GOLD → The northbound train is ready to move onFX:XAUUSD is back in trend after a news (inflation) shakeout. The northbound train can continue its journey from station 2908. Initial Jobless Claims and PPI ahead
Prices are supported by uncertainty around Trump's tariffs and US economic data. The Fed remains hawkish due to rising inflation, which raised bond yields and briefly drove the gold price down to $2,865. However, buyers quickly returned, driving the price back up again. The market is waiting for PPI data that could influence Fed policy, but the decline in gold prices is likely to be limited due to trade risks
The price is consolidating in the buying zone relative to the important 2900 - 2908 point. If bulls hold their defenses above 2908, gold could update ATH in the medium term
Resistance levels: 2920, 2929, 2942
Support levels: 2908, 2902
Emphasis on key levels. Gold may test 2908 support before rising further. Also the emphasis is on 2918 - 2920. A price consolidation above this zone will also support the price
Regards R. Linda!
CD
POPCATUSDT → False breakout of bearish trend resistanceBINANCE:POPCATUSDT.P is testing trend resistance on the 4H timeframe. A sharp approach and a false breakdown of the upper boundary of the channel may provoke a correction or continuation of the decline
The global trend is downtrend, the locational trend also coincides with the global trend. Bitcoin cannot become a bullish driver for altcoins yet. Yesterday's economic news also had a negative impact on the market. In addition, the cryptocurrency community was betting big on Trump, but he has put cryptocurrencies on the back burner.
Technically, POPCAT is testing the channel resistance with a false breakout within the downtrend. Consolidation of the price below 0.322 could trigger further selling.
Resistance levels: 0.322, correction resistance
Support levels: 0.2386, 0.1596
I do not exclude the possibility of retesting the resistance of the correction channel, but due to bearish pressure and weak market the decline may continue.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → News ahead. Price is testing the risk zone 2881FX:XAUUSD within the correction is testing the key risk zone from which either a continuation of the trend or a deeper correction will take place.
In the center of attention is the US CPI data, which may give a new impetus to prices.
Markets remain in uncertainty over Trump's possible tariffs and Fed policy. According to WSJ, the president's administration is preparing new tariffs and this is another dose of risks for the global economy.
Powell said that the Fed is in no hurry to change course, which raised expectations of a single rate cut in July and strengthened bond yields. Gold's further movement depends on inflation data and Trump's tariffs. If CPI exceeds forecasts, the dollar will strengthen and gold will fall in price. Weak data, on the contrary, may support the metal's growth.
Resistance levels: 2898, 2910, 2929
Support levels: 2881, 2870, 2855
A false break of the support at 2881 would mean that the market is still bullish and quite aggressive. If the bulls keep the price above 2881 - 2885, then in the short and medium term we should expect a rise to 2930 - 2950.
If gold breaks 2881 and sticks below this zone, then liquidation may take place in the market and the price may decline to 2855, 2848.
The situation is stalemate, as there is news ahead and that is why we should consider 2 scenarios.
Regards R. Linda!
EURUSD → Pending a breakout of resistanceFX:EURUSD is trying to take a chance amid the dollar correction. The price is forming a retest of consolidation resistance for a breakout and further growth
After an attempt to break the downtrend resistance, the price moves into consolidation and forms a range of 1.053 - 1.021. Inside this set-up a local channel (consolidation) is formed and the price tests the resistance at 1.038. The market is still trying to confirm the change of trend and get stronger on the background of the dollar correction.
The fundamental background is complicated due to the tariff war and economic crisis....
Resistance levels: 1.038, 1.053
Support levels: 1.033, 1.021
A breakthrough of the resistance at 1.038 and price consolidation above this area may trigger further growth within the distribution of the accumulated potential
Regards R. Linda!
USDCAD → Consolidation before downward distributionFX:USDCAD is stuck in a range (consolidation) between 1.4486 and 1.428. The dollar has been showing negative momentum lately, but with NFP ahead, the data could both reinforce the correction and support the index...
All eyes are on today's economic news. If the actual NFP is below the forecast (169K), it will strengthen the expectations of the Fed rate cut.
At 15:00 the Fed's monetary policy report will be released, which may clarify the further course of the regulator.
If the NFP comes out weak, the dollar may sag and USDCAD may decline.
If the data is stronger than expected, the USD will strengthen, which will lift the USDCAD.
If the Fed hints at a rate cut, it may weaken the USD, supporting the CAD
Resistance levels: 1.4345, 1.4369
Support levels: 1.428
News is uncertainty, as it is impossible to determine the outcome of this situation in advance.
Technically, the currency pair looks weak due to the falling dollar. A break of the support at 1.428 may trigger further decline.
Regards R. Linda!
USDJPY → False break of support gives bulls a chanceFX:USDJPY bumps into support and forms a false breakdown of the lower boundary of the local trend. The dollar is strengthening at this time, which may give a chance for growth of the currency pair.
The price stops in the zone of strong support, the fundamental background has been unstable lately and depends more on the USA. Everyone has long forgotten about the growth of interest rates in Japan and follows the economic data from the West.
Technically, there are two triggers on the chart, one to buy and one to sell, but since the global and local trend is upward, the preference is to buy. If the currency pair is able to consolidate above 151.9 - 151.95, then in the short and medium term we should expect growth to the targets indicated on the chart.
Resistance levels: 151.94, 153.7, 153.97
Support levels: 150.95, 149.52
But, if the dollar continues the correction and the bulls fail to realize the false support breakdown, the price return to 150.95 may provoke the support breakout and fall to 148.64.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Is $3000 still relevant? News aheadFX:XAUUSD has almost touched 2450 and without reaching the psychological target is smoothly flowing into correction with the purpose of respite and filling liquidity before the news and possible growth.
Gold is testing 2450 after Trump's new tariffs, keeping demand high. Investors are waiting for Powell's speech and U.S. inflation data, which may influence rate cut expectations and further dynamics of gold. Gold remains volatile on one side and bullish on the other side due to trade risks and Fed policy.
Technically, a correction is a logical scenario on the back of a strong market. The price cannot rise all the time, it needs energy, which is accumulated at the expense of sellers.
At the moment the emphasis is on such zones as: 2910, 0.5 fibo and 0.7 fibo.
Resistance levels: 2910, 2929
Support levels: 2898, 2882, 2870
Powell speaks tonight and tomorrow is the inflation data. High volatility is possible, but the general economic situation supports the metal.
Before further growth the price may test 2898, 2882. The target in the form of 2950 - 3000 remains relevant.
Regards R. Linda!
SOL → The coin may get a chance for growthBINANCE:SOLUSDT is testing trend support and at the same time bulls are trying to hold their defenses above the intermediate bottom and enter the buy zone.
SOL both fundamentally and technically has good potential. Bitcoin is consolidating at this time and it can give strong coins a chance.
Technically, solana tested the trend support with a touch and is trying to consolidate. I don't exclude the possibility of a false breakdown of the trend support before further growth, but at the moment the focus is on the resistance 200 - 203. If the bulls hold the defense above this area, the coin could strengthen to 245 - 270 - 290 in the medium term.
Resistance levels: 203, 200
Support levels: 188, trend
Emphasis on the local boundaries of the range. The market is struggling for the zone 200-205, bitcoin at this time is forming a local bullish momentum, which can also become a driver for the cryptocurrency market.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → The northbound train continues to make its way to 3KFX:XAUUSD continues its aggressive rally. The reasons for growth are the same as before - high economic risks. The price is getting closer and closer to the cherished goal of $3000.
Gold exceeded $2,850 at the beginning of the week in the U.S., but its growth is limited by the strengthening of the dollar due to increased trade risks.Trump announced new 25% tariffs on imports of steel and aluminum.
Gold is further supported by rising PBOC reserves and expectations of stimulus from China. However, the dollar may continue to strengthen ahead of US inflation data, limiting gold gains. Expectations of a dovish Fed and trade risks will help contain gold's decline.
Technically, the next two levels are important for us: the psychological level of 2900 and the key support of 2882.
Resistance levels: 2900 (not confirmed)
Support levels: 2882, 2870, 2855
The bulls can consolidate above 2900 without a pullback and continue the rally, but the most likely scenario is a false break of 2900, correction to 2882 to accumulate liquidity before continuing the rally northward
Regards R. Linda!
BITCOIN → Down to $90,000. Downside risks are risingBINANCE:BTCUSD feels the change of mood and continues to form set-ups hinting at a possible continuation of the correction. Another retest of the 90K risk zone is possible.
On the medium-term timeframe bitcoin failed to hold near ATH, in the upper consolidation range and entered the local selling zone, under the level of 99800. A negative note is felt in the cryptocurrency market, as well as a change in sentiment. Altcoins continue to break through bottom after bottom without any positive prospects. Bitcoin at this time is most likely resentful of the US governing apparatus due to the fact that no promises from Trump have been kept so far, and the price is moving into a protracted correction in the local perspective
Briefly, here's what's going on:
Expectations: Bitcoin reserve, cryptocurrency market support, transparent regulation, pumping the market ...
Reality: new scam coins created before the US election that sucked all liquidity, market manipulation, trade war with almost every country on the planet, dumping the market into the abyss.
Support levels: 95.8 (trigger), 91300, 90K
Resistance levels: 100.2, 102.67
Technically, the situation is that bitcoin may continue its decline and test 90K again, from which the risks around 90K will grow.
At the moment, the price is in consolidation between 95.8 - 100.2. A pre-breakdown consolidation is forming near the support, foreshadowing the support breakdown and further fall to 90K. But, due to the dependence of the asset before the actions of politicians in the U.S., the price may shake out to 100.2 before further falling
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Price enters buying zone ahead of NonFarmsFX:XAUUSD resumes gains Friday after brief pause, retesting liquidity accumulation support, but traders cautious ahead of US NFP release
NFP decline may support gold - if the actual NFP comes in below forecast (169K), it will reinforce expectations of an imminent Fed rate cut.
Weaker labor market → pressure on the dollar → gold rises.
Fed and policy:
At 15:00, the Fed's monetary policy report will be released, which could clarify the regulator's future course.
If signaling easing → gold up. If there will be hawkish notes → pressure on XAUUSD, but we should also take into account Trump's policy on economic risks
Conclusion on XAUUSD:
In the medium term there is every chance to reach $3,000, locally it all depends on the news: weak NFP and lack of wage growth could send gold above $2,900.
If the data turns out to be strong → a downward correction is possible
Resistance levels: 2870, 2882
Support levels: 2858, 2848
Technically, the focus is on the 2870 resistance. If the price can break this resistance and consolidate above, this maneuver will open the way to further upside. I do not rule out a retest of the channel boundary or 2858 before further upside.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → The trend is not broken, gold could go even higherFX:XAUUSD continues to strengthen after a small correction. There is a zone of interest ahead and the price may form a correction to the support before it starts to storm ATH
Gold is rising due to the growing risks on the background of the tariff war started by Trump. Despite the risks posed by the US residents as well, he is willing to continue to do so. In addition, his comment about the Fed, “The Fed made the right decision last week to hold off on cutting rates” gave aggressive support to the dollar, but that didn't break gold, which is heading for the highs. The trend is not broken and interest in the metal due to growing risks is also growing. The focus is on US and Chinese economic data as well as Fed statements.
Technically, the support in the form of the previous ATH - 2790 plays a key role and gold may test this area once again before continuing its growth. But, in the short term, it is worth keeping an eye on 2800.
Support levels: 2795, 2790
Resistance levels: 2802, 2808
There may be a small correction from 2802 or from 0.7-0.79 fibo before the price decides to storm this area again to consolidate above the support before rising further.
Regards R. Linda!
USDCHF → The bullish trend may get its continuationFX:USDCHF is entering the realization phase after a prolonged correction. A favorable background is created by the uptrend and rising dollar...
The technical outlook on the daily timeframe is very good. The price after breaking the trend resistance tested the previously broken line. The currency pair after the false breakout managed to consolidate above the key point, marking an interim bottom and further prospects.
Technically, the focus is on the resistance at 0.911, if the bulls can overcome this area and consolidate above this level, the currency pair will be able to realize a rise to 0.918 - 0.93.
Resistance levels: 0.911
Support levels: 0.90555
Before breaking the resistance, the currency pair could test 0.90555 due to the liquidity generated below this area. But, the trigger that can provoke further growth is 0.911
Regards R. Linda!
GBPUSD → What are the chances of a fall after a FB?FX:GBPUSD is testing the resistance of the downtrend, but the price does not have the strength to go beyond this range. Ahead of the news that can strengthen the downward movement....
On D1, the price is also forming a false breakdown, but relatively important level, thus confirming that the price is still in the selling zone. Ahead is the Fed rate meeting, where the interest rate is likely to remain at the same level. But the most important thing will be Powell's speech. If the official's tone is hawkish, which is the most likely scenario at the moment, the dollar will get support, which may negatively affect the GBP.
Technically, the strongest moves occur after false breakouts.
Resistance levels: 1.24887
Support levels: 1.2414, 2.2377
A retest of the trend resistance ends with a false breakout and consolidation of prices below the line... A break of the support at 1.2414 will trigger further selling. If there is no unexpected news, the currency pair may fall to 1.224
Regards R. Linda!
XAUUSD → Since the trend is still intact, gold may rise evekeeps getting stronger following a minor adjustment. A zone of interest is ahead, and before the price begins to storm the ATH, it can correct to the support.
The escalating risks associated with Trump's tariff battle are driving up the price of gold. He is prepared to keep doing so in spite of the dangers that the US citizens also present. The dollar also received strong support from his statement regarding the Fed, "The Fed made the right decision last week to hold off on cutting rates," while gold, which is on its way to the highs, was unaffected. The tendency is continuing, and as the risks associated with the metal increase, so does interest in it. The Fed announcement and US and Chinese economic data are the main topics.
Technically, the preceding ATH-2790 serves as a crucial support, and gold may test this region once more before extending its upward trajectory. However, it is worthwhile to monitor 2800 in the near future.
Support levels - 2795, 2790
Resistance levels - 2802, 2808
Before the price decides to attack this level once more to consolidate above the support before rising further, there can be a slight correction from 2802 or from the 0.7-0.79 fibo.
USDJPY → Trump crashes the market, dollar ralliesFX:USDJPY breaks downtrend structure. Monday started unexpectedly for traders with Trump's actions, which gutted localized situations not only in the forex...
The imposition of tariffs, another batch of statements about the Eurozone, BRICS, and also this: “Trump said that the Fed made the right decision last week to suspend rate cuts” produced a corresponding reaction in the market. On the back of inflation expectations, the dollar is accelerating its growth, thus provoking a rally in USDJPY.
Technically, the focus is on the resistance at 155.95 and the support of the previously broken channel, which can be tested before further growth.
Resistance levels: 155.95, 156.6
Support levels: 155.0, 153.6
The price is trying to consolidate in the buying zone, but the resistance at 155.95 is holding the price back from active strengthening. Breakdown and consolidation of the price above this area may provoke growth to the trend resistance.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → The new ATH is not the limit. What are the new targets?FX:XAUUSD updates ATH to 2800 and at the same time bulls are consolidating above the previously broken high, trying to form a base for continued gains
Gold updates all time high to $2800, amid a weaker US dollar and the threat of high tariffs from Trump, who again warned of possible 100% duties against BRICS countries, as well as a 25% tax on imports from Canada and Mexico, which boosted demand for protective assets. Investors are waiting for the US PCE Core Price Index data to gauge the Fed's next steps.
Technically, now the focus is on 2 levels: 2798.5, which is a trigger for the continuation of growth and support at 2785, behind which there is a huge pool of liquidity. Gold needs to overcome 2798.5 to continue rising, but before that a retest of the support may be formed due to the liquidity under the level.
Resistance levels: 2798.5, 2800, 2810-15
Support levels: 2790, 2785, 0.5 fibo
In general, gold has a bullish price movement. There are no hints of a trend breakdown, so the chance for the continuation of the growth is quite high and it can happen either when the trigger is broken or after a small consolidation or correction before the news. Emphasis on the previously mentioned levels and news.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Buyers are serious about retesting ATHFX:XAUUSD on the background of yesterday's news played both ways. The dollar could not win from this situation, which as a whole favorably affects the price of metal. ATH as a target is still relevant.
All attention is focused on the US GDP data for Q4. Slowdown in economic growth may increase interest in gold as a protective asset, especially against the background of possible trade tariffs of Trump and ambiguous reports of techno-giants. The Fed kept the rate, but tightened the rhetoric, which temporarily weakened gold, but the weak dollar and understanding of economic risks helped the metal to partially recover.
Technically, the rebound from the support of the ascending channel is forming, the price is passing resistance levels on its way.
Resistance levels: 2784, 2790
Support levels: 2771, 2766
Technically, from these support zones we should continue to wait for the growth towards 2790. But, based on the manner of price approach to the historical maximum, there is a probability of a small correction from 2790, after which the market will show either readiness to go even higher, or to form a deeper correction.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Consolidation ahead of Fed rate meetingFX:XAUUSD is recovering ahead of Fed rates and Powell's speech. The price is consolidating as traders are not ready for premature action. What could happen?
Gold is holding near $2,770 in Asian trading in anticipation of Wednesday's Fed decision. Investors are cautious as the regulator may pause rate cuts and give hints on future policy. Markets expect two 25bp cuts this year, but Powell's rhetoric will determine the way forward.
Factors supporting gold: dollar correction, risk stabilization and holiday season in Asia. However, Trump's trade policy may increase inflation, forcing the Fed to keep high rates longer, which is negative for gold.
But! Further movement depends solely on Powell's rhetoric.
Resistance levels: 2765, 2771
Support levels: 2759, 2745
Technically, after breaking the bullish structure and updating the lows, the price is recovering in search of resistance and liquidity to continue the probable decline. But it depends on economic data. Possible false break of 2771 resistance before further decline.
Regards R. Linda!
XRP → Resistance retest before correction BINANCE:XRPUSDT over yesterday evening bought back the previously formed fall, but faced strong resistance, which delimits the descending channel. A correction could possibly form...
After a strong rise (on D1) XRP is going into a correction, the remarkable thing is that the correction is within a descending channel, or flag, the essence of which is the continuation of the trend. Let me remind you that the global trend is bullish.
Technically, on the local , a false resistance breakout and correction may be formed, for example, to 3K or 0.5 fibo before the market starts to form the potential for a breakout of the channel resistance in order to continue the growth.
Support levels: 3000, 0.5 fibo (2.900)
Resistance levels: 3.144, 3.2
The liquidity formed in the zone 3.14 - 3.2 may not let the coin up the first time. In the short term, I expect a false breakout and correction to the targets indicated on the chart.
Regards R. Linda!
LONG TERM BULLISH - AB=CDAs illustrated, im visualizing what could be an AB=CD Pattern as a continuation structure.
We saw a strong bullish weekly candle that shows momentum and strength to the upside, and this might be our clue.
Keep in mind inflation data is likely to come in hot during JAN, which might lead the yellow metal to re-test its ATH within the next couple of weeks.
Also, geopolitical conflicts are escalating, which leads to nations to protect their economies by hedging gold.
Lastly, with China continuing its purchasing of Gold since mid NOV, the demand for gold continued growing.
It is likely we see $3.000 within the next couple of months.
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GOOD LUCK!
GBPUSD🗝️ LEVELS TO WATCH 👀AND WHY🤔🐲Hello Awesome Traders!
I trust you're having a fantastic trading week so far. Let's dive into an exciting opportunity presented by GBPUSD on its 1-hour chart. This setup is worth exploring as it offers potential for profitable trades.
GBPUSD has formed a double bottom pattern around the 1.2529 level, with striking similarities between the first and second bottoms.
Examining the CD leg, we observe two sets of equal downward swings, indicating symmetry in length. This setup is conducive to buying low and selling high, offering opportunities for traders.
For pattern enthusiasts, there are two notable formations: a flat AB=CD pattern and a dragon pattern. These patterns provide additional confluence and increase the setup's reliability.
I've drawn a trendline marked as 'E,' which the price should ideally break with a surge in volume to confirm market participation.
Targets:
For intraday traders, consider targeting the 62% Fibonacci retracement level of the AD leg at 1.25944.
Another target to watch for, especially for those eyeing the dragon pattern, is the 78% Fibonacci retracement level of the AD leg at 1.26125, which aligns with the 127% extension of the CD leg.
Trading Strategy:
Swing traders can monitor the chart over the next few days for potential long opportunities.
Keep an eye on price action and volume dynamics for confirmation before entering trades.
Set appropriate stop-loss orders to manage risk effectively.
For intraday trades, consider taking partial profits at key Fibonacci levels to lock in gains.
Happy trading, and may the pips be with you!