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Crude Oil ~ Daily Swing V2 (Sept-Oct)Updated 30/09/23: - Revised up-trending parallel (green) - Added down-trending/consolidation parallel (white) - Added horizontal lines (yellow/dashed) to mark upper/lower range (94.239-87.829) Everything else stays the same (chartist holy grail lol). CAPITALCOM:OIL_CRUDE has done an amazing job respecting its upward parallel channel since June. Could see period of consolidation (foreshadowed by prev price action) into lower trend-line before deciding whether to push higher towards Golden Fib (break upper trend-line), or capitulate to global recession fears & collapse towards 200DMA/23.6% Fib, TBC. Price action would be biased towards upside given OPEC+ bullish manipulation, however OPEC+ would also be hyper-vigilante on excessive Crude Oil prices which could threaten demand destruction - hence why they opted to review production cuts on a monthly basis to maintain price/economic stability.
CAPITALCOM:OIL_CRUDE
by BlueHatInvestor
US100 ~ 4H Bullish Pennant (1H update)CAPITALCOM:US100 tapped & held above confluence. US Flash Manufacturing & Services PMI release could bring in some big swings in either direction...however intuition tells me majority of implied volatility will manifest next week with US data points: Wed - CB Consumer Confidence Thurs - Final GDP (q/q) | Unemployment Claims Fri - Fed Chair Powell Speech | Core PCE Price Index (m/m) | Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment & Inflation Expectations Play-by-play looks the way..
CAPITALCOM:US100
by BlueHatInvestor
GOLD, Breakout The Bull-Flag-Formation, Confirming The Trend!Hello, Traders Investors And Community, welcome to this update-analysis about GOLD, there are some new meaningful signs in the current formation and price-action which I detected, the last time I mentioned GOLD I recognized an important bull-flag-formation within the structure if you did not see this analysis I recommend that you go to my account and have a look on it. The last hours we saw GOLD breaking out the current bull-flag with good volume and volatility, that is overall all an excellent sign for more continuation to the upside which I mention here with the targets integrated. We are looking at the locally 4-hour time-frame. As you can see in my chart GOLD has still this strong rising-resistance-line above which serves as a highly important resistance in the structure. First of all, it is a good sign that we broke out of the bull-flag which you see in my chart, the next time it is within the high likelihood schedule that the bull-flag will be confirmed with a pull-back of the higher boundary of the bull-flag before moving higher after the confirmation. If the confirmation happens the next time this will be a good place to open a conservative long-position with a stop-loss below 1710 level, it is wiser to wait on the confirmation here than to rush in the trade as there is still some resistance above. After the confirmation happened we can expect GOLD to move higher to the first short-term-target at 1775 which you see marked in my chart in grey after this target is reached we can expect that gold will have a smaller correction to correct its upward-move before moving higher and finally reach the overall full-bull-flag-target which you see in my chart at the 1790 level. This target also matches coherently with the rising blue resistance line and building a bearish confluence zone there. On the longer time-frame, I observed that GOLD is trading in a possible big inverted head and shoulder formation in which we are forming the right shoulder currently but this has to be confirmed properly and when it does we have a good sign to move higher in price action. On the fundamental side, we have the overall stock-market which is declining and this is almost always a bullish sign for GOLD to move higher as the history showed already several times. When the corona-restriction do not increase in the country's again I do not see much of resistance for the growth of gold in the middle-term-basis, remember that when these restrictions increase or we get a second wave of corona-fears on the global-economy it can affect GOLD also as it affected the whole market-landscape, in this case, we need to be prepared and consider the changed situation again, therefore we need to do not get overly speculative and see the situation as it is because that happens fewer and fewer in today's markets. Thanks for watching, support for more market insight, and all the best. There are many roads to prosperity, but one must be taken. In this manner: FAREWELL Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.
TVC:GOLD
by VincePrince
21
SILVER (XAGUSD): Time to Buy 🪙 Update for yesterday's setup on Silver. The price is still approaching a key horizontal support that we spotted earlier. Here are 2 bullish confirmations that I spotted analyzing hourly time frame: the price formed a tiny cup and handle pattern and broke its neckline. The price violated a resistance line of a falling wedge pattern. I believe that the market will start recovering now. Goals: 23.32 / 23.46 ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by VasilyTrader
3
SILVER (XAGUSD): Important Key Level to Watch 🪙 Silver is currently testing a key horizontal demand zone. Taking into consideration that the market is quite oversold after a strong bearish rally, we may see the pullback from the underlined area. Your confirmation to buy will be a bullish breakout of a neckline of a horizontal range on an hourly time frame. Hourly candle close above 23.2 will confirm the violation, a pullback will be expected to 23.33 / 23.45 levels then. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by VasilyTrader
3
GOLD - Is History Repeating Itself ⁉️Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. After rejecting the 2080 resistance, GOLD has been overall bearish trading inside the falling channel in red and it is currently retesting the upper bound / trendline. Moreover, the zone 1980 is a strong resistance. 🏹 So the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the blue resistance and upper blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal resistance. As per my trading style: As GOLD approaches the "3" zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...) For the bulls to kick in and invalidate the bearish scenario, we need a break above the blue resistance. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TheSignalyst
2
LINKUSD LINK USD CRYPTO CFD on PEPPERSTONE Higher local rejections aren't marked because they appear to be tested, if you're doubtful, mark them yourself. Initial lows, supports, untested spots marked with hotpurple box. Testing support currently, also a local low has been created, either we regain it and hold to continue with the move up.. or more likely, break below and push on to retest initial lows that created this whole trend up. Always refreshing charting a different ticker, removes imprinted biases, lets you acknowledge key spots, and removes all the bs. Anyways, i'll be watching this ticker over the next week or two. Once again LINKUSD LINK USD CRYPTO CFD on PEPPERSTONE gravy
PEPPERSTONE:LINKUSD
by gravy49
1
EUR/USD pair stalled going into EU inflation dataAfter surging close to 4% since early July off the back of a weakening USD, the EUR/USD pair has stabilised around $1.123. With very little volatility seen this week in the pair, eyes now turn to the euro, as the European inflation data is set to be released tonight. Analysts are predicting a continued downward trend in inflation, with a Year-on-Year forecast of 5.50%, which is below May’s figure of 6.1%. If the inflation data comes in above forecasts, we may see a further increase in the EUR as investors move towards the potentially higher yields. On the technical front, the tightening of Bollinger Bands on the 4-hour chart is something to watch. The lack of movement in the EUR/USD pair throughout this week has led to exceptionally tight Bollinger Bands, with levels not observed on this timeframe since 2021. When Bollinger Bands contract significantly, it typically signifies a period of low volatility and suggests that a breakout or significant price movement may be on the horizon. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is also in overbought territory on multiple timeframes, including the daily. This might suggest there is room for a cool-off before a further continuation higher. However, with the European inflation data due tonight, the fundamental data might cancel out any technical signals.
Short
by Ryanboyd
EURUSD (Euro/USD) currencies Shorting Chance Fundamental Analysis: Based on the fundamental analysis of EUR/USD, there are indications of a shorting bias. Here's a comprehensive analysis based on the provided information: The recent price action and market sentiment suggest a potential shorting opportunity for the EUR/USD currency pair. Last week, the pair experienced a significant rally, posting its largest one-week gain of 2023, driven by broad-based selling pressure on the US Dollar (USD). However, despite the recent uptrend, the pair remains technically overbought in the near term, implying a possible reversal may be on the horizon. One of the key factors contributing to the shorting bias is the negative shift in risk sentiment. Cautious market sentiment is evident at the beginning of the week, with the Euro Stoxx 50 Index down more than 0.5% and US stock index futures trading modestly lower. If safe-haven flows dominate the financial markets in the second half of the day, it could limit the upside potential of EUR/USD and support the shorting bias. Moreover, the European Central Bank (ECB) has signaled its intent to continue tightening its policy, as revealed in the accounts of the ECB's June policy meeting. This suggests that investors may be hesitant to bet on a steady pullback in EUR/USD, further supporting the shorting bias. In terms of price levels, the 1.1000 psychological level is a key area to monitor. A confirmed break below this level could potentially set up a run towards the 1.0800 level, which represents a two-year low. The widening yield differential between US Treasury bonds and Bunds, along with potential inflationary pressures in the Eurozone, may contribute to the downside pressure on EUR/USD. It's essential to consider that fundamental analysis provides insights into the market's underlying factors but does not guarantee specific price movements. It is crucial to combine fundamental analysis with technical analysis and risk management techniques to make informed trading decisions. Please note that the information provided is based on the current market conditions and is subject to change. It is always recommended to conduct further research and analysis before making any trading decisions. Technical Analysis: Based on technical analysis, there appears to be a shorting opportunity in the EUR/USD currency pair. Several indicators suggest a bearish bias, including bearish divergence between the price and the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator, as well as confluences of Fibonacci levels indicating potential resistance in the golden zone. The target for this short trade is set at the 1.27% Fibonacci extension level. Firstly, bearish divergence is observed between the price and the MACD. This occurs when the price forms higher highs, indicating potential strength, while the MACD indicator forms lower highs, suggesting underlying weakness. This bearish divergence signals a possible reversal in the upward trend of the EUR/USD pair. Additionally, the presence of Fibonacci confluences in the golden zone adds further weight to the bearish bias. The golden zone typically represents a range between the 38.2% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels. The confluence of multiple Fibonacci levels within this zone serves as a potential area of strong resistance, which strengthens the case for a shorting opportunity. In terms of trade execution, the target for this short trade is set at the 27% Fibonacci extension level. The Fibonacci extension levels are projected beyond the original price range and serve as potential price targets for the continuation of the downtrend. It is important to note that technical analysis is not infallible, and it is always prudent to incorporate risk management strategies and consider other fundamental factors before making trading decisions.
Short
by BitonGroup