CAT
TSLA Relief Rally *Be Careful-(Short Term Bullish)***Warning Monday Jan 2nd (Market is Closed) - Q4 EV Deliveries - good report then TSLA will complete H&S pattern and continue Bullish Island Gap Reversal
Positive:
`TSLA is Very Oversold, we could see a continuation of this bounce up too 150-180 if production release is great on Monday.
-Bullish Chart patterns show inverse H&S pattern created by Island Gap Reversal.
LARGE Buying Volume strong-sign of institutional investment - this could be accumulation phase
Beginning of January tends to be positive for the stock market
NDX & SPX showing signs of upcoming relief rally (*before we make final leg down)
HYG & JNK Bonds are showing bullish divergence
Negative:
Monday possible less deliveries than expected -if is lack luster I can see TSLA dropping 7-12% to retest the low
China Covid Cases/ Shanghai Factory Slow production
Tesla is still in a Strong Bear Market pattern
Elon and Twitter Drama
Earnings report on the 23rd - with factory issues, supply issues - it does not look promising
Macro H&S Pattern puts the measured decline to $90-$80 range
Sentiment:
Short Term -Swing /Day Trading -I am only Bullish for the Short Term* (1-2 weeks) .
Long Term Investing: I am Bullish for Long Term (5 yrs) ....over-all I would choose the $109 area as 1st pt accumulation / $80 area second point / $60 area 3rd pt (TSLA will Grow 25% Sales YoY for next 5yrs) PEG ratio looking good
Bitcoin | Dead cat bounce?The trend drawn from the ATH level of 2011 looks like a pullback movement in the red line. Price can say that the sloping trend line is a pullback movement after it broke down in November of last year. As for the RSI indicator, as indicated by the red circle in the figure, the situation is very close to the scene of the sudden fall in the summer of 2015.
In general, the 15500 zone was the bottom of the bear market, and most traders are anticipating the market with the belief and hope that a bull run has begun. As far as I'm concerned, the bear market is not over and we expect to see another new bottom. This upward movement that has been going on since the beginning of the year is seen as a possible "Dead Cat's Reflection". It is too early to tell if this is the case, as the rate will prove to be a dead cat by breaking below the previous bottom.
W Bottom to Momentum Run Example: CATWeekly Chart of CAT: this is one of the Dow components that is nearing its previous all-time high resistance levels. It is one of the first few Dow 30 stocks to challenge prior all-time high prices.
Caterpillar Inc. has been running with momentum that will now pause or stall at this level. Now, watch to see which support level holds as profit-taking continues.
This is NOT a trading range but an intermediate-term correction ending with a W bottom. Important to note the differences. A bottom after a correction tends to set up for momentum runs that can sustain longer than they do within a trading range.
DEAD $CAT. Bearish on CATERPILLAR INC. Price just reached a previous support zone and failed to break above so Im going to assume it will act as a resistance zone and be looking for this to playout as a large retest after its previous rally. Usually this rising wedge pattern plays out by returning back to the bottom but with the $VIX being $2 short of $30 I womt assume that due to the amount of chop that could be experienced in the way down. Ill be looking for exit majority of position @ 173.11 and the rest @ 168.
Caterpillarr moving it. CATFinal leg in a fractal. Fast and gap-ing form, indicative of an impulse. Betting on a Wave C, relying on Fibs to draw two goals.
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Confirmation level, where relevant, is a pink dotted, finite line. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe.
SPY: Very bearish! What could make it bounce?• So far, SPY is heading to the next support at $360.69, indicating we have a few more bucks to drop, and there’s no technical evidence pointing to a reversal. In the daily chart, at least, there’s not a single bullish pattern yet;
• We see some open gaps (yellow squares), and they will become targets, in the future, if (and only if) SPY triggers a reaction;
• In the 1h chart we see a possible bullish structure, a Double Bottom chart pattern. Keep in mind, this pattern wasn’t triggered yet, and maybe SPY won’t trigger it at all, but it is important to keep in mind a scenario where it’ll break the $370.21;
• By triggering this Double Bottom, SPY would bounce back up to the $388 (its next target);
• In my view, I would prefer to see it bouncing after a retest of the $360, but this could work too;
• This wouldn’t be a true bullish reversal sign, and maybe would be just a Dead Cat Bounce, but could be the beginning of a true mid-term reversal. I’ll keep you guys posted on this.
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CAT - BEARISH SCENARIONThe CPI report released yesterday surprised the market participants with worse-than-expected results.
The higher inflation weakened the stock market and caused a huge sell-off.
Caterpillar Inc was not spared. The price dropped more than 4 % and closed below the 0.236 Fibonacci.
Continuation of the downtrend and re-test of the $ 167 support level is expected.
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CSPR died in January 2021, like RchainHyperinflation during bear market - same marketcap as we had in 20c in August 2021
The team has bad image - team scolding people in Telegram (already deleted), I have screenshot in case people say I am lying
Not listed on any major exchange since listing - hyped up Binance, never came
Still no use case
Slow chain, slow finality - eth2 coming so completely useless
Same team as RChain was also Casper fork - utterly failed
There is heavy selling pressure from validator - in entire bull market it did 10% up maybe then full retrace. I saw it going up by 10-30% many times during autumn 2021, all to retrace. Casperpad was also a scam - but good enough for final double top
Another idea worth considering (end game scenario)Fib pull from the top to the bottom of this move:
A strong rejection off of the 0.5 fib is considered to be a dead cat bounce. In this case, the price was not accepted back above and therefor further down side (below 0) is quite possibly on the line.
Check Morpheus, showing us the perfect setup for a short.
A key support / resistance flip level for me would be the 3810 area (give or take a few dollars). Lose that and it's mayhem.
Let's pounce on some shorts with $CAT🔸️Ticker Symbol: $CAT timeframe: 4 Hour 🔸️3X Bear Pattern 🔸️Investment Strategy: Short
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: $CAT making a double top , with price near a few key levels. From the Top, we are sitting right at the 50% retracement , our money momentum is peaked at the red band; which means we are due for a pullback. $CAT is poised to drop over the next few weeks, with a bottom target as low as 181! Lets make some money together and pounce on some shorts with $CAT.
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Caterpillar is dropping. CATGoals 200, 179. Invalidation at 262 .
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe
Caterpillar - Great Stock for 2022 - Bull RunHey all,
CAT Caterpillar, Inc, why does it look like a good stock to buy right now?
NYSE:CAT
Earnings - Highest ever reported revenue / Second highest ever margin percentage and value
Price - Currently 185.81 / 12 month low = 167.08 / 12 month high = 237.90 / Great prospect to rise to near the 12 month high due to record breaking earnings and margin.
Dividend - 2.44% paid annually
A great prospect for holding for 6 months / Warning: keep an eye on the economy regarding the recession and possible job losses, this could drive the stock down rapidly.
Let me know your thoughts.
Many Thanks
Matt
NYSE:CAT