precursor to further downside movement. The red line marks the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at 115.82, which was a previous resistance seen on the 1H chart as well, serves as an additional support level.
Conclusion
The NVDA charts provide a mixed outlook. The double support at 115.89 on the hourly/daily charts is critical, while the bearish engulfing pattern on the daily chart suggests a potential pullback ahead. For now, we should keep a close eye on the 125.59 support level. A hold above this level could indicate a buying opportunity, while a break below could signal further downside to the 115 area.
Keep in mind that the trend is still bullish and pullbacks would be buying opportunities as the price approaches its support levels, when the R/R ratio is optimized.
For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions.
Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation.
“To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore
All the best,
Nathan.
Trading Idea: GBPJPY Buying Opportunity and Bullish OutlookIf you're looking for a buying opportunity on GBPJPY, focus on the double bottom retest zone between 199.62 and 199.37. Overall, I maintain a bullish outlook on GBPJPY.
Key Levels:
- Double Bottom Retest Zone : 199.62 to 199.37
Strategy:
- Buying Opportunity : Look for entry points within the double bottom retest zone between 199.62 and 199.37.
- Bullish Outlook : Given the overall bullish sentiment, consider holding long positions for potential gains.
Stay cautious and trade wisely. What’s your trade plan for GBPJPY? Share your thoughts in the comments!
GBPUSD Sideways Consolidation with Potential Upside BreakoutTimeframe : Weekly and 4-Hourly Charts
Predicted Move : Potential Upside Breakout
Analysis :
On the weekly chart, GBPUSD is currently in a sideways consolidation phase. Although the pair is near the top of this range, there seems to be a tendency for the market to break towards the upside. This observation is based on my 18 years of trading experience and intuition.
Key Points :
- Sideways Consolidation : GBPUSD is trading within a defined range on the weekly chart.
- Near Top of Range : Price is approaching the upper boundary of the consolidation.
- Potential Upside Breakout : Market tendencies suggest a possible break to the upside.
- Trading Experience : This analysis is supported by my 18 years of trading experience and gut feeling.
Strategy:
- Retest and Buying Opportunity : If you share my perspective, I'm looking for a retest within the buy zone on the 4-hourly chart at 1.2666 for a buying opportunity.
- Understanding the Buy Zone : It may seem like the buy zone has been broken, but with professional chart reading, it's evident it hasn't.
Note: This analysis is based on my personal trading experience and should not be followed blindly. Always conduct your own research and analysis before making any trading decisions.
Stay cautious and trade wisely!
EURUSD Sideways Consolidation with Key Levels for TradingTimeframe : Weekly and 1-Hourly Charts
Predicted Move: Sideways Consolidation with Specific Levels for Trading Opportunities
Analysis :
On the weekly chart, EURUSD is in a sideways consolidation phase and is currently at the bottom of this range. For precise entry points, I'll be closely monitoring the 1-hourly chart.
Key Points:
- Sideways Consolidation : EURUSD is consolidating within a defined range on the weekly chart.
- Bottom of Range : Price is at the lower boundary of the consolidation, suggesting potential buying opportunities.
Key Levels on 1-Hourly Chart:
- Shorting Opportunity : 1.0739 is my preferred level for considering short positions.
- Buying Opportunity : 1.0668 is my preferred level for considering long positions.
Strategy:
- Monitor Key Levels : Watch the price action around 1.0739 for shorting and 1.0668 for buying opportunities.
- Confirmation : Look for confirmation signals on the 1-hourly chart before entering trades.
Discussion:
Potential for Parity: The question of whether EURUSD might hit parity again is intriguing. While the current consolidation phase doesn't indicate an immediate move to parity, significant macroeconomic events or shifts in market sentiment could drive the pair towards parity. It’s essential to stay updated on fundamental factors and market news that could impact EURUSD.
Note: This analysis is based on my trading experience. Always conduct your own research and analysis before making any trading decisions.
What’s your take on EURUSD? Do you see the potential for it to hit parity again? Share your thoughts!
EURUSD Bearish Trend and Bearish Bat Pattern CompletionEURUSD Bearish Trend and Bearish Bat Pattern Completion
Instrument: EUR/USD
Timeframe: 1-Hourly Chart
Current Direction: Bearish
Analysis:
EUR/USD is currently exhibiting a bearish trend. While the impulse to short immediately is strong, my preferred entry level is at 169.54. This price point aligns with the completion of a bearish bat pattern on the 1-hourly chart.
Key Points:
- Bearish Trend: The overall trend for EUR/USD is downwards.
- Bearish Bat Pattern: Completion level at 169.54, which offers a high-probability short setup.
- Entry Level: 169.54
- Chart Pattern: Bearish Bat Pattern
- Timeframe: 1-Hourly Chart
Strategy:
- Wait for Price to Reach 169.54: Monitor the price action and wait for it to approach the 169.54 level.
- Confirmation: Look for bearish confirmation signals around this level to enter a short position.
Stay tuned for updates and trade wisely!
Daily Timeframe suggests Bearish Price ActionWe are currently inside a 12$ Range on Crude Oil on the monthly timeframe. Support being 71.32 and resistance being 83.22. After two weeks of trading in June, Oil is up roughly 2/3 of 1 Percent. The First week being quite bearish but which was corrected, plus an additional some to the upside on the second week. Price came awfully close to the weekly resistance level ( about 25 cents) on Wednesday but coincided with US weekly Inventories and dropped on a higher than forecasted number. Weekly Bearish Target for Crude this week I have 75.36 Weekly support level. Weekly Long target for crude this week I have 79.58 Weekly resistance Level. What's interesting is that after the initial climb on last Monday, Crude simply consolidated for the rest of the week. It actually printed 3 Daily candles that had a larger top wick than the body of the candle. My Bias is bearish to kick off the new trading week and short term targets are 77.30 for the upcoming session.
Crude Oil peaks on OverSupply of Commercial Held Barrels?Hello Traders.. Today Crude Oil went up and up and up and was beginning to resemble a small cap crypto.. this was until US Inventories data release showed an oversupply of 2/3 items. The number of barrels held by Commerical firms was forecasted to decrease by -1.2 million barrels in this weeks readings. Maybe this is why we saw crude hiking up and up (+1.15$) throughout Asian session and London session. The Actual reading, released 30 minutes prior to London close, showed an increase in the number of barrels held by commercial firms. 3.7M is the number. This increase is signnifcant , especially since the last 4 releases have been forecasted to show a decrease in the number of barrels held . With an oversupply, price naturally dropped , abiding to the laws of supply and demand. In our previous forecast we were anticipating a retest of 77.8 and consequential increase. We indeed observed this after price dropped dramatically. We saw 77.8 1Hr Zone hold firm. The Monthly, Weekly and Daily timeframes are still screaming buys and I'm still thinking there is some momentum bullish in the market. These are the prices that I like for scalping in the upcoming sessions. 78.80 1hr zone, 77.8 1hr zone. 77.30 is target for sells for upcmoming session while 79.25 is the target for longs in the upcoming sessions.
Monday/Tuesday Bullish.. Continuation on Wednesday? Hello Traders. The Monthly candle has flipped bullish and the weekly candle is pushing for new highs as the 3rd Asian session of the week kicks off here. Monday was super bullish and today's tuesday candle closed bullish after a late NY bullish push. We observed (4) 4hr candles print bearish consecutively only to be overshadowed by a large bullish candle that began it's ascent at around London close today. The Market is bullish and so continuing to look for longs up to the next 4hr level (79.00) is a scenario for the next session. Another scenario is we push to the 78.50 4hr level and then rollover towards (77.30) 4hr level. The market totally changed behavior after dipping into 73 Weekly Level. The last crude oil inventories, which was forecasted to see a decrease by 2.1m barrels, instead saw an increase and this lined up with a low in the market . The news was About 1.13$ off the low and has been a catalyst for this bullish momentum in the last few days. Interest rates, CPI and Inventories tomorrow will surely send the markets into an uproar so careful trading ahead.
MAX INDIA - Excellent Daily VCP Poised for a minimum 20% upmove.1) The stock is in uptrend in all major timeframes.
2) The stock is in weekly consolidation since JAN 2024 - 4 Months old weekly consolidation.
3) The stock shows strong volatility contraction in Daily, looks poised for breakout.
4) Weekly,Daily,4H & 75 min RSI Intact - Momentum in play.
Entry around 230, Best - Between 215-220.
SL - 214 Daily closing basis.
Target - 330.
Follow me on my channel for regular updates.
Bitcoin PATTERN - BTC Roadmap to NEW ATHBINANCE:BTCUSDT
👉 Trendline Analysis: BTC has been consolidating directly underneath the resistance zone - BULLISH
👉 Candlestick Analysis: Three white soldiers in the 2W timeframe - BULLISH
👉 Technical Indicator Analysis : Price has cooled down after being "Extremely Overbought", moving averages holds - BULLISH
Technical Indicator Monthly Timeframe:
Technical Indicator Weekly Timeframe:
There is really only one concerning matter, and that is from a potential near term scenario:
❗ Pattern Analysis: Potential for M-Pattern to form, medium risk: BEARISH
The candle closes of the next two weeks are crucial in determining how this pattern will play out.
For further reading, here's the initial Elliot Wave analysis on BTC:
___________________________
AUDCAD Analysis: Focus on Bullish Shark PatternIf you're looking at AUDCAD, the 4-hourly chart setup might seem tempting for a buying opportunity. However, I prefer the 1-hourly chart, specifically the Bullish Shark Pattern.
1-Hourly Chart:
- Key Level : Ensure an MCC appears at 0.9041 before entering a buying opportunity.
What's your trade plan for AUDCAD? Comment down below and share your thoughts!
Happy trading!
AUDUSD Analysis: Shorting Opportunities Amid RetracementFor those eyeing AUDUSD, here's my take:
While some might be tempted to buy, anticipating a retracement (UP) due to the recent price action, I'm not focused on buying opportunities. Instead, I have more strategic shorting setups in mind.
4-Hourly Chart:
- Resistance Levels : Waiting for a retest at 0.6638 or a retest of the channel for shorting opportunities.
1-Hourly Chart:
- Resistance Levels : 0.6595, 0.6613, and 0.6636.
- Preferred Entry : 0.6636 is my ideal shorting price, as it aligns with the key resistance level .
What's your trade plan for AUDUSD? Comment down below and share your insights!
Happy trading!
GBPUSD Analysis: Support and Resistance SetupIf you’re into support and resistance trading, GBPUSD might be worth a closer look.
1-Hourly Chart:
- Support Level: 1.2704
- Resistance Level: 1.2743
Before engaging in the trade, wait for a MCC to ensure a reliable entry point.
What’s your trade plan for GBPUSD? Comment down below and share your strategy!
Happy trading!
EURUSD Analysis: Multi-Timeframe Shorting OpportunityHere’s a detailed look at the EURUSD across multiple timeframes:
Weekly Chart:
- The market is in a sideways consolidation phase.
- The upper trendline has been respected, indicating a potential downside movement.
Daily Chart:
- Watch for a retest of the Fib-3 Bat Pattern, which could offer a prime shorting opportunity.
1-Hourly Chart:
- I’m eyeing a retest of the resistance at 1.0863 for a shorting opportunity.
What’s your trade plan for EURUSD? Comment down below and share your insights!
Happy trading!