Get started

Capitulation

BITCOIN SHORT TECHNICAL POINT OF VIEW From technical analysis point of view I would say that in next couple of weeks we can expect that price will reach 33.000$. Everything above 33.000$ is my area for placing sell orders. There are gaps which has to be filled. Every trendline should have at least 3 touches. From my analysis I can see that gap fill, perfectly connects with the 3rd touch of upper trend line. These gaps fills are also at 18.380$ ,14.280$ and 12.480$. 12.480$ is my target for next next couple of months. PSYCHOLOGICAL POINT OF VIEW Put yourself in head of other investors. Ask yourself: How are they thinking at this moment? Where they are placing their orders? Are they placing buy orders or sell orders? Are they expecting lower prices or higher prices? . . . I would say that currently we are in the phase of uncertainty. We need big push to the upside or big push to the downside to "trick" investors aka. create manipulation of the market which will cause placing more orders on false short term pump or dump which will reverse in much bigger move in right direction. FUNDAMENTAL POINT OF VIEW Regulation of cryptocurrencies will definitely affect markets. A lot of crypto projects will die through regulation process. I think we will hear a lot of bad news coming out before we start a new bull run. We need capitulation (big fall of prices) which usually is more than 30% in a single month. This capitulation will be the answer of bad news coming out. This is only my opinion what we can expect in next couple of months before new bull run. Nothing in this post should be used as financial advice.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by CLuka
Tesla's Capitulation Bottom and the Significance of VolumeTesla, the renowned electric vehicle manufacturer, has experienced various phases in its market cycles, including a significant capitulation bottom. By examining the chart, it becomes apparent that volume played a crucial role in identifying key turning points and understanding market dynamics. I'd like to explore Tesla's capitulation bottom, the importance of volume, and its implications during the mark-up phase of a market cycle. Capitulation Bottom and Volume Analysis During Tesla's consolidation period from February to April 2023, the orange volume moving average line shows consistently above-average volume, even as the average volume increased. This observation indicates heightened market participation and interest. The consolidation phase witnessed a slight decline in volume as buyer and seller activity subsided temporarily. However, this period of consolidation created confidence to market participants, suggesting that there were insufficient sellers to drive Tesla's price back to the January 2023 lows near $101. Consequently, bullish investors stepped in, initially with low volume, but with increasing volume over subsequent weeks. Climax Volume and Recent Concerns In the beginning of June, Tesla experienced a second price mark-up phase characterized by a climax in volume. However, the most concerning factor is the lack of volume observed last week. While it's important to note that it was a short trading week, it remains the lowest volume seen since December 2022. The lowest all year. Even the Christmas week in 2022 witnessed higher volume. Last week was associated with a breakout to add to injury. Last week, Tesla achieved fresh highs for 2023, and a price target of $300-$305 is anticipated in the upcoming week or shortly thereafter. However, if volume fails to increase in the following week, it could signal potential instability, necessitating a thorough assessment of positions. Understanding Volume in a Mark-Up Phase In market cycles, volume serves as a critical indicator during the mark-up phase. During this period, when prices rise steadily, increasing volume signifies growing market participation and confirms the strength of the bullish trend. Robust volume suggests conviction among buyers and sellers, validating the upward momentum. However, a decline in volume, particularly after a climax or surge, can raise concerns as it may indicate diminishing participation or waning bullish sentiment. It is important to remain vigilant during such periods and conduct risk checks to protect positions. Educational Insights Volume analysis is a vital component of technical analysis, enabling investors to understand market sentiment and validate price movements. In a mark-up phase, increasing volume demonstrates conviction, signaling the sustainability of the upward trend. Conversely, declining volume after a surge or climax may warrant caution and risk assessment . Traders and investors should consider volume alongside other technical indicators to gain a comprehensive understanding of market dynamics and make informed decisions. Tesla's journey has seen significant turning points, including a capitulation bottom, which can be identified by analyzing volume patterns. The consolidation period and subsequent mark-up phase provided insights into market participation and sentiment. Volume serves as a valuable tool to confirm trends and assess the strength of a market cycle. However, recent concerns arise from the lack of volume in the past week, warranting cautious monitoring and risk evaluation. By incorporating volume analysis into investment strategies and understanding its significance, traders and investors can enhance their decision-making processes and navigate Tesla's dynamic market with greater confidence.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by bitdoctor
4
Crypto capitulation eventThis is the capitulation event for crypto that I was waiting for. My previous Bitcoin idea and target are still valid, anyone long right now is going to get wiped out by the crash of Binance coin. I’m currently short. I also shorted Bitcoin and sold most of my alts here. If wrong then I will buy back higher on bullish structures. Even with the massive pump Bitcoin had here, Binance coin wasn’t able to invalidate the bearish structure. Absolutely terrible performance. Binance is still being sued, BNB is being artificially pumped by “someone’s” creative syphoning of client money. “Allegedly”. This pump was extremely profitable for me on my alts, an absolute lifesaver of a hedge. Sold most, will use profits to buy lower.
BINANCE:BNBUSDShort
by JaimeDeRothschild
XRP - Rejection from a danger zone. Capitulation Likely To Come.Ever since XRP reached its high of $0.585 it has been trying to break higher with no cuccess. If we extend fib. levels form the top to the bottom of $0.41 we can see that the XRP has attempted to break higher tho has been rejected for the second time recently. Rejection from a .786 fib. retracement level is common as it presents a danger zone where prices if get rejected can revers the trend temporary. Given that XRP tends move the last in the market ether to the upside or downside i thing we could be on a verge of a last capitulation as the rest of the market experiences second "flush" taking the whole market a little lower before reversing upwards. A final "flush" is what XRP went trough as SEC filled a lawsuit against Ripple in 2020. RSI is also showing bearish divergences. No one knows how deep can capitulation go but imo. it could go anywhere from $0.41-$0.36. We have to look for a high buy volume which typically a sign of a reversal. DISCLAMER I am not a financial advisor so non of this should be taken as a financial advise. Be well
Short
by CR35
XDB rest of 2023 prediction. Depression before lambo!This is my expectation for how the XDB/USDT chart will play out for the rest of the year. As you can see, I am expecting an extended period of depression, giving us some huge buying opportunities. Somewhere between July/August we might hit the peak of this depression and capitulation, where we could see prices as low as $0.0004 at the absolute bottom. Then in September we might see a big 10x pump to $0.004, before dropping back to the $0.001 area again, and then we may pump to $0.01 before the end of the year, 25x from the bottom. The targets of my previous article are still in play long-term. This means that if you could catch the bottom in the $0.0004 - $0.0008 range, and hold it to the long-term target of $0.07, you could potentially make up to 150x your investment. Obviously, anything under $0.001 is a strong buy, but you need to keep in mind that it could go as deep as $0.0004. An interesting rest of the year ahead!
Long
by jariii
Bulls, Turn Up The Volume!Bulls have been shouting ALL last year, that the Bear market is over. It's fine. Everything is fine. Don't think about hyperinflation incoming, or the everything crash around the corner, or credit default swaps going vertical, or multiple banks insolvency, or dollar threatened as global currency, or Fed rates still rising all this year, or layoffs increasing, or personal credit usage rising more, or personal savings non-existent, or discretionary spending decreasing to substance vices only... or all the other things that we can see signaling this is the middle of the bear market, only. Not the end of it. Almost a year since my last post & I still see many Bulls (mainstream media & social media influencers), urging retail to "buy the dip!" & other nonsense. There have been dips last year, & there will be more this year. You can buy low now, & hold the bag soon, for banks & hedge funds that have counted on you todo for generations. Or wait until we actually crash first, & then buy at the bottom. Volume doesn't lie & VIX doesn't lie. Only when you see both big & strong, then you will see capitulation. Hold steady in waiting. You can scalp, or catch the small sideways swings, if you like. But don't fool yourself into thinking now is the time to go long. It's not.
AMEX:IWVShort
by roelds
Measured Move? Or More?Short the rallies! Every rally is nothing but liquidity grab. You gotta be nuts to go long here, because: FOMC > more rate hikes 'may be needed' = 'are coming' Banking crisis. Worse than they let on. Yield curve inverted. Always preceeds major selloff. Recession is coming. For all the above. We in 70's economy, stupid! The Big Dump w/capitulation always comes near the Fed pivot. Next meeting may be the pivot. Every Bear has finished with VIX >40. This will be no different. Buy when VIX pops and stonk drops. Could get a measured move, could get a massive dump, I can't see the future, always guessing; GLTA!
TVC:SPXShort
by DaddySawbucks
14
XDB CAPITULATION! Getting closer to the bottomXDB has been getting rekt recently. There is a lot of fud surrounding the project, however, fundamentally it is still stronger than ever. This is typical of the capitulation phase. I have seen this countless times before, and I am 100% convinced that it's going to moon like crazy after this is over. I have already started DCA'ing here at 0.0014, but the chart does not look like it has found a bottom yet. I'm expecting the ultimate bottom to be in the 0.0006 - 0.0008 range. Anything under 0.001 is an EXTREMELY good buying opportunity. I will follow up with a zoomed out 1d chart to show you how big of a bullrun I'm actually expecting after capitulation. It is close to 100x if you buy it at the exact bottom.
Long
by jariii
The SPY Capitulation Bottom Will Surprise Global Traders.My research suggests the SPY is setting up a massive Capitulation bottom - and likely to move dramatically higher over the next 5+ years. It's too early to call this a confirmed bottom signal - but, it may be a great time to start looking for some "anchor trades" in the best stocks/sectors headed into 2024 and beyond. My research combines technical analysis, economic functions, cycles, and predictive analysis. While everyone seems to be calling for a massive price collapse, I continue to tell everyone "get ready for the RALLY". I could be wrong - time will tell. All I know is the technical/cycle and fundamental economic structure don't correlate with a massive price collapse now, or even in 2030~2035. What I see is a very big extended Wave-5 function that NO ONE is seeing. Follow my research. This is the greatest opportunity of your lifetime.
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
2
Watchlist 2023-02-28 #KDP #AHCO #HIMS #TGNA #AI SPY - No bias in SPY today with no significant economic data, low PM vol, looks like a high probability of an inside day after PD wide range bar. Short Watches: KDP - lower Long-Term Sales Growth as Fourth-Quarter Profit Misses. Down 1.7 ATRs on 1.2 RVOL at time. Key Pivot 34.15. Under the 200 MA and gapping under a channel. Negative is the rising 9 and 21 EMA. Looking to short underneath the pivot but being cautions as it could be support. Target to possibly 33.40 as I don't think it has another ATR in it. Long Watches: AHCO - Swings to Loss in Q4, Revenue Rises. Down 6.7 ATRs in the PM. Key pivot is between 6.90 and 16.60. Potential capitulation trade if we see a flush out below this level and then start to close above - look for long entries. The best trade will happen if there is more consolidation. HIMS - Q4 Net Loss Narrows, Revenue Climbs; Guidance Set above expectations. Key level is 20 not only because the pivot, it's also the base before the 2021 insane rally. Clear skies above this level on the daily. I don’t love the PM activity, looks like the shorts are in control for the moment, has ran up to 3 full ATRs from PD close. But a test and hold of 10 would be super favorable. Looking for longs in 10.00 holds. TGNA - down 10.0 ATRS in yesterday's PM! rallied past the key 17 level. Sequential pullback in PM on high RVOL of 6.5! Room to 18 next pivot. AI - forming a wedge on the daily. Would preferring to see one more daily of consolidation, with fakeout below 21.38 or a double top at 22.80 where prices has a more clear resistance to breakout from. Either of those scenarios I am interested in a long with target to 26 area. I focus on names trading elevate RVOL>2, trading past key ranges and pivots, preferably with news catalysts. Yellow = Support Purple = Resistance Red = short opportunity Green= long opportunity
NYSE:TGNA
by UnclePennybagss
BTC Bull Run Before 2024 Halving. BTC New Cycle Now?I'm long term bullish on crypto, and I'm happy for this new year pump. Congrats to those who placed longs at $15K, you should take some profits off the table now. Why? Because we're not out of the woods yet. If you read my previous BTC analysis, I've already mentioned that I'll consider BTC has reversed if it manages to break and close above Ichimoku Cloud at $32K, or at least above all EMAs at $28K, to hint a start of a new cycle. As much as I'd love to see $300K BTC, chances are, that ain't happening this year. Technical Analysis - Weekly Time Frame: - BTC is still below EMAs and Ichimoku Cloud - 20 and 30 EMAs are already below 200 EMA, 50 and 100 EMAs are about to cross below 200 EMA - Death Cross - Heikin Ashi has shown a reversal pattern which will be confirmed by this week's candle close - RSI was oversold in November - 2022 lowest low at $15,476, now it's been moving up sharply like January last year and is about to cross middle line upwards, hinting that there's still room for upward movement - RSI was oversold and high bearish volume on Nov 7th when BTC made a new lower low, signaling a potential bottom - All Strong Supports(Green) and Resistances(Red) are shown in the chart - A break and close above or below these key levels with high volume comparable to Nov 7th has a high chance to lead BTC to its next key levels/zones Fundamental Analysis: - FED is cooling down with interest rate hike, but a pause is not a pivot - Overall Macros are still the same, no significant change on the big picture - Most of BTC's circulating supply has not moved for almost 2 years, BTC price can easily be manipulated - Black Swan potentials: Mt.Gox BTC selling pressure, DCG/Genesis/Binance collapse, USDT/other stable coins depeg, SEC cases, new crypto regulations, geopolitics It's better to wait for some sort of confirmations every time BTC reaches a key level, to determine the direction it's going next While technical indicators are good, one bad fundamental news is all it takes to crash BTC Be Careful. Not a Financial Advice ;)
by OTWhale
2
VIX: VOLATILITY CYCLES / POINT OF CONTROL / RAISING THE CEILING DESCRIPTION: In the chart above I have provided a SEMI-MACRO analysis of VIX a volatility index on the 4 hour timeframe. This is a brief update on VIX as we have had some interesting momentum taking place. POINTS: 1. Deviation of 7 points continues to stand and justifies Supply & Demand Pocket Placement. 2. RSI is currently OVEREXTENDED but PRICE ACTION continues to exhibit compressed behavior by only GRAVITATING around 20 POINTS. 3. MACD signals that past cycles have at least seen 2.00 POINTS on MACD'S deviation from Median but has only seen 0.50 since the beginning of this VOLATILITY CYCLE. IMPORTANT: With a new ceiling confirmed by price actions recent upward momentum it is safe to say that if price action surpasses 23 we will come to see elevated VOLATILITY for SPY, SPX, ES1! or NQ1!. I would consider a BULLISH & BEARISH scenario when it comes to VIX but no recession has ever come to an end without VIX first touching 40 POINTS but here it is. SCENARIO #1: In a BULLISH scenario for VIX we see an eventual RETEST of 19 followed by further consolidation and a BREAK of 23 POINTS by MARCH 8th. SCENARIO #2: In a BEARISH scenario for VIX we come to see a break of 19 POINTS to the downside followed by an inevitable RETEST of the 8 YEAR TREND LINE & would elongate capitulation due date. FULL CHART LINK: www.tradingview.com TVC:VIX CBOE:VIX
TVC:VIXLong
by DGSTBROKERACC
Making best case for $BTC bottomApologize but can only for 1 chart here We used a ton of charts for this PLEASE see our profile for more data 1/ Small🧵 Making case 4 $BTC bottom NOT SAYING #Bitcoin bottomed BUT it's good case A UNTIL change, use #BTC Futures data All using spot @ huge disadvantage, to each their own B So far BULL flag playing out, perfectly C Inverse Head & Shoulder forming D RSI stays overbought - 2/ E #BTC downtrend BROKEN Volume not great but buys are in See pinned for $BTC bottom process F HUGE volume November, largest EVER for #Bitcoin To untrained👀weekly looks like all sells BUT, let's dissect G1 Experience knows better, thank GOD Green arrows show intraday BUYING - G2 Yellow & orange arrows = LONG WICKS Yellow volume is OUTRIGHT GREEN! Orange trickier, wick shows BOUNCE back = BUYS H #Bitcoin buys came in around low 17 to low 16k I Spot $BTC, 4th chart shows almost NO buying until 3 DAYS later! J Could this have been capitulation??? - K IMO 24k #bitcoin TOUGH area Gap 12/20 = 24K L Will take time to break, puts into perspective $BTC bottoming process Longer #BTC takes to bottom = BETTER M Look @ A + B, traded above BOTH moving avgs b4 a crossover N Both times heavy vol came LATER O Weekly RSI ok - Truly believe few out there put data like this and have the accuracy. If we get enough we are contemplating videos. We don't need to post and show all of this as we can keep it to ourselves. We aren't really looking to monetize. Our intent is to HELP masses. PLEASE SUB & follow.
CME:BTC1!
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
Get Ready for the Big One: Lower Low SoonCapitulation, VIX > 40+, the Big Dump of '23 maybe coming, and soon. .382 Fibo at 3908, NB: R/S line right there, 200 pips under last top. Unless JPowell indicates "No Time for Puts" on 1 Feb, expect a big disappointment. Bear will end when last bull throws in. No reason to think JP will suddenly pivot policy. He told us twice now the Fed wont ease up until inflation hits 2% target. When realization sinks in the dumping will begin. We ain't seen nothin yet. 2/3 Rule: 2/3 of the drop comes in last 1/3 of the chop. IMO the latest move in December was just the First Wave. Be Ready. Inflation is Transitory: twitter.com
TVC:SPXShort
by DaddySawbucks
23
NDQ US 100 INDEX: MARKET MAKERS MAGIC??DESCRIPTION: In the chart above I have provided a MACRO analysis of NDQ that is in fact showing strong signs of PENDING CAPITULATION but I will leave the rest to INDIVIDUAL INTERPRETATION. POINTS: 1. DEVIATION OF 1,000 POINTS is where NDQ usually finds appropriate CONSOLIDATION to then draw out SUPPLY & DEMAND POCKETS. 2. RSI is DANGEROUSLY OVER EXTENDED and looks ready for some PULLBACK. 3. MACD is CONSOLIDATING and moving closer to its MEDIAN SIGNALING A BIG MOVE IS ON THE WAY. *IMPORTANT (FOOD FOR THOUGHT): ALL SIGNS ARE BEARISH BUT IS THAT WHAT THE MARKET MAKERS WANT US TO THINK? TO MANY PEOPLE ARE BEARISH AND PLACING MONEY ON PUTS. JUST DOUGHT MARKET MAKERS WOULD ALLOW FOR EVERYONES CONTRACTS TO EXPIRE IN THE MONEY. SCENARIO #1: A BULLISH scenario would require a hold of 11,000 POINTS followed by SIDEWAYS MOVEMENT or a BREAK of TREND. SCENARIO #2: A BEARISH scenario would require a lose of 11,000 POINTS followed by an AGGRESSIVE BREAK of TREND to the DOWNSIDE. FULL CHART LINK: www.tradingview.com TVC:NDQ
TVC:NDQShort
by DGSTBROKERACC
QQQ MACRO ANALYSIS / SUPPLY & DEMAND / SHORT / PREDICTIONDESCRIPTION: In the chart above I have provided a macro analysis of QQQ. *IMPORTANT: Aside from SUPPLY & DEMAND POCKETS the main thing to consider is the distinct pattern we seem to have been following for the past 3 falls after rallies. Where PRICE ACTION seems to create this hook like formation before CAPITULATION takes place. POINTS: 1. QQQ exhibits a DOWNWARD TREND on the 16Hour Timeframe. 2. Deviation of 35 POINTS TOTAL JUSTIFIES SUPPLY & DEMAND POCKET PLACEMENT. 3. Estimation of Days for upcoming drop was taken by using a mean from last three rallies and falls of 76, 79 & 58 DAYS = 71 DAYS. 4. Depth of DROP was also estimated with a mean average that came out to roughly 25%. 5. MACD IS ALSO IN CONGRUENCE WITH CURRENT CHART PATTERNS & MACD LEVELS ARE CORRECTLY POSITIONED FOR MORE DOWNSIDE. BULLISH SCENARIO #1: We come to see a continuation of current channel & commit to sideways momentum above 260 eventually breaking past 295. BEARISH SCENARIO #2: If hook pattern is to expire reliable we can surely bet on enough downside that will send us below 260 and onto 225 as a final destination that can serve as a more probable MARKET BOTTOM. NASDAQ:QQQ NASDAQ:TQQQ NASDAQ:SQQQ
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by DGSTBROKERACC