IT'S CONFIRMED!THAT GAP AT THE TOP IS GETTING FILLED!
IF THERE IS GOING TO BE A PROFITABLE DJI SHORT, IT IS AT 28402.9$!
IF NOT, ZIMBABWE U.S.A. HAS ARRIVED!
Macroeconomic Analysis And Trading Ideas
A PREVIEW OF WHAT IS TO COME!A FALLING CURRENCY, A FALLING STOCK MARKET, SILVER AND GOLD TAKING OFF!
COMING TO A WESTERN COUNTRY NEAR YOU!
PULLBACK IN GOLD AND SILVER!THIS RATIO WILL CORRECT AND FILL THE GAP AT AT 104.13!
IT WILL BE AN EXCELLENT FINAL OPPORTUNITY TO LOAD UP ON SILVER!
BEAR MARKET RALLY BEGINS!I EXPECT AT THE END OF THIS MOVE EVERYONE WILL BE CALLING FOR DXY 120 AGAIN LOL!
TURKEY HYPERINFLATION!THIS IS EXACTLY WHAT HYPERINFLATIONS LOOK LIKE!
CAPITAL CONTROLS, RESERVE SELLING, MONETARY TIGHTENING ALL FAIL!
WITHIN 6 MONTHS-1 YEAR YOU WILL SEE A MASSIVE ECONOMIC CRISIS IN TURKEY!
THIS SHOULD SERVE AS A WARNING TO ALL OF YOU WHO BELIEVE INTEREST RATES WILL REMAIN LOW IN WESTERN COUNTRIES FOR A LONG TIME!
WHEN THEY RISE, IT WILL BE AT AN EXPONENTIAL PACE!
THE FED WON'T BAIL OUT YOUR CREDIT CARD!THESE CHARTS ARE VERY SIMILAR!
REAL ESTATE IS FAR DOWNSTREAM FROM FED POLICY, WITH MANY ECONOMIC ACTORS IN BETWEEN, ESPECIALLY COMPARED TO LARGE CORPORATIONS WHO HAVE ACCESS TO FINANCIAL DARK POOLS AND THE MANY FED PROGRAMS!
THIS MAKES IT MUCH HARDER FOR THE FED TO PROP UP REAL ESTATE VALUES AND MUCH EASIER TO PROP UP THE VALUE OF CORPORATE STOCK AND DEBT!
THIS IS SIMILAR TO THE SMALLER COMPANIES IN THE RUT, WHO MUST ACCESS CONVENTIONAL CREDIT MEANS, AND THUS ARE SUFFERING MUCH MORE THAN THEIR TECH COUNTERPARTS IN THE NDX!
LENDING STANDARDS ARE TIGHTENING FOR MAIN STREET, AND IT IS ONLY A MATTER OF TIME BEFORE THIS TIGHTENING REACHES ALL LEVELS OF THE ECONOMY! THE FED WILL NOT BAIL OUT YOUR AUTO LOAN OR CREDIT CARD, AND EVENTUALLY BANKS WILL TIGHTEN LENDING CONDITIONS FOR EVEN THE LARGEST OF ENTITIES, IF THEY HAVEN'T ALREADY BEGUN TO....
www.nbcnewyork.com
Weekly Review: Consolidating the levels (Read for Fundamentals)The last hours of trading sessions have served to clear two subjects.
1. On the macro side, the third quarter GDPs indicators from USA and the EU were better than expected.
2. On the micro side, the biggest technology companies’ earnings beat expectations
However, the geopolitics bring some noise to the market as Democrats and Republicans cannot reach an agreement over the stimulus package and Trump threats to postpone the election.
Looking forward to next week, it will be to key to watch out the employment data on Friday. A moderate growth is expected and this will set the tone on the strength of the American labour market.
Altogether, this week will be lateral with no big swings as investors will wait until Friday for the employment data.
HI-HO SILVER!THE PARABOLIC MOVE COMING IN GOLD AND SILVER WILL SCARE BOTH INVESTMENT ROOKIES AND VETERANS!
THERE WILL BE ANOTHER LARGE CORRECTION TO SCARE THE SMALL FISH AWAY AND REWARD THE PRIMARY DEALER BANKS WITH MORE CHEAP MONETARY METALS!
AFTER THIS, THEY WILL SOAR!
VIX (SPX) - We could be in for a treat! VIX - measuring the volatility over period of time of SPX .
Why do I bring this to your attention?
The more advance you get towards trading and the immense amount of passion I have towards trading, I get excited and explore various other charts support indices which for this instance it's the VIX - Correlates usually highly with SPX. What do I mean?
We are in a wedge formation once again, now the bullish momentum once broken out of the wedge could be towards the upside above the areas of 30/40 areas. If we have an increase of the VIX by checking past history of SPX combined it moves opposing direction.
Now why do i bring this attention to you today?
Fundamental aspects: We have the FOMC today, if its more of an outcome of disappointing news SPX decreasing, keep in mind dxy and yield curve. As well as that, we should keep in mind the key word deflation aspects!
Enjoy.
THREE BLACK CROWS!RETAIL TRADERS WERE ALL FOOLED BY THE BOGUS DOLLAR MILKSHAKE THEORY AND WERE PUNISHED FOR THEIR HERD MENTALITY!
CAPITAL IS FLOWING OUT OF U.S. DOLLARS AND INTO OTHER CURRENCIES AND PRECIOUS METALS!
THOSE WITH AN UNDERSTANDING OF AUSTRIAN ECONOMICS HAVE SEEN THE WRITING ON THE WALL, THE DOLLAR IS FAR FROM THE CLEANEST DIRTY SHIRT IN THE HAMPER OR A SAFE HAVEN, IT IS RADIOACTIVE!
STOP LISTENING TO SHILLS WHO ARE DOING THE OPPOSITE OF WHAT THEY TELL YOU AND GO STUDY FOR YOURSELF!
US dollar - US Treasuries Divergence The US dollar correlates positively to US Treasuries.
Market participants needs US dollar when buying US Treasuries as investments or as collateral.
Now we see a pretty sharp diverence and break of that correlation.
One would anticiapte a return to mean of this relationship.
My base-case is that the dollar will follow bonds and get bid up.
In short, my reasoning is as follows:
If liquidity continues to be tight, as low interest rates and central banks going crazy are signaling, the dollar will catch a bid as it's still the world reserve currency.
Regardless of my bias: when macro correlations diverge, its time to pay attention.
The best long-term indicatorOne of the main economic indicators for currency valuation is the real interest rate differential between the two countries / currencies.
The large flows of fixed income always go to where there is the highest real yield, interest rate discounted from inflation. The carry trade.
It is possible to see in the USDCAD example on the graph the great correlation between the interest rate differential and the appreciation / depreciation of each currency.
Currently, this indicator does not seem to make much sense due to extremely low inflation and low interest rates in the worldwide. However, the big draw is to know where the economic recovery will be faster, will create more jobs and income, will lead to an increase in inflation and consequently to an increase in interest rates and currency appreciation.
Make your bets!
I would bet on Australia and Europe, maybe that's why the dollar is so weak.
GOLD/SILVER RATIO - What does this mean? SILVER THE NEW GOLD?!It simply means silver is better to buy performance wise than gold.
Question is Silver could be the new gold?
How & Why?
Silver is seen as a better reflationary asset a hedge given from industrial and tech applications
Most of half the silver material is used in tech electronics such as connections, wires and jewellery
Silver is out performing gold
Large institutions think we could get price of 25-30 for silver in the long run.
I'd wait for pull back in most of the commodities.
Just an idea, not a recommendation.
Is the relationship between the yield curve and SP500 dead?Looking at the TVC:US10Y - TVC:US03MY and the AMEX:SPY it seems that during a recession like this TVC:US10Y - TVC:US03MY should rise and AMEX:SPY should fall.
Will it be the case this time as well or is this time different?
Maybe the FED cannot allow TVC:US10Y to rise this time due to the amount of debt and will instead impose yield curve control like in Japan by printing money to buy TVC:US10 ?
HYPERINFLATION!PRIVATE INVESTORS DON'T WANT BONDS, CENTRAL BANKERS DON'T WANT INTEREST RATES TO RISE!
DISCONNECTION FROM REALITY!HOW CAN SILVER BE LOWER FROM GOLD'S PEAK THAN BOTH OF ITS SPECULATIVE MINING VEHICLES, SIL AND SILJ?
THIS IS A MASSIVELY BULLISH SIGNAL!
