Carnival
CCL - BUY OPPORTUNITYCarnival Corp is expected to report a smaller quarterly loss and a spike in revenue when it announces second-quarter results today before the opening of the market.
The price has reached a strong support zone, giving us a good short-term buy opportunity and an acceptable risk-reward ratio.
The next stop will be the resistance located around $ 15
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Carnival CruiseA HUGE ACCUMULATION SCHEMATIC MAY BE IN PLAY.
Currently, we are looking for a Selling climax (price falling out the channel) to see a stop in falling prices.
Long term, I would like to see price fall very quickly and reject or fall below the range and commit very shortly down before a reversal upwards. This will show strength in carnival for another rally.
In other words, it is optimal to short with the trend until confirmation of a Secondary test (ST B)
Carnival +30%Carnival's first quarter fiscal 2022 earnings report contained solid financials. By summer, the company expects to reach a positive EBITDA, and revenue has reached the highest level since the spring of 2020. At the same time, sales per passenger cruise day (PCD) grew by more than 7%, and 75% of the ships are afloat
Meanwhile, revenue growth has offset rising spending and inflation, Carnival's bonds are at "junk bond" levels as Carnival reported $34.9 billion in long-term debt and short-term borrowing, and with the Fed rate hike, % on Bonds after reissuance will be high and the company's costs will increase very significantly. In the long run, I would not consider these stocks.
Buy
10.50
11.00
Sale
13.80
14.50
CCL Double BottomConsistent rejections can be seen along the 2.618 circle line (red hammers)
Drawing the major trend line we can see bottom formations continually forming a long here
Right now the bottom formation present is more reliable than ever due to its placement in relation to 1.618 fib
A double bottom will form on this Weekly chart and reject upwards
Carnival. Another delay in recovery.Carnival Corporation is the world's largest travel company, founded in 1972. Today it is the leading cruise operator serving nearly half of the world's cruise travel market. Has a global presence in North America, Australia, Europe and Asia. It operates a fleet of more than 100 ships and owns a portfolio of leading global, regional and national brands of economy and premium cruise lines such as Princess Cruises, Holland America Line, AIDA and others. Carnival Cruise Line, the most popular global brand, carries more than 5 million guests every year. In addition to cruise operations, the company owns Alaska's leading tour company - Holland America Princess Alaska Tours.
➡️ The cruise industry is still unprofitable in the context of the Covid-19, as the tourist flow does not have time to recover due to regular new pandemic waves. And now the positive expectations for next year are beginning to fade - the company faced a large number of cancellations for flights in the coming months, which is caused by a lot of positive pre-cruise tests. Demand for flights in the second half of 2022 is also below expectations at the moment.
➡️ On the chart, you can see that the growth after the spring collapse of 2020 developed in zigzags. Structurally, the movement is similar to the leading diagonal, which may indicate that the low set in early April 2020 is the starting point for a new strong trend.
In the decline from $31 that began in June 2021, I highlight the emerging single zigzag with a potential diagonal in wave {c}of2. The movement develops within the channel formed by the Schiff’s Pitchfork, the borders and the middle line of which are confirmed by the price reaction.
It is logical to expect the end of the correction in the range of $13 - $17 , because that’s where the main volumetric zone of all previous growth is located.
📌 Alternatively, we can assume that correction 2 ended at the end of 2021 at the level of $16.5 , and now we are seeing some starting waves within wave 3 already. in my opinion, it is more doubtful structurally (wave {a} then should be a zigzag, which it does not look like) and is not at all supported by the fundamental that I cited at the beginning.
📉 I assume that the fall may stop at $13-13.5 , where the lower boundary of the pitchfork and the Fibonacci correction level of 0.618 also pass.
➖ Cancellation of the scenario when the price rises above $23.3 .
My Tenbagger pick for 2022 - Carnival CorporationDear traders,
Today I would like to introduce you to my top pick for 2022: The Carnival Corporation, or also known as Aida.
This stock looks great in terms of both charts and fundamentals. I think we have a potential tenbagger here for the next 1-2 years, which is at the beginning of a strong impulse upwards.
As you can see, we have completed wave 1 and possibly wave 2 as well. Wave 1 has the shape of a diagonal and wave 2 the simple shape of a zig-zag that reacted to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement with enormous purchases. From a fundamental point of view, it is a cruise giant with a monopoly position. But what is interesting for me is the current inflation. Inflation does not seem to have arrived in the travel sector due to persistent restrictions on international travel in the travel sector. I think that if we move towards endemic we will get a huge boost in demand in the travel sector, which of course will also boost prices and the Carnival Corporation could benefit enormously from it.
I have set possible price targets for a wave 3 extension based on Fibonacci ratios. The maximum price target would be $ 155.97 which would mark a new all time high. I think this is perfectly realistic.
This is not investment advice, just my own opinion.
RT
CCL Point ComparisonUsing Fib circles we can see the comparison point (in green)
As this pattern is bullish in the long run, I have added a rough MA curve for what an increase in price would look like
And also a bars pattern along with this, which shows potential bullish movement
CCL is currently the worlds largest travel leisure company
CCL + 50-100% Many countries are restricting travel to South Africa and neighboring countries to contain the rapidly spreading novel coronavirus B.1.1.529, as scientists predict it will be more infectious and less effective vaccines.
Markets are not scared by politicians or analysts, but by the comments of the CEO of Moderna about the effectiveness of vaccines against the new variant - “all the scientists I spoke with ... think this will not be good. ... "
Stocks fell from $ 25 to $ 16 amid news of the new covid virus.
Meanwhile, order volumes are picking up steam, with 2022 shipments booked within historical ranges and at higher prices than in 2019. Fears about a possible prohibition of ships going to sea are premature and now is the time to buy.
Buy at two historical levels of $ 16 and 15 (see the right weekly chart), 50% and 100% move potential, 25 and 29 exits
Carnival Corp soon to celebrate new lows. CCL0.618 retrace on A and now back down again. Classic zigzag. And it just makes our job more easier in identifying the pattern and estimating accurately the possible endpoints to the motion of the final wave. These classic patterns are actually uncommon, but when they are spotted, are a godsend in making our job easier and goals more statistically probable.
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe!
Carnival Corporation Sailing South. CCLThis one is posed for more drops now or soon. It's a zigzag again and indicators support the view for further drops. More goals could be drawn in, but its more prudent to limit yourself with three or four on a regular basis.
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe!
Carnival starting Elliot Wave 3 + bouncing off key Fib levelToday's close green indicates to me that we're starting a strong Elliot wave 3. Current price is still well below June lows, so I think there is potential for some significant upside. I'd say at least $28-$29 in the near term. I would expect a wave 5 to surpass the June highs of ~$31.5.
The bottom of the wave 2 also bounced off key .68 Fibonacci retracement levels, just further reinforcing my belief that this is going upwards in the near future. Volume has also been phenomenal and very bullish the last few weeks.
This is all for my own edification and I'd welcome thoughts or comments. Not financial advice.
$CCL WeekliesI typically don't trade weeklies but saw UOA for CCL and I like the ascending channel it's forming. Also looking flaggy with January AVWAP at $24.94 . MACD giving confluence as well.
Looking for a move near top of channel in next day or two.
Tight stops due to the decay ; 24 and 25 strike , small size. A couple 9/10 contracts as well (most likely will be the better idea if you can afford time)
Where Carnival Cruise Line stands with the Delta VariantWith the increase in cases for the delta variant to coronavirus, the question remains: will certain industries suffer again and will their stocks fall?
In the case of Carnival Cruise Lines (one of the larger cruise lines by market cap) my prediction, short and sweet is yes, yes their stock seems poised to fall.
Looking at the 5 year chart for $CCL NYSE:CCL and zooming out we can see that in the last 15 months, the trend for the stock price has begun to form a channel up pattern, which generally has a bearish breakdown once it moves past the supporting price (bottom line). What is an event that could be enough to have $CCL break the support on this channel up? The fear mongering, uncertainty and future mandates that may arise with the delta variant
Is this the time to buy the dip?
For investors that are bullish for future cruise lines rebounding, your dip buying entry is close, but we are not there yet in the case of $CCL. While the candles have moved below the 20, 50, 100 and even 200 EMA (generally a good time to buy a dip), the MACD indicator at the bottom is still right around the y axis (yellow square). In my opinion, the best time to enter for a long term hold in this scenario would be if the candlesticks above fell through the support and broke down, and the MACD indicator in the yellow square fell far below the y axis of the MACD histogram.
Carnival Corporation and plc (CCL) for long termSignals
Position: long Entry price: 18.5
Target price: 28 Stop loss: 19
Indicators
RSI is very low under 25, better to wait till the price reaches the support line around 18.
Bullinger Bands and William Alligator are really opened, indicating a strong trend. So the price will probably reach the support.
ADX is really strong, indicating a strong momentum. It means that the price will lower again. Same clues from the MACD .
Conclusions
Carnival is expecting to have 42 ships back to service by the end of November, embracing a phase of operations restart. After the drop caused by the Covid-19, the company is sailing again in several destinations including the Caribbean, the Mediterranean and Northern Europe.
As the vaccine campaign goes on, older people ( the major costumers of the cruise industry) will be fully protected and will buy tickets.
In the long term the price can reach $40 but if you want to be more conservative set the target price around 28/30.
CCL - Long for $39Green area is the buy zone and next move up should take this to the top of the monthly channel of $39ish. Follow the curve pattern and only buy in the green box levels. Does have parabolic steps on the monthly so longer dated calls or shares is the way to go as this will take time to develop.
CCL - Carnival Cruise LinesKeeping an eye on $CCL.
We just got a break under the uptrend channel we have had in place since October 2020. Bulls would now be looking for support around the 200MA and maybe we see a bearish trap on this one. If support doesn't hold, things can get ugly and reach around $19 range.
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Cheers!
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