We've shifted our focus to the July futures contracts as the volume starts to increase there and decrease in May futures. May options expiration is this Friday, which means first notice day is next week. If you're in May futures, you may consider exiting or rolling those positions. Corn Technicals (July) July corn futures have traded on both sides of...
Wheat Technicals (May) Wheat futures shot higher overnight but got stonewalled by what was previously trendline support (now resistance). A failure to close out above 550-555 keeps the Bear camp in control with a potential retest of the lows still in play. Further escalation in the Middle East could turn the tide back to Bullish. Bias: Neutral/Bearish...
Soybeans Technicals (May) May soybean futures broke lower but found support at our 4-star support pocket which we've outlined in recent reports as 1128 1/2-1133 1/2. The Bulls need to see this pocket defended, a failure to do so could accelerate the selling pressure. Below this support pocket and prices are back in uncharted territory, the next support level...
Corn Technicals (May) May corn futures tested the low end of the range in yesterday's trade and have so far been able to defend it, with prices working back higher in the overnight and early morning trade. We still like the risk reward trade to the buy side from the low end of the range. A break and close support would neutralize that bias as it could put the...
Soybeans Technicals (May) May soybean futures attempted to hold ground yesterday, but it lacked conviction. Prices are giving back those gains in today’s trade. 1155-1160 is the first resistance pocket the Bulls need to overcome to help spark a bigger relief rally. A failure to do so keeps the potential for new lows alive and well. Bias:...
Corn Technicals (May) What more is there to say about the corn market that hasn’t been said already? The market remains range bound with daily ranges shrinking as of late, reminiscent of watching paint dry. The CME CVOL index which measures volatility remains near the low end of the years range. Typically, we start to see that increase this time of year, but...
Wheat Technicals (May) May wheat futures broke lower yesterday, after struggling to maintian price action above trendline support in the previous two sessions. This has the Bear camp back in the driver’s seat as we officially enter the back half of the week. A close back above 550-555 would neutralize the recent bearish action. Bias:...
T.Bond continues performing as anticipated.The breakout of the diagonal triangle will clear the path for an extended upward move.
Beans have topped in a similar way multiple times this year. Rallying hard and giving it back intraday for a terrible looking candlestick.
CME:HE1! CBOT:ZC1! CBOT:ZM1! On August 1st, USDA Daily Hog and Pork Report shows that benchmark Iowa Carcass Base Price averages $128/cwt. This is a 15% increase year-over-year, and a whopping 70% higher than the five-year average of $75. Is pork still affordable? Meanwhile in the futures market, while August Lean Hog contract (HEQ2) is quoted at...
Soybean daily chart reached swing high and reversed. With Left shoulder also reversed before and momentum confirmation in daily chart. A short term bearish momentum may continues. Disclaimer: This is only for educational purpose and not financial advise.
zb market will be reduced today looks like pulback even where to determine st
Hey there. Just one question, do you see any buying pressure in the Volume Oscillator? No? Yeap me too, so we will strong on short. Price will make(finger cross) a reversal at the trendline and we will be exiting our position in the next resistance turn support. P/S: My position was entered yesterday at 1412.6. The reason why I posted this is because some of my...
Check my related idea. Daily cycles that fuelled the recent move top somewhere around the 22nd of January and the longer term cycle is down till late February. All upside price targets have been reached and it's time to take profit and consider short. To see real weakness wheat has to close below 650.
Read the previous idea on copper, same style but with wheat. By Jan 22nd expecting a cycle top and a price target of 660, cycle low on Feb 16th with a target of 575. *Futures trading involves a substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.
Today we discuss how the grain markets weekly opening day closed and risk levels where our trades get invalidated
CBOT:KE1! CBOT:ZW1! CBOT:ZC1! CBOT:ZS1! KE (Kansas City) Wheat - CBOT (World) Wheat These tend to be extremely reliable signals, indicating long term trends / changes, as Wheat itself has a relatively long (~7 year) cycle. (Wheat growing regions spreading from (north) pole to (south) pole.)
We are long the PUT options since 535 - we wanted to limit our risk. Now it is safe to short the futures, as the market is very weak technically and fundamentally. Sell on a CLOSE below 492.25, stop loss on a CLOSE above 507. 435 is the price target. I have been travelling around the wheat region in Russia last week - observing the crops, talking to farmers....