ADITYA BIRLA FASHIONS - Poised to moved up ?The stock saw a huge fall of about 50% from a high of 359. From the bottom, it has been struggling for almost a year to reverse the trend. And of late, you can see the attempt to move up, seeing some success. You can see a break of structure in the daily and now a break of structure in the weekly as well. The relative strength is also positive. The money flow which had dipped is now recovering. The momentum also had weakened recently and is now picking up. Today the stock moved past the price rejection zone at 277 with wide spread up bar with volume support. In the last few sessions, we saw some increase in delivery volumes indicating some interested buying coming in. If the stock sustains above 277 levels, we can see the stock moving up further north. The next destination could be 315 levels.
Centered Oscillators
Bitcoin Leads the Charge: Bullish Signs Emerge Across Crypto MarA wave of optimism is sweeping across the cryptocurrency market, with Bitcoin (BTC) at the forefront. After a period of consolidation, bulls appear to be taking charge, sparking positive momentum not only in Bitcoin but also in altcoins like Solana (SOL) and Fantom (FTM).
Bitcoin's Technical Analysis Hints at Upswing
Technical indicators for Bitcoin are painting a bullish picture. The 20-day exponential moving average (EMA), a key indicator of short-term trends, has begun to turn upwards. This suggests a shift in momentum, with the path of least resistance now favoring an upward price movement.
Further bolstering this bullish sentiment is the Relative Strength Index (RSI). This indicator measures the momentum of price movements and currently sits in positive territory. This indicates that buyers are in control and there's room for further price appreciation.
Breaking Key Resistance Levels
A crucial level to watch for Bitcoin is $68,000. If bulls can successfully push the price above this resistance point, it could trigger a retest of the formidable barrier at $72,000. Reclaiming this level would be a significant victory for Bitcoin bulls, potentially leading to a continuation of the upward trend.
Bears Remain Vigilant
However, the battle lines are not yet definitively drawn. Bears, the market participants who profit from price declines, are not ready to concede defeat. If they can successfully push the price below the 20-day EMA and the broader moving average support levels, it could signal a potential reversal in the current trend. A drop below $60,000 could then be on the cards.
Beyond Bitcoin: Altcoins Join the Bullish Party
The positive sentiment is not limited to Bitcoin. Several altcoins are also exhibiting bullish signs. Here's a closer look at a few:
• Solana (SOL): SOL, known for its blazing-fast transaction speeds and scalability, has been on a tear lately. It's crucial to monitor technical indicators like moving averages and RSI to gauge its specific momentum.
• Fantom (FTM): FTM, a smart contracts platform focused on scalability, has shown promising signs. Tracking its developer activity and ecosystem growth can offer clues about its future trajectory.
A Word of Caution
While the current market sentiment is encouraging, it's vital to remember that the cryptocurrency market remains highly volatile. Investors should conduct thorough research and due diligence before making any investment decisions.
Opportunities and Challenges
The recent bullish signs present both opportunities and challenges for investors. The potential for continued growth across the cryptocurrency market is exciting. However, the ever-present risk of volatility necessitates a cautious and informed approach.
Conclusion
Bitcoin appears to be leading the charge in a potential crypto market upswing. Technical indicators suggest a bullish trend, but resistance levels need to be overcome. Encouragingly, several altcoins are also flashing bullish signs, adding to the overall optimism. As always, investors should approach the market with caution and conduct their own research before making any investment decisions.
Info Edge (India) Ltd Showing Strong Up-Side MomentumStrong operating businesses
Strong Operating Cash generation year with a run- rate of c1000 Cr plus (pre Tax) annually and growing.
Negative working capital due to advance subscription fees (Rs 925 cr as on 31/12/23)
Asset-light business models
"Zero" Debt.
Well Defined approach towards Financial Investments
AIF structure for eventual and self-sustained independent financial investment business.
Partnered with reputed Sovereign Fund (Temasek Holdings).
AIF contribution commitment is currently pegged at ~USD 212.5m
Funds created with a term of 12-14 years.
Established Dividend payout track record.
Formal dividend policy of paying 25%-40% of standalone cash PAT.
Track record of consistent dividend payout for last 16 years. Paid 28% of cash PAT as dividend till date.
Info Edge is India’s premier online classified company with a portfolio of brands. It owns various brands in different fields like naukri.com (online recruitment), 99acres.com (online real estate), jeevansathi.com (online matrimonial) as well as shiksha.com (online education information services). It also acts as an investor and has invested in many start-ups in the online space and is actively growing its investment portfolio.
Company is almost debt free.
Company has delivered good profit growth of 55.9% CAGR over last 5 years
B2B revenues (as on date) comprise ~90% of overall Naukri revenue and includes:
Resume database access (Naukri & iimjobs)
Job Posting (response management)
Employer branding (visibility)
Application tracking tools (Zwayam)
eHire - Resume short listing and Walk-ins
Assessment services (Do-select)
■ B2C includes revenue from
Job seeker services
Career enhancement services (AmbitionBox, Coding Ninjas, Naukri Learning)
DXY about to be let loose!DXY retracement from it's last peak seems to have bottomed out, and is starting the next leg up to retest highs. Inflation is driving rates back up, or holding them up. While bonds occasionally sell off and yields rise. I imagine either other countries start lowering yields to prevent banking failures, or the US starts increasing yields to avoid dollar debt problems associated with inflation, the fed will probably exchange the banks bonds with higher yields so they can manage deposits without anymore losses. While the repo market drains... At some point the buck stops and the CB runs out of options.
3hr
daily
macro
micro
weekly
macro
micro
monthly
Navigating Interest Rates with Micro Yield Futures Pair TradingIntroduction to Yield Futures
In the complex world of financial markets, Treasury Yield Futures offer investors a pathway to be exposed to changes in U.S. treasury yields. Among these instruments, the Micro 10-Year and Micro 2-Year Yield Futures stand out due to their granularity and accessibility. These futures contracts reflect the market's expectations for the yields of U.S. Treasury securities with corresponding maturities.
Micro 10-Year Yield Futures allow traders to express views on the longer end of the yield curve, typically influenced by factors like economic growth expectations and inflation. Conversely, Micro 2-Year Yield Futures are more sensitive to changes in the federal funds rate, making them a ideal for short-term interest rate movements.
Why Pair Trading?
Pair trading is a market-neutral strategy that involves taking offsetting positions in two closely related securities. This approach aims to capitalize on the relative price movements between the two assets, focusing on their correlation and co-integration rather than their individual price paths. In the context of Micro Treasury Yield Futures, pair trading between the 10-Year and 2-Year contracts offers a strategic advantage by exploiting the yield curve dynamics.
By simultaneously going long on Micro 10-Year Yield Futures and short on Micro 2-Year Yield Futures (or vice versa), traders can hedge against general interest rate movements while potentially profiting from changes in the yield spread between these maturities.
Analyzing the Current Market Conditions
Understanding the current market conditions is pivotal for executing a successful pair trading strategy with Micro 10-Year and Micro 2-Year Yield Futures. Currently, the interest rate environment is influenced by a complex interplay of economic recovery signals, inflation expectations, and central bank policies.
Central Bank Policies: The Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates directly affects the yield of U.S. Treasury securities. For instance, a hawkish outlook, suggesting rate hikes, can cause short-term yields to increase rapidly. Long-term yields might also rise but could be tempered by long-term inflation control measures.
Strategic Approach to Pair Trading These Futures
Trade Execution and Monitoring
To effectively implement a pair trading strategy with Micro 10-Year and Micro 2-Year Yield Futures, traders must have a solid plan for identifying entry and exit points, managing the positions, and understanding the mechanics of yield spreads. Here’s a step-by-step approach:
1. Identifying the Trade Setup
Mean Reversion Concept: In this strategy, we utilize the concept of mean reversion, which suggests that the yield spread will revert to its historical average over time. To quantify the mean, we employ a 20-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) of the spread between the Micro 10-Year and Micro 2-Year Yield Futures. This moving average serves as a benchmark to determine when the spread is significantly deviating from its typical range.
Signal Identification using the Commodity Channel Index (CCI): To further refine our entry and exit signals, the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is employed. The CCI helps in identifying cyclical turns in the spread. This indicator is particularly useful for determining when the spread has reached a condition that is statistically overbought or oversold.
2. Trade Execution:
Going Long on One and Short on the Other: Depending on your analysis, you might go long on the Micro 10-Year Yield Futures if you anticipate the long-term rates will increase more relative to the short-term rates, or vice versa.
Position Sizing: Determine the size of each position based on the volatility of the yield spreads and your risk tolerance. It's crucial to balance the positions to ensure that the trade remains market-neutral.
Regular Review and adjustments: Regularly review the economic indicators and Fed announcements that could affect interest rates. Keep an eye on the spread for any signs that it might be moving back towards its mean or breaking out in a new trend.
Contract Specifications
To further refine our strategy, understanding the specific contract details of Micro 10-Year and Micro 2-Year Yield Futures is crucial:
Micro 10-Year Yield Futures (Symbol: 10Y1!) and Micro 2-Year Yield Futures (Symbol: 2YY1!):
Tick Value: Each tick (0.001) of movement is worth $1 per contract.
Trading Hours: Sunday to Friday, 6:00 p.m. to 5:00 p.m. (New York time) with a 60-minute break each day beginning at 5:00 p.m.
Initial Margin: Approximately $350 per contract, subject to change based on market volatility.
Pair Margin Efficiency
When trading Micro 10-Year and Micro 2-Year Yield Futures as a pair, traders can leverage margin efficiencies from reduced portfolio risk. These efficiencies lower the required capital and mitigate volatility impacts.
The two charts below illustrate the volatility contrast: the Daily ATR of the yield spread is 0.033, significantly lower than the 0.082 ATR of the Micro 10-Year alone, nearly three times higher. This lower spread volatility underlines a core advantage of pair trading—reduced market exposure and potentially smoother, more predictable returns.
Risk Management in Pair Trading Micro Yield Futures
Effective risk management is the cornerstone of any successful trading strategy, especially in pair trading where the goal is to mitigate market risks through balancing positions. Here are key risk management techniques that should be considered when pair trading Micro 10-Year and Micro 2-Year Yield Futures:
1. Setting Stop-Loss Orders:
Pre-determined Levels: Establish stop-loss levels at the outset of the trade based on historical volatility, maximum acceptable loss, and the distance from your entry point. This helps in limiting potential losses if the market moves unfavorably.
Trailing Stops: Consider using trailing stop-loss orders that move with the market price. This method locks in profits while providing protection against reversal trends.
2. Position Sizing and Leverage Control:
Balanced Exposure: Ensure that the sizes of the long and short positions are balanced to maintain a market-neutral stance. This helps in minimizing the impact of broad market movements on the pair trade.
Leverage Management: Be cautious with the use of leverage. Excessive leverage can amplify losses, especially in volatile market conditions. Always align leverage with your risk tolerance and market assessment.
3. Regular Monitoring and Adjustments:
Adaptation to Market Changes: Be flexible to adjust or close the positions based on significant changes in market conditions or when the initial trading assumptions no longer hold true.
4. Utilizing Risk Management Tools:
Risk Management Software: Set alerts on TradingView to help track the performance and risk level of your pair trades effectively.
Backtesting: Regularly backtest the strategy against historical data to ensure it remains effective under various market conditions. This can also help refine the entry and exit criteria to better handle market volatility.
Effective risk management not only preserves capital but also enhances the potential for profitability by maintaining disciplined trading practices. These strategies ensure that traders can sustain their operations and capitalize on opportunities without facing disproportionate risks.
Conclusion
Pair trading Micro 10-Year and Micro 2-Year Yield Futures offers traders a sophisticated strategy to exploit inefficiencies within the yield curve while mitigating exposure to broader market movements. This approach leverages the distinct characteristics of these two futures contracts, aiming to profit from the relative movements between long-term and short-term interest rates.
Key Takeaways:
Market Neutral Strategy: Pair trading is fundamentally a market-neutral strategy that focuses on the relative performance of two assets rather than their individual price movements. This can provide insulation against market volatility and reduce directional risk.
Importance of Strategy and Discipline: Successful pair trading requires a disciplined approach to strategy implementation, from trade setup and execution to ongoing management and exit. Adhering to a predefined strategy helps maintain focus and objectivity in trading decisions.
Dynamic Market Adaptation: The financial markets are continuously evolving, influenced by economic data, policy changes, and global events. A successful pair trader must remain adaptable, continuously analyzing market conditions and adjusting strategies as needed to align with the current economic landscape.
Comprehensive Risk Management: Effective risk management is crucial in pair trading, involving careful consideration of position sizing, stop-loss settings, and regular strategy reviews. This ensures sustainability and longevity in trading by protecting against undue losses.
By maintaining a disciplined approach and adapting to market changes, traders can harness the potential of Micro Treasury Yield Futures for strategic pair trading, balancing risk and reward effectively.
When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies.
General Disclaimer:
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
Introducing another way to display volume profile sectionsHello traders!
If you "Follow" us, you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click “Boost”.
Have a good day.
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The indicators activated in the settings are those created by trading volume.
Therefore, this indicator represents the volume profile section.
The indicator that the arrow points to is the indicator I mentioned earlier.
By looking at this indicator together with volume candles, you can more clearly identify the volume profile section and support and resistance sections.
In addition, you can verify the start of trading by checking the movement of the BW indicator, which consists of five indicators, namely MACD, StochRSI, CCI, PVT, and superTrend indicators.
BW-MACD, BW-StochRSI, BW-CCI, BW-PVT, and BW-superTrend indicators are displayed separately to help you understand the indicators.
Once your trading timing has been selected, you need to create a trading strategy that suits your investment style.
What is important in creating a trading strategy that suits your investment style is the investment period and investment size.
Once the investment period and investment size have been decided, you must create a trading method and profit realization method using the information obtained from chart analysis.
Trading methods include buying, selling, and stop loss methods.
The purchase method should focus on how to lower the average purchase price by purchasing in installments.
At that time, when the price falls below the stop loss point and shows resistance, you need to think about how to proceed with selling.
When taking a stop loss, you must proceed according to the investment period you have set.
For example, if you decide to trade within one wave as a short-term trade and proceed with the trade, but the price falls below the stop loss point, you should be able to sell 100% and then watch the situation.
If the price rises after purchasing, you must proceed with selling according to the selling method.
The selling method must also be carried out according to the investment period.
However, the method of increasing the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to profit by selling the amount equal to the purchase amount can be continued into mid- to long-term trading even if the transaction was done through day trading or short-term trading.
The reason is that the average purchase price of coins (tokens) corresponding to profits is 0.
If you add other indicators to help you conduct split transactions based on price fluctuations, the chart will look like the one above.
If the chart is unfamiliar to your eyes,
It is recommended to view only the HA-Low, HA-High indicators and the M-Signal indicators of the 1D, 1W, and 1M charts.
Have a good time.
thank you
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- The big picture
A full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting zone, you should check the movement when this zone is touched.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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Potential Bitcoin Long on Weekly Stochastic RSI CrossoverBitcoin, the world's leading cryptocurrency, has experienced a volatile period in recent months. However, a technical indicator on the weekly timeframe is sparking potential buying opportunities for long-term investors. This indicator is the Stochastic RSI, and a recent or upcoming bullish crossover could signal a reversal in the downtrend.
Understanding the Stochastic RSI
The Stochastic RSI (Stochastic Relative Strength Index) is a technical momentum indicator that oscillates between 0 and 100. It measures the closing price of an asset relative to its price range over a specific period. In simpler terms, it indicates whether the asset is currently trading near the highs or lows of its recent price range.
The Stochastic RSI consists of two lines: %K and %D. The %K line is the faster-moving average of the RSI, while the %D line is a slower-moving average of %K. A bullish crossover occurs when the %K line crosses above the %D line, suggesting a potential reversal from oversold conditions and a possible upswing in price.
Why a Weekly Stochastic RSI Crossover Matters
The weekly timeframe provides a broader perspective on price movements compared to daily or hourly charts. A bullish crossover on the weekly Stochastic RSI suggests a shift in momentum that could hold more weight than on shorter timeframes. This crossover can indicate that oversold conditions have been exhausted, and buyers are starting to take control.
Current Bitcoin Situation and the Stochastic RSI
By analyzing historical charts, we can see that the weekly Stochastic RSI for Bitcoin has fluctuated between oversold and overbought territories throughout its history. In previous instances, bullish crossovers on the weekly timeframe often coincided with periods of price accumulation and subsequent price increases.
Is a Bullish Crossover Imminent?
While it's impossible to predict the future with certainty, a potential bullish crossover on the weekly Stochastic RSI for Bitcoin is an interesting development to watch. If the crossover materializes and is accompanied by other positive indicators, it could signal a buying opportunity for long-term investors.
Important Considerations Before Going Long on Bitcoin
• Market Volatility: The cryptocurrency market remains highly volatile. Even with a bullish technical indicator, there's no guarantee of a sustained price increase.
• Fundamental Analysis: Don't rely solely on technical indicators. Consider fundamental factors like regulations, adoption rates, and overall market sentiment when making investment decisions.
• Risk Management: Always implement proper risk management strategies, such as stop-loss orders, to limit potential losses. Bitcoin is a high-risk investment, and investors should only allocate a portion of their portfolio that they can afford to lose.
Conclusion
A potential bullish crossover on the weekly Stochastic RSI for Bitcoin presents a glimmer of hope for long-term investors. However, it's crucial to remember that technical indicators are just one piece of the puzzle. A comprehensive investment strategy should also consider fundamental analysis and proper risk management. While the future remains uncertain, this technical development is worth keeping an eye on as Bitcoin continues to navigate a volatile market.
HG Futures, Copper's Potential Rise: Monthly, Weekly, Daily.Monthly is winding up for a big drop or huge jump.
Monthly:
Weekly:
Daily shows price winding up potentially the rest of the year. So I will look towards year end for the fireworks, that will decide if our pent up momentum will release upwards or downwards.
My gut says inflation will send it upward in the near future.
#DLINKINDIA is Near to Break Previous All Time High
Company has reduced debt.
Company is almost debt free.
Company has delivered good profit growth of 28.0% CAGR over last 5 years
Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 39.8%
Strengths:
Established market position and strong distribution network: D-Link is the market leader in switches and wireless local area network (WLAN) products, with a significant market share. In fiscal 2019, the company introduced a series of high-end products for its enterprise business, including unmanaged long-term power over ethernet (PoE)/PoE plus switches; new generation layer 3 stackable managed switches with advance hardware and software enhancements for better performance, flexibility and ease of management; and industrial grade switches. D-Link has invested in state-of-the-art support infrastructure for both consumers and enterprises, which includes 10 D-Link-owned service centres with more than 50 experts in tier 1 cities, over 23 partner service centres with more than 40 experts in tier 2 / tier 3 cities, partner collection points in more than 105 cities and logistical support in over 190 cities. D-Link Technical Support Centres (DTSC) are manned by over 30 highly skilled engineers providing L1 to L3 support for all retail and enterprise customers.
Healthy financial risk profile: Networth was Rs 363 crore as on March 31, 2023, and is expected to increase over the medium term because of steady accretion to reserves and absence of debt repayment. Return on capital employed improved to 36% in fiscal 2023 as profitability increased. In the absence of any debt-funded capex, the financial risk profile is expected to remain healthy over the medium term.
Weaknesses:
Exposure to intense competition and risks inherent in the networking industry: D-Link mainly operates in the home and small and medium enterprise segments of the networking industry, where profitability is lower than that in the institutional sales segment. The latter is dominated by Cisco India and other new entrants. Profitability in the retail segment is constrained by intense competition and commoditised products.
Susceptibility to volatility in input price and currency: Copper, the key input for manufacturing cables is an open market commodity traded globally on exchanges, leading to volatility in its prices. Furthermore, fluctuations in currency also impact profitability, as the company imports about 30% of its traded products. Complete and immediate passing on of cost increases is difficult given the competitive pressure. The company experiences lag of 45-60 days in passing on price hikes. Hence, the operating margin will remain susceptible to fluctuations in raw material prices and currency. D-Link hedges currency exposure up to 70% of the total exposure by entering forward contracts.
Liquidity: Adequate
Cash accrual, expected at Rs 65-75 crore in fiscals 2024 and 2025, will support liquidity in the absence of any capex or debt obligation. Unutilised bank limit of Rs 10 crore will be adequate to fund the company’s fixed expenses. Cash surplus is expected to remain healthy over the medium term.
Gold Eyes Renewed Rally as Central Bank Doves SingGold Eyes Renewed Rally as Central Bank Doves Sing, But Can It Break Through? (XAU/USD Forecast)
The price of gold (XAU/USD) is poised for a potential return to its upward climb after a brief consolidation period. This renewed bullish sentiment comes on the back of dovish signals from central banks and a key resistance level waiting to be breached.
Central Banks Singing a Softer Tune
The Bank of England (BoE) recently surprised markets by holding interest rates steady at 0.75%. This decision, coupled with a downward revision of inflation forecasts, suggests a more cautious approach from the central bank. The underlying message: interest rate hikes, which typically put downward pressure on gold prices, might be delayed.
Across the pond, the Federal Reserve remains the center of attention this week. With key Fed speakers scheduled for Friday, investors are eagerly awaiting any clues regarding the future of monetary policy in the United States. A dovish tone from the Fed, hinting at a slower pace of interest rate hikes, could further bolster gold prices.
Why is This Good News for Gold?
Gold is often seen as an inflation hedge. When inflation rises, the value of traditional currencies like the US dollar erodes. As a result, investors turn to gold as a store of value, seeking to preserve their purchasing power. Additionally, higher interest rates typically translate into a stronger US dollar, making gold less attractive as an investment.
Therefore, a scenario where central banks adopt a more cautious approach towards tightening monetary policy translates into two potential benefits for gold:
• Lower inflation expectations: If inflation forecasts are revised downwards, the pressure on gold as an inflation hedge might lessen. However, gold's appeal as a store of value could still persist due to ongoing geopolitical tensions or economic uncertainties.
• Slower interest rate hikes: A dovish Fed with a slower pace of rate hikes could weaken the US dollar, making gold a more attractive investment proposition.
The $2,340 Hurdle: Can Gold Break Through?
Despite the positive tailwinds from central banks, XAU/USD currently faces a critical resistance level at around $2,340. A decisive break above this level could signal a renewed uptrend for gold. Conversely, a failure to breach this resistance could lead to a period of consolidation or even a potential pullback.
Technical Indicators Offer Mixed Signals
Technical indicators on the daily chart paint a somewhat mixed picture. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently sits around 57, indicating neither overbought nor oversold territory. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) also suggests a neutral outlook. However, a recent break above the 50-day SMA could be interpreted as a bullish sign.
Looking Ahead: What Could Drive the Gold Price?
Several factors beyond central bank decisions could influence the gold price in the coming weeks:
• Geopolitical Tensions: Heightened geopolitical tensions or conflicts can trigger a flight to safety, driving investors towards gold.
• Global Economic Data: Economic data releases, such as inflation reports or jobs numbers, can impact investor sentiment and influence the demand for gold.
• US Dollar Strength: The strength of the US dollar continues to play a crucial role. A weakening dollar can benefit gold prices.
Conclusion: A Potential Bullish Run on the Horizon
The combination of dovish central bank signals and a key resistance level waiting to be tested creates an intriguing scenario for the gold price. While technical indicators remain somewhat neutral, the near-term outlook appears positive. However, investors should remain cautious and closely monitor economic data, geopolitical developments, and the US dollar's performance for a clearer picture of the gold market's direction. A decisive break above $2,340 could signal the start of a renewed bullish run for XAU/USD.
#NHPC Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 49.5%
The company is actively engaged in the construction of 15 Solar and Hydro Power Projects of 10449 MW Capacity (including JV & Subsidiaries). Total projects under clearance stood at 4112 MW and projects under survey stood at 4110 MW as on Dec’23.
MOUs
Company has signed a MoU on 3 Jan 2024 with GPCL for proposed investment of Rs.4000 Cr in Kuppa Pumped Storage Project (750 MW), Chhota Udaipur, Gujarat.
Company signed an MOU with Govt. of Odisha through GRIDCO Limited on 23 Jun 2023 for Development of Pumped Storage Projects and Renewable Energy in the State of Odisha.
It signed an MOU on 23 Aug 2023 with APGENCO for Implementation of Pumped Hydro Storage Projects and Renewable Energy Projects under Joint Venture Mode in Andhra Pradesh. The MOU envisages Implementation of two Identified Pumped Hydro Storage Projects namely Kamlapadu- 950 MW and Yaganti 1000 MW PSPs in the first phase.
Focus
Being a hydro power company shifting its focus toward the renewable energy segment as well. Out of 10499 MW capacity under construction 1135 MW is for Solar power. It has recently signed a contract to develop additional 2000 MW solar power capacity in Rajasthan. About 9090 MW Solar power capacity is under Tender and pipeline including as a Intermediary Procurer.
Avalanche in 2024: Boom or Bust? Examining Analyst Predictions The cryptocurrency space is a whirlwind of predictions, with influencers and analysts vying for attention with bold claims about the future of various digital assets. One such case is Crypto Archie, a popular Twitter personality who recently made a bullish prediction for Avalanche (AVAX), a gaming-centric cryptocurrency. With AVAX experiencing a significant rise this year, the question remains: is Avalanche poised for an "explosion" in 2024?
Avalanche's 2024 Trajectory: A Look at the Numbers
Crypto Archie's prediction certainly piques investor interest. Avalanche has indeed made impressive strides in 2024, boasting a 158% year-to-date (YTD). This growth is a testament to the increasing adoption and potential of the Avalanche ecosystem.
However, recent price fluctuations paint a slightly different picture. Trading around $35 at the time of writing, Avalanche seems to be experiencing a period of uncertainty. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), a technical indicator used to gauge market momentum, currently sits around 52. This suggests a balanced market, with no clear indication of overselling or overbuying. This neutrality could be interpreted as a sign of consolidation before a potential breakout, but it also reflects investor hesitation.
Technical Support and Resistance: A Range-Bound AVAX?
Currently, Avalanche seems to be tethered between $30 and $34. This relatively narrow range indicates potential price fluctuations within these boundaries in the near future. While this might not align with Crypto Archie's vision of an "explosion," it doesn't necessarily negate the possibility of future growth.
Beyond Predictions: The Strength of Avalanche's Technology
While analyst predictions and price movements are important factors, they shouldn't be the sole basis for investment decisions. A crucial element to consider is the underlying technology powering the cryptocurrency. Avalanche boasts a unique architecture designed for scalability and speed, addressing some of the limitations plaguing older blockchains like Ethereum.
Avalanche's platform allows for the creation of subnets, essentially customized blockchains for specific applications. This caters particularly to the gaming industry, where fast transaction speeds and scalability are paramount. Additionally, Avalanche's security relies on a Proof-of-Stake (PoS) consensus mechanism, which is considered more energy-efficient compared to Proof-of-Work (PoW) used by Bitcoin.
These technological advantages position Avalanche as a strong contender in the burgeoning blockchain-powered gaming space. Increased adoption from game developers and players could fuel future price growth for AVAX.
Investing in Avalanche: A Calculated Approach
While Crypto Archie's prediction injects optimism, it's essential to approach cryptocurrency investments with a healthy dose of skepticism. The market is inherently volatile, and unforeseen events can significantly impact prices.
Conducting thorough research beyond analyst predictions is crucial. Understanding the technology behind Avalanche, the competitive landscape, and the overall market trends is essential. Additionally, investors should consider their risk tolerance and develop a well-defined investment strategy before committing any capital.
Avalanche in 2024: A Promising Future Built on Technology
Whether Avalanche experiences an "explosion" in 2024 remains to be seen. However, its robust technology, focus on the booming gaming sector, and existing community support create a compelling case for its long-term potential. While short-term price movements may be uncertain, Avalanche's fundamentals offer a solid foundation for future growth.
For investors, careful research, understanding individual risk tolerance, and building a balanced portfolio remain key to navigating the ever-evolving cryptocurrency landscape.
BTC 1D Showing major red flagsHey how's everyone doing? It's been a while but I'm going to keep this explanation brief as the chart is self explanatory.
This is one of the strongest indications I look for when trying to predict price drops.
The way the MACD and RSI look together right now shows very strong potential for a sharp drop.
Keep in mind that this is the daily timeframe so it the move may not necessarily play out overnight but it is possible. Even though it is the weekend, I do feel its one of those rare weekends where we can possible see price movement.
I do think there's some potential for a move higher in the short term as I've indicated here on the 4H timeframe.
As long as BTC is below the 0.786 level on the chart (70K) there is strong potential for a 15%+ move to the downside IMO. I'd look for potential support in the lower 50K area (54K +/- 2K)
Another possibility to look out for is a quick sharp drop that plays out very fast (within a day) creating a quick wick / bullish hammer candle which would be a strong bullish indicator on the daily chart for upside continuation. The point is the possibility for the move down before upside continuation is very high.
As I've mentioned, Invalidation point would be a move above 70K. That's all for now. Take care & Trade safe.
Crude Oil Makes a Higher LowCrude-oil futures have been climbing all year, and some traders may see further upside.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the March 6 high of 80.67. CL1! Bounced there two weeks later, potentially turning old resistance into new support. That’s could be a bullish signal.
Prices then rallied to a new six-month high near 88 before pulling back. They bottomed on Monday at 80.70. That slightly higher low on the weekly time frame may suggest an uptrend is taking shape.
Next, stochastics are rebounding from an oversold condition.
Finally, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) had a “golden cross” above the 200-day SMA in early April. That may also suggest prices are turning higher over the longer term.
TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. See our Overview for more.
Security futures are not suitable for all investors. To obtain a copy of the security futures risk disclosure statement visit www.TradeStation.com .
Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors.
Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges.
TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
Bitcoin on the Brink: Bollinger Bands Hint at Potential Price BrBitcoin, the world's most popular cryptocurrency, has been exhibiting some intriguing technical signals lately. The cryptocurrency's volatility indicator, the Bollinger Bands, has narrowed significantly, reaching levels last seen in mid-February 2024. This development has sparked speculation among analysts about a potential price breakout for Bitcoin (BTC) in the near future.
Bollinger Bands Explained:
The Bollinger Bands is a technical analysis tool that measures price volatility. It consists of three lines: a simple moving average (SMA) in the center, and an upper and lower band plotted at a specific standard deviation distance above and below the SMA, respectively. The wider the bands, the higher the volatility; conversely, narrower bands suggest a period of compressed price movement.
What Does the Narrowing of Bands Indicate?
When the Bollinger Bands contract, it typically signifies a period of low volatility or consolidation. This can be interpreted in two ways. One possibility is that a breakout is imminent, with the price poised for a significant move in either direction – up or down. The other possibility is that the current price range may hold for a while longer, with continued consolidation.
The Mid-February Precedent:
The current narrowing of the Bollinger Bands is particularly interesting because it mirrors the situation observed in mid-February 2024. Back then, the bands contracted to a similar degree, and it was subsequently followed by a price surge that saw Bitcoin climb above $50,000. This has led some analysts to believe that history might repeat itself, with another price breakout on the horizon.
Is a Breakout Guaranteed?
However, it's crucial to remember that technical indicators, like Bollinger Bands, are not crystal balls. While they can provide valuable insights into potential price movements, they don't guarantee future outcomes. Several factors beyond technical analysis can influence the price of Bitcoin, including:
• Market sentiment: Overall investor confidence towards cryptocurrencies can significantly impact Bitcoin's price. Positive sentiment can fuel a breakout, while negative sentiment could lead to a downward price movement.
• Regulatory landscape: Government regulations and policies aimed at cryptocurrencies can create uncertainty and impact investor decisions.
• Major news events: Significant global events, such as economic downturns or geopolitical tensions, can influence the price of Bitcoin as investors seek alternative assets.
What to Watch Out For:
Given the inherent uncertainty, investors should closely monitor these additional factors to gauge the direction of a potential breakout. If positive market sentiment coincides with the Bollinger Band breakout, we could see a significant surge in Bitcoin's price. Conversely, if negative sentiment prevails, the breakout might be short-lived, or it could even lead to a price correction.
Conclusion:
The narrowing of the Bollinger Bands is a noteworthy development for Bitcoin, suggesting a potential breakout on the horizon. However, investors should exercise caution and consider broader market factors before making any investment decisions. By combining technical analysis with a well-rounded understanding of the cryptocurrency landscape, investors can position themselves to potentially capitalize on Bitcoin's next price move.
Micron Pulls BackMicron Technology jumped on AI enthusiasm last month and now it’s pulled back.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the bullish gap on March 21 after earnings and revenue beat estimates. MU dipped to $107.05 the following session before continuing higher, but has now pulled back to hold that level. Has support been confirmed?
Second, you have the sequence of simple moving averages (SMAs). The 50-day SMA is above the 100-day SMA, which is above the 200-day SMA. That may reflect a bullish long-term trend.
Third, stochastics have dipped into oversold territory. Prices are also near the bottom of the Keltner Channel. Those patterns may suggest that it’s had a healthy pullback.
Finally, MU’s bullish inside candle on Monday could indicate its short-term downtrend is nearing an end.
TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. See our Overview for more.
Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors.
Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges.
TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
Microsoft Could Be OversoldMicrosoft rallied after its last earnings report. Now it may be giving traders another chance with the next set of numbers due Thursday afternoon.
The first pattern on today’s chart is $397.21. That was the low on January 31, immediately after the software giant beat earnings and revenue estimates. Prices had run into the report, and they fell on profit taking. But support from that session was retested in mid-February and seemed to remain valid yesterday.
Is MSFT giving buyers another opportunity?
Second, the software giant has tested its rising 100-day simple moving average. That may suggest that its longer-term uptrend is intact.
Finally, stochastics are oversold.
TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. See our Overview for more.
Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors.
Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges.
TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
Williams%Range Moving Average alerts indicator for FOREX tradinAllTheUpsTheresAlwaysDowns" ☆ATUTAD☆
// Williams%Range Moving Average alerts indicator for FOREX trading.
This indicator is provided for you to use it as agreat plot next to the knowledge and strategy you may have already created.
The soul ideal is the 40 period williams % range indicator with overbought level at -20 , oversold at -80 and buy range above the -50 and sell range below.
In the use of a wpr on your trading chart its most defitnatly that you will find divergences formed when the wpr has crossed above, been above, crossed below and above with a lower high reached. Indicating such "divergence" for an overbought momentum in "confluences" meaning it is matching with the price movement on the main chart having a higher reach than it just was candles back.
This same thought proces and visual sighting occurs when the wpr has and after the crossing below the oversold at -80.
*While in some hours of days there may not form a divergance but a retest or trendreversal.
The indicator gives yellow triangles above the candle bar for overbought momentems and Blue trianges below at oversolds.
*Be free to fine tune your period vision with its respective oversold and overbought action.
The -50 will most often gives the trend direction by cause of crossing above "bullish trend. Bearish trend" for crossing below.
Whit this logic a moving average trend is visual and triangles are formed above or below the candle bars signaling the current trend.
An 2nd moving average is for use as extra conformation of a trend direction or to the short term reversals. Also adding value to the background color but in confluences of the oversold signals.
There are labels for the session open and ending without the names but certainly for;
Tokyo.@0200-1000
London.@0600-1700
New York.@1400-2300
((Amsterdam UTC+2 time))
and the current bar of the particular session start or end haves a diffrent visual to.
The use of the 4 alerts;
buyCALL
sellCALL
OVERbought
OVERsold
is provided with message indicating timechart(for you to fill in M..),
the price value and time.
*The any alert() function call provides alerts for the session start/end.
Overall, one great indicator.
Bitcoin Cools Off After Flirting with Overheated Futures MarketThe Bitcoin market appears to be taking a breather after a period of intense activity in the futures market. Recent data indicates a decline in Bitcoin's open interest, a metric that reflects the total amount of outstanding futures contracts. This development comes after concerns arose about the futures market potentially overheating, which could lead to increased volatility.
Open Interest and the Overheating Signal
Open interest essentially measures the level of leverage traders are using in the Bitcoin futures market. When open interest rises significantly, it suggests that traders are placing more bets on the future price of Bitcoin, often using borrowed capital to magnify potential returns (and losses). This increased leverage can amplify price movements, leading to sharp swings in both directions.
Analysts observed a surge in Bitcoin's open interest in recent weeks, raising concerns about the market overheating. This situation has historically been a precursor to increased volatility, as seen in the lead-up to the FTX crash in November 2022 and the price correction in June-August 2022. Both instances coincided with periods of elevated open interest.
The Recent Cool Down
Fortunately, recent data shows a notable decrease in Bitcoin's open interest. This suggests that traders might be unwinding their leveraged positions, potentially reducing the risk of a sudden and dramatic price movement. This development is seen as a positive sign for the current Bitcoin rally, particularly by bulls (investors who believe the price will continue to rise).
The Battle for $65,000
Despite the cooling off in the futures market, the price of Bitcoin itself remains locked in a battle for the crucial $65,000 resistance level. Breaking above this level could signal a continuation of the current uptrend. However, bulls still face challenges.
Technical Indicators: EMAs and RSI
Analysts like Skew emphasize the importance of Bitcoin price action maintaining certain technical indicators. These indicators provide clues about potential future price movements based on historical price trends.
Two key indicators to watch are the exponential moving averages (EMAs) on both the 4-hour and daily timeframes. EMAs smooth out price fluctuations and highlight the underlying trend. If the price can stay above these key EMAs, it bolsters the bullish case.
Another indicator to monitor is the Relative Strength Index (RSI). The RSI measures the momentum behind price movements and indicates potential overbought or oversold conditions. For the current uptrend to continue, the RSI needs to return above the central level of 50, suggesting a return to positive momentum.
Conclusion
The decline in Bitcoin's open interest offers a sigh of relief for those concerned about excessive leverage in the futures market. However, the price battle for $65,000 continues. Keeping an eye on technical indicators like EMAs and RSI will be crucial in gauging the strength of the current rally and potential future price movements.
TSLA - Weekly Inflection PointDaily is winding up to an inflection point, while the weekly is getting close as well. I'm favoring the bearish break; but there is a chance for a bullish reversal- so time will tell. What I can say is that we're approaching a conclusive point in time that will send price with signifcant momentum in either direction. When I look for an inflection point I watch for consolidating momentum. In turn I watch for breaks that releases the built up energy.
Previous Analysis:
Silver MonthlyTarget for the next several months is ~20 usd
The sooner we hit it, the sooner we can start another bullish leg.
Short Term Targets are bullish ~23 usd
Anything can happen in this market, as JPM, Deutsche, USB, HSBC have all been fined for spoofing or manipulating the silver market in the past 3-4 years.
Vulcan Materials Pulls BackVulcan Materials broke out earlier this year, and now it’s pulled back.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the move to record highs at the start of February. The provider of gravel and concrete jumped further after earnings and guidance surprised to the upside. Pricing helped fuel the beat, which may indicate strong fundamentals.
Second is the March low of $262.87. VMC came within half a percent of that level on April 2 before bouncing. Is a higher low in place?
Third, stochastics are turning upward after nearing an oversold condition.
Finally, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) has remained above the 21-day EMA. That may reflect the presence of an uptrend.
TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. See our Overview for more.
Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors.
Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges.
TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.