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Stellantis Long Play despite the tariffsI'm a deep value investor. Current price 8.58 euros per share I've been looking at Stellantis for a while now and I've done a deep dive in the company's financial and its fundamental value. It's my opinion that the company is fundamentally strong but being traded at a lower price right now. it has dropped 65% since last year and almost 6% today. The 65% drop has been a significant overreaction to the a missed earnings forecast which has been due to forign currency depriciation in turkish lira (once you do a deep dive in the company's accounts). but the company is still significantly profitable and has a growing revenue and earnings forecast. Today's 6% drop is an understandable yet overreaction to trump's tariffs as most of the company's buiness is done outside the US and they are betting big on EU and GB car sales (and have been growing in it) Bottom line is the company is currently priced way below its intrinsic value. its beeing traded at 0.3 times its book value while automotives are being traded at an average 1.7 time book value, and its price to earnings ration (at this time) is 4.57 while automotives average P/E is 11.79 (slightly lifted by TSLA but still) I'm expecting a target of 12.6 euros per share within the next 6 months. If you didn't see my last position on CMC markets see my account.
EURONEXT:STLAPLong
by notalireza
1
Driven Brands Holdings: Dominating North America's Auto ServicesKey arguments in support of the idea. A potential rise in U.S. car prices may positively impact the company’s sales. DRVN is expanding its footprint in the essential automotive services market, simultaneously reducing its car wash segment with more cyclical sales. Investment Thesis Driven Brands Holdings Inc. (DRVN) is the largest automotive services company in North America, operating an increasing network of approximately 5,200 franchise, independently owned businesses operated by the company across 49 U.S. states and 13 other countries. The company has a footprint in all major automotive service areas, catering to both retail and commercial customers. Its main business segments include car maintenance and repair, express car wash, bodywork and paint services. U.S. car import tariffs, introduced in March, support the trend of an increasing average age of cars on U.S. roads and may lead to higher car prices. These factors may contribute positively to DRVN’s revenue growth. On April 3, a 25% tariff on cars imported to the U.S. will take effect, and by May 3, equivalent tariffs on automotive components will be implemented. These tariffs may disrupt automakers’ production processes due to a reconfiguration of production chains. Only half of the 16 million new cars sold annually in the U.S. are produced domestically, while other autos could be subject to these tariffs. Production disruptions may result in price increases for both new and used cars. Many consumers may delay purchasing new cars, opting instead to spend more on maintaining their current vehicles. The new factors support the general long-term trend to an increasing average age of cars on U.S. roads. In 2000, the average vehicle age in the U.S. was 8.9 years; it has now grown to 12.6 years and continues to rise annually. Despite this, the total number of vehicles on U.S. roads is also steadily increasing at an average annual rate of about 1% over the past two decades. Combined with the new tariffs, the overall growth of the automotive aftermarket is likely to boost DRVN’s revenue in the upcoming years. Driven Brands continues successfully shifting its focus to essential automotive services. After 2023, the company began reducing its ownership of standalone car washes while expanding its Take 5 Oil Change locations. Take 5 Oil Change provides rapid oil change services within 10 minutes, allowing drivers to remain in their cars. In March, reports have indicated that Driven Brands plans to sell its Take 5 Car Wash chain. We suppose this deal will accelerate the expansion of the Take 5 Oil Change segment and enable the company to allocate some proceeds toward debt reduction, potentially decreasing debt service expenses by up to 20%. The valuation of DRVN stock, compared to its peers, shows potential for growth. DRVN’s valuation corresponds to 14 projected earnings for 2025, aligning with the average valuation among U.S. car dealers. Nonetheless, DRVN’s potential for revenue growth in the coming years is anticipated to surpass that of its peers. In the last three quarters alone, the Take 5 segment has demonstrated a sequential revenue increase of 10%, accounting for about 60% of the company’s total sales. We suppose that Driven Brands Holdings Inc. (DRVN) shares may exhibit positive momentum in the near term. The target price for DRVN shares over a two-month horizon is $19.90, with a “Buy” rating. We suggest setting a stop-loss at $15.50.
NASDAQ:DRVNLong
by FreedomHolding
TESLA Update - Above 180 we look for bullish variables Tesla gave us some insane profits from our last set up below, now it has turned however. Earnings has resulted in a single day 12% loss and probable continuation after. So what should we do now? Our theory is that Tesla is in it's third major wave and therefore can't take out is low for this to remain valid. We expect Tesla to make a higher low, probably above 180, pivot and run to 300 as a first target. This gives us an accumulation idea for now that can turn into a trade set up like our last if more variables develop. We are buying some stock today and will accumulate above 180. If futher edges develop we will update. A second important point is we believe Tesla will outperform relative to the nasdaq in the mid to long term. It has underperformed for the past couple of years but the tide might be shifting. The chart below showcases our argument.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by SynergyTradingSetups
9
BMW (BMW): Navigating Through Uncertainty in the Auto MarketThe German automotive industry is currently facing significant challenges, from rising production costs and the transition to electric vehicles to increased competition from China. Despite these hurdles, we believe that most of the negative factors are already priced into the market. From a technical perspective, we’re zooming out to get a broader view of BMW. Ignoring the COVID-19 dip, BMW has been ranging between 55€ and 113€ for an extended period. We anticipate that this range will continue, as markets tend to range 70% of the time. Right now, BMW is at a critical level, either bottoming out for the fourth time or, more likely, preparing to break below and collect the sell-side liquidity that has accumulated over the past three years. Our plan is simple: We’re monitoring this closely, with alerts set to notify us if the stock dips below this level. Should this occur, we’re looking at a potential entry near 62€. We will update you with our strategy once this scenario unfolds.
XETR:BMWLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
1
Uber (UBER): Missed the Rally? Here comes new opportunitiesIt's been a while since we last looked at Uber, and the stock has moved perfectly since then. Uber reacted exactly as expected to our desired area, but unfortunately, we didn’t buy any shares at the time. If you did, congratulations – this position is now up 60.8%! Shares of rideshare companies Uber Technologies and Lyft surged on Friday, following Tesla's underwhelming Robotaxi reveal. Uber has shifted its focus away from developing autonomous vehicles and is instead concentrating on expanding its marketplace for riders and drivers. This shift has created a robust network effect, making it increasingly difficult for competitors to match Uber's scale, according to a recent report by Business Insider. Uber’s asset-light business model, which doesn't involve owning or maintaining vehicles, has been financially successful, generating $1.7 billion in free cash flow in the second quarter. Now, Uber has reached a new all-time high, and if we look back at the chart, it's easy to see a clear and powerful pattern. After entering our desired area, Uber made a sharp V-shaped correction, followed by a key level retest. In a short period, NYSE:UBER turned bullish, marking a complete turnaround. We will be closely watching Uber Technologies' upcoming earnings report, scheduled for October 31, 2024. After this event, we’ll update our chart and look for possible new opportunities.
NYSE:UBERLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
15
ADA, CAN IT BE PART OF THE DIGITAL GOLDRUSH?ADA chart RSI favorable on smaller charts, not so favorable on bigger charts. Potential to see a dip and BIG run. One support trend. Buy zone marked Price targets marked Potential to see a wick down to 10 cents, but lots of potential to hold that sub 30 cent price. I'd be patient, and see what happens before jumping in, but having said that, short term could rocket the price, however, it really needs to clear 63, in my opinion. I think the potential is there to see a quick drop to price targets and a run to all time highs, which aligns with a lot of the crypto market.
CRYPTO:ADAUSD
by nicktussing77
6
Buffett Trims Position in AAPL ! The End of the Apple Car Dream In the wake of Apple Inc.'s recent fiscal first-quarter results, a concerning narrative unfolds as the tech giant faces significant challenges. Sales in China plummeted by 13%, amounting to $20.8 billion in the quarter ending December 30. This stark decline not only fell short of analysts' expectations, who had predicted $23.5 billion, but also marked Apple's weakest December quarter performance in the Asian nation since the beginning of 2020. The downward trajectory doesn't seem to stop there. In a notable move, Goldman Sachs has removed Apple stock from its 'U.S. Conviction List,' casting doubt on the company's short-term prospects. This decision by one of the world's leading investment banks signals a loss of confidence in Apple's ability to outperform in the market. Adding to the turbulence is the breaking news that Apple is winding down its ambitious electric car plans, ending a decade-long venture. According to reports from Bloomberg, the company is set to cut some employees associated with the Apple car project, with many expected to transition to focus on artificial intelligence (AI) initiatives. This strategic shift raises questions about Apple's ability to stay competitive in the rapidly evolving tech landscape, especially given the intensifying competition in the AI sector. Adding to the mounting concerns surrounding Apple Inc. (AAPL), Berkshire Hathaway, led by legendary investor Warren Buffett, made a notable move in its latest 13F filing. Dated February 14 and covering the period ending December 31, 2023, the report reveals a strategic decision by Berkshire Hathaway to sell approximately 10 million shares of Apple. My Price Target for AAPL is $168 by mid 2024.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by TopgOptions
Avis Budget Group's Rocky Road: Unpacking Q4 Earnings Avis Budget Group Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:CAR ) recently unveiled its fiscal fourth-quarter financials, stirring both anticipation and concern among investors. While the company surpassed profit estimates, the stock stumbled in after-hours trading, leaving many to ponder the underlying reasons behind this downturn. Analysis of Financial Performance: A deeper dive into Avis ( NASDAQ:CAR ) Budget's financial performance reveals a mixed bag of results. Despite recording a net income of $260 million, down from $424 million year-over-year, the company's per-share earnings also experienced a decline, dropping from $10.10 to $7.10. Additionally, quarterly revenue remained relatively flat at $2.76 billion, falling slightly short of Wall Street estimates. Factors Contributing to Stock Decline: Several factors may be contributing to the decline in Avis ( NASDAQ:CAR ) Budget's stock, including a decrease in liquidity from over $1.0 billion to $800 million sequentially in Q4. This decline, coupled with revenue shy of expectations, has likely dampened investor sentiment. Furthermore, the stock's current position, down approximately 35% from its 52-week high, underscores broader market concerns. CEO Perspective and Strategic Moves: Despite these challenges, Avis Budget's CEO, Joe Ferraro, remains optimistic, citing record revenue and rental volumes in Q4. The company's efforts to bolster demand, maintain competitive pricing, and implement cost-saving measures reflect a proactive stance amidst industry headwinds. Comparison with Industry Peers: Avis Budget's Q4 performance stands in stark contrast to its peer, Hertz Global Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: HTZ), which reported a significant loss for the same period. Hertz's struggles, coupled with its recent retrenchment from fleet electrification plans, underscore the volatility and challenges facing the car rental industry as a whole. Conclusion and Forward Outlook: As Avis Budget Group ( NASDAQ:CAR ) navigates the road ahead, it faces a landscape fraught with both opportunities and obstacles. The company's ability to adapt to evolving market conditions, maintain financial resilience, and capitalize on emerging trends will be pivotal in shaping its trajectory in the coming quarters. Investors, therefore, remain cautiously optimistic, awaiting further clarity on Avis Budget's ( NASDAQ:CAR ) strategic direction and execution in the months ahead.
NASDAQ:CAR
by DEXWireNews
EXXON. EXOFF. EXXON. EXOFF. THE CLAPPER. The most important thing on the chart is the steep rejection trend that is also trending upwards. It is leading into another rejection trend, which should see some resistance, but with a potential move along the steep trend into the rejection and finally into a breakout, we could see the price around 118. There is potential to keep climbing from this point, and the top number I see is marked. Earnings on the 26th is marked. Short term indicators are showing bullish. Price can keep pushing upwards. When it falls, it could be fairly quick. There are some really nice lines of support on the lower end. Still undecided how this plays out, and I'll need more info before making a move. Still, chart is worth watching.
NYSE:XOM
by nicktussing77
GM - BULLISH SCENARIO General Motors (GM) made a counteroffer to the United Auto Workers (UAW) to resolve a three-week strike. UAW President Shawn Fain plans an update on talks with Detroit's automakers. The strike, including Ford and Stellantis, began on Sept. 15. GM's counteroffer is its sixth, but "significant gaps remain." Negotiations with Ford show progress on pay increases. Talks with Stellantis have been active. Ford offered a more than 20% wage increase over the contract's life. Other issues, like union representation at battery plants, remain unresolved. GM secured a $6 billion credit line due to the strike's estimated $200 million cost. UAW members at Mack Trucks will receive a 19% pay hike over five years in a tentative agreement. Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
NYSE:GMLong
by legacyFXofficial
General Motors - Trouble brews in the auto industryThe prospect of a recession hints at hard times ahead for auto producers, including General Motor Company; over the past six months, this stock lost more than half of its value. Additionally, it continues to constitute new lows, confirming the presence of the downtrend. As a proxy to that, we are bearish on the title and expect worsening economic conditions to impact the auto industry very negatively in the short-term and medium-term future. Therefore, we would like to set the price target for GM to 30 USD and 29 USD. Illustration 1.01 The picture above shows the weekly chart of General Motors Company. It also shows two simple moving averages: 20-week SMA (blue) and 50-week SMA (red). These two moving averages continue to confirm the medium/long term bearish trend. Technical analysis - daily time frame RSI is bearish. MACD and Stochastic are neutral/slightly bearish. DM+ and DM- are bearish. The ADX grows which hints at the increasing momentum. Overall, the daily time frame remains bearish. Illustration 1.02 The weekly chart of GM stock shows the staggering loss of approximately 54% within the past 189 days. Technical analysis - weekly time frame RSI is due to pierce through 30 points, which will further bolster the bearish case for GM. Stochastic, MACD, DM+, DM- are all bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame remains bearish. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
NYSE:GMShort
by Tradersweekly
10