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Ccidivergence

Brent Crude Oil: A Closer Look at Bearish SignalsThe BCO/USD chart reveals a bearish divergence ; despite higher price highs, the CCI shows lower highs, signaling a potential reversal. Additionally, the CCI's presence in an overbought zone suggests the pair might be peaking. April's monthly pivot at 85.66, like March's, remains untouched —a notable point for traders. This untouched pivot, combined with our technical indicators, hints at a possible retracement to 85.66. In essence, the bearish divergence and overbought CCI, alongside unmet pivot points, suggest a downturn could be imminent. Traders might consider preparing for a move towards April's pivot, keeping an eye on evolving market dynamics.
OANDA:BCOUSDShort
by TradingClue
Regular Bearish Divergence on the 4H UNI/USD (Uniswap)**UNI/USD 4H Chart Analysis** As we examine the 4-hour chart for Uniswap (UNI/USD), a noteworthy pattern emerges, signaling potential trading opportunities. The price trajectory is forming higher highs, a bullish signal under normal circumstances. However, a deeper look with the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) reveals a contrasting picture. The CCI is making lower highs, presenting a classic case of bearish divergence. This divergence suggests weakening momentum despite the rising prices and could foreshadow a possible reversal. Moreover, UNI's price movement above the weekly pivot point, which stands untouched at $7.432, draws attention. Typically, untouched pivots act as significant levels of either support or resistance. In this context, surpassing this pivot without retest might indicate it as a plausible target for initiating a short position, particularly if other indicators support a downward shift. Traders should monitor these developments closely, considering the bearish divergence and pivot dynamics, to refine entry and exit strategies in the coming sessions.
KRAKEN:UNIUSDShort
by TradingClue
CCI Made Easy:Comprehensive Guide on the Commodity Channel IndexHello TradingView Community, it’s Ben with LeafAlgo! Today we will explore a popular indicator with commodity traders - the Commodity Channel Index (CCI). The CCI is a powerful tool that has earned its place among traders due to its ability to identify potential trend reversals, overbought or oversold conditions, and price extremes. In this comprehensive guide, we will delve into the origins of the Commodity Channel Index, explain its components, outline its applications in commodity trading, and provide real-life examples. By the end of this article, you will have a solid understanding of how to leverage the CCI effectively in your trading endeavors. Let's dive in! Origin of the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) Developed by Donald Lambert in 1980s, the Commodity Channel Index was initially designed to analyze commodities. However, over time, its application expanded to various financial markets. The CCI is a momentum oscillator, that measures the relationship between an asset's price and its statistical average. The indicator's ability to detect market conditions beyond standard price trends has made it popular among traders of all levels. Components of the Commodity Channel Index The Commodity Channel Index consists of four main components: Typical Price: The Typical Price is calculated as the average of the high, low, and closing prices of the asset over a specified period. Simple Moving Average (SMA): The SMA is a moving average of the Typical Price over the chosen number of periods. The most common period used is 20. Mean Deviation: The Mean Deviation measures the average deviation of the Typical Price from the SMA over the selected period. Commodity Channel Index (CCI): Finally, the CCI itself is calculated using the formula: CCI = (Typical Price - SMA) / (0.015 * Mean Deviation). The standard period for the Commodity Channel Index is 20, but traders can adjust this parameter to suit their trading preferences and timeframes. Interpreting the Commodity Channel Index The Commodity Channel Index fluctuates around a zero line, which acts as a reference point for identifying overbought and oversold conditions. Positive CCI values indicate that the asset's price is above the average, signaling potential overbought conditions. Conversely, negative CCI values suggest that the price is below the average, indicating potentially oversold conditions. Applications of the Commodity Channel Index in Commodity Trading 1. Identifying Overbought and Oversold Conditions The Commodity Channel Index excels in spotting overbought and oversold conditions, making it valuable for commodity traders. When the CCI climbs above +100, it indicates overbought territory, suggesting that the asset's price may be due for a pullback or reversal. On the other hand, a CCI reading below -100 suggests oversold conditions, hinting at a potential bounce or reversal in the upward direction. 2. Divergence and Trend Reversals Divergence occurs when the price of the asset moves in the opposite direction of the CCI. Bullish divergence is when the price forms lower lows while the CCI makes higher lows. This can indicate a potential trend reversal to the upside. Conversely, a bearish divergence occurs when the price forms higher highs while the CCI makes lower highs, signaling a possible trend reversal to the downside. Divergence can provide early signals of trend changes and potential entry points for traders. Bearish Example: Bullish example: 3. Commodity Channel Index as a Trend-Following Tool The Commodity Channel Index can also be employed as a trend-following indicator. Traders can look for long opportunities when the CCI crosses above zero and short opportunities when the CCI crosses below zero. However, to avoid false signals, it is advisable to combine the CCI with other technical indicators or trend confirmation tools. 4. CCI and Price Extremes The Commodity Channel Index can highlight price extremes by measuring how far the asset's price deviates from its average. A high positive CCI value indicates an exceptionally strong uptrend, while a low negative CCI value indicates a substantial downtrend. Traders can use these extreme readings to assess the strength of the prevailing trend and potential exhaustion points. Utilizing the CCI with Other Indicators Combining the Commodity Channel Index with other indicators can enhance its effectiveness and provide traders with more robust trading signals. By using complementary indicators, traders can confirm CCI signals and gain deeper insights into market conditions. Here are a few indicators that work well with the CCI: 1. Moving Averages (MA): Moving averages can be powerful tools when used alongside the CCI. By adding a simple moving average to the price chart, traders can identify the overall trend direction. When the CCI provides a signal, such as overbought or oversold conditions, traders can cross-reference it with the moving average to confirm the prevailing trend. For instance, in an uptrend, traders may focus on CCI readings below -100 as potential entry points for long positions when the price is above the moving average. 2. Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is another popular momentum oscillator that can complement the CCI. When used together, these indicators can provide stronger signals and reduce the risk of false positives. If both the CCI and RSI signal overbought or oversold conditions while simultaneously diverging, it can increase confidence in a potential market reversal. 3. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): The MACD is a trend-following indicator that also incorporates momentum analysis. When combined with the CCI, traders can get a more comprehensive view of trend strength and potential trend changes. For example, if the CCI shows overbought conditions, traders may wait for the MACD to generate a bearish signal before considering a long trade. 4. Bollinger Bands: Bollinger Bands are volatility-based bands that expand and contract around a simple moving average. When the CCI reaches extreme values outside the Bollinger Bands, it can signal potential price reversals. Traders may look for price action confirming these signals, such as candlestick patterns or divergences, before making a trading decision. Conclusion Incorporating the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) with other indicators can significantly enhance its effectiveness in trading. By cross-referencing CCI signals with confirmation from other indicators, traders can improve the accuracy of their trading decisions. However, it is crucial to avoid overcrowding the chart with too many indicators, as this can lead to analysis paralysis. Instead, focus on a select few indicators that complement the CCI and align with your trading strategy. Remember, continuous learning and practice are key to mastering the art of using technical indicators effectively in your commodity trading journey. Happy trading! :)
Editors' picks
COINBASE:ETHUSDEducation
by LeafAlgo
11
BTCUSDT A Head & Shoulders to builtBTCUSDT have a Head & Shoulders pattern to built in a Zig Zag downward, in which a wave 1 can be expected for an 2-D swing trade as a breakdown from the micro symmetrical triangle is expected. Thereby, a new supply target will expecting for a reaction. This will be an increase of confidence for the sell-side. Displayed on this H4 chart: daily LSMA (least squares moving average) resistance plus AVWAP (anchored volume weighted average) from peak of wave (ii) of this ending diagonal (as showed on my actual cyclical wave analysis). Technicals: serious divergences on Commodity Channel Index and Chaikin Money Flow suggesting a condition to a dip soon. Overbought condition.
Short
by firmestudio
3
BTCUSD Pullback to Neckline Accomplished. 50% drawdown expectedSigns of reversal, market structure choppy. Flat correction in consecutive double three zig-zags on the upper boundary of a macro diagonal after an complete impulsive wave; lower highs with decrease of volume, showing lack of confidence by the buyers-side, as shown on Weis Wave Volume indicator; overbought condition. Harmonic patterns: potential bearish Crab leading to supply. If price action don't reach this area breaking volume POC, a least a back-test to VWAP from the higher high can be occur, leading by an 3-Drives pattern. High possibility of a POC back-test @ preferencial 14,6% Fibonacci retracement zone. Plus AB=CD bearish projection leading to the micro demand zone. Strong hidden bearigh divergence on CCI oscillator. Short position swing perspective: if price broke weekly pivot level @ 21009 with strength, possible intermediary target @ 18229 support. The price can retrace to the pivot. MACRO Weekly price action: the price made a strong bearish candlestick pattern Harami Cross. The price is trading in a broadening structure like a ending diagonal formation. Weekly scenario: price pulled back to neckline from the major Head and Shoulders back-testing the VWAP from ATH. In a potential fractal from the 1st test of this VWAP, in which the same Harami Cross performed in an overbought condition, showing that a strong supply was reached. In addiction to the fractals, I've selected the local choppy structure and calculated the pivots by the sum of high+low+close:3, resulting in a key level exposed, in which price retraces before continue the decline in an impulsive bearish leg-Down. Expectation: possible lower low if a throw-over occurs in a breaking of the expanding diagonal structure. this can be lead price to touch the same 88,6% Fibonacci level as occurred historically in all corrections. Therefore, a drawndown of 50% to the 11k level seems strongly possible, --------------------- Bitcoin is about to complete it's first Wave 1 Grand Super Cycle bull run, in which actual point seems to be forming a ending diagonal of 5th impulse wave.
Short
by firmestudio
7
BTCUSD Daily overview on bearishness signsBTCUSD reached supply as it touched the Anchored VWAP at the 2022 high (@alphatrends insight), rejected the 23,000 price area after rising to 23,062 USD, which could be seen as a bull trap and a false breakout of the mother of all trendlines from ATH. This strong resistance combines the major trendline and the VWAP with a neckline of the 2021 bottom. Price action broke this dynamic trendline on June 13, 22 and tested it on August 15, 22; yesterday tested it and failed to break once again. From the point of view of chart pattern analysis, we can consider a massive and complex Head and Shoulders formation in the retracement phase up to the neckline, which can be considered as a partial validation signal, which can arouse more interest on the bear side. Key level for new short positions. If we double down on the head range, we might see a confluence with a Fibonacci retracement from the low of Friday-13-Mar'20 for the ATH, which the 88.6% level calls the 11.4k. Also, from a technical analysis point of view, we have a rare case of bearish divergence on this daily chart, on the RSI (not shown on this chart, but below), OBV, CCI and Chaikin Money Flow and Chaikin Oscillators. Awesome Oscillator analysis on H4: Ehlers Smoothed Stochastic plus Sctochastic Divergence H1 chart: Looking closely, if the price loses local support on a pullback in the regression channel, it is possible that we will see a pullback at least to the breakeven level in the 19k-18k range soon, for a correction of the imbalance. Price action may react positively as bulls identify this area as a buy zone. The lower deviation of the Regression Channel calls the 14k sublevel. Therefore, I see a high possibility that the price will hit the demand zone at 16k sub-levels in a corrective wave. On the other hand, if price holds 17k making a higher low, a sharp pullback could send the price action into a large contraction (triangle) formation. Intraday Triangle: Looking to the daily chart of TOTAL top 125 crypto-coins market cap we can see that the price pulled back to test the upper trendline of a bearish pennant: Psychologically, I think long-term buy-and-hold institutions may have an interest in voluntarily distributing this high level to spot traders so they can buy cheaper. Therefore, any pullback in the area of interest will be massively used by moonbois to inject liquidity. We are at a key point where market sentiment could turn from neutral to bearish. And the best choice, IMO, is to get ahead in short positions. But the scenario can only materialize with the definitions from the opening of the US Stock markets and a reversal from DXY. Mainly, I should keep an eye on S&P500 ES futures. This is merely a technical analysis to improve studies of hypothetical scenarios and not a financial advice. Best regards, Thiago Oliveira @firmestudio
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by firmestudio
11
The Mighty $DXY - A Bull with a sustainable infinite uptrendLadies and Gentlemen Traders of all legal ages please I Implore you to please DYOR. Okay lets get a little technical from what can be seen the cci indicator is showing that its starting to go above -100 for me its a confirmation that 89 is history The RSI indicator as well is showing bullish signs. Folks hope this could of being of some help hit the like and leave a comment. Happy hunting Im shorting the EURO. Long live Stimulus pumps lol
INDEX:DXYLong
by FrancoBlanco
What Is The CCI - Commodity Channel Hello traders 📈 Today I want to share with you a lesson in the CCI or Commodity Channel Index Indicator. Developed by Donald Lambert, the Commodity Channel Index​ (CCI) is a momentum-based oscillator used to help determine when an investment vehicle is reaching a condition of being overbought or oversold. This technical indicator is also used to assess price trend direction and strength. This information allows traders to determine if they want to enter or exit a trade, refrain from taking a trade, or add to an existing position. What Does the Commodity Channel Index Tell You? The CCI is primarily used for spotting new trends, watching for overbought and oversold levels, and spotting weakness in trends when the indicator diverges with price. When the CCI moves from negative or near-zero territory to above 100, that may indicate the price is starting a new uptrend. Once this occurs, traders can watch for a pullback in price followed by a rally in both price and the CCI to signal a buying opportunity. The same concept applies to an emerging downtrend. When the indicator goes from positive or near-zero readings to below -100, then a downtrend may be starting. This is a signal to get out of longs or to start watching for shorting opportunities. Overbought and oversold levels are not fixed since the indicator is unbound. Therefore, traders look to past readings on the indicator to get a sense of where the price reversed. For one stock, it may tend to reverse near +200 and -150. Another commodity may tend to reverse near +325 and -350. Zoom out on the chart to see lots of price reversal points, and the CCI readings at those times. There are also divergences. This is when the price is moving one way but the indicator is moving another. If the price is rising and the CCI is falling, this can indicate a weakness in the trend. While divergence is a poor trade signal, since it can last a long time and doesn't always result in a price reversal, it can be good for at least warning the trader that there is the possibility of a reversal. This way they can tighten stop loss levels or hold off on taking new trades in the price trend direction. Limitations of Using the Commodity Channel Index While often used to spot overbought and oversold conditions, the CCI is highly subjective in this regard. The indicator is unbound and therefore, prior overbought and oversold levels may have little impact in the future. The indicator is also lagging, which means at times it will provide poor signals. A rally to 100 or -100 to signal a new trend may come too late, as the price has had its run and is starting to correct already. When this happens with indicators you can potentially get a lot of false indications or fake outs, so it is always recommended to use any indicator in conjuction with another mode of technical analysis such as price action, or another indicator... Keep in mind though that since this is a momentum based indicator, another momentum based indicator is redundant. I personally would always recommend the Traders Dynamic Index as a base indicator, and then adding in the CCI for example as extra confirmation of market analysis. You can add this interesting indicator to your charts for free as a built in on tradingview.com KEY TAKEAWAYS The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is a technical indicator that measures the difference between the current price and the historical average price. When the CCI is above zero it indicates the price is above the historic average. When CCI is below zero, the price is below the historic average. CCI is an unbounded oscillator, meaning it can go higher or lower indefinitely. For this reason, overbought and oversold levels are typically determined for each individual asset by looking at historical extreme CCI levels where the price reversed from. I hope you found this review of the Commodity Channel Index useful, Please subscribe to my channel for more indicator reviews and market analysis!
Education
by renegadeforex
Gold CCI Divergence, consolidation aheadGLD showed significant redemptions in in the ETF outflows, showing a shift in sentiment. From the peak CCI of 241 on the daily chart, GLD reached 177, then a divergence commenced, with a peak to peak decline in CCI of 77%, despite a rise in price of 6.4%. My two key support levels are based on anchored VWAP because they demonstrate the accumulate volume weighted average price from key dates. From the pre covid crash panic accumulation to today, VWAP is 163, and from the pre July 27th gap and rally, 181.66. I am currently on the sidelines looking for consolidation to occur. We have a lower high of 189.40 from yesterday, and the ATH of 194.45. I am interested in taking a small long position at the anchored VWAP level of 181.66, and adding at 164
AMEX:GLD
by UnknownUnicorn3390306
GBP/JPY - Long Term Buy Position Opportunity.GBP/JPY has a significant rally in the past few days which changes the momentum to bullish. Therefore, as a long term forex trader, I'll to buy GBP/JPY, In the M30 chart, there is a CCI divergence confluence with a fresh demand, that create a great setup to buy. If the price will breakout this demand I'll look to buy again in the lower demand which we can see on the D1 chart. The target for both options will be the supply above on the D1 chart.
Long
by the5erstrading