Beginning of a DUOPOLY - Great OpportunityUltratech cement has approved an acquisition of 8.69% stake in Star cement for Rs 851 crore. As mentioned earlier in my post of August 26 that their is a possible chance of creation of duopoly in the cement sector after Adani's entrance in the sector it has been adamant after looking to the aggressive acquisitions made by Ultratech and Adani group. Till now Ultratech cement has taken stakes in Kesoram industries, India cements and Star cement while Adani Group has taken stakes in Ambuja, ACC, Sanghi Industries, Penna Cement and Orient Cement. As we know that Greenfield projects are limited due to limited natural resources, production capacity can only be increased and dominance can be maintained by acquiring small companies. Because of this tug of war share prices of small companies have surged significantly. Star cement has given a return of 40% in 2024. It's present capacity is 7.7 MTPA and plans to increase the capacity to 25 MTPA by 2030. Cement sector is going to be exciting in the coming years. Do keep a track and be updated about the sector.
Cementstock
JK Lakshmi Cement - long term bullishStock seems to be getting ready a move higher in wave (iii) of 3 (the most powerful move).
Currently the correction in wave (ii) might have been completed as shown on the chart or could make a lower low to complete the correction.
Break of wave x at 850 would add more confidence to this idea.
Regardless of the shorter time frame, the stock seems to be getting ready to move up in long term.
Thanks for reading!
ULTRATECH CEMENTHello and welcome to this analysis
Stock continues to make higher highs and higher lows with rounding bottom formations each time. In the short term it looks set for a flag breakout.
Upside possibility till 7500 and 7900 as long as 7050 is not broken.
Good risk reward set up as it build momentum
Happy Investing
ACC cement near a breakout.Acc has closed just near its crucial resistances.
If the stock crosses 2160 it will cross its 200ema, resistance zone and and will change the trend from bearish to bullish.
On daily chart, it seems bullish and can touch 2200.
Wait for the price to cross 2160 and sustain.
This trade can become a swing trade if closes above 2160.
🔜 bullish move ahead!Technicals
The 50 % retracement of the correction from the bullish movement from the high last April was reached. It's a healthy correction so far.
We're above the EMA 17 and SMA 30 and 50 on a daily basis.
An inverse shoulder-head-shoulder-formation has been built and already broken.
As we have cut through the SMA 200 (red) without any major resistance the last time(s), we could consider it not a significant resistance when moving upwards.
We've got a bullish seasonal pattern in HEI over the last 15 years considering Seasonality. 80 % win rate in the date range from the 24th of February until the 9th of May.
Fundamentals
A growth by 1.5 % in 2022 is expected in the construction sector: www.bauindustrie.de
Construction volume is growing in 2022: www.tga-fachplaner.de
Economic growth is expected in the construction industry: www.deutsche-handwerks-zeitung.de
So I'm bullishly invested.
ACCHello and welcome to this strategy in ACC a large cap Cement sector stock.
It has made a Bearish Harmonic Alt Shark in hourly time frame suggesting downside levels of 2375/2300 as long as it stays below 2495.
Harmonic patterns are based on Fibonacci ratios coming into alignment. They indicate reversal of trend for retracements of 38-50-62% and more depending on the strength of reversal and overall trend.
Risk Reward : 50 : 70 & 140
Suggested Time frame: 2-3 weeks