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Capitulation

Bitcoin the end of the Debt Super CycleWell I hope this analysis isn't correct as it would mean absolute devastation for every market Globally. But it looks like Klaus Schwab is getting his way with the Great Reset. This Analysis is predicated on the idea that Bitcoin has completed a wave 1 at Cycle Degree in November of 2021, meaning we are now in a Cycle Degree wave 2 correction which will correct the entire history of Bitcoin. Assuming the wave 2 at Cycle Degree will be similar to the wave 2 at primary degree, I have copied the price pattern and modified it to fit a longer correction (Blue line). A typical wave 2 in bitcoin's history has traditionally lasted 1/3-1/2 the time of the previous wave 1 with a depth of -93%. If this repeats in a similar way we should expect to see a bottom somewhere between June 2025 and June 2027, with price reaching a target range of $2500-$4500. In the short/medium term this count expects price to have a small capitulation over the next 1-3 months, followed by a counter trend rally over the next 6-12 months. This rally would most likely be catalyzed by the federal reserve pausing interest rates in response to inflation decreasing. However rising asset prices may cause inflation to continue to be stickier than people want. It's also entirely possible that the damage to the underlying economy caused by raising interest rates too high too fast will start to make its impact. If the latter is the case I would expect the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates near 0 again but similar to the GFC of 2008 the damage will already be done and we will see a massive capitulation in all markets before finding a bottom 1-2 years later. I know a lot of people will not enjoy this analysis but this seems to be the most likely scenario unfortunately. If you look at markets across the globe it's clear we were in one of the largest asset bubbles in history and that bubble has popped. Look no further than Shiba Inu Token which exploded over 10,000,000% in one year, with no underlying fundamentals. Good luck everyone and remember not to overleverage yourself as that is the entire reason we are in this situation.
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by kg_sol
1
Make or break. Elliot wave count for the capitulation eventUpdate on my previous idea. The C wave up ended up extending into 4 waves. But that has now completed. It's make or break for the bear market right now. Personally, I don't see us breaking out of the downtrend. But a fake-out is always possible. Note that this technical analysis is a small part of the bearish case. The wider macro-economic environment bear case speaks for itself. I'm long volatility via VIX Call options and CFDs. What do you guys think? *not financial advice.
SP:SPXShort
by Doge_Dean
3
KDA capitulation bottom 2022-2023Could the $0.30 cent plus range be the absolute capitulation scenario for KDA? The blu line is the absolute recorded low for KDA. We may pay this price a visit depending on the capitulation event with Bitcoin bottoming out at or below $9500. We could follow this descending channel if price points are correct. The other horizontal lines are Fibonacci lines that could come into play. I would think that crypto is getting closer to a bottom than we think. I have used a bars pattern as a fractal as visual.
Short
by altcoinb
BTC TOTAL MCAP CAPITULATION VERY SOON ?!!(URGENT)As you can see on this chart, the FIB circles lines perfectly confluence, and it shows that the subsequent capitulation is very near. I think the total market cap price will resist at the 200ma and fib 0.618 on the 4H chart. FIB CIRCLE 1.618 has been respected perfectly for the past 2 weeks and crossing it could mean a crash in next We are very close to crossing the respected Fib circle so ill be looking closely at how the next 4H candle will close. Stoch Rsi seems OVERBOUGHT. This is just an idea. NFA DYOR
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALShort
by bilguunb
1
SPY Capitulation! Bears in full controlIn this analysis of SPY, this is the third time in history of SPY (excluding Pandemic black swan event) that the RSI has gotten into the bearish control zone on the monthly chart. Historically, this only happened in March 2001 and March 2008 before the market capitulated. In 2001, the market retraced 50.45% from ATH and in 2008 it retraced 57.41% from ATH. There is a huge volume profile node at around 210 which would be about 56% retracement, in align with historical data. The Federal Reserve still has at least three rate hikes to go. Furthermore, the quantitative tightening cycle is putting a lot of downside pressure on the market as the fed unwinds their balance sheet.
AMEX:SPYShort
by Celeres93
6
Bitcoin Capitulation is coming…..19K won’t hold any longer .. still in bearish and I knew this all along even so the capitulation is near. So we be seeing the big crash during this bear downtrend. Short buys don’t trust or try that even if your a very high risk taker.. be extremely careful because it’s volatile, while we be seeing the shorts these are the targets but first obviously down 17K even.. short retrace. The bottom buy zone I see still 12-10K area .. if these zones doesn’t hold then buy about 6500 area even the dip. If those buy zones expect the bulls to take over and won’t overcome then we will see down to 2000 area. So we are still bearish again don’t think we are bottomed it’s too soon , too early.. because the Feds still will go aggressive increase high rates , the midterm election, USA is in the recession and worst of all 3rd world war is coming. Trade safe and let’s watch this fall
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by JoyBoyVegae
Bear Rally or End of Bear Market?We are now back at the levels we were at October 6th with Futures trading at 3776 at the time of writing. After yesterdays action I still wasn't convinced that we are going to continue higher. Take into consideration that we didn't close above Fridays high. The last couple weeks I was saying we were forming a cup and handle pattern. And look. Is it a perfect cup and handle? No. But we are still trading in that area. Now, with this gap up, we could also see the same thing that happened back on September 9th where we closed above the 20 day and 50 day. Then, the next trading day gapped down and continued lower. Or we could sell off today, fill the gap between 3743ish-3707ish and that would solidify more downside to come before the end of the month. With earning season underway, we should expect a lot more volatility as the global economic outlook looks grim the next 9-12 months. I am still leaning towards the bear side the rest of the month, unless we close above the 20 day moving average and that would make me sit back and wait. Be patient, manage risk, trade the market in front of you.
SP:SPXShort
by MMOTA_
1
Bears are trapped My favorite trades to take are when bulls or bears get trapped. These have an EXTREMELY high success rate and are my favorite strategy to trade. Earlier today the bears were trapped by what looked like a pattern breaking lower, but it was regained by the bulls. The reason I love these traps is because the party (bulls/bears) that get trapped, end up getting punished. So these traps almost always begin an uptrend of some kind. so when I identify bears are trapped, I can safely enter longs on BTC or altcoins that I think will bounce the best, and I can comfortably hold them until a bearish pattern arises (rising wedge, etc), or until the bulls end up getting trapped. It ultimately makes for my highest profit trades as well as highest success rate. The "targets" on the chart aren't necessarily take profit targets, because as I said I wait for the live data to come out to tell me when I want to exit based on a technical pattern, but these targets are essentially major levels where I am expecting BTC to hit resistance and potentially a site where the next bull trap could happen.
Long
by Obscure_Trading
9
Summer BummerRally is done folks. Fascinating how perfectly the 21 April bars pattern fits onto the weak retracement rally to right shoulder. DJI gone off 1K is NOT bullish. SandP down 4%, NQ just tanked > QQQ gave up 15 bucks in a day. Can you say CRASH?! Yet I still see folks putting out ideas about new rallies to test ATH. Buying this 'dip' will only disappoint, lol. Do not be a bagholder! So many talking about "where it goes now the bottom is in" is pure delusion. This is a BEAR Market. Bottom is NOT in. Possible local Low in October? How long it takes and where the final low comes is pure guesswork. Might be... April?! Worst is yet to come IMO. Gotta have monster gaps down, trip limitdown halts, -3K days with true capitulation, VIX spike. This is NOT a good time to invest in risk assets folks. If you are not a shortseller then GTFO this nutty market. Big boys WILL take most or all of your money if you try to buy this beast.
TVC:SPXShort
by DaddySawbucks
44