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CCL

THE WEEK AHEAD: DAL, CCL EARNINGS; GDXJ/GDX, SLV, KREEARNINGS: CCL (28/88/25.9%) and DAL (18/77/22.1%)* announce earnings on Thursday. The DAL November 20th 21 delta, 2 x expected move 26/41 short strangle is paying 2.41 or 7.6% as a function of stock price (1.20 at 50% max; 3.8% as a function of stock price). I've pictured a short put here as the simplest play to get in on a sector that has been hammered by the pandemic, assuming you don't mind potentially being assigned at that price to work a longer-term play (i.e., covered calls). CCL is small enough to play via short straddle, with the November 20th 15 short straddle paying 3.92 or 25.9% as a function of stock price (.98 at 25% max; 6.5% as a function of stock price). Alternatively, the > 2 x expected move 10/20 short strangle is paying .93 (.46 at 50% max; 3.0% as a function of stock price). EXCHANGE-TRADED FUNDS WITH >35% 30-DAY IMPLIED RANKED BY PERCENTAGE THE NOVEMBER AT-THE-MONEY SHORT STRADDLE IS PAYING AS A FUNCTION OF STOCK PRICE: TQQQ (41/103/30.2%) XOP (19/60/17.3%) USO (10/55/146%) GDXJ (20/50/15.1%) SLV (39/48/13.5%) EWZ (21/46/14.1%) XLE (30/44/131%) XBI (36/45/13.0%) GDX (19/42/12.7%) SMH (27/47/11.2%) QQQ (35/35/10.5%) BROAD MARKET: QQQ (35/35/10.5%) IWM (32/34/9.8%) EFA (25/22/9.0%) SPY (21/26/8.0%) IRA DIVIDEND EARNERS/PREMIUM SELLING: KRE (28/47/13.6%) (Current Yield: 3.83%) SLV (39/48/13.5%) (No Yield; Precious Metals Position) EWZ (21/46/14.1%) (Current Yield: 3.80%) XLE (30/44/13.1%) (Current Yield: 7.52%) XBI (36/45/13.0%) (Current Yield: .35%; Premium Selling Play) SMH (27/47/11.2%) (Current Yield: 0.00%; Premium Selling Play) QQQ (35/35/10.5%) (0.60% Yield; Premium Selling Play) MUSINGS: With the general elections now 29 days away, I'm not doing much here in terms of adding new positions. With the margin account in particular, I'm looking at going completely flat at or near October opex and then watching the show from the sidelines. On the IRA/retirement account front, I'm already in most of the underlyings at the top of the implied volatility ladder, so don't anticipate doing much here anyway. I will naturally look at delta on a portfolio-wide basis to see whether I need additional delta one way or the other to make myself less directional running into the elections. We could, after all, conceivably see one of a variety of things depending on how things play out (i.e., relief rally, sell-off, "sideways nothing burger"). With Friday's sell-off, however, I'm tempted to add a smidge more of QQQ in the November cycle for my weekly 16 delta, 45 days 'til expiry broad market short put (the November 20th 16 delta 237 short put was paying 3.73 at the mid as of Friday close; 1.60% ROC as a function of notional risk). * -- The first metric is where 30-day implied volatility is relative to where it's been over the past 52 weeks; the second, 30-day implied volatility; and the third, the percentage the November at-the-money short straddle is paying as a function of stock price.
NYSE:DAL
by NaughtyPines
$CCL Swing Trade AnalysisIn this post, I will be going in detail with regards to my view of $CCL from a technical perspective. As of the time that I am writing this post, $CCL closed at $17.69 with a pre-market trading value of $17.75. Currently, I am bullish long-term on $CCL unless there are new developments that impact the fundamentals of the cruise industry negatively. I also have multiple entries on $CCL in which I averaged up to an average cost price of $16.02. Technical Analysis I believed that I have broken down the technical aspect of $CCL's chart quite clearly in the candlestick chart above, but just to add on a few things: 1. With regards to my price target, if an Ascending Triangle forms, I will take profit when $CCL breaks out towards the upside into the downtrend trading channel which I have drawn in the charts. From there, I may or may not re-enter a position. This will depend on how $CCL reacts to the channel. 2. With regards to my price target, if a Rising Wedge form, I will take profit when $CCL breaks out from the Rising Wedge towards the downside. However, because the downtrend that came before the Rising Wedge is a downtrend that was driven by COVID-19, a black swan event, it is likely that if market sentiments are bullish enough due to the wide availability of COVID-19 vaccines, positive news regarding the cruise industry, etc., prices could still break out towards the upside. As such, these require further monitoring. 3. However, if neither an Ascending Triangle nor a Rising Wedge form, where the market remains uncertain, I will likely hold my position while averaging up/down accordingly, PROVIDED that there are no fundamental changes towards the company and the industry itself. Disclaimer I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. I am an amateur investor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, or stock picks, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment, or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this site, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise. If this post has helped you out in making your investment/trading decision, do it give it a like, and follow for more updates regarding this ticker symbol!
NYSE:CCLLong
by UnknownUnicorn6361804
CCL - Carnival Cruise Lines We haven't checked back in with the Cruise Industry in a bit so lets take a look at where we stand. The Cruise industry was one of the hardest hit by Covid19 and to top it off they didn't receive any US stimulus relief money to keep them afloat, making them one of the riskier plays. As the saying goes, with great risk often comes great reward. That being said, if we're going into an already risky industry, might as well pick the company most likely to succeed. In this case, while so far most of the cruise lines are staying afloat, Carnival is the one most likely to make it out ok. We went into this with more detail on our previous CCL posts, but to sum it up, they cover the most territories, have the largest fleet, have the most capital, and can survive the longest without sailings than its competitors. At the moment, the Cruise Lines International Association (CLIA) has announced the decision to voluntarily extend the pause in U.S. cruise embarkations until Oct. 31, 2020. CCL estimated its monthly cash burn rate for the second half of 2020 will be around $650 million, but they have also managed to raise over $10 billion through a series of financing transactions. Technical Analysis: At the moment, we're bullish long term on CCL unless something changes (increase in cases during winter, extended cancellations, etc.) Targets: 1. $21.00 2. $25.30 3. $31.91 Feel free to give us a follow and shoot us a like for more analysis updates. Cheers! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. I am an amateur investor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, or stock picks, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on here, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise. Feel free to give us a follow and shoot us a like for more analysis updates.
NYSE:CCLLong
by MannyLo
11
$CCL breaks months-long flag and is cruising for a ~50% moveThe break of the flag which was followed up with a near perfect bounce off a retest of structure. Went long after it was noticed that this move coincided with significant dark pool buying activity and unusual options activity on August 6 and 7. In the short-term, looking to target $17-$17.50 in the next few days to take most profits off and then add back in during a pull back. Long-term will look to take profit around $20.
NYSE:CCLLong
by tradefarmer
Cablevision Holding (CVH) y su participación en Telecom (TEO)Este gráfico muestra la acción de Cablevision Holding CVH medida en dólares y el valor por acción de su participación en Telecom Argentina TEO . La participación de CVH en TEO es 39.08%. Para poder mostrar todo en el mismo grafico, multiplico el valor de su participación en TEO (0.3908*NYSE:TEO) por la cantidad de acciones que hay de TEO (125610315) para saber el valor total de su participación y después divido por la cantidad de acciones de CVH (180641002) para saber el valor por acción de CVH de su participación. La formula es 0.3908*NYSE:TEO*125610315/180641002 o para simplificar 0.271746229*NYSE:TEO. Esto permite ver el valor por acción de CVH en USD de la participación de CVH en TEO . Y para ver el valor de CVH en USD se usa el contado con liquidación: BYMA:CVH/(BYMA:GGAL*10/GGAL).
BCBA:CVH
by OptionsCoach
CCL (Carnival Cruise Lines) Now, I know a ton of People that bought into CCL becasue of the "Bargin Deal". But lets not forget that cruise lines were one of the main vectors for SARS2 into the states. if you read the 1st 10Q for CCL they tell you that their reputation might not recover because their ships name associated with SARS2-COV19 and that they may not recover from that. Its under the risk factors section of their 10Q and i think their 10K aswell. Here we have a bearish flag pattern and if PA breaks the channel and failes the restest i am afraid alot of people are going to be out of pocket alot of money. I dont do much stock trading as its too expensive with the Commissions, slippage, broker fees and everything else. but i do like speculating. Lets hope im wrong and everyone makes money and CCL makes rebound because i like cruising!
NYSE:CCLShort
by ARegularGuy
Why Is It Actually BETTER If You Missed The Drop -06/24/20 RECAPHi traders, SPY was dropping nicely thorough the day and although I took 2 nice shorts, I could've made much much more. BUT I think we shouldn't really be upset. Why? Because moves like these happen maybe once or twice a month on average. That means if you adjust your management style to these types of days, you'll be getting stopped out more often during more "normal" days in the market. It's just not worth it. If you are very advanced and can tell right from the open whether today's going to be a huge up or down day for the SPY, big thumbs up, and make sure to send me a message how you do it, I will pay you handsomely! :D Anyways, make sure to watch the video for more details and I'll talk to you soon! Trades: 1) CCL - SHORT @16.79, +1.55% 2) DAL - SHORT @27.99, +1% *In my ID trades, I risk 1% of the account per trade and go for 2% (2:1 RRR ). Sometimes I adapt a little bit as you can see in the trades' description.* Total PnL for the day: +2.55% Total PnL for the week: +4.42% Good trades, Tom | FINEIGHT
AMEX:SPY
by Fineight
2
NCLH a good buy?Hello, so today I took profit from LTC, which gave us a good return, yet was countered with downward movement. My thinking of buying both was to hedge against NCLH incase of downward movement and it worked. So I entered into another position in NCLH looking for upward price movement as in the hourly we are oversold with major support at roughly around the 16.81 area give or take a precent or two in either direction. News -Well NCLH did get downgraded just like the rest of the cruise lines to a hold, yet on the NASDAQ its still a majority buy. Trading view is a sell -Cruses are pushing back all cruises till the fall and NCLH was the only one that volunteered to extended it further unlike the other two TA -We are in a downtrend that is represtened by the yellow dotted line. -Price target to the upside is at 19.42 -Downside support at 16.61, which we have hit and pass through over 8 times. -Next downside support is at 15.42 roughly than its 14.10 -RSI is oversold on the hourly -MACD is getting tight and we can predict a pretty big move tomorrow or on Wednesday So I'm going long on NCLH in the short term, yet its hard to judge movement since its correlated with all the cruise lines. If bad news hits ccl or rcl than it hits nclh, yet NCLH has the strongest balance sheet since it is the smallest and has money to last about 18 months. WallstreetBets, if you trust them, pick NCLH over CCL if theres any credibility, yet again besides them NCLH has the better fundamentals and has a much larger hand over its money compared to the others. As of writing this futures just dropped 1.3%, so we could suspect a big move on Wednesday
NYSE:NCLHLong
by nathanielx9
6