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CBoT soybeans remains a bear bias with short playSoybeans: The price is not following our preferred path and we have removed our bear-flag-pattern from the chart. Still, the EW count suggests another round of selling to the 900/880 level from here and as long as our resistance levels remain intact we keep our bear bias unchanged. Thursday's session created a classic 'Hanging Man' which is a reliable indication that the end of the move up is eminent but needs confirmation. Same confirmation came during Friday's session when the market posted a red candle. We expect a lower opening for Monday and follow through during the coming week.
CBOT:ZSX2016Short
by Remko
CBoT beanoil remains a short playBeanoil: Price has traded up further than our liking and than what we were expecting. The overall picture remains a bear biased scenario for us with a possible further swing up to 33.50 now which is a 61.8% Fibonacci retrace level. We expect decline of price but with keeping the Fibonacci resistance level in mine and we expect accelerated volatility of the down move after the support level of 31.65 has been broken. We keep the picture and our chart unchanged for now.
CBOT:ZLZ2016Short
by Remko
CBoT corn is a long playUpdate for CORN Z16: During last weekend we were not certain yet on the bottom in the market for this price and we would have liked to see one more swing to the downside. In meantime, however, we identify the candle of last Friday as a 'hammer' that has been confirmed by yesterday's firmer candle. We are looking to the upside from here and call a tradable bottom in the market. There could still come a pull-back of price but as long as price keeps trading above the 320/317 level we keep our view to the upside. If and when price breaks that level we will have to go back to our drawing board and abandon our bull bias.
CBOT:ZCZ2016Long
by Remko
CBoT wheat still waiting for the short play entry opportunityWheat: Price has not made to corrective move up during last week as per anticipation but rather kept moving sideways with a rather volatile session last Friday. We keep our views unchanged but have to accept that the timing will be later than what we were initially expecting. Consequently we have moved the preferred path in time. We are waiting for the move to the 345/355 level to see whether we can call for a tradable top there and we expect same (again) to appear during the coming week.
CBOT:ZWU2016
by Remko
CBoT corn still no green light for a long playCorn: Price basically has been moving sideways during the past 9 sessions although it made a fierce spike to the downside during yesterday's sessions after which price recovered back to its level of apparent comfort of the past 2 weeks. We are anticipating a solid bottom for price and have done so for some weeks now but we currently still feel uncertain to call for same bottom. We want to have one more week of 'wait-and-see' attitude on this one after which we will try to establish a renewed judgement. It could be that we will have to conclude and call for a bottom during the coming trading week in which case we will come with an update.
CBOT:ZCZ2016
by Remko
CBoT soyameal worth a short playSoyameal: The pattern and chart of this price shows quite some resemblance to that of the soybeans price with a far from perfect 'bear-flag-pattern' and a still preferred part to the downside. We keep our focus unchanged to the downside and have trailed our critical resistance level down to the 350/355 zone where. if broken to the upside, we will reconsider our bias. We could see a possible swing up from here during the coming week but our target remains unchanged 290/300 which is some 10% lower than current values.
CBOT:ZMZ2016Short
by Remko
CBoT soybeans worth a short from hereSoybeans: Price is following our preferred path only reluctantly and the earlier drawn 'bear-flag-pattern' is far from perfect. Still, we keep our eyes to the downside for this price and we have even trailed our target a bit down to the 870/850 zone which is some 10% below the current value. We should allow price to trade a bit up from here to the 1020/1025 zone where it would trade into a resistance area and an overshoot to the 1030/1035 will be tolerated as well. If price would break latter level to the upside we would have to return to our drawing boards and reconsider our bias.
CBOT:ZSX2016Short
by Remko
#Corn #cbot: Predictive/Forecasting Model Eyes 202'6 #fibonacciFriends, A rare coverage of the ag-commodity, but here it is - Corn (P) expected to remain under bearish strain, with a confluence of background technical tools pointing down towards the 244'4 to 202'6 range, against a foreground Predictive/Forecasting Model eyeing bearish targets as low as 202'6. TECHNICAL TOOLS: Fibonacci, Shark and 5-0 Patterns An overlay of Fibonacci matrices in Roman numbers with contraction and extension values is shown below: Fib-I = 0.886 points to a Scott Carney's Shark targe, as follows: Note that the Shark pattern originates at Point-zero and completes at Point-C, being the acolyte precursor of the 5-0 pattern (see below). Note also that Point-C of the Shark is Fibonacci-dependent upon TWO values, 0.886 as in the case of this posted chart, but also 1.131, where this tiny extension is often encountered as the inscribed pattern in the same price field, as follows: Note also, as mentioned above, that the acolyte of the Scott Carney's Shark pattern is the 5-0 patten, which is a reactionary conclusion of the Shark, typically retracing fifty percent of the Shark's last swing, hence the five-zero, or simply 5-0 pattern, as follows:
CShort
by 4xForecaster
12
CBoT soyameal long ply with tight stopSoyameal: Price has arrive at our target ahead of time and drew a beauty of a 'hammer' on the chart. A 'hammer' is a very reliable bode that the end of the downmove is imminent but it needs confirmation. We need this price to reverse here and now as per our earlier set scenario and we feel safe with a long play at the opening tonight although a tight stop is required. There is a 25/35% upswing potential in this chart. However, we need to see the reversal on Monday/Tuesday and need to stop out a a lower low.
CBOT:ZMZ2016Long
by Remko
CBoT Soybeans long play opportunity with a tight stopSoybeans: Price made a strong move to the downside of some 2.5% after which it revered leaving a relatively long bottom tail for the daily candle. Price reached our target a bit earlier than we would have expected which is not a problem as such but the structure of the latest move is a problem. Thus far we stick too our earlier casus in which we see price make a 20/30% swing up from here but we want to see the price reversal already during Monday/Tuesday failing which we will probably have to reconsider our bull ride bias. A long play opportunity is there at the opening but with tight stop.
CBOT:ZSX2016Long
by Remko