CFD
Mr. Dow - All-time-high in frontHello everyone,
as mentioned in an older analysis, I think the dow is in a strong uptrend. We have seen a nasty wave 4 ending at 23.451. Since then three significant 1-2 elliott-wave-setups have formed; second and third with extreme short second waves: one of the signs showing us that we are in forward gear.
For all of you not invested yet: the best time to get in the market lays behind us, but there’s maybe a possibility in front of us. The dow is going to come to the all-time-high, and mostly there is some volatility one could take as a chance to get in (the yellow circle in the chart could be this point).
The scenarios
Scenario 1 (70% chance)
The Dow is going to take the all-time-high (eventually with significant pullback: then chance to get in!) and is heading for 27.000+ and even 30.000+.
Scenario 2 (30% chance)
The Dow is ending at all-time-high and collapses down to 20.400, maybe deeper. If this happens, we have seen a wave 3 of a higher wave degree ending at all-time-high.
So, the sore point is the all-time high so far…
Take care,
tgo
Does the uptrend continue?If MPP (S1) functions as a support line, think long.
The first limit is 70.00
The second limit is under MPP (P) 70.77
The third limit is under YPP (R2) 72.62
I would be grateful if you like it idea,give me follow or agrees!
------------------------- --------------------------
Brown thick line: Yearly Pivot Points (YPP in the text)
Light blue thick line: Monthly Pivot Points (MPP in the text)
Green thin line: Weekly Pivot Points (WePP in the text)
Indigo thick line: Horizontal line or Trend line seen by weekly or monthly
Indigo thin line: Horizontal line or Trend line seen by 4hourly or daily
Indigo dotted line: outstanding round number.
Red thick line: Untrustworthy line for me
Red curve: EMA 20 close
Indigo curve: EMA 200 close
Green curve: EMA 800 close
Black curve: EMA 1600 close
x mark: Line which may not function
------------------------- --------------------------
Does the uptrend continue?If MPP (S1) functions as a support line, think long.
The first limit is 70.00
The second limit is under MPP (P) 70.77
The third limit is under YPP (R2) 72.62
I would be grateful if you like it idea,give me follow or agrees!
------------------------- --------------------------
Brown thick line: Yearly Pivot Points (YPP in the text)
Light blue thick line: Monthly Pivot Points (MPP in the text)
Green thin line: Weekly Pivot Points (WePP in the text)
Indigo thick line: Horizontal line or Trend line seen by weekly or monthly
Indigo thin line: Horizontal line or Trend line seen by 4hourly or daily
Indigo dotted line: outstanding round number.
Red thick line: Untrustworthy line for me
Red curve: EMA 20 close
Indigo curve: EMA 200 close
Green curve: EMA 800 close
Black curve: EMA 1600 close
x mark: Line which may not function
------------------------- --------------------------
How long will the range of 22000-23000 last?I think that the range of 22000-23000 will not last long.
Following the course,
July 2: It penetrated down 22000 that is the neckline of the blue double bottom.
July 5: It was bounced back by YPP (P) and returned to the range.
July 9th and July 12th: It went up as attacking the short entry on July 2nd while swinging around.
After the movement of attacking while swinging the breakout, the break succeeds after trying it a couple of times.
Therefore, it seems that there will be some move to clearly penetrate the red line or break YPP (P) downward.
Based on that, the latest is as follows.
<< tactics >>
1) MPP (R1) functioned as a resistance after failure to penetrate the red line.
Short entry.
The first limit is above MPP (P) 22441.9.
The second limit is above 22000.
The third limit is above YPP (P) 21488.5.
2) It went through the red line and 23000 upwards.
I will observe to find the next entry point.
I would be grateful if you like it idea,give me follow or agrees!
------------------------- --------------------------
Brown thick line: Yearly Pivot Points (YPP in the text)
Light blue thick line: Monthly Pivot Points (MPP in the text)
Green thin line: Weekly Pivot Points (WePP in the text)
Indigo thick line: Horizontal line or Trend line seen by weekly or monthly
Indigo thin line: Horizontal line or Trend line seen by 4hourly or daily
Indigo dotted line: outstanding round number.
Red thick line: Untrustworthy line for me
Red curve: EMA 20 close
Indigo curve: EMA 200 close
Green curve: EMA 800 close
Black curve: EMA 1600 close
x mark: Line which may not function
------------------------- --------------------------
How long will the range of 22000-23000 last?I think that the range of 22000-23000 will not last long.
Following the course,
July 2: It penetrated down 22000 that is the neckline of the blue double bottom.
July 5: It was bounced back by YPP (P) and returned to the range.
July 9th and July 12th: It went up as attacking the short entry on July 2nd while swinging around.
After the movement of attacking while swinging the breakout, the break succeeds after trying it a couple of times.
Therefore, it seems that there will be some move to clearly penetrate the red line or break YPP (P) downward.
Based on that, the latest is as follows.
<< tactics >>
1) MPP (R1) functioned as a resistance after failure to penetrate the red line.
Short entry.
The first limit is above MPP (P) 22441.9.
The second limit is above 22000.
The third limit is above YPP (P) 21488.5.
2) It went through the red line and 23000 upwards.
I will observe to find the next entry point.
I would be grateful if you like it idea,give me follow or agrees!
------------------------- --------------------------
Brown thick line: Yearly Pivot Points (YPP in the text)
Light blue thick line: Monthly Pivot Points (MPP in the text)
Green thin line: Weekly Pivot Points (WePP in the text)
Indigo thick line: Horizontal line or Trend line seen by weekly or monthly
Indigo thin line: Horizontal line or Trend line seen by 4hourly or daily
Indigo dotted line: outstanding round number.
Red thick line: Untrustworthy line for me
Red curve: EMA 20 close
Indigo curve: EMA 200 close
Green curve: EMA 800 close
Black curve: EMA 1600 close
x mark: Line which may not function
------------------------- --------------------------
Short the upper end of the range?Because my trading can not catch up, please allow me to write it briefly.
<< tactics >>
When judging that 2800.0 functioned as a resistance line, I will short.
The first limit is on MPP (R1)
The second limit is on WePP (S2)
I would be grateful if you like it idea,give me follow or agrees!
------------------------- --------------------------
Brown thick line: Yearly Pivot Points (YPP in the text)
Light blue thick line: Monthly Pivot Points (MPP in the text)
Green thin line: Weekly Pivot Points (WePP in the text)
Indigo thick line: Horizontal line or Trend line seen by weekly or monthly
Indigo thin line: Horizontal line or Trend line seen by 4hourly or daily
Indigo dotted line: outstanding round number.
Red thick line: Untrustworthy line for me
Red curve: EMA 20 close
Indigo curve: EMA 200 close
Green curve: EMA 800 close
Black curve: EMA 1600 close
x mark: Line which may not function
------------------------- --------------------------
Short the upper end of the range?Because my trading can not catch up, please allow me to write it briefly.
<< tactics >>
When judging that 2800.0 functioned as a resistance line, I will short.
The first limit is on MPP (R1)
The second limit is on WePP (S2)
I would be grateful if you like it idea,give me follow or agrees!
------------------------- --------------------------
Brown thick line: Yearly Pivot Points (YPP in the text)
Light blue thick line: Monthly Pivot Points (MPP in the text)
Green thin line: Weekly Pivot Points (WePP in the text)
Indigo thick line: Horizontal line or Trend line seen by weekly or monthly
Indigo thin line: Horizontal line or Trend line seen by 4hourly or daily
Indigo dotted line: outstanding round number.
Red thick line: Untrustworthy line for me
Red curve: EMA 20 close
Indigo curve: EMA 200 close
Green curve: EMA 800 close
Black curve: EMA 1600 close
x mark: Line which may not function
------------------------- --------------------------
Is gold conscious of the red trend line?Gold came to see the shape of downtrend.
Gold has not reached YPP (P) 1269.009 and is trying to fall again.
Please look at the weekly,You can also see the red trend line being conscious.
weekly
But I decided not to use this line because of my discipline.
So I will not do anything now.
There is no reliable horizontal line near here.
Therefore, as usual, I wait for the entry since I attracted somewhere to PP.
<< tactics >>
1-1) It got up and reached near YPP (P) 1269.009. It functions as a resistance line.
short.
The first limit is decided with reference to WePP of the next week.
The second limit is on MPP (S1) 1229.533.
1-2) It got up and reached near YPP (P) 1269.009. It penetrated above.
Because it assumes down trend, I do not do long entry.
2-1)It got down and reached near MPP (S1) 1229.533, which functions as a support line.
Because it assumes down trend, I do not do long entry.
2-2)It got down and reached near MPP (S1) 1229.533, penetrated downward.
Short entry will be done once it functions as a resistance line.
The first limit is decided with reference to WePP of the next week.
The second limit is on MPP (S2) 1206.045.
I would be grateful if you like it idea,give me follow or agrees!
------------------------- --------------------------
Brown thick line: Yearly Pivot Points (YPP in the text)
Light blue thick line: Monthly Pivot Points (MPP in the text)
Green thin line: Weekly Pivot Points (WePP in the text)
Indigo thick line: Horizontal line or Trend line seen by weekly or monthly
Indigo thin line: Horizontal line or Trend line seen by 4hourly or daily
Indigo dotted line: outstanding round number.
Red thick line: Untrustworthy line for me
Red curve: EMA 20 close
Indigo curve: EMA 200 close
Green curve: EMA 800 close
Black curve: EMA 1600 close
x mark: Line which may not function
------------------------- --------------------------
Is gold conscious of the red trend line?Gold came to see the shape of downtrend.
Gold has not reached YPP (P) 1269.009 and is trying to fall again.
Please look at the weekly,You can also see the red trend line being conscious.
weekly
But I decided not to use this line because of my discipline.
So I will not do anything now.
There is no reliable horizontal line near here.
Therefore, as usual, I wait for the entry since I attracted somewhere to PP.
<< tactics >>
1-1) It got up and reached near YPP (P) 1269.009. It functions as a resistance line.
short.
The first limit is decided with reference to WePP of the next week.
The second limit is on MPP (S1) 1229.533.
1-2) It got up and reached near YPP (P) 1269.009. It penetrated above.
Because it assumes down trend, I do not do long entry.
2-1)It got down and reached near MPP (S1) 1229.533, which functions as a support line.
Because it assumes down trend, I do not do long entry.
2-2)It got down and reached near MPP (S1) 1229.533, penetrated downward.
Short entry will be done once it functions as a resistance line.
The first limit is decided with reference to WePP of the next week.
The second limit is on MPP (S2) 1206.045.
I would be grateful if you like it idea,give me follow or agrees!
------------------------- --------------------------
Brown thick line: Yearly Pivot Points (YPP in the text)
Light blue thick line: Monthly Pivot Points (MPP in the text)
Green thin line: Weekly Pivot Points (WePP in the text)
Indigo thick line: Horizontal line or Trend line seen by weekly or monthly
Indigo thin line: Horizontal line or Trend line seen by 4hourly or daily
Indigo dotted line: outstanding round number.
Red thick line: Untrustworthy line for me
Red curve: EMA 20 close
Indigo curve: EMA 200 close
Green curve: EMA 800 close
Black curve: EMA 1600 close
x mark: Line which may not function
------------------------- --------------------------
Bearish Signs on USOIL , Everywhere.
Don't want to enter it too much but with this price lvl in USOIL it need more retrace at least,never mind that i think all last 2 years movements of it formed a bearish wedge but in some market like Oil that many different factors can push market can't really count on technical matters too much and with political situation between Iran and USA and new sanctions about Iran's Oil, USOIL can go forward for new highs but now it's really need a retrace and can short it with stop around $79 and first target is $70.58-$71.Don't think it go with one wave to 68 but it will make a impact with blue line soon.
GOLD / GC / XAUUSD - Bearish inside bar fake-out patternIn this video I talk about the bearish inside bar fake-out pattern that has formed on the daily charts in the gold futures market. I cover a short educational lesson on the important of market key support and resistance levels ahead of time. Finally I cover some potential entry / stop loss / profit taking levels for short sellers.
PITCHFORK - CFD XAUUSD Analysis Q3 2018Analysis for XAUUSD Q3 2018
Current price is around the lower line pitchfork
Best opportunity to go long
If the price make a reversal here and keep the momentum upwards
Price expectations are able to reach the median line
However bearish momentum is strong, confirmation price break lower line pitchfork
XAU/USD Still HOLD for me!XAU/USD still didn't show a clear path, but I would suggest on the Medium-term to accelerate back to 1300s! But for me now I will wait and watch because there might be a bit of room to the downside to go to drop till 1242 and then hike back in case no breakout confirmed! (That's way I will be extra cautious)
Has the uptrend ended?It was a story of five months ago when I made a move towards 2900.0.
Currently, it can be seen from the daily story that 2800.0 acts as a strong resistance, preventing up trend persistence.
Daily
I assume that this symbol is not considered an uptrend already.
However, most recently it is likely to consider trading using a support line from Double Zero 2700.0.
<>
1) Double Zero Judged that 2700.0 functioned as a resistance line.
long entry.
The first limit is under thin horizontal line 2738.6.
The second limit is under WePP (P) 2756.0.
2) It can not be determined that double zero 2700.0 functions as a resistance line.
There is MPP (P) 2678.0 under Double Zero 2700.0, so I do not think of a short. I will observe.
Finally, WePP and MPP will be updated on Monday as weekend and monthend are approaching.
Flexible response is required.
It is a good choice not to enter if you feel difficult.
I would be grateful if you like it idea,give me follow or agrees!
------------------------- --------------------------
Brown thick line: Yearly Pivot Points (YPP in the text)
Light blue thick line: Monthly Pivot Points (MPP in the text)
Green thin line: Weekly Pivot Points (WePP in the text)
Indigo thickLine: Horizontal line or Trend line seen by weekly or monthly
Indigo thin line: Horizontal line or Trend line seen by 4hourly or daily
Indigo dotted line: outstanding double zero
Red curve: EMA 20 close
Indigo curve: EMA 200 close
Green curve: EMA 800 close
Black curve: EMA 1600 close
x mark: Line which may not function
------------------------- --------------------------
Has the uptrend ended?It was a story of five months ago when I made a move towards 2900.0.
Currently, it can be seen from the daily story that 2800.0 acts as a strong resistance, preventing up trend persistence.
Daily
I assume that this symbol is not considered an uptrend already.
However, most recently it is likely to consider trading using a support line from Double Zero 2700.0.
<>
1) Double Zero Judged that 2700.0 functioned as a resistance line.
long entry.
The first limit is under thin horizontal line 2738.6.
The second limit is under WePP (P) 2756.0.
2) It can not be determined that double zero 2700.0 functions as a resistance line.
There is MPP (P) 2678.0 under Double Zero 2700.0, so I do not think of a short. I will observe.
Finally, WePP and MPP will be updated on Monday as weekend and monthend are approaching.
Flexible response is required.
It is a good choice not to enter if you feel difficult.
I would be grateful if you like it idea,give me follow or agrees!
------------------------- --------------------------
Brown thick line: Yearly Pivot Points (YPP in the text)
Light blue thick line: Monthly Pivot Points (MPP in the text)
Green thin line: Weekly Pivot Points (WePP in the text)
Indigo thickLine: Horizontal line or Trend line seen by weekly or monthly
Indigo thin line: Horizontal line or Trend line seen by 4hourly or daily
Indigo dotted line: outstanding double zero
Red curve: EMA 20 close
Indigo curve: EMA 200 close
Green curve: EMA 800 close
Black curve: EMA 1600 close
x mark: Line which may not function
------------------------- --------------------------
How long will the resistance of Double Zero 3.000 last?As last week, I am taking measure of double zero 3.000 to function as a resistance.
However, Please be aware that the low price is rising and it is a price move that has not given up trying to penetrate double zero 3.000 above.
But, at the moment, I consider a short as judging that double zero 3.000 has functioned as a resistance.
<< tactics >>
1) It was judged that double zero 3.000 functioned as resistance
short.
The 1st limit is above the thin trendline which is now reaching around 2.920.
The 2nd limit is thought to break the trend line and is on WePP (S1) 2.863.
However, if it reflect on WePP 2.952,we need to think about escape.
2) It can not be determined that double zero 3.000 functions as resistance
I will observe. Because there is an unknown the strength resistances above the double zero 3.000,MPP (R1) 3.028 and YPP (P) 3.052.
I would be grateful if you like it idea,give me follow or agrees!
------------------------- --------------------------
Brown thick line: Yearly Pivot Points (YPP in the text)
Light blue thick line: Monthly Pivot Points (MPP in the text)
Green thin line: Weekly Pivot Points (WePP in the text)
Indigo thickLine: Horizontal line or Trend line seen by weekly or monthly
Indigo thin line: Horizontal line or Trend line seen by 4hourly or daily
Indigo dotted line: outstanding double zero
Red curve: EMA 20 close
Indigo curve: EMA 200 close
Green curve: EMA 800 close
Black curve: EMA 1600 close
x mark: Line which may not function
------------------------- --------------------------