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GOLD → Consolidation after a trend break...FX:XAUUSD , after breaking out of a downtrend, is consolidating, which may continue for some time due to Thursday's news and low liquidity on Friday. Gold stabilized after a correction, but volatility risks remain. After falling from a weekly high of $3,366, gold prices found demand again in Asia on Friday. Strong US employment data cooled expectations of an imminent Fed rate cut, which supported the dollar and limited gold's gains. Additional pressure is coming from the hawkish shift in Fed expectations, but US budget risks and weak liquidity due to the holidays could increase price volatility in the coming days. Technically, the focus is on the boundaries of the current consolidation at 3311 and 3357. In addition, within the range there is an important level of 3325, which divides the market into bearish and bullish zones... Resistance levels: 3350, 3357, 3393 Support levels: 3325, 3311 It is important to understand the situation: due to the holiday in the US, liquidity is lower, making it easier to move the price. The rest of the world, interested in gold, can easily push the price up. The trigger will be the zone 3350 - 3350. There is a chance that the market will try to break through the resistance without a pullback and continue to rise to 3393. However, the most likely scenario is that after yesterday's volatility, gold will remain within 3325 - 3357 before rising next week Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
6
GBPCAD → Retest the area of interest before growthFX:GBPCAD is closing the imbalance area as part of a countertrend correction and consolidating below the 0.5 Fibonacci level. What's next, growth or decline? The global trend is upward, and the situation is classic: the market needs energy and liquidity to continue growing. Locally, we see that as part of a countertrend correction, the market is closing the imbalance area, but at the same time forming consolidation below 0.5 Fibonacci, still leaving the zone of interest and order block below 1.84600 untouched. Technically, there is a fairly high probability of continued growth, provided that the price ends its consolidation with a breakout of the 1.85690 resistance and consolidates above 0.5 Fibonacci. Resistance levels: 1.85690, 1.8657 Support levels: 1.84986, 1.846, 1.8417 However, as an additional and, in my opinion, the most important scenario, I still consider a complete closure of the fvg and a retest of the 0.7-0.79 zone, within which the order block is located. A false breakdown of the zone of interest and the capture of liquidity could attract additional interest, which would trigger growth. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
7
GOLD → Attempt to consolidate above 3350 for growth to 3400FX:XAUUSD , after retesting resistance at 3347, is breaking through the key level, while bulls are trying to hold their ground above support. There is potential for growth to 3400. Gold retreated from its weekly high of $3366 ahead of key US employment data (NFP), which could set a new direction for the movement. But technically, this looks like a correction to consolidate above the level before continuing to rise. After three days of growth, the price faced selling amid a recovery in the dollar and profit-taking. Weak employment data (especially below 100,000) could reinforce expectations of a Fed rate cut as early as July and support gold. Conversely, a strong report will strengthen the dollar and put pressure on the metal. The market is bracing for high volatility Resistance levels: 3363, 3393, 3400 Support levels: 3347, 3336, 3311 The price has entered a new range of 3345-3400. Consolidation is forming above the support level before a possible rise. I do not rule out another retest of 3345-3336 (liquidity zone) before realization and a rally to 3400. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
14
XRPUSDT → Resistance retest. Coin inside the flatBINANCE:XRPUSDT is rising towards resistance at 2.3288 due to a shift in the fundamental background to positive and a rally in Bitcoin, but there is always a but... On the daily chart, XRP is trading below strong trend resistance, and there is also a fairly strong and voluminous liquidity pool at 2.3300 ahead, which could provide strong resistance. Bitcoin is also approaching its critical level of 110500, which may temporarily hold back growth, and a correction in the flagship could trigger a correction in the rest of the market... Focus on resistance and the liquidity pool at 2.3288. A sharp approach and capture of liquidity without the possibility of continuing growth could lead to a correction by half or the entire local range (to 2.16). Resistance levels: 2.3288, 2.357, 2.45 Support levels: 2.25, 2.213, 2.16 If the retest of resistance at 2.3288 ends in a false breakout, then subsequent consolidation below the level could trigger a correction to the above support and interest zones. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
4
AUDCHF AUDCHF is preparing to break through support and fallWeak market structure. Gradually declining lows and no reaction to support at 0.5211. Buyers are trying to keep the price above 0.5211, but under market pressure their strength is weakening. Relative to 0.5211, we see the formation of consolidation, which is of a “pre-breakdown” nature. Accordingly, a break below the 0.5211 support level could trigger the activation of buyers' SL orders, leading to liquidation and a downward price distribution. Potential targets include 0.518 and 0.5164.
by AndeWave
17
GOLD → Retesting resistance may lead to a breakout.FX:XAUUSD breaks the downward resistance line on the senior timeframe and tests the upper limit of the trading range amid the falling dollar and Powell's speech. The metal may continue its upward movement. The dollar's rise was short-lived after Fed Chairman Jerome Powell hinted at an imminent interest rate cut, but not in July... The probability of a rate cut in July fell to 22%, and in September to 72%. Markets are awaiting fresh employment data (ADP and Nonfarm Payrolls), which could influence the prospects for rate cuts. Weak reports could revive interest in gold, but for now, the asset remains under pressure due to the short-term strengthening of the dollar and uncertainty surrounding Fed policy. Technically, if the pre-breakout structure remains intact and gold continues to attack resistance within the local range of 3347-3330 (3335), the chances of further growth will be high... Resistance levels: 3347, 3358 Support levels: 3336, 3316, 3311 The global trend is upward, and locally, the price is also returning to growth. If the bulls can maintain the current trend, break through the resistance at 3347, and hold their ground above this level, then the next target will be 3390-3400. I do not rule out a correction to 3325, 3316 (liquidity hunt) before the growth continues. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
44
AUDUSD → Pre-breakout consolidation for trend continuationFX:AUDUSD may continue its upward trend. After another local distribution, the currency pair is consolidating and may repeat the cycle The dollar index continues to fall, the global trend is clear, and the price is testing multi-year lows. After yesterday's speech by Powell, the decline may intensify amid expectations of a rate cut, which will only support AUDUSD. AUDUSD is moving within an uptrend, stopping below resistance at 0.6583, but is not going to fall. There was a false breakout (the zone was tested), the structure is not broken, and the price continues to squeeze towards resistance, which could lead to a breakout and growth Resistance levels: 0.6583 Support levels: 0.6566, 0.6556 There is potential accumulation in the market, and the market is choosing growth against the backdrop of a falling dollar as its direction. Accordingly, the currency pair is one step away from a possible realization phase. Thus, if the price breaks 0.6583 and consolidates above this zone, it may continue to grow in the short and medium term. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
13
SOLUSDT → Countertrend correction and hunt for liquidityBINANCE:SOLUSDT looks quite promising on the bullish side. The price is testing one of the key resistance levels within the local trend rally. A correction is forming. Is it beneficial for us? On the higher timeframe, we see a change in character, a breakout of the trend resistance, and the formation of an upward trend support line. Bitcoin is still bullish (locally) at this time, but it is consolidating, which generally provokes a correction in SOL as well. Focus on the 150-149 area. If the bulls are able to keep the price above this zone after the retest, followed by the formation of momentum, this can be considered a positive medium-term sign. Locally, the price within the trading range of 149.36 - 158 is heading towards the area of interest and liquidity (eql) at 149.36. The current sell-off is most likely triggered by a large player seeking a more favorable entry into the market. Resistance levels: 154.75, 156.8 Support levels: 149.36, 147.93 In the current situation, it makes the most sense to consider an intraday trading strategy. A countertrend correction and a retest of support could attract buyers... Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
7
GOLD → Retest of the resistance range. Correction?FX:XAUUSD is recovering amid expectations of lower interest rates in the US, and the falling dollar is also supporting the price of the metal. The dollar remains under pressure due to political uncertainty in the US, budget concerns, and trade risks. However, strong stock market growth and possible tariff measures against Japan and the EU are also affecting the market, adding volatility to gold Powell will speak at the ECB forum, and markets are waiting for him to hint at a rate cut. Currently, the probability of a cut in July is estimated at 20%, and in September at 77%. A dovish tone will support gold, while a hawkish tone will increase pressure. Technically, since the opening of the session, gold has exhausted its daily range (ATR), and there is a fairly high probability that after strong growth, the price may be stopped in the 3347-3350 zone. Resistance levels: 3347, 3350 Support levels: 3312, 3295 If gold cannot continue to rise after breaking through 3347 and the price returns to the resistance zone, then in this case, we can consider a correction to 0.5-0.7 Fibonacci before a possible continuation of growth. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
12
GOLD → Recovery and retest of resistance. DowntrendFX:XAUUSD has been recovering since the start of the session thanks to a weak dollar, but further growth is uncertain. However, the price is still below the key range and important levels. At the beginning of the week, gold rebounded from monthly lows amid a weakening US dollar, which remains under pressure due to trade disputes with Japan, uncertainty surrounding the budget, and expectations of a Fed rate cut in September. However, the technical picture for gold remains bearish, and further dynamics will depend on new statements from Fed officials, labor market data, and Jerome Powell's speech on Tuesday. Technically, after breaking through the global range support, the price is forming a correction and testing 3294. Before a possible rise to 3320 or to the 0.7 Fibonacci zone, a correction to 3271 may form, which will determine the further development of the situation. Support levels: 3271, 3255, 3245 Resistance levels: 3294, 3320, 3347 A retest of 3295 (0.5) Fibonacci is forming. There is a possibility of a false breakout with a possible correction. If, during the correction, buyers keep the price above 3271 and return to retest 3294, we will have a chance to attempt growth to 3320 - 3347 Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
36
SOLANA → BINANCE:SOLUSDT.P is consolidating after breaking through trend resistance. The market trigger is 148.0, and Bitcoin is provoking the market to recover... The market is buying back all the losses. SOL breaks the local downward resistance and forms consolidation with a trigger of 148.0. The market has come to life following the rallying Bitcoin. If the general trend continues, SOL may break out of the accumulation zone and form a distribution towards 154.0 The latest retest of resistance is provoking a correction. Before rising, the price may test the zone of interest at 144 or the lower boundary of consolidation at 142.2. The ideal scenario would be a false breakdown of support at 142.2 before rising. Resistance levels: 148.0, 154.2 Support levels: 142.2, 137.5 Fundamentally, the situation for the crypto market is improving. Technically, the market is also showing positive dynamics. SOL is consolidating after growth, which is generally a positive sign. Now we need to wait for the price to break out of consolidation and continue its growth. One of the signs of this is a rebound from the 0.5 range and a quick retest of resistance with a gradual squeeze towards the trigger. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
12
BITCOIN → Pause for consolidation before growth. 115K?BINANCE:BTCUSDT focus on the structure on D1. The market is forming local resistance and consolidation after growth. The fundamental background is positive. BTC is following the SP500 The market is recovering in line with the stock market (SP500, NQ) after the de-escalation of the situation in the Middle East. The fall in the DXY is also providing support. Technically, the focus is on the consolidation phase after the distribution triggered by a false breakout of 100K. The price stopped before the resistance at 108100 and rolled back to 106500, confirming the boundaries of the local trading range, the essence of which is a pause for a breather before a possible continuation of growth. The structure on D1 is compression towards resistance. The trigger is 108100, and a breakout of this level could trigger distribution towards 110500 and ATH. Despite the fact that the market is under a cascade of resistance (resistance: 108100, 110400, 11900 (ATH)), an important nuance is that after strong growth, the price moved into accumulation in the 100K-110K range on D1-W1, and there are no reasons for a decline yet. Resistance levels: 108100, 108900, 110400 Support levels: 106500, 104650 If the market structure within 106500 - 108100 remains unchanged and BTC continues to storm the consolidation resistance in the “compression to level” format and stick to the level, the chances of a breakout will increase. I do not rule out the possibility of a pullback to 106500, 105650 before a possible rise to ATH. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
29
GOLD → Local bearish trend. Retest of support.FX:XAUUSD is technically looking a little weak. Support is being retested amid de-escalation of geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East. Interest in the metal is waning. On Friday, gold remains under pressure ahead of data on the core PCE index, a key inflation indicator for the Fed. If inflation turns out to be higher than expected, this could strengthen expectations of a rate cut as early as July, supporting gold. The probability of a July cut is currently estimated at 21%, and 75% for September. Amid dollar volatility caused by rumors of a possible Fed chair replacement and trade negotiations with the EU and China, traders remain cautious, awaiting clarity on inflation and monetary policy Technically, before falling, gold may form a correction to 3320 (liquidity capture). Resistance levels: 3320, 3336, 3347 Support levels: 3293, 3271 If the fundamental background remains unchanged and gold continues to decline towards support at 3293 and break through this level, the breakout could lead to a fall to 3271. However, I do not rule out the possibility that after a sharp decline, a correction to 3320 could form before the fall. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
15
USDCHF → Hunting for liquidity before the fallFX:USDCHF , against the backdrop of the falling dollar and the exit from consolidation, is forming another ‘bos’, which only confirms the market sentiment. The fall of the dollar only increases pressure on the currency pair. The price has broken out of consolidation and is trading below the key level. USDCHF has broken through a fairly strong support level, which only confirms the bearish market structure. A correction is forming ahead of a possible decline (liquidity capture). Resistance levels: 0.803, 0.8042 Support levels: 0.798, 0.79 Fundamentally and technically, the currency pair looks weak. The decline may continue after the liquidity capture phase and a retest of resistance. A false breakout of resistance will be a strong signal. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
10
GOLD → Within range. Retest resistance at 3347FX:XAUUSD continues to correct after a false breakdown of support at 3300. Due to uncertainty, the price may remain in the range of 3300-3340 for some time. Gold is fluctuating amid a weak dollar and uncertainty over Fed rates. Gold is struggling to hold on after rebounding from weekly lows, despite the US dollar falling to multi-year lows. Pressure on the dollar has intensified due to Trump's criticism of the Fed and rumors of a possible replacement for Powell. However, gold is limited in its growth due to a pause in geopolitical tensions and hawkish signals from the Fed chair. Investors are awaiting key macro data from the US (e 12:30 GMT Durable goods orders, GDP, Initial Jobless Claims) and especially the PCE inflation report on Friday. Technically, the focus is on key areas of interest: 3300, 3306, 3340, 3347. Until strong news emerges, an intraday trading strategy should be considered. Resistance levels: 3347, 3357 Support levels: 3320, 3307, 3300 Technically, a false breakout of resistance at 3347 and a retest of the local liquidity zone at 3320-3307 are possible before growth continues for the reasons mentioned above. Targets could be 3347, 3364, 3372, and 3396. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
26
GBPUSD → Pre-breakout consolidation. One step away from a rallyFX:GBPUSD is trading in consolidation. Against the backdrop of the falling dollar index, the currency pair is testing resistance at 1.3632 but is not yet ready to bounce down. Against the backdrop of the dollar's decline due to fundamental reasons, the GBPUSD currency pair is strengthening. Technically, this could lead to the price breaking out of consolidation upwards. A pre-breakout base is forming relative to the upper boundary of consolidation. The price is compressing towards the level, volatility is decreasing, which in general could lead to a breakout of resistance - trigger 1.3632. The exit from consolidation may be accompanied by distribution. The liquidity zone with W1 can be considered as a target. Resistance levels: 1.3632, 1.3743 Support levels: 1.3593, 1.3508 The global and local trends are bullish. After growth, consolidation is forming. Against the backdrop of the falling dollar, GBPUSD is testing resistance. The reaction to the false breakout of resistance is weak. The chances of a breakout are quite high. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
14
GOLD → Attempt to buy back the fall. Uncertainty factorFX:XAUUSD is falling within our expectations. After breaking through the trigger-level of 3340, the price fell to the liquidity zone of 3306. There is uncertainty in the market... Gold is rising after a false break of support at 3300-3306, interrupting a three-day decline amid a weakening dollar and ongoing tensions in the Middle East. Investors are cautious due to the unstable truce between Iran and Israel, while the decline in USD/JPY after the Bank of Japan's statements and the rise in PPI in Japan are further supporting demand for gold. Powell's comments on the need for caution in monetary policy only temporarily strengthened the dollar. Now the market is focused on US housing data and the second day of Powell's speech Technically, the price may consolidate at 3306-3347 for some time and only then show us (against the backdrop of the fundamental sentiment that has formed) which direction it will then take Resistance levels: 3347, 3364, 3372 Support levels: 3319, 3307 The market is trying to buy back the decline. Tuesday's daily session closed with a long shadow, indicating interest in this price range. A pullback to 3320-3310 is possible before growth to 3340-3347. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
20
SOONUSDT → The coin that gets killed...BINANCE:SOONUSDT.P is under pressure. The coin looks extremely weak against the backdrop of a bullish market, with key support ahead, separating traders from the panic zone and a sharp decline This coin is being killed. The price is gradually consolidating and compressing before support - the trigger is 0.2332. Against the backdrop of the overall decline that the market has experienced after a slight impulse from 0.2332, shocks are forming with the aim of capturing liquidity (red check marks). This generally indicates that large players are gathering a bearish position. A breakout of the risk zone will trigger panic and distribution. Against the backdrop of growth in Bitcoin and the top 10 cryptocurrencies (bull market), the SOON coin is gradually declining and contracting towards key support, which could be broken accompanied by strong sell-offs. Resistance levels: 0.2478, 0.25777 Support levels: 0.2332 If the coin continues to contract towards the 0.2332 support and form a pre-breakdown consolidation, there will be little chance of survival. In the short and medium term, I expect prices to fall. Best regards, R. Linda!
BINANCE:SOONUSDT.PShort
by RLinda
6
GBPAUD → Countertrend liquidity captureFX:GBPAUD is forming a countertrend correction within a global uptrend and testing the support level with W1-D1, forming a false breakdown... Against the backdrop of the dollar's correction, GBP/XXX pairs are strengthening. On the weekly timeframe, GBPAUD is forming a retest of support at 1.067 (false breakdown) within an upward bullish trend. Unable to continue falling, the price returns above 1.0673 and consolidates in the buying zone. A breakdown of the structure will confirm the bullish sentiment. Support levels: 2.0673 Resistance levels: 2.0785, 2.0852 If the bulls manage to hold their ground above the 2.067 support level within the current structure, the currency pair will have a good chance of returning to the bullish trend. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
4
EURAUD → Breakout and consolidation above key supportOANDA:EURAUD is trying to consolidate above the key support zone of 1.76 - 1.77. Within the uptrend, bulls have a fairly good chance. The market continues to break of structure, confirming the bullish sentiment on the chart. A correction is forming from 1.7882. Before rising, the price may test support. The currency pair is supported by its own bullish trend and the falling dollar (especially against the backdrop of economic problems with the USD (DXY)). Technically, the currency pair looks quite positive. After the formation of another ‘bos’, we are seeing a correction to the Fibonacci zone of 0.7 and support at 1.7696. If, during the retest, the bulls manage to hold their ground above the key support level, growth may continue in the medium term. Support levels: 1.7696, 1.7629, 1.7463 Resistance levels: 1.7882, 1.7988 Locally, a reversal pattern is forming relative to the specified zone (as part of a correction). We need to wait for confirmation (price consolidation above the level). The potential within the bullish trend is quite large, and in the medium and long term, the price may test 1.85. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
4
GOLD → Declining interest. Retest of supportFX:XAUUSD experienced significant volatility toward the end of the US trading session. This was due to developments in the Middle East. The de-escalation of the situation is leading to a decline in interest in the metal. The announced ceasefire between Iran and Israel has reduced demand for gold as a safe-haven asset, while falling oil prices have reduced its appeal as a hedge against inflation. Gold is supported by expectations of a Fed rate cut in July. The focus is on Fed Chair Powell's testimony before Congress and further developments in the Middle East. Technically, the price confirms the local bearish structure. A continued assault on the 3340 support level could trigger a further decline. Support levels: 3343-3340, 3320 Resistance levels: 3360, 3366 Focus on the trading range (consolidation) 3340 - 3400. De-escalation of the conflict in the Middle East may lead to a decline in interest in gold as a hedge asset, which may cause the price to break down of consolidation. If the retest of 3340 continues, the price will begin to contract before the level, in which case the chances of a breakdown and decline will only increase. The target will be the liquidity zone of 3320 - 3306 Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
38
GBPJPY → Assault on the resistance 196.400FX:GBPJPY under the pressure of the bull market breaks through the resistance with the aim of possible continuation of growth and retest of the liquidity zone Against the background of the dollar growth, the Japanese yen is losing value, which in general may provide support for the currency pair GBPJPY The currency pair, after a false breakout of the key resistance and a small correction, technically, the bullish structure has not broken. The price returns to the resistance at 196.400 and breaks it. If the bulls hold their defenses above the level, we can expect a rise Resistance levels: 196.400, 198.24 Support levels: 195.94, 195.45 Consolidation above 196.400, retest and break of 196.93 may trigger continuation of the growth. Zones of interest 198.24, 198.94 Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
4
ETHEREUM → Rally and liquidity capture. Up or down?BINANCE:ETHUSDT.P is strengthening following Bitcoin. This is a reaction to developments in the Middle East, namely Trump's comments on peace. But there are doubts... The crypto market is reacting to the situation in the Middle East, namely Trump's statements about peace. But apart from him, no one else is talking about peace. No agreements have been reached, so the level of risk is quite high. Another nuance hinting at the general mood in the market: 66% of the largest traders on Hyperliquid are currently shorting crypto — Cointelegraph ETH, technically, has stopped in the trend resistance zone as part of a local rally in the Pacific session. If there is not enough potential to break through the trend resistance and the price forms a false breakout of 2390, the local trend may continue Resistance levels: 2433, 2475 Support levels: 2390, 2313 The inability to continue growth will confirm the fact of bearish pressure (market distrust of the bullish momentum). The past momentum, in hindsight, can be considered manipulation (liquidity capture). Consolidation below 2390 may trigger a decline. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
4