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Part 1 - Risk-off August - VIX WeeklyVIX (Volatility Index) seems to be preparing for another spike in volatility. With the start of February 2018, VIX jumped. That spike in volatility could represent the first piece of a series of similar events. This indicator is used by analysts to measure the state of buy-sell investors’ emotions, complacency versus the fear effect. In simple terms, a rise in the VIX would or bring with it a sharp fall in Stocks and/or Indices. A decrease in the VIX represents the periods when market participants are in the state of greed, being complacent and euphorically enjoying the bull market. A rise in VIX indicates a period of uncertainty, risk-off events that impact the markets directly and suddenly. Such spikes bring with them a fear effect, when investors are beginning to feel worried for the market’s destined directions.
CBOE:VIXLong
by Lionheart-EWA
VIX Surge Is a Wake-Up Call for Investors!!SELF DEVELOPMENT/METHODOLOGY/PSYCHOLOGY Chart time frame - M Timeframe - 6-12 Months Actions on - A – Activating Event The CBOE Volatility Index is creeping higher and starting to find support at the @20 level!. B – Beliefs The Financial Crisis in 2007 - 2009 we saw the VIX move rapidly towards the 61 level. Slowly we are heading in the same direction and maybe using @20 level as a launch pad. Is history repeating itself? Time will tell, however i do feel that way CBOE:VIX Happy trading. Follow your Trading plan, remain disciplined and keep learning !! Please Follow, Like,Comment & Follow Thank you for your support :) This information is not a recommendation to buy or sell. It is to be used for educational purposes only!
CBOE:VIX
by SMPTrader
Total Coin Market Cap : 2014 vs 2018 -(2)Caution) The main chart above is for BTC. The Coin Market Cap chart is in the comments below. - If you like this, please "follow" and "Like"~^_^ 1. Total Coin Market Cap 2. A Comparison of Total Coin Market Cap : 2014 vs 2018 3. BTC Cap(red) vs Alts Cap(blue) 4. A Chart for Futures(CME, CBOE), Pattern and etc 1) The Comparison of Coin Market Cap(Coin Cap : about 180 billion $) - Stock Market Cap around the world : about 56 trillion $ / 0.36% - Korean Stock Market Cap : about 2000 billion $ / 10% - Samsung Electronics -3.07% Cap : about 250 billoion $ > Coin Cap 2) Current Coin - Coin Cap : 180 Billion $ - Bitcoin. Dominance : 53% - Volume by National Currencies : USD(55.2%), JPY(39.8%), KRW 1.56% (2.4%) - coinmarketcap.com - www.coinhills.com 3) Futures Expiration Date : CME, CBOE - CME Expiration Date - www.cmegroup.com - www.cmegroup.com - CBOE Expiration Date - cfe.cboe.com - www.cboe.com
BNC:BLXLong
by pkb6698
11
CBOE VOLATILITY INDEX (VIX) Bull Run - More Green To Come!The CBOE’ VOLATILITY INDEX’ (VIX’) has been doing good numbers increasing over 150% in the past two weeks. The index is now retracing but additional bullish action is expected according to what I am seeing coming from the charts. CBOE VOLATILITY INDEX’ (VIX’) Analysis by Alan Masters Before increasing by 150%+, the VIX’ touched a low point, which is the same as back in December 2006 (8.60); marked with a yellow square and brown line on the chart. After touching bottom back in 2006, the VIX’ went up 1000% (from Dec. 06 to Oct. 08). Here is the chart: snapshot I believe we are seeing something similar now. Additional bullish signals: MACD shows bullish divergence . Bullish RSI and STOCH . New uptrend formed after bottomed was hit. Strong break above EMA10, 50, 100 and 200. Note: Monthly candle is yet to close. This signal will only be confirmed once the monthly candle closes. A close above 18.70 on the monthly candle gives out a strong bullish signal; above 21.09 the signal becomes very strong. Current support: 18.70 Next support: 16.31 Current resistance: 19.70 Next resistance: 21.09 Targets: (1) 24.50 (2) 28.84 (3) 33.63 More targets on chart. Note: This is no trade advice. This information is shared for learning and entertainment purposes only. If you enjoyed this post, please like, comment and follow, your support is highly appreciated. Namaste.
CBOE:VIXLong
by AlanSantana
CBOE VOLATILITY INDEX (VIX) Bull Run - More Green To Come!The CBOE VOLATILITY INDEX’ (VIX’) has been doing good numbers increasing over 150% in the past two weeks. The index is now retracing but additional bullish action is expected according to what I am seeing coming from the charts. CBOE VOLATILITY INDEX’ (VIX’) Analysis by Alan Masters Before increasing by 150%+, the VIX’ touched a low point, which is the same as back in December 2006 (8.60); marked with a yellow square and brown line on the chart. After touching bottom back in 2006, the VIX’ went up 1000% (from Dec. 06 to Oct. 08). Here is the chart: I believe we are seeing something similar now. Additional bullish signals: MACD shows bullish divergence. Bullish RSI and STOCH. New uptrend formed after bottomed was hit. Strong break above EMA10, 50, 100 and 200. Note: Monthly candle is yet to close. This signal will only be confirmed once the monthly candle closes. A close above 18.70 on the monthly candle gives out a strong bullish signal; above 21.09 the signal becomes very strong. Current support: 18.70 Next support: 16.31 Current resistance: 19.70 Next resistance: 21.09 Targets: (1) 24.50 (2) 28.84 (3) 33.63 More targets on chart. Note: This is no trade advice. This information is shared for learning and entertainment purposes only. If you enjoyed this post, please like, comment and follow, your support is highly appreciated. Namaste.
CBOE:VIXLong
by AlanSantana
1
CBOE/CME Start and Expiration Date ContractsThis is a plot of all the start, Last, and expiration of the CBOE and CME Contracts. I may need to adjust some of the dates but i would like to get contract dates and etf decisions or delays on one spot for referance. How do futures contracts affect the market? Will any denial of ETF's drive the price down or do us crypto traders not even care at this point? I personally dont care and feel that most everyone expects denials across the board until we have further interest from institutions across the board. We have seen some interests of late including Morgan Stanley, Fidelity, BlackRock, and more. We also have seen some of the best University's from the us show interest recently such as Yale. I have read some other institutions interest but would like to see a clear list of for and against crpyto at this point. Slowly but surely interest is rising from institutions while retail investors have been shaken out this year for the most part. If anyone has any information or date corrections please let me know in the comments! Have a good week.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by 2Legit
2
Broadening angles unwinding like a blooming angusViacoin MAN is looking at BTC staying in his comfy accumulation triangle pocket He is really enjoying this theory he has about triangle pockets, He will maybe explain it when he is able and and its performance continues to work. Upside down Tiangles are support rocket pockets. Right side up triangles act as resistance. Broadening angles unwinding like a blooming angus, allow us to time explosive eruptions. The more we feast on the rim of support the more it will fuel us to power through to ATH BTC is a power bottom.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by ViacoinMAN
Sep 2018 BTC price prediction - down to 5xxx Even everyone are bullish like fruit, I still not trust this market. Don't forget, we still have the ETF result await us and I'm quite sure that SEC might release the result ( reject/postpone ) before 30 Sep. So what is the possible scenario in my opinion? Due to the CBOE settlement date, it's very coincident that BTC price are likely to dump/pump in between CBOE date and then, the price will dump/pump around 30% from the top/bottom of BTC's price. So, this couple days we experience massive bull run and a lot of indicators are point toward uptrend, these are my idea about the BTC price in Sep 2018. ------------------------------- Scenario #1 : We go to 7500, then down to 7000 then 7500 and SEC reject ETF and price go down to 5250 ( 30% ) ** reason : 7500 is 0.618 fib level and it's key resistant of EMA 200 Scenario#2 : We go to 7800, then down to 7500, and bounce back to 7800 again. Then SEC reject ETF, price go down to 5500 ( 30% ) ** Reason : 7800 is key resistant from before, also 0.786 fib Scenario#3 : We go to 8000, then down to 7800, and 8000 again. Then SEC reject ETF and down to 5600 ( 30% ) ** Reason : 8000 is just psychological resistant, nothing more :D Scenario#4 ( rarely ) : we go to 7500-8000 and then SEC approve ETF, price skyrocket to 14,000 ** ... just my imagination hahaha if this happen, it will be like 2014 that price break trend line but it's just a big bull trap and down to 4000 in 2019 ----------------------------- I don't know what gonna happen in this crypto market but we still in downtrend, except this time we break 8500 and go to 9000 before goin down ( higher high )
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by Real_inwCoin
4
What's happening to Bitcoin? $5900 incoming?Here's my idea on the recent Bitcoin dump. Looking at all top's there will be a little pump to $7200 zone followed by a bigger drop, forming a copy of all previous corrections. With the eye on the CBOE ETF and the timeframe I think BTC will test the $5900 range one more time. If the ETF get's approved new money will enter the crypto space ending the bearish market. If the ETF get's rejected i expect a little dump and BTC will continue the bearish pattern until 2019. Just my two cents, let me know what you think!
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Nilles
Prepare for Short Squeeze! 6500->8000 in few minutes!Remember April 2018 when everyone have no hope in crypto and a lot of ppl said it will go down to 4k? And people just build up short position along the way and it reach the ATH at 40k short position at Bitfinex... What happen next is... they got rekt! and price of BTC jump from 6800 to 8000 in few minutes. ( I still remember that moment, I having dinner and got rekt alert from Bitmex Rekt bot. ) Well, this time it could happening too. Because when most people looking at the same way, whale ( or maybe us lol ) will do the opposite. I think if the price can stay at 6500 + it will be very scary because it might jump real bad because of short liquidation chain reaction at bitmex. I think a lot of big order are around 6500-6800 range and it can be rekt so easily. Anyway, it might not happen but who know! Better prepare!
BITFINEX:BTCUSDSHORTSLong
by Real_inwCoin
Sept 2018 BTC 4000/4500 or 7800?I was put the wrong chart in my last analysis and when I tried to rework again, tradingview just cleared all my chart so I have to do it from scratch ... Anyway, here's my analysis for next month! ------------------------- CBOE/CME BTC Future Conspiracy Theory ------------------------- Some claim that both CME/CBOE BTC future settlement date don't relate to the price of BTC going up or down at all. But it's fun to think about it because everytime CBOE/CME settle their profit, the price like to pump or dump from the top / or the bottom for 28-30% profit ( in short or long ) almost every time. ( check my previous arrow ). So that's why I believe that there must be something related to CBOE/CME BTC Future haha.. ------------------ My Analysis ------------------ Ok, since the month CBOE settlement date is on Sept 19, 2018. I think about some possibility as follow ( Current BTC price 5950 ) Scenario#1 : Price jump back to 6400-6500 after CBOE settlement date ( Aug 15 ) then dump down to 4500 due to ETF Rejection. * This kinda hard because market is kinda scare right now and people start to short if the price start to bounce back.. So it's really hard to happen. Scenario#2 : Price just staggering at 6000+- for a while, then dump to 4000 after ETF rejection * This is most possible scenario in my opinion, ETF will never get approve easily. Scenario#3 : ETF approved, price jump to 7800 * Just some hope in this cryptocurrency market lol.. ---------------- Since the market still very strong bearish...so keep shorting when price bounce might be the best strategy for now.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDShort
by Real_inwCoin
BTC Sep 2018 target, 4800-5000CBOE Future never disappoint you. There was pump & dump to +-30% from highest / lowest in each CBOE cycle. Now, they dump from 8500 to 6000 and it's 30% down from top...right before CBOE settlement date. What next? I think people will stop dumping for a while and let the price climb up to 6500 again ( or maybe 6800-7000 ) And then they will dump all the way to 5000 from SEC's ETF rejection. ( Oh you can expect the big short if they reject any ETF lol ) Right now the market full of people who can make profit from short, and Bitmex playing the big role in this price declinement. Because people can short everything with 100x and get big profit ( or liquidated lol )
BITFINEX:BTCUSDShort
by Real_inwCoin
$6,000 is the next BTC bottom before CBOE Settlement at 15 Aug From my observation on BTC price and CBOE settlement date. I found out that the price movement are likely to move up or down from the bottom/top of each CBOE cycle around 30% Eg. The last CBOE future period, the bottom is 5800 and BTC move up to 7500 just before CBOE Settlement ( 30% ) So, if my analysis ( guess ) is correct. The next target price of this bear run is around 6000. ( Top is 8500 x 30% down = 5950 ) ================= For Sept 2018, if they choose to pump the price up again for 30% it will hit 7800 again. ( 6000 x 30% ) But if they choose to dump, it will reach 4200 ( 6000 x -30% ) They might try to boost the price to 7200 ( after reach 6000 ) so they can dump from 7200 to 5000 ( 7200 x -30% ) ================= Just my guess, no one know where the BTC price will be in the future.. But if ETF fail to take off this year, seeing 5000 or 4000 is likely possible....
BITFINEX:BTCUSDShort
by Real_inwCoin
3
CBOE ETF Rejected?! Whats Next!? I've Got the Forecast! Good Morning/Afternoon/Evening! It's time for the Weather! A Bitcoin ETF just got rejected(or Re-rejected) weeks earlier than we were expecting. And not just any ETF. A CBOE backed ETF. Before you bite my head off and say "No No No! Winklevoss! CBOE will make btc MOOOON" ...Firstly, understand that the appeal for the Winklevoss ETF was made by the CBOE. They appealed the March 2017 decision and applied to have it listed on their Bats BZX Exchange, Inc. (“BZX”). Go to Bats.com. It literally directs you to the CBOE website. Because the CBOE own/runs that exchange, the SEC rejected a CBOE backed bitcoin ETF, citing strong concerns about market manipulation among many other things. In light of this recent news, the other ETF's don't stand a chance. The SEC isn't going to change thier minds in a month or two. And the SEC isn't wrong. The bitcoin market is volatile, ruthless, and heavily manipulated by bots, whales & pump/dump groups. It's great if you know how to avoid the hurdles, but it's a got long ways before its going to be considered safe enough for retail investment by the SEC. More info --> www.sec.gov Now, to the technical analysis portion. This chart isn't going to be 100% exact(obviously), but it'll be pretty damn close if my record holds true for this bear market. I'm expecting about a month long decline back into that 6k support range at the .236 fib level. Probably a little lower. ~$5600. Then a low volume rally back up to around 7500 just before the rest of the ETF's get rejected in September. After that, we'll a large sell off where we will finally find a bottom sometime in early November(ish). I don't expect it to drop all the way to $3600 but thats the lowest it COULD go. Really.. I'm expecting a bottom at or just above $4000. After that, I'm expecting sideways action, and an alt rally while new investors enter the space. By spring 2019, we should done with our massive correction and start climbing steadily back up from 3+ year confirmed support trend you can find on Log-scale on the daily or weekly. I'll post a weekly chart in the comments so you can see what I mean. We might see another bubble start to form near the end of 2019/early 2020. If you found this helpful and want to follow my day to day TA on BTC, other alts, or just want to chat. Come check discord I work for --> discord.gg There you'll find expert TA for multiple anaylists, educational videos, project write ups and so much more! COMING SOON: rollinpremier.com With Love, No_L DISCLAIMER: The information provided is not to be considered as a recommendation to buy certain assets or currencies and is provided solely as an educational and information resource to help traders make their own decisions. Past performance is no guarantee of future success. It is important to note that no system or methodology has ever been developed that can guarantee profits or ensure freedom from losses. No representation or implication is being made that using the attached material will guarantee profits or ensures freedom from losses. I shall not be liable to the participant for any damages, claims, expenses or losses of any kind (whether direct or indirect) suffered by the participant arising from or in connection with the information obtained or ideas that I've shared.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by AdamNo_L
13
Bitcoin: CBOE Block Trades Detected At 0600, 13/7/18, CBOE /XBT August 18 Futures experience two large orders of 13,300 & 5,000 contracts respectively. The minimum size for a block trade is 50 contracts. No individual may control more than 5,000 contracts themselves. CBOE trades another 4,200 contracts between 2 and 3:30 Total daily volume reaches 21,834 contracts, the highest daily /XBT volume traded at the Chicago Board Options Exchange I noticed some very suspicious volume on the CBOE /XBT Aug 18 futures that totals to the amount of approx 22,000 contracts, which amounts to approx $162,800,000 USD assuming 1 BTC = $7400. Here is a chart detailing the daily timeframe, clearly showing the 22,000 contracts in volume: i.imgur.com Here is an intraday chart, with 90min candles. Note the volume: i.imgur.com Here is a 1 minute chart. This chart is very interesting as we can see the majority of the volume is coming from successive blocktrades of 500 contracts: i.imgur.com The total sum equates to ~$162,800,000, and considering they are all trades of 500 contracts at the same time, I assume these are all being made for/by the same individual. Additionally, its interesting the amount of slippage that occurred in this trade. This is NOT what an institution would usually do. However, given the limited number of products that can be used to hedge bitcoin, it may be an institutional investor. Finally, the timing of this trade relative to the spot price of BTCUSD gives us the largest clue as to what may be happening. With news of Bitcoin ETFs coming, it's possible that an institution has purchased a large sum of BTC spot and is opening a large sum of short future positions to hedge these assets until they are required. It's possible that they shorted the CBOE XBT contract first, and then later bought an equal sum of BTC (spot) valued at +$162,800,000 USD which caused the large spike in price over the last few days. It's also important to realise that this position may not be a complete hedge, and in fact the individual may have only hedged a quarter of the spot position, leaving them with positive BTC spot delta exposure. The /BTC contract at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) did not see any irregular volume. Here is a screenshot of the CME contract for reference: i.imgur.com Here you can see the contract spec for the /XBT futures contract at the CBOE. Note that no 'person' can control more than 5,000 contracts and that blocktrades have a minimum requirement of 50 contracts: cfe.cboe.com If anyone is knowledgeable about this trade please PM me. What's up with the slippage?
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by UnknownUnicorn2421992
32